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We consider a Lévy process Y(t) that is not continuously observed, but rather inspected at Poisson(
$\omega$
) moments only, over an exponentially distributed time
$T_\beta$
with parameter
$\beta$
. The focus lies on the analysis of the distribution of the running maximum at such inspection moments up to
$T_\beta$
, denoted by
$Y_{\beta,\omega}$
. Our main result is a decomposition: we derive a remarkable distributional equality that contains
$Y_{\beta,\omega}$
as well as the running maximum process
$\bar Y(t)$
at the exponentially distributed times
$T_\beta$
and
$T_{\beta+\omega}$
. Concretely,
$\overline{Y}(T_\beta)$
can be written as the sum of two independent random variables that are distributed as
$Y_{\beta,\omega}$
and
$\overline{Y}(T_{\beta+\omega})$
. The distribution of
$Y_{\beta,\omega}$
can be identified more explicitly in the two special cases of a spectrally positive and a spectrally negative Lévy process. As an illustrative example of the potential of our results, we show how to determine the asymptotic behavior of the bankruptcy probability in the Cramér–Lundberg insurance risk model.
We consider the level hitting times τy = inf{t ≥ 0 | Xt = y} and the running maximum process Mt = sup{Xs | 0 ≤ s ≤ t} of a growth-collapse process (Xt)t≥0, defined as a [0, ∞)-valued Markov process that grows linearly between random ‘collapse’ times at which downward jumps with state-dependent distributions occur. We show how the moments and the Laplace transform of τy can be determined in terms of the extended generator of Xt and give a power series expansion of the reciprocal of Ee−sτy. We prove asymptotic results for τy and Mt: for example, if m(y) = Eτy is of rapid variation then Mt / m-1(t) →w 1 as t → ∞, where m-1 is the inverse function of m, while if m(y) is of regular variation with index a ∈ (0, ∞) and Xt is ergodic, then Mt / m-1(t) converges weakly to a Fréchet distribution with exponent a. In several special cases we provide explicit formulae.
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