The ageing population is increasing worldwide as a result of declining fertility and improved longevity. Data from the United Nations predict that the proportion of people aged 60 years and older will increase from 12·5 % in 2017 to 20 % in 2050, globally(1). Similarly, data from the Foundation of Thai Gerontology Research and Development Institute, Thailand, reported that the ageing population (aged 60 years and older) increased from 8·4 % of the population in 2010 to 17·1 % in 2017(2). Furthermore, the proportion is projected to increase to 19·9 % in 2037. Therefore, there are many challenges for health care professionals who have to address their needs.
Older adults have special dietary requirements; however, not all of them can achieve an optimal intake. Consequently, this age group is at high risk of protein energy malnutrition (PEM). PEM is defined as a wasting condition in which the body has inadequate protein, energy and/or other nutrients as a consequence of insufficient food and nutrient intake over time(Reference Adejumo, Akanbi and Pani3–Reference van der Pols-Vijlbrief, Wijnhoven and Schaap5). It is caused by many factors and reflects deteriorating physical and mental health including poor sensory function(Reference Volkert6), poor appetite(Reference van der Pols-Vijlbrief, Wijnhoven and Schaap5,Reference Volkert6) , poor cognitive function, difficulty chewing or swallowing, restricted mobility, chronic illnesses, poverty, social isolation and other factors(Reference Volkert6). PEM can be linked to many serious health outcomes including increased risk of falls(Reference Neyens, Halfens and Spreeuwenberg7–Reference Rosenthal9), reduced functional capacity(Reference Neyens, Halfens and Spreeuwenberg7,Reference Rosenthal9) , increased risk of complications(Reference Garwe, Albrecht and Stoner10), poorer cognitive function(Reference Verbrugghe, Beeckman and Hecke11), poorer quality of life(Reference Rasheed and Woods12), delayed discharge and increased risk of mortality(Reference Rosenthal9). In addition, it imposes an increased financial burden on older adults, caregivers and communities.
Early detection using screening tools is useful to identify older adults who are at risk of malnutrition. Then a proper nutrition intervention can be provided early. Even though many tools have been developed, there is no gold standard method for the early detection of malnutrition in older adults. Moreover, differences in anthropometry, nutritional characteristics and factors contributing to nutritional status are present between older people in different countries(Reference Boulos, Salameh and Barberger-Gateau13). These factors limit the adoption of validated screening tools(Reference Charlton, Kolbe-Alexander and Nel14). Therefore, many studies about screening tool development and validation have been conducted.
The most widely used nutrition screening tool in Thailand is the Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA). Some studies have examined the reliability and validity of this existing nutrition screening tool among older Thai people; however, the effectiveness of the MNA has not been confirmed(Reference Banjong, Charoonruk and Egkantrong15,Reference Sipirom and Sakarinkhul16) . Most importantly, although the MNA was translated into Thai (Thai MNA), questions were developed based on the characteristics of older French citizens, which do not fit the Thai context in terms of dietary habits, BMI and other anthropometrical measurements. Indeed, Chumlea stated that the translation of MNA might not be applicable to non-Western countries due to differences in culture, dietary habits or health care system(Reference Chumlea17). This is one major justification for developing a new screening tool specifically to detect malnutrition among older Thai people. A second justification point for a new nutrition screening tool is that previous Thai-developed nutrition screening tools focussed on patients in hospital settings and were not tailored towards screening older people(Reference Pibul, Anan and Suphakarn18–Reference Chittawatanarat, Chaiwat and Morakul20). These tools are the Vajira Nutritional Screening Tool, Bhumibol Nutrition Triage and Nutrition Alert Form. Besides, two of them require the results of biochemical tests. Prior to the completion of this study, there was no published nutrition screening tool tailored towards older Thai residents in long-term care facilities, which have limited specialist human resources.
