The pth ($p\geq 1$) moment exponential stability, almost surely exponential stability and stability in distribution for stochastic McKean–Vlasov equation are derived based on some distribution-dependent Lyapunov function techniques.

We study the local convergence of critical Galton–Watson trees under various conditionings. We give a sufficient condition, which serves to cover all previous known results, for the convergence in distribution of a conditioned Galton–Watson tree to Kesten’s tree. We also propose a new proof to give the limit in distribution of a critical Galton–Watson tree, with finite support, conditioned on having a large width.

Extreme value theory plays an important role in providing approximation results for the extremes of a sequence of independent random variables when their distribution is unknown. An important one is given by the generalised Pareto distribution $H_\gamma(x)$ as an approximation of the distribution $F_t(s(t)x)$ of the excesses over a threshold t, where s(t) is a suitable norming function. We study the rate of convergence of $F_t(s(t)\cdot)$ to $H_\gamma$ in variational and Hellinger distances and translate it into that regarding the Kullback–Leibler divergence between the respective densities.

In this paper, we consider the convergence rate with respect to Wasserstein distance in the invariance principle for deterministic non-uniformly hyperbolic systems. Our results apply to uniformly hyperbolic systems and large classes of non-uniformly hyperbolic systems including intermittent maps, Viana maps, unimodal maps and others. Furthermore, as a non-trivial application to the homogenization problem, we investigate the Wasserstein convergence rate of a fast–slow discrete deterministic system to a stochastic differential equation.

In this paper we study the asymptotic behaviour of a random uniform parking function $\pi_n$ of size n. We show that the first $k_n$ places $\pi_n(1),\ldots,\pi_n(k_n)$ of $\pi_n$ are asymptotically independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) and uniform on $\{1,2,\ldots,n\}$, for the total variation distance when $k_n = {\rm{o}}(\sqrt{n})$, and for the Kolmogorov distance when $k_n={\rm{o}}(n)$, improving results of Diaconis and Hicks. Moreover, we give bounds for the rate of convergence, as well as limit theorems for certain statistics such as the sum or the maximum of the first $k_n$ parking places. The main tool is a reformulation using conditioned random walks.

Given a finite strongly connected directed graph $G=(V, E)$ , we study a Markov chain taking values on the space of probability measures on V. The chain, motivated by biological applications in the context of stochastic population dynamics, is characterized by transitions between states that respect the structure superimposed by E: mass (probability) can only be moved between neighbors in G. We provide conditions for the ergodicity of the chain. In a simple, symmetric case, we fully characterize the invariant probability.

We study the quasi-stationary behavior of the birth–death process with an entrance boundary at infinity. We give by the h-transform an alternative and simpler proof for the exponential convergence of conditioned distributions to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. In addition, we also show that starting from any initial distribution the conditional probability converges to the unique quasi-stationary distribution exponentially fast in the $\psi$ -norm.

We study convergence to non-minimal quasi-stationary distributions for one-dimensional diffusions. We give a method for reducing the convergence to the tail behavior of the lifetime via a property we call the first hitting uniqueness. We apply the results to Kummer diffusions with negative drift and give a class of initial distributions converging to each non-minimal quasi-stationary distribution.

We study an example of a hit-and-run random walk on the symmetric group $\mathbf S_n$ . Our starting point is the well-understood top-to-random shuffle. In the hit-and-run version, at each single step, after picking the point of insertion j uniformly at random in $\{1,\ldots,n\}$ , the top card is inserted in the jth position k times in a row, where k is uniform in $\{0,1,\ldots,j-1\}$ . The question is, does this accelerate mixing significantly or not? We show that, in $L^2$ and sup-norm, this accelerates mixing at most by a constant factor (independent of n). Analyzing this problem in total variation is an interesting open question. We show that, in general, hit-and-run random walks on finite groups have non-negative spectrum.

In this paper we study the small-scale equidistribution property of random waves whose coefficients are determined by an unfair coin. That is, the coefficients take value $+1$ with probability p and $-1$ with probability $1-p$ . Random waves whose coefficients are associated with a fair coin are known to equidistribute down to the wavelength scale. We obtain explicit requirements on the deviation from the fair ( $p=0.5$ ) coin to retain equidistribution.

We study, under mild conditions, the weak approximation constructed from a standard Poisson process for a class of Gaussian processes, and establish its sample path moderate deviations. The techniques consist of a good asymptotic exponential approximation in moderate deviations, the Besov–Lèvy modulus embedding, and an exponential martingale technique. Moreover, our results are applied to the weak approximations associated with the moving average of Brownian motion, fractional Brownian motion, and an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process.

