Martingales constitute a basic tool in stochastic analysis; this paper considers their application to counting processes. We use this tool to revisit a renewal theorem and give extensions for various counting processes. We first consider a renewal process as a pilot example, deriving a new semimartingale representation that differs from the standard decomposition via the stochastic intensity function. We then revisit Blackwell’s renewal theorem, its refinements and extensions. Based on these observations, we extend the semimartingale representation to a general counting process, and give conditions under which asymptotic behaviour similar to Blackwell’s renewal theorem holds.

We introduce and study the notion of sure profits via flash strategies, consisting of a high-frequency limit of buy-and-hold trading strategies. In a fully general setting, without imposing any semimartingale restriction, we prove that there are no sure profits via flash strategies if and only if asset prices do not exhibit predictable jumps. This result relies on the general theory of processes and provides the most general formulation of the well-known fact that, in an arbitrage-free financial market, asset prices (including dividends) should not exhibit jumps of a predictable direction or magnitude at predictable times. We furthermore show that any price process is always right-continuous in the absence of sure profits. Our results are robust under small transaction costs and imply that, under minimal assumptions, price changes occurring at scheduled dates should only be due to unanticipated information releases.

In this paper we consider the factor analysis for Lévy-driven multivariate price models with stochastic volatility. Our main aim is to provide conditions on the volatility process under which we can possibly reduce the dimension of the driving Lévy motion. We find that these conditions depend on a particular form of the multivariate Lévy process. In some settings we concentrate on nondegenerate symmetric α-stable Lévy motions.

We consider the problem of optimal consumption of multiple goods in incomplete semimartingale markets. We formulate the dual problem and identify conditions that allow for the existence and uniqueness of the solution, and provide a characterization of the optimal consumption strategy in terms of the dual optimizer. We illustrate our results with examples in both complete and incomplete models. In particular, we construct closed-form solutions in some incomplete models.

We consider the problem of optimal investment with intermediate consumption in a general semimartingale model of an incomplete market, with preferences being represented by a utility stochastic field. We show that the key conclusions of the utility maximization theory hold under the assumptions of no unbounded profit with bounded risk and of the finiteness of both primal and dual value functions.

We give an account of the characteristics that result from reflecting a drifting local martingale (i.e. the sum of a local martingale and a multiple of its quadratic variation process) in 0 and b > 0. We present conditions which guarantee the existence of finite moments of what is required to keep the reflected process within its boundaries. Also, we derive an associated law of large numbers and a central limit theorem which apply when the input is continuous. Similar results for integrals of the paths of the reflected process are also presented. These results are in close agreement to what has previously been shown for Brownian motion.

The paper considers a statistical concept of causality in continuous time between filtered probability spaces, based on Granger’s definition of causality. This causality concept is connected with the preservation of the martingale representation property when the filtration is getting smaller. We also give conditions, in terms of causality, for every martingale to be a continuous semimartingale, and we consider the equivalence between the concept of causality and the preservation of the martingale representation property under change of measure. In addition, we apply these results to weak solutions of stochastic differential equations. The results can be applied to the economics of securities trading.

We consider a semimartingale X which is reflected at an upper barrier T and a lower barrier S, where S and T are also semimartingales such that T is bounded away from S. First, we present an explicit construction of the reflected process. Then we derive a relationship in terms of stochastic integrals linking the reflected process and the local times at the respective barriers to X, S, and T. This result reveals the fundamental structural properties of the reflection mechanism. We also present a few results showing how the general relationship simplifies under additional assumptions on X, S, and T, e.g. if we take X, S, and T to be independent martingales (which satisfy some extra technical conditions).

In this paper we consider reflected diffusions with positive and negative jumps, constrained to lie in the nonnegative orthant of ℝn. We allow for the drift and diffusion coefficients, as well as for the directions of reflection, to be random fields over time and space. We provide a boundary behavior characterization, generalizing known results in the nonrandom coefficients and constant directions of the reflection case. In particular, the regulator processes are related to semimartingale local times at the boundaries, and they are shown not to charge the times the process expends at the intersection of boundary faces. Using the boundary results, we extend the conditions for product-form distributions in the stationary regime to the case when the drift and diffusion coefficients, as well as the directions of reflection, are random fields over space.

Assuming that the forward rates ftu are semimartingales, we give conditions on their components under which the discounted bond prices are martingales. To achieve this, we give sufficient conditions for the integrated processes ftu=∫0uftvdv to be semimartingales, and identify their various components. We recover the no-arbitrage conditions in models well known in the literature and, finally, we formulate a new random field model for interest rates and give its equivalent martingale measure (no-arbitrage) condition.

In this paper, we study the stationary distributions for reflected diffusions with jumps in the positive orthant. Under the assumption that the stationary distribution possesses a density in R+n that satisfies certain finiteness conditions, we characterize the Fokker-Planck equation. We then provide necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of a product-form distribution for diffusions with oblique boundary reflections and jumps. To do so, we exploit a recent characterization of the boundary properties of such reflected processes. In particular, we show that the conditions generalize those for semimartingale reflecting Brownian motions and reflected Lévy processes. We provide explicit results for some models of interest.

In this paper we obtain the Beňes equation for the evolution of the probability distribution of the excursion process associated with the level crossings of a general storage process. We then show that under stationarity and ergodicity assumptions on the process we can recover the well-known rate conservation law (RCL). Using the stationary solution we then show that the existence of an invariant solution can be studied in terms of an operator equation and we show how this characterization leads to a very simple explicit computation of the stationary distribution.

This paper introduces the use of symbolic computation (also known as computer algebra) in stochastic analysis and particularly in the Itô calculus. Two related examples are considered: the Clifford-Green theorem on random Gaussian triangles, and a generalization of the D. G. Kendall theorem on the kinematics of shape.

The Clifford–Green theorem gives a remarkable characterization of the joint distribution of the squared-side-lengths of n independent Gaussian points in n-space, namely that this distribution is that of n independent exponential random variables conditioned to satisfy all the inequalities requisite if they are to arise as squared-side-lengths from a point-set in n-space. The D. G. Kendall theorem on the diffusion of shape identifies the statistics of the diffusion arising (under a time-change) as the shape of a triangle whose vertices diffuse by Brownian motion in 2-space or 3-space.

Symbolic Itô calculus is used to give a new proof of the Clifford-Green theorem, and to generalize the D. G. Kendall theorem to the case of triangles in higher-dimensional space whose vertices diffuse either according to Brownian motion or according to an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process.