Institutionalised older adults are mostly dependent, disabled, highly afflicted with functional impairments(Reference Diekmann, Winning and Uter21,Reference Pauly, Stehle and Volkert22) and have chronic illnesses(Reference Sloane, Ivey and Helton23) that may compromise energy and nutrient adequacy. Even though nutritious meals are served to them, older adults may dislike foods that are provided as they tend to be unpalatable due to limited salt or sugar content; this may be related to unintentional weight loss(Reference Sloane, Ivey and Helton23). Additionally, meals may be difficult for older residents to chew and swallow, which possibly causes older people to eat less(Reference Schlenker24). Moreover, isolation from their families and living in a new environment may lead to psychological stress(Reference Saha, Basu and Ghosh25,Reference Preve and Topic26) , which in turn puts them at a higher risk of PEM(Reference Pauly, Stehle and Volkert22).
This current study focussed on older Thai people living in public residential homes that were operated by government or provincial administrative organisations. Even though older adults are physically independent upon admission to public residential homes, they may become dependent later in their life. In addition, this older group is poor, lonely or cannot stay with their family. These scenarios might put them at risk of PEM. Also, some research evidence suggested that these residents were mostly dependent (60·3 %) and had health problems (86·8 %) such as hypertension, cognitive impairment, renal disease, depression and other risk factors for PEM(Reference Sasat, Choowattanapakorn and Pakdeeprom27). Therefore, a nutrition screening tool for early detection of PEM risk among older Thais in residential homes must be developed and validated, and tested for practicality. The objective of this study was to develop and validate such a tool, and to test its practicality.
Methods
Study design and participants
This cross-sectional study was carried out in public residential homes from 2016 to 2017. Across Thailand, there were twenty-five public residential homes at the time that this study was conducted. Ten public residential homes were located in the central region followed by six homes in the northeastern, five in the southern and four in the northern regions(Reference Sasat, Choowattanapakorn and Pakdeeprom27). A simple random sampling technique was used to select 50 % of a total of ten public residential homes in the central region of Thailand. Then five public residential homes were enrolled as study settings. Participants from the five public residential homes were sampled by using the probability proportion to size technique. This multicentre study was divided into two phases: Phase 1 tool development/validation and Phase 2 tool practicality testing.
Participants in Phase 1 were aged 60 years and older and residing in public residential homes of provincial administrative organisations and the Ministry of Social Development and Human Security, Thailand. Older residents who were unconscious, receiving enteral or parenteral nutrition and suffering from critical illness were excluded. Sample size (n 469) was determined by using a sample size calculation for a single proportion(Reference Bartlett, Kotrlik and Higgins28,Reference Kasiulevicius, Sapoka and Filipaviciute29) . We determined the standard, which was estimated under the normal curve at Type I error = 0·05 with a PEM prevalence of 17%(Reference Sasat, Choowattanapakorn and Pakdeeprom27) and a margin of error equal to 3·4 % at a CI of 95 %. Owing to the small population, finite population correction for proportions was used to adjust the sample size(Reference Kasiulevicius, Sapoka and Filipaviciute29), then 333 older residents were recruited.
Participants in Phase 2 were composed of nurses and care assistants (defined as intended users) in the selected public residential homes. Two intended users per public residential home were recruited for the tool practicality testing. The researcher excluded nurses and/or care assistants who were not on duty during data collection.
Research assistants
Before starting data collection, research assistants with, or studying for, a university degree in nutrition were recruited via an announcement placed on notice boards in the Faculty of Public Health, Mahidol University. Research assistants were given an overview of the research project and their roles. They subsequently received operation manuals and training about anthropometric measurement, the 24-h recall method and interview technique. The first author monitored and supervised the whole process of data collection.
Phase 1: tool development/validation
The process of development/validation of the PEM screening tool is described in Fig. 1. Briefly, it was composed of: (1) A literature review of the possible risk factors associated with PEM in older adults based on previous studies both in Thailand and other countries; (2) Development of the questionnaire by importing the potential risk factors into the questionnaire; (3) Content validity of the questionnaire, which was examined by an expert panel in nutrition and gerontology. After that, the questionnaire was revised based on the experts’ suggestions; (4) data collection was performed; and (5) statistical analysis was conducted for selecting the best model and scoring system. The first author and trained research assistants interviewed participants using a questionnaire that covered potential factors linked to PEM. They were general characteristics (e.g. sex, age, education, income, source of income, current smoking and drinking habit), activities in daily living and health status (e.g. medication, presence of pressure ulcer, oral health, depression, etc.).