Let $(X,T)$ be a topological dynamical system consisting of a compact metric space X and a continuous surjective map $T : X \to X$ . By using local entropy theory, we prove that $(X,T)$ has uniformly positive entropy if and only if so does the induced system $({\mathcal {M}}(X),\widetilde {T})$ on the space of Borel probability measures endowed with the weak* topology. This result can be seen as a version for the notion of uniformly positive entropy of the corresponding result for topological entropy due to Glasner and Weiss.

We study random composite structures considered up to symmetry that are sampled according to weights on the inner and outer structures. This model may be viewed as an unlabelled version of Gibbs partitions and encompasses multisets of weighted combinatorial objects. We describe a general setting characterized by the formation of a giant component. The collection of small fragments is shown to converge in total variation toward a limit object following a Pólya–Boltzmann distribution.

The study of finite approximations of probability measures has a long history. In Xu and Berger (2017), the authors focused on constrained finite approximations and, in particular, uniform ones in dimension d=1. In the present paper we give an elementary construction of a uniform decomposition of probability measures in dimension d≥1. We then use this decomposition to obtain upper bounds on the rate of convergence of the optimal uniform approximation error. These bounds appear to be the generalization of the ones obtained by Xu and Berger (2017) and to be sharp for generic probability measures.

Continuous-time branching processes (CTBPs) are powerful tools in random graph theory, but are not appropriate to describe real-world networks since they produce trees rather than (multi)graphs. In this paper we analyze collapsed branching processes (CBPs), obtained by a collapsing procedure on CTBPs, in order to define multigraphs where vertices have fixed out-degree m≥2. A key example consists of preferential attachment models (PAMs), as well as generalized PAMs where vertices are chosen according to their degree and age. We identify the degree distribution of CBPs, showing that it is closely related to the limiting distribution of the CTBP before collapsing. In particular, this is the first time that CTBPs are used to investigate the degree distribution of PAMs beyond the tree setting.

In this paper we study the quasi-stationary behavior of absorbed one-dimensional diffusions. We obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for the exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in total variation, uniformly with respect to the initial distribution. An important tool is provided by one-dimensional strict local martingale diffusions coming down from infinity. We prove, under mild assumptions, that their expectation at any positive time is uniformly bounded with respect to the initial position. We provide several examples and extensions, including the sticky Brownian motion and some one-dimensional processes with jumps.

Let $F$ be a non-discrete non-Archimedean locally compact field and ${\mathcal{O}}_{F}$ the ring of integers in $F$ . The main results of this paper are the classification of ergodic probability measures on the space $\text{Mat}(\mathbb{N},F)$ of infinite matrices with entries in $F$ with respect to the natural action of the group $\text{GL}(\infty ,{\mathcal{O}}_{F})\times \text{GL}(\infty ,{\mathcal{O}}_{F})$ and the classification, for non-dyadic $F$ , of ergodic probability measures on the space $\text{Sym}(\mathbb{N},F)$ of infinite symmetric matrices with respect to the natural action of the group $\text{GL}(\infty ,{\mathcal{O}}_{F})$ .

We consider a marking procedure of the vertices of a tree where each vertex is marked independently from the others with a probability that depends only on its out-degree. We prove that a critical Galton–Watson tree conditioned on having a large number of marked vertices converges in distribution to the associated size-biased tree. We then apply this result to give the limit in distribution of a critical Galton–Watson tree conditioned on having a large number of protected nodes.

We consider a model of N interacting two-colour Friedman urns. The interaction model considered is such that the reinforcement of each urn depends on the fraction of balls of a particular colour in that urn as well as the overall fraction of balls of that colour in all the urns combined together. We show that the urns synchronize almost surely and that the fraction of balls of each colour converges to the deterministic limit of one-half, which matches with the limit known for a single Friedman urn. Furthermore, we use the notion of stable convergence to obtain limit theorems for fluctuations around the synchronization limit.

We consider a time varying analogue of the Erdős–Rényi graph and study the topological variations of its associated clique complex. The dynamics of the graph are stationary and are determined by the edges, which evolve independently as continuous-time Markov chains. Our main result is that when the edge inclusion probability is of the form p=nα, where n is the number of vertices and α∈(-1/k, -1/(k + 1)), then the process of the normalised kth Betti number of these dynamic clique complexes converges weakly to the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process as n→∞.