Accepted Manuscripts
Symposium
A Political History Forecast of Bloc Support in the 2025 German Federal Election
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- 21 February 2025, pp. 1-13
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Combining Forecasts for the 2025 German Federal Election: The PollyVote
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- 20 February 2025, pp. 1-7
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A Political-Economy Forecast of the 2025 German Federal Elections: Merz wins but the Grand Coalition is back
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- 20 February 2025, pp. 1-18
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Predicting Support for the Christian Democrats in the 2025 German Bundestag Election: A state-level approach
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- 20 February 2025, pp. 1-15
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The Zweitstimme Forecast for the German Federal Election 2025: Coalition Majorities and Vacant Districts
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- 20 February 2025, pp. 1-12
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Article
The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election PoSSUM Poll
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- 15 October 2024, pp. 1-28
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Forecasting Popular Vote and Electoral College Vote Results: Partisan-Bounded Economic Model
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- 15 October 2024, pp. 1-24
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Iowa Electronic Markets: Forecasting the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
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- 15 October 2024, pp. 1-16
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Lessons Learned: Citizen Forecasting, Candidate Resignations, and the 2024 US Presidential Election
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- 15 October 2024, pp. 1-16
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Long-Range State-Level 2024 Presidential Election Forecast: How Can You Forecast an Election When You Don’t Know Who the Candidates Are Yet?
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- 15 October 2024, pp. 1-18
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PREDICTING POPULAR VOTE SHARES AT US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS: A MODEL-BASED STRATEGY RELYING ON ANES DATA
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- 15 October 2024, pp. 1-10
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