Additionally, body composition was determined by using standardised methods and tools by trained research assistants. Measurements included weight, height, calf circumference, mid-upper arm circumference and triceps skin fold thickness. Participants were weighed whilst they were wearing light clothing. Measurements were made to the nearest 0·1 kg by using portable standardised electronic scales (Tanita BC-587). Height was measured to the nearest 0·1 cm by using a stadiometer. Participants’ heels, buttocks, shoulders and head touched the stadiometer, and they looked straight ahead. BMI was then calculated from weight (kg) divided by height in metre squared. Calf circumference was measured to the nearest 0·1 cm using a non-stretchable measuring tape at the widest circumference of the right calf in a sitting position. For mid-upper arm circumference, arm circumference midway between the acromion and olecranon-on the left arm was marked and measured using a non-stretchable measuring tape. Triceps skinfold thickness was measured at the upper arm mid-point mark on the posterior surface of the right arm by Harpenden calliper. Moreover, information regarding weight in kg during the past 6 months (weight recorded in the last 1–6 months) was obtained from each participant’s health record. Then significant weight loss over time (i.e. 5 %, 7·5 % and 10 % weight loss in the previous 1, 3 and 6 months, respectively)(30) was calculated.
Furthermore, dietary intake data were collected using a single 24-h recall by the first author and research assistants with a university degree in nutrition. Information on the type, brand names and amount of food consumed was collected. To increase the accuracy of portion size estimation, household measures and visual aids were used. Due to concerns about participants’ memory (ability to recall), the food weighing method was utilised to validate the outcomes from the 24-h recall method. In this study, a subsample of 20 % of individual lunches was randomly selected for the validation. To validate the 24-h recall by using the food weighing method, we spent 2 d at each residential home. Day 1 was set for weighing lunchtime meals among 20 % of participants. All meal components (served and leftover) were weighed by using a digital kitchen scale (Tanita KD-321) and recorded. On day 2, these participants were interviewed about the food and drink they consumed yesterday using the 24-h recall method. Then intake amounts (for lunchtime meals) from both methods were compared.
To test the new screening tool, a reference standard that is used to diagnose PEM had to be utilised. However, while many criteria are employed to define PEM, there is no universally agreed on reference standard for screening and diagnosing older people with PEM(Reference Chen, Schilling and Lyder31). Serum albumin concentration is commonly used for PEM screening, and has some advantages including being easy to measure, relatively cheap and reproducible(Reference Pengsorn, Muangpaisan and Assantachai32). As a result, serum albumin concentration was used to identify nutritional status; serum albumin < 3·5 g/dl was indicative of a malnourished state(Reference Chen, Schilling and Lyder31). For determination of serum albumin concentration, blood was taken by a registered nurse and transferred to serum tubes without anticoagulant. Within 8 h, blood samples were transported at room temperature to a laboratory at the Department of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University. Serum was separated by centrifugation and stored at −70°C on the same day as sample collection. Then, blood samples were analysed for serum albumin concentration using the dye-binding bromcresol purple technique(Reference Sepulveda, Amitava and Sepulveda33) by laboratory staff.
These factors (i.e. general characteristics, activities in daily living, health status, body composition and energy and macronutrient intake) were analysed as independent variables predicting PEM risk. Statistical analysis was performed for selecting the best model and scoring system to develop a new PEM screening tool.
Phase 2: tool practicality testing
The PEM screening tool was used by intended users including residential home nurses and care assistants who regularly provided care to the older people. Practicality was assessed to reflect the feasibility of administration and interpretation of this tool. Data were collected by using a self-administered questionnaire consisting of questions about: (i) time taken for each participant to complete the PEM screening tool; (ii) the completeness of items on this tool; (iii) ease of use and (iv) user preferences.
Data analysis
Nutrient analysis
Nutrient intakes were analysed by using INMUCAL-Nutrients Software Version 3.0(34). Then intakes of energy and macronutrients (carbohydrate, protein and fat) were reported.
