Background

There are essentially three types of emergency plans that governments have, and the terminology distinguishing them is not always clear. Emergency management or emergency governance is what the country faces now, with the COVID-19 pandemic. All the major political and military leadership is intact, and these leaders are making use of the authorities they have been given through parliamentary action to manage the crisis (see, for example, Federal/Provincial/Territorial Ministers, 2017; Cunningham, Reference Cunningham2013: 10). Continuity of government—sometimes continuity of operations (COOP)—is a different term, one that refers primarily to planning done in anticipation of a catastrophic event that decapitates the executive but is less concerned with the other branches or the administrative state (Graff, Reference Graff2017: xix). In the event of the death or incapacity of the prime minister, it would fall to the governor general (or the lieutenant-governor, in the case of the provinces) to select a new head of the government in consultation with party leaders—namely, the person best positioned to maintain the confidence of Parliament or Legislature before a longer-term arrangement is made. In Canada, since sovereignty is always vested in the Crown, from a technical perspective, it is more important to ensure that there is no doubt who is on the throne than who is the head of government.

Continuity of constitutional government is a third and even bigger idea, however, because it contemplates the survival not just of the executive but of all the necessary actors and institutions in the Constitution to ensure longer-term continuity. In the United States, the idea is known as the enduring constitutional government, which is functionally the same thing and is aimed at preserving the “spirit” of the Constitution after a disaster (Graff, Reference Graff2017: 375). In Canada, this would presumably include not just the prime minister but his or her cabinet, along with some minimum complement needed for the legislative and judicial branches to continue functioning and probably provision for other levels of government and constitutional actors.

There is relatively little, if any, theoretical treatment of CCG plans, most of which originated during the Cold War. Much of the work that has been done since then is American and followed the attacks of September 11, 2001, as part of renewed interest in government powers during emergencies or justifiable limitations on rights in crisis contexts (for a Canadian example, see Roach, Reference Roach and Ramraj2008).Footnote ¹ In Canada, a notable effort to bring clarity to the CCG concept was recently presented to the Canadian Forces College by Lieutenant-Colonel J. W. Cunningham of the Canadian Forces in a master's thesis in 2013. He argues that all such plans must include five elements: prevention (of the disaster in the first place), protection (of key individuals and institutions), succession (in the event of the death of a key individual), relocation (in the event the venue of government is rendered unusable) and reconstitution (how to reassemble the Constitution in an effective and representative matter) (Cunningham, Reference Cunningham2013: 5–6). Still, since the concept is undefined in legislation, it is unclear if Canada's plans in this regard, to the extent they exist, would pass muster.

The absence of clarity may, to a degree, be intentional. In the United States, the plans for enduring constitutional government have been made, but they are mostly classified (Graff, Reference Graff2017: 375). This is not surprising, given that many of them contemplate a world at such an abstract level of disaster that it is doubtful there would be anyone left to implement them. Thus the aim of these plans is to “preserve the spirit of the constitution, not the letter of it” (Graff, Reference Graff2017: 375). There are understandable reasons why the government may wish to avoid scrutiny of such plans, for both defence and political reasons. Nevertheless, they have an important place in today's context, where there is a significant natural disaster overtaking the planet and disrupting normal political channels, and it is worth considering Canada's definition of CCG.

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Even though the concept remains undefined, some publicly available material has been prepared by government officials to consider what CCG might mean. A 2012 briefing package for the deputy minister of public safety unofficially defined CCG as the “principle of establishing defined plans and procedures that allow the three branches of the constitutional Government of Canada to continue to conduct essential operations in case of an emergency or catastrophic event in the National Capital Region” (cited in Cunningham, Reference Cunningham2013: 12). But that clearly leaves many questions unanswered. Some further clarity might be found in a legal opinion commissioned to explore in more detail what the principle required. One interesting effort was made in 1990, when Emergency Preparedness Canada commissioned a study to answer what CCG would mean, from a legal point of view, in terms of how many people had to be saved to ensure constitutional continuity. Specifically, the authors, V. Seymour Wilson and Daniel Osabu-Kle, and two subcontractors were charged with answering several questions, including the meaning of the term constitutional government, as defined in the Emergency Management Act, and the minimum number of positions in each of the branches of government whose survival must be protected in order to ensure the continuity of legitimate constitutional government. The authors argued, with a rather macabre take, that one could take a “narrow” or “broad” view of who might need to be included to ensure continuity of constitutional government.

