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Aiming to move beyond the limited primary sources on which polarised debate is usually based, this chapter reviews new data on UN Security Council practice in response to consensual interventions. From 1990 to 2013, the Council passed resolutions on 76 per cent of all internal conflicts. This chapter evaluates that response in light of four leading theories: of the Court in Nicaragua, that governmental invitations are always valid; of the Institut de droit international (IDI), that pro-government interventions are ‘allowable’ until a conflict becomes a civil war; that intervention is allowable at the invitation of an elected ‘democratic’ government to secure or restore its power; and that it is allowable in response to an invitation to counter ‘terrorist’ threats. The data shows that the Council does not unequivocally support the Nicaragua or IDI views but has approved regularly the anti-terrorist, and occasionally the pro-democracy, views. Its active voice is more marked than its alignment with any one theory. Among other implications, the IDI view – a Cold War response to abuses of supposed invitations – may be less salient when a multilateral check on such abuses is available.
In this original study of the Eurasian Economic Union, Maksim Karliuk assesses the law and dynamics of functioning of this international organization. Examining the Eurasian Economic Union as an attempt to encourage post-Soviet integration, this book addresses the problematic legal issues of the integration process. Using the legal order autonomy framework, Karliuk carefully selects and organizes the topics included to offer readers a clear, systematic account of the most significant concerns. As well as considering theoretical issues, Karliuk engages with practical solutions to the problems identified. Besides merely outlining the present, this book develops a framework to address gaps and failures in current integration efforts and encourages further research into the complexities of Eurasian integration in the future.
This chapter focuses on rhetorical tools used to justify or legitimize sexual violence in militaries and defence forces. It oulines several rhetorical strategies used in media coverage.
This article explores Mexico’s overlooked importance in the Central American armed conflict, the limits of its influence, and its connection to the late Cold War. Mexico’s policy toward Central America attempted to prevent an American and Cuban military intervention in the area and avoid a Cold War confrontation along its southern border. Mexico attempted to build detente in the region and prevent a global escalation of tension between the great powers. Meanwhile, it sought to propose a “third way” for the revolutionary actors shaped after Mexico’s political system and history. Studying Mexico’s efforts to create detente-like arrangements can shed light on the efforts of peripheral actors and their projects to influence the international system despite the actions of hegemonic powers.
Diplomatic tensions between the People's Republic of China (PRC) and the United States (US) did not end when President Donald Trump, fervent advocate for a trade war with Beijing, left the White House in January 2021. On the contrary, tensions have continued into the first year of the Biden administration, through the first months of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and will likely last until the end of Biden's mandate. Indeed, if Trump made China into an almost personal issue for him and his inner circle of advisors, Biden, with a more institutionally sensitive style, has sought to bring the most important agencies of his administration under a coordinated effort. A resolute and comprehensive stance towards China has now become a long-term policy of the US. Likewise, on the other side of the Pacific Ocean Xi Jinping, communist party high officials and foreign minister Wang Yi demonstrated little intention of making any meaningful progress in US–China relations by accommodating some of the long-standing American requests. The fallout between American and Chinese top diplomats at a summit held in Anchorage (Alaska) in March 2021, weeks after Biden was sworn in, signalled that the relationship has a long way to go before any positive developments are seen. The drama of the Ukraine war, furthermore, made it unpalatable for many countries to maintain normal relations with Russia. This put China's relationship with Russia under the spotlight and encouraged the US, the European Union (EU), and G7 members to exert pressure on Beijing for picking a side, the message being: you are either with the West or with the war criminals of the Kremlin.
The frenzy that the word “China” tends to provoke in Washington was captured in an opinion piece in The Atlantic by former national security advisor Herbert R. McMaster published at the end of 2020, a tense year in US–China relations. He emphasized that there had been a sort of revelation moment about China, stating that assumptions in the rest of the world about China's modernization “were proving to be wrong” (McMaster 2020). To McMaster, China is a threat because it is governed by an authoritarian model that it exports abroad; meanwhile, the PRC bends the rules of the international order and exerts military influence over the South China Sea, Taiwan and the East China Sea.
“There is no force whatsoever that can substitute for the People's Republic of China represented by the Communist Party of China. This is not an empty word. It is something which has been proven and tested over several decades of experience”.