Statistical analysis
After cleaning and coding, the data were analysed by using SPSS version 18.0 (SPSS Inc. Released 2009. PASW Statistics for Windows, Version 18.0 SPSS Inc.). Descriptive statistics were used for explaining participants’ characteristics and general information. The normality of continuous data was examined by the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test. In order to identify potential predictors, the independent variables predicting PEM risk were derived from two main parts because of the large number of independent variables possibly related to PEM. Part 1 was the comparison of differences in characteristics between participants with and without PEM by using the χ 2 test, Fisher’s exact test, t-test or Mann–Whitney U test. As for Part 2, factors predicting PEM risk were determined by using simple binary logistic regression. Independent variables with P < 0·20(Reference Mickey and Greenland35) and OR ≥ 1·5 were considered to be important factors for PEM. The independent variables which met the aforementioned criteria were entered into multiple logistic regression to identify models for predicting PEM risk. In this step, the Akaike information criterion (AIC) was used for estimating the likelihood of each model to predict PEM. The model that provided the minimum AIC was selected. The performance of the PEM screening tool was explained by sensitivity, specificity, AUC and receiver operating characteristic curve. Sensitivity and specificity were calculated to test the quality of the tool. A receiver operating characteristic curve was determined to discriminate between the residents who were and were not at risk of PEM. For the scoring system, the score of each factor derived from the coefficient of each variable was divided by the lowest β value, multiplied by a constant and rounded to the nearest integer to identify participants at risk of PEM. P < 0·05 was considered to be statistically significant.
Results
Phase 1: tool development/validation
Characteristics of participants
Initially, 306 older Thai residents from five settings agreed to participate in this multicentre study. However, among the five study settings, fifty-seven participants of one setting declined to have their blood drawn. For that reason, there were serum albumin data (PEM indicator) for only 249 participants. Thus, the response rate was equal to 74·8 % (249 of 306 older residents) as illustrated in Fig. 2, and the data of these 249 participants from four study settings were used. Almost two-thirds of them were female (66·7 %) and had their own income (68·3 %) mainly from individual donors. More than two-fifths were aged 70–79 years (45·4 %). Half of them had completed primary school (55·5 %). Over 80 % were not current smokers, and over 98 % were not current drinkers. Almost 50 % perceived their health status as fair, and 79·5 % did not have depression. The prevalence of PEM (serum albumin < 3·5 g/dl) was 26·9 %.
Factors associated with PEM risk
For the univariate analysis (n 249), the dependent variable was PEM risk classified by serum albumin level. Independent variables which were possibly associated with PEM (P < 0·20) were age, educational level, personal income, perceived health status, received therapeutic diet, difficulty swallowing, activities in daily living score, taking ≥ 9 types of medicine daily, triceps skinfold thickness and experiencing significant weight loss (Table 1). Independent variables which considerably predicted PEM (OR ≥ 1·50) included older age group, educational level, difficulty swallowing, drinking alcohol, having pressure ulcers, taking ≥ 9 types of medicine daily and experiencing significant weight loss (Table 2).
Note: ADL, activities in daily living; MUAC, mid-upper arm circumference; PEM, protein energy malnutrition.
* χ 2 test.
† t-test.
‡ Fisher’s exact test.
§ Mann Whitney U test.
Note: Ref., reference category; ADL, activities in daily living; MUAC, mid-upper arm circumference; PEM, protein energy malnutrition.
Experienced significant weight loss (i.e. 5 %, 7·5 % and 10 % weight loss in the previous 1, 3 and 6 months, respectively, was calculated(30).
These variables were then incorporated in to multiple logistic regression, in order to select the best model to predict PEM risk. However, data from 110 participants were excluded due to missing weight loss data. Consequently, data from 139 participants were utilised to develop the PEM screening tool. In this step, the AIC was used for estimating the likelihood of a model to predict PEM. The model providing minimum AIC, which contained significant factors from the literature review, was selected. The model that included taking ≥ 9 types of medicine daily, having pressure ulcers and experiencing significant weight loss was used for developing the PEM screening tool (Table 3).
Note: ADL, activities in daily living; PEM, protein energy malnutrition.