Narrowly speaking, the authors identified roughly 150 people who would be needed to maintain constitutional government in Canada; these are listed in Table 1 (with some amendments).Footnote ² In addition to those listed, you would need to add some “administrative capacity,” bringing it to “at least 100 people” (Wilson and Osabu-Kle, Reference Wilson and Osabu-Kle1990: 7).

Table 1 Continuity of Constitutional Government: The Narrow View

Table adapted from Wilson and Osabu-Kle, Reference Wilson and Osabu-Kle1990.

Clearly, the narrow view is more of a COG, rather than a CCG, outline of who is needed to continue government operations. Indeed, under the narrow view, the authors suggest it is only what Emergency Preparedness Canada was legally required to do, coordinating with other institutions and provinces that would otherwise be providing for their needs on their own. The study was also expressly comparative and examined similar legislation in several countries, noting that many plans differ on how much of the other branches needed to be saved by federal action. Most countries provide for the military and executive, along with the basic administration. They note that while the United States had plans for the judiciary, “other jurisdictions seem to omit this branch” (Wilson and Osabu-Kle, Reference Wilson and Osabu-Kle1990: 6). By contrast, most countries made “ample provision for the preservation of the legislative branch” (6–7), perhaps reflecting the priorities of those who drafted the legislation.

A more generous, substantive accounting, and one more in line with CCG principles, provided that there be at least 300 persons or so, reproduced in Table 2, again with some amendments:

Table 2 Continuity of Constitutional Government: The Broad View

Table adapted from Wilson and Osabu-Kle, Reference Wilson and Osabu-Kle1990.

What of the provinces? Again, the position of the report was that the act could be read to require only that the federal government cooperate with the provinces and that the provinces are each responsible for their own planning, which they “zealously” guard (Wilson and Osabu-Kle, Reference Wilson and Osabu-Kle1990: 9). Still, the authors point out that under the broad view, the federal level should be expected to provide refuge to officials if requested by the provinces. One could further argue it would be a constitutional imperative to do so. It is without question the level of government responsible for acting in a national emergency under the peace, order and good government power (Monahan et al., Reference Monahan, Shaw and Ryan2017: 264–68), and if the minister is charged with CCG, then there is no reading of the Canadian Constitution that omits the principle of federalism or participation of the provinces going forward. For one, the provinces would be needed for a very familiar reason—passing necessary constitutional amendments. Under most situations that one could contemplate here, at least seven of the provinces with 50 per cent of the population (a number surely read with some flexibility under those circumstances) would be needed, and unanimous provincial consent would be needed for many major changes. The territories also pose their own problems. In a strict sense, they could probably be legislated away by the federal government should they choose, although the dual nature of Nunavut as a land claim poses its own problems from a constitutional perspective.

Indeed, this analysis also omits any reference to the inclusion of an Indigenous representative. The Constitution both explicitly and through interpretation requires consultation whenever Indigenous rights are being affected (Canada, 1982, ss. 35, 35.1), and while it would be impossible to provide for every Indigenous group, certainly some thought would have to go into ensuring that Indigenous interests are part of the picture. Thus, taken together, at a minimum, it is probably not possible to contemplate the continuation of constitutional government with anything less than about 1,000–1,500 people, at which point it might be possible to hold together a framework that would meet any definitions of the requirement. In addition, there are a number of smaller issues that would have to be taken into account. Cunningham notes that the seat of government in Canada is Ottawa, according to section 16 of the Constitution Act, 1867—something that would have to be changed in the event that a disaster made it uninhabitable (Cunningham, Reference Cunningham2013: 90; Canada, 1867). The preservation of some objects, such as the Great Seal of Canada and the provincial equivalents, might be worth considering, although probably not strictly necessary.