Deng Xiaoping, 1989
In the first years of the twentieth century, the passage of hegemonic power from British to American world leadership did not lead to a direct confrontation between the declining and the rising great powers. Historians of international relations are still debating why this is the case: because of cultural similarity and shared historical experience; or because London saw Washington as a lesser evil compared to Germany, Japan and the USSR; or because the competition within the Anglo-American sphere of influence was economic rather than military (Hugill 2009).
There were important reasons for the two great powers not to fight one another. Competition and mistrust also characterized this relationship, but for Washington and London it was easier to overcome the contradictions caused by the liberal international order (LIO). Managing a power transition, however, is more challenging when it comes to Sino-western relations in today's globalized world.
The intersection between capitalism and an international system of states is the backdrop to two important historical processes which are fundamental to understanding why China poses a challenge to the West. In particular, this chapter deals with the combination between western capitalism and national political systems that are not capitalist or predate capitalism and that have contributed to socio-political hybridity in the international system; it also seeks to make sense of the geoeconomic unevenness caused by a globalized capitalist order which is the source of great powers’ rise and fall.
Two main points emerge from this discussion. First, China's hybridity is not a unique phenomenon but has to be contextualized in a world order and a region – Asia – which is diverse and where democracy has not put down solid roots, as many liberal thinkers had hoped. Second, the rise of the People's Republic of China (PRC) confirms patterns that have characterized the ascent of other capitalist states, albeit with certain Chinese peculiarities and on a remarkable scale.
“Is the world entering a new cold war? Our answer is yes and no. Yes if we mean a protracted international rivalry … No if we mean the Cold War”
Hal Brands and John Lewis Gaddis
The first two chapters of this book sought to set the historical and institutional contexts which have facilitated the rise of the PRC, and that have led to a complex relationship between the latter and the West. The third and fourth chapters, however, have sought to flip the perspective and to look at the challenges faced by China amidst growing engagement with a LIO dominated by the West. This final chapter looks at recent events by providing an illustration of the conundrum faced by some western countries in the making of their China policy. It shows how dealing with the PRC has stressed the balance between economic and security interests, required countries to operate a course correction after years in which economic interests were prioritized, and led to a degree of strategic ambiguity.
Since the early 2010s, when Obama formulated his “pivot to Asia” policy, the feeling that the world was already too small for both Washington and Beijing was tangible. Yet, in the second half of the decade it became clear that while the US, with Trump's hawkish approach, was at the forefront of what seemed to be an anti-China crusade, other countries followed the US. At times pressured by the White House, at times concerned for their domestic security and values, other members of the international community implicitly admitted that an acritical, two decades-long neoliberal policy towards the PRC was no longer viable. These countries all started to believe that the quality and intensity of exchanges with China required stricter rules, although implementing this principle remains challenging. Authoritative commentators coined the phrase “new Cold War” to describe wide-spreading tensions in Sino-American and Sino-western relations and to highlight what, over the past five years, has clearly become a negative spiral in them. However, in some cases it remains to be seen whether there has been a real, substantial shift away from neoliberalism in these countries, and from a China policy dictated by economic rather than security interests.
“There is no simple disengagement path, given the scope of economic and legal entanglements. This isn't a ‘trade’ we can simply walk away from”.
John Mauldin
At the end of the 2010s, Martin Jacques predicted China would “rule the world” and the “end of the Western world” (2009). Elsewhere I argued that Jacques's claim about a new world order is materializing (Leoni 2021: ch. 4). Yet, it is too soon to confirm Jacques's claims, especially about China ruling the world. About a decade ago, David Shambaugh disagreed with Jacques because “China has an increasingly broad ‘footprint’ across the globe, but it is not particularly deep” (2013: 5–6). Apart from some important exceptions, China's economic presence in other countries is not enough to provide Beijing with structural political leverage, unlike that of the US, which has become hegemonic through the dollar. On the other hand, the PRC can damage certain industries in other countries and indirectly exert pressure on governments; furthermore, while China's economic expansion remains superficial it is growing fast as the eurozone struggles to emerge from more than a decade of financial austerity. This has led both China hawks and the media to suggest that the PRC is committed to a sort of neocolonialism through investments and acquisition of foreign assets. There certainly is an element of truth in this, as I explore below, but one has to consider both sides of the coin. This chapter argues that while China has eroded the West's productive power in some areas, its success remains limited and uneven. This argument balances some of the claims set out in Chapter 2, but also making the reader reflect on the complexity of China's rise to great power. Here and in the following chapter, it is shown that ultimately, operating in a LIO is no picnic, that is, it offers challenges and not just success. This is even more the case at a time when the West has started to see the drawbacks, in addition to the benefits, of interacting with China.