Scoring system
The possibility of scoring ranged from 0 to 7 points. The score of each factor derived from the coefficient of each variable was divided by 1·11 (lowest β value), multiplied by the constant 2 and rounded to the nearest integer. The scoring system of the PEM screening tool is shown in Table 4.
Note:PEM, protein energy malnutrition.
The PEM screening tool consisted of three questions including whether or not a participant had a pressure ulcer, experienced significant weight loss or took ≥ 9 types of medicine. The risk level was defined as at risk of PEM and not at risk of PEM. The sensitivity and specificity of the predicted model are shown in Table 5. It indicated that a participant was at risk of PEM if they answered ‘Yes’ to only 1 out of 3 questions, which equated to a score of 2.
The AUC, sensitivity and specificity of the PEM screening tool are described in the receiver operating characteristic curve (Fig. 3). The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to determine the cut-off point of the screening tool and determine the scoring system. The AUC was 0·795 (P < 0·001), meaning there is 79·5 % chance that this model is able to distinguish between PEM and no PEM groups. The best cut-off point was 1·0. It provided the best sensitivity and specificity (83·9 (95 % CI 75·1, 92·7) and 45·5 (95 % CI 38·3, 52·7), respectively).
Phase 2: tool practicality test
Participants of this phase were eight intended users from four public residential homes, namely four nurses and four care assistants who had more than 1-year work experience. These intended users were asked to interview thirty-nine residents (eight males and thirty-one females) of their residential homes by using the PEM screening tool. Collection of data using this PEM screening tool could be completed within 5 min (data not shown). Furthermore, the eight participants from the four different settings agreed that the screening tool was useful (100·0 %), easy to use (87·5 %) and easy to interpret (100·0 %). They also reported that the questions were easy for older residents to understand. Yet, the clarity of one question (regarding significant weight loss) needed to be improved.
Discussion
Institutionalised older adults are at risk of PEM. Early screening for PEM risk factors is important. This study aimed to develop a PEM screening tool for older adults in public residential homes and to validate and test the practicality of this tool. Three hundred and six older residents were recruited. Fifty-seven from one setting were excluded from data analysis due to missing serum albumin data, leaving 249 older participants from only four settings. The study response rate was 74·8 %. As reviewed, a response rate of approximately 60 % is considered to be acceptable(Reference Fincham36). Thus, the response rate in this study was more than satisfactory. Furthermore, there were no statistically significant differences between the participant group (n 249) and the excluded group (n 57) in terms of seven out of eight of their general characteristics, namely sex (P = 0·080), age (P = 0·290), educational level (P = 0·220), income (P = 0·060), smoking behaviour (P = 0·150), drinking habit (P = 1·000) and perceived health status (P = 0·110).
Regarding a biomarker that makes use of the definition of PEM in this study, serum albumin concentration was selected to test against the new screening tool because serum albumin concentration is easy to measure, relatively cheap, reproducible and commonly used for PEM screening(Reference Pengsorn, Muangpaisan and Assantachai32). Even though it has a long half-life and its level may be affected by infection, burns, fluid overload, hepatic failure and nephrotic syndrome(Reference Bharadwaj, Ginoya and Tandon37), serum albumin is a mainstay in the screening and monitoring of malnutrition(Reference Hrnciarikova, Juraskova and Zadak38). Furthermore, to reduce these confounders, older residents who had all of the aforementioned health problems, except infection, were excluded from this study; thereby increasing the likelihood that serum albumin concentration provided a truer reflection of nutritional status.
Using a serum albumin cut-off of < 3·5 g/dl(Reference Chen, Schilling and Lyder31), around one quarter (26·9 %) of participants had PEM. Due to a lack of research using serum albumin to assess nutritional status in older Thais living in public residential homes, it is difficult to draw comparisons. An extensive review of the literature revealed only one study that measured serum albumin concentration. The study was conducted in 1997 by Charoonruk and it examined the nutritional status of 139 older Thai residents in one public residential home(Reference Charoonruk39). The prevalence of PEM in Charoonruk’s study 23 years ago was 14 %. Nevertheless, when the same setting as that used by Charoonruk was included in this study, the PEM prevalence was slightly lower than that reported by Charoonruk (12·7 v. 14·0 %, respectively). Thus, PEM prevalence in Thailand may not have markedly increased over two decades. We recruited participants from four residential homes, whereas Charoonruk collected data from only one setting. The current study uncovered wide variation in PEM prevalence (12·7 % to 37·2 %) across the four settings (data not shown). However, it is recognised that PEM has been a common problem among older Thai residents in public residential homes for some time, and prevention and treatment of PEM continue to challenge health professionals.
