Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-gbm5v Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-28T13:12:31.505Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Wave solutions for the deterministic host-vector epidemic

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 October 2008

J. Radcliffe
Affiliation:
Queen Mary College, London
L. Rass
Affiliation:
Queen Mary College, London
W. D. Stirling
Affiliation:
Queen Mary College, London

Extract

Recent papers by Atkinson and Reuter(1), Brown and Carr(5), and Barbour(2) have proved several important results concerning wave solutions of the usual deterministic model for the spatial spread of an epidemic, such as measles or influenza. In particular Atkinson and Reuter showed that non-trivial wave solutions, in a population along a line, only exist provided the contact distribution function has an exponentially bounded tail, and that the speed of propagation c must be at least some critical value c0. They constructed a solution for c > c0, which Barbour later showed to be the unique solution, modulo translation, at that speed. Brown and Carr showed that a solution was also possible at speed c0, though it has not been possible to show uniqueness at this speed.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge Philosophical Society 1982

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

(1)Atkinson, C. and Reuter, G. E. H.Deterministic epidemic waves. Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 80 (1976), 315330.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
(2)Barbour, A. D.The uniqueness of Atkinson and Router's epidemic waves. Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 82 (1977), 127130.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
(3)Bartle, R. G.The elements of real analysis (Wiley, New York, 1964).Google Scholar
(4)Bartlett, M. S.The relevance of stochastic models for large scale epidemiological phenomena. Appl. Statist. 13 (1964), 28.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
(5)Brown, K. J. and Carb, J.Deterministic epidemic waves of critical velocity. Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 81 (1977), 431433.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
(6)Diekmann, O.Thresholds and travelling waves for the geographical spread of infection. J. Math. Biol. 6 (1978), 109130.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
(7)Diekmann, O. On a nonlinear integral equation arising in mathematical epidemiology. Differential equations and applications (North-Holland, 1978), pp. 133140.Google Scholar
(8)Diekmann, O.Run for your life. A note on the asymptotic speed of propagation of an epidemic. J. Differential Equations 33, no. 1 (1979), 5873.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
(9)Diekmann, O.Limiting behaviour in an epidemic model. Nonlinear Analysis, Theory and Applications 1, no. 5 (1977), 459470.Google Scholar
(10)Diekmann, O. and Kaper, H. G.On the bounded solutions of a nonlinear convolution equation. Nonlinear Analysis, Theory and Applications 2, no. 6 (1978), 721737.Google Scholar
(11)Radcliffe, J.The initial geographical spread of host-vector and carrier-borne epidemics. J. Appl. Prob. 10 (1973), 703717.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
(12)Radcliffe, J.The severity of a viral host-vector epidemic. J. Appl. Prob. 13 (1976), 791794.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
(13)Thieme, H. R.A model for the spread of an epidemic. J. Math. Biology 4 (1977), 337351.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
(14)Thieme, H. R.The asymptotic behaviour of solutions of nonlinear integral equations. Math. Zeitschrift 157 (1977), 141154.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
(15)Thieme, H. R.Asymptotic estimates of the solutions of nonlinear integral equations and asymptotic speeds for the spread of populations. J. Reine Angew. Math. 306 (1979), 94121.Google Scholar