THE BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE AND OVERSEAS INTERESTS: CHINA GOES GLOBAL?
Since 1978 the PRC has used its foreign policy to protect its path towards development from both external interferences and military invasions.
“If China wants to be the new global standard, how can it stay special?”
Philipp Renninger
In reflecting on the strategic mistakes of the West in its relationship with the PRC, we have observed that these flaws originated from short-sighted policies, but also from the fact that China, for the West, poses an economy-security dilemma. The West's delay in coming to this realization has led to the erosion of the LIO. In the following chapter, I focus on the conundrum facing China that has arisen from the intensification of its relationship with the outside world. Indeed, the LIO is not only a source of dilemma for the West in the face of a rising China, but it has become a source of tension for China itself. Capturing opportunities abroad requires opening the national economy to global capitalism. Yet, deeper integration with the global order will make the PRC's borders more porous to American, European and South Korean businesses, and to western ideas more generally. This threatens to undermine the internal political and cultural hegemony of the Chinese Communist Party, which will have to scrutinize and, if necessary, restrict China's engagement with the world. The PRC elite will have to carefully weigh up whether they want to expand or retrench from certain international commitments, whether this means convincing different foreign constituencies that Beijing is keen to fight climate change and the environmental crisis; or deciding the extent to which China's military power should be employed abroad. It is unlikely that the CCP will find an answer to these dilemmas any time soon, and China's rise as a global power could make it more difficult to work out a coherent path.
DOES CHINA WANT TO DISMANTLE THE LIBERAL ORDER?
The journal International Organization celebrated its 75th anniversary in the spring of 2021 with a special issue dedicated to the LIO. The journal and the LIO came into being at roughly the same time. In the opening article, the authors asked whether the rise of China is “a fundamental challenge to the LIO, or has the country been sufficiently co-opted into the order that it is now a ‘responsible stakeholder’?” (Lake et al. 2021: 241). This is a worthwhile question because the socio-political hybridity that characterizes the PRC has implications for how China integrates with or detaches from the LIO.
There are four main lessons that stem from this exploration of Sinowestern relations, in addition to some more tangible recommendations that can be inferred from these. This book has showed that it is not possible to discuss or even think about the modern or contemporary history of China without considering its relationship with the West. Since the First Opium War, China's trajectory has been influenced by the West, sometimes for good, sometimes for ill. European, American and Japanese imperialism, and open-door policies have contributed to China's desire for catching up and playing hard in a competitive international system of states. The US, since 1972, has actively supported efforts of the PRC to become a prosperous country. Likewise, there is no modern history of the West without discussion of China. Without the meeting between Mao and Nixon, the Cold War might have lasted longer; without Deng Xiaoping's reformist agenda, the LIO would not have been global from an economic point of view.
Currently, both China and the West, especially the US, are locked in a problematic interdependence which has led them to consider options for decoupling and recovering national sovereignty over different aspects of economic and social life. Indeed, while the liberal order has trapped the West into a China conundrum, the more China engages with this order the more it faces dilemmas between competing interests. If current diplomatic quarrels between China and the West worries us a lessening of such interdependence through decoupling could lead to a degree of geopolitical stability, because interdependence remains a source of tensions.
Another major historical lesson concerns the need to look at history in the longue durée. In 1972 Nixon and Mao were agreeing on a process of “rapprochement” between Washington and Beijing, which led to “normalization” under the Carter administration, and which allowed both powers to survive through events that shook the fundaments of the relationship – Tiananmen Square (1989) and the Taiwan Crisis (1995–96). By the standards of contemporary western-centric pundits, this seems like an age ago. Yet, in only a few decades we have managed to move from the Cold War to a time of potential order-unravelling and to the brink of a new Cold War, or the return of great power politics at the very least.
“If China remained closed, then the doors would have to be battered down.”
