We look at joint regular variation properties of MA(∞) processes of the form X = (Xk, k ∈ Z), where Xk = ∑j=0∞ψjZk-j and the sequence of random variables (Zi, i ∈ Z) are independent and identically distributed with regularly varying tails. We use the setup of MO-convergence and obtain hidden regular variation properties for X under summability conditions on the constant coefficients (ψj: j ≥ 0). Our approach emphasizes continuity properties of mappings and produces regular variation in sequence space.

The random triangles discussed in this paper are defined by having the directions of their sides independent and uniformly distributed on (0, π). To fix the scale, one side chosen arbitrarily is assigned unit length; let a and b denote the lengths of the other sides. We find the density functions of a / b, max{a, b}, min{a, b}, and of the area of the triangle, the first three explicitly and the last as an elliptic integral. The first two density functions, with supports in (0, ∞) and (½, ∞), respectively, are unusual in having an infinite spike at 1 which is interior to their ranges (the triangle is then isosceles).

Consider the following random spatial network: in a large disk, construct a network using a stationary and isotropic Poisson line process of unit intensity. Connect pairs of points using the network, with initial/final segments of the connecting path formed by travelling off the network in the opposite direction to that of the destination/source. Suppose further that connections are established using ‘near geodesics’, constructed between pairs of points using the perimeter of the cell containing these two points and formed using only the Poisson lines not separating them. If each pair of points generates an infinitesimal amount of traffic divided equally between the two connecting near geodesics, and if the Poisson line pattern is conditioned to contain a line through the centre, then what can be said about the total flow through the centre? In Kendall (2011) it was shown that a scaled version of this flow has asymptotic distribution given by the 4-volume of a region in 4-space, constructed using an improper anisotropic Poisson line process in an infinite planar strip. Here we construct a more amenable representation in terms of two ‘seminal curves’ defined by the improper Poisson line process, and establish results which produce a framework for effective simulation from this distribution up to an L1 error which tends to 0 with increasing computational effort.

We consider a stationary face-to-face tessellation X of Rd and introduce several percolation models by colouring some of the faces black in a consistent way. Our main model is cell percolation, where cells are declared black with probability p and white otherwise. We are interested in geometric properties of the union Z of black faces. Under natural integrability assumptions, we first express asymptotic mean values of intrinsic volumes in terms of Palm expectations associated with the faces. In the second part of the paper we focus on cell percolation on normal tessellations and study asymptotic covariances of intrinsic volumes of Z ∩ W, where the observation window W is assumed to be a convex body. Special emphasis is given to the planar case where the formulae become more explicit, though we need to assume the existence of suitable asymptotic covariances of the face processes of X. We check these assumptions in the important special case of a Poisson-Voronoi tessellation.

Consider a bipartite random geometric graph on the union of two independent homogeneous Poisson point processes in d-space, with distance parameter r and intensities λ and μ. We show for d ≥ 2 that if λ is supercritical for the one-type random geometric graph with distance parameter 2r, there exists μ such that (λ, μ) is supercritical (this was previously known for d = 2). For d = 2, we also consider the restriction of this graph to points in the unit square. Taking μ = τ λ for fixed τ, we give a strong law of large numbers as λ → ∞ for the connectivity threshold of this graph.

Consider Wald's sequential probability ratio test for deciding whether a sequence of independent and identically distributed observations comes from a specified phase-type distribution or from an exponentially tilted alternative distribution. Exact decision boundaries for given type-I and type-II errors are derived by establishing a link with ruin theory. Information on the mean sample size of the test can be retrieved as well. The approach relies on the use of matrix-valued scale functions associated with a certain one-sided Markov additive process. By suitable transformations, the results also apply to other types of distributions, including some distributions with regularly varying tails.

Let 𝓈 be a finite or countable set. Given a matrix F = (Fij)i,j∈𝓈 of distribution functions on R and a quasistochastic matrix Q = (qij)i,j∈𝓈, i.e. an irreducible nonnegative matrix with maximal eigenvalue 1 and associated unique (modulo scaling) positive left and right eigenvectors u and v, the matrix renewal measure ∑n≥0Qn ⊗ F*n associated with Q ⊗ F := (qijFij)i,j∈𝓈 (see below for precise definitions) and a related Markov renewal equation are studied. This was done earlier by de Saporta (2003) and Sgibnev (2006, 2010) by drawing on potential theory, matrix-analytic methods, and Wiener-Hopf techniques. In this paper we describe a probabilistic approach which is quite different and starts from the observation that Q ⊗ F becomes an ordinary semi-Markov matrix after a harmonic transform. This allows us to relate Q ⊗ F to a Markov random walk {(Mn, Sn)}n≥0 with discrete recurrent driving chain {Mn}n≥0. It is then shown that renewal theorems including a Choquet-Deny-type lemma may be easily established by resorting to standard renewal theory for ordinary random walks. The paper concludes with two typical examples.

We introduce a new class of Monte Carlo methods, which we call exact estimation algorithms. Such algorithms provide unbiased estimators for equilibrium expectations associated with real-valued functionals defined on a Markov chain. We provide easily implemented algorithms for the class of positive Harris recurrent Markov chains, and for chains that are contracting on average. We further argue that exact estimation in the Markov chain setting provides a significant theoretical relaxation relative to exact simulation methods.

We review and extend the class of hypergeometric Lévy processes explored in Kuznetsov and Pardo (2013) with a view to computing fluctuation identities related to stable processes. We give the Wiener-Hopf factorisation of a process in the extended class, characterise its exponential functional, and give three concrete examples arising from transformations of stable processes.