Alan Peyrefitte
World history cannot be regarded as the sum of disconnected events. More often, it is the product of encounters between different, competing civilizations, political systems, and technologies and the tensions that exist between them. Although the Chinese elite were committed to making China great and deserve credit for the success that the PRC achieved in the post-1978 era, the West played a fundamental role in bringing it into a world capitalist economy. China's success can also be interpreted through the lens of “blowback” of European and Japanese imperialism, but most importantly US globalism. Technically, “blowback” is used by the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) to describe the unwanted consequences of covert operations. Subsequently, it was applied by political scientist Chalmers Johnson to reflect the unintended effects – backlashes – of US foreign policy. To Johnson, “acts committed in service to an empire but never acknowledged as such have a tendency to haunt the future” and the US “cannot control the long-term effects of its policies. That is the essence of blowback” (Johnson 2002: 8, 13). This concept is essential to appreciate the responsibility that the United States’ strategy-makers had for encouraging the rise of China while overlooking its long-term strategic implications.
Blowback, however, is also a constant feature of empire. Imperialism's coercion, disruption, and lack of respect for other countries or regions tend to have unpredictable and perilous consequences decades or even centuries later. China has become a great economic and military power because European and Japanese powers, even before US hegemony, had a hand in her formidable ascent. Indeed, the continuum from the eighteenth century up to China's entry into the WTO in 2001, has been that of western powers seeking to open up the Chinese economy to the world in order to profit from it. As different parts of this book show, this has come at a geopolitical cost. For good or ill, the foreign policies of imperial Britain, Japan, France, Portugal and Germany, but also the United States, have had far-reaching effects on China's process of political renovation.
China is a huge country, with a very long history, and an increasingly global influence. The implications of its domestic and foreign policies are far-reaching. Tracking everything China is or does is a mammoth task and most observers tend to do so by focusing on a specific research area or a specific angle. I am not different in this regard.
The perspective I have used to look at China follows my professional story of the last few years. It is based on an underlying claim, which might well be the most important statement in this book: it is not possible, I argue, to study modern and contemporary China in isolation from its relationship with the West. This is because China's struggles and successes over the last two centuries are closely linked to western policy towards China – at the same time, the rise of a western-led global economy, and the end of the Cold War might not have been possible without China. Studying China through the lenses of its relationship with the West means approaching this subject with a pragmatic – strategic – logic, rather than for the sake of knowing more about China.
This is the perspective that I have developed over the last four years and that has informed this book. From an academic point of view, my interest in China began with my PhD at the Department of European and International Studies, King's College London where I completed my thesis on US–China relations. More specifically, my objective was to analyse the foreign policy of the Obama administration towards China, applying a Marxist theory of imperialism, which involved looking at American grand strategy from a critical perspective. Between 2017 and 2018, between the final stage of my PhD and my first year of a full-time job, I realized I wanted to focus more on the Chinese perspective of the relationship. First, when studying the logic of the Washington Consensus, I realized that I needed a better appreciation of what was behind American disappointment towards China. I found an answer to this question, eventually, by exploring in depth the symbiotic – nationalistic – relationship that exists in the PRC between the state and society, in particular between the state and the strategic industries.
The past is constantly present, not least in the study of imperialism and imperial forms of power in international politics. This volume shows how historical trajectories have shaped international affairs covering a wide range of imperial and (post-) colonial settings in international politics, substantiating the claim that imperial and colonial legacies - and how they have transformed over time - are foundational to the historicity of international politics. It contributes to debates on the role of history in International Relations (IR) by combining theoretical arguments on the role of history through the concept of 'historicity' with concrete empirical analyses on a wide range of imperial and colonial legacies. This volume also advances interdisciplinary perspectives on this topic by fostering dialogue with Historical Sociology and Global History. It will interest scholars and advanced students of IR, historical sociology and global politics, especially those working on the history of international politics, and the legacies of colonialism and imperialism.
Much of the existing accounts assume that investment treaties affect national governance. However, how exactly this happens has been subject to little analysis. Conventional accounts presume that these treaties improve national governance, leading to good governance and the rule of law for all. Critical accounts charge that investment treaties unduly empower foreign investors and cause a regulatory chill. On both accounts, investment treaties are expected to empower and constrain. Comparing extended case studies of Argentina, the Czech Republic, India and Mexico, this book shows how investment treaties influence national governance ideologically, institutionally, and socially. We show how the overarching role of IIAs in national governance – to cultivate constraining discipline in public administration – is realised and who gets empowered and marginalised in the process. The book's findings will serve in the debates about alternative ways of economic governance and help explain the investment treaty regime's significant resistance to change.