In the development/validation phase, factors associated with PEM risk were firstly investigated by univariate analysis. All independent variables that were probably linked with PEM risk (P < 0·20 or OR ≥ 1·50) were selected as candidate PEM predictors for multiple logistic regression. As only 139 out of 249 older residents had complete data, it should be noted that the reduced number of participants might have affected the predictors of PEM risk.
The AIC, which was applied in this study, is generally considered to be the first model selection criterion to use in practice(Reference Fabozzi, Focardi and Rachev40). Even though the model with the lowest AIC is considered to be the best model (contained taking ≥ 9 types of medicine daily, low triceps circumference and loss of appetite), we selected the second lowest AIC model as the significant predictors for this PEM screening tool. The reason being that the main goal was to produce a screening tool which is easy to use, concise, economical and usable by people without nutrition expertise(Reference Isenring, Banks and Ferguson41). Measurement of triceps skinfold circumference (in the model with the lowest AIC) requires a specific and high-cost instrument, which may be difficult for residential home staff to access. Well-trained and experienced staff are also required to take accurate skinfold measurements. Furthermore, a screening tool with multiple items must meet standards of reliability(Reference Reuben, Greendale and Harrison42).
The AUC was 0·795, which provided the best sensitivity (83·9 %) and specificity (45·5 %). The sensitivity and specificity of a screening test are characteristics of the test’s performance at a given cut-off point (criterion of positivity)(Reference Lalkhen and McCluskey43). Ideally, a test should provide high sensitivity and specificity(Reference Lalkhen and McCluskey43). PEM is a health problem which can be prevented, so we focussed on sensitivity because this test is more likely to correctly identify older adults who are at risk, confirm risk and then provide a nutrition intervention. Furthermore, high sensitivity is important where an undetected condition has serious consequences but is treatable(Reference Lalkhen and McCluskey43–Reference Harris and Haboubi45). The AUC is a measure of the cut-off accuracy of a test and the figure obtained in this study (0·795) indicated that the tool performed well in distinguishing older adults with PEM and without PEM(Reference Raghavan, Ashour and Bailey46). PEM screening tools can be easy to administer, but accuracy remains essential.
Nutrition screening tools contain a variety of risk factors, in terms of type and number(Reference Green and Watson47). Most screening tools are based on basic questions covering weight loss, current BMI, dietary intake, disease severity or some other measurement(Reference Rasmussen, Holst and Jens44,Reference Holmes48,Reference Barendregt, Soeters and Allison49) . Some nutrition screening tools include physical examination, such as Subjective Global Assessment Test, which is dependent on the availability of a health professional who is a skilled and experienced observer(Reference Green and Watson47). In reality, many nutrition screening tools often require experienced clinicians and dietitians or longer periods of time(Reference Pengsorn, Muangpaisan and Assantachai32) to collect data and/or interpret outcomes. As is the case in low- and middle-income countries in general, residential homes in Thailand do not employ full-time nutritionists or dietitians to provide food services and nutrition care. Hence, early detection of PEM is rare.
In this study, having pressure ulcers (OR 5·6 (95 % CI 1·2, 26·7)), experiencing significant weight loss (OR 3·0 (95 % CI 1·1, 8·3)) and taking ≥ 9 types of medicine daily (OR 3·8 (95 % CI 1·2, 12·2)) were associated with PEM occurrence, and these factors were included in the PEM screening tool. This outcome is in line with other studies conducted in clinical, community or long-term care settings in other countries, which also demonstrated that older adults with pressure ulcers(Reference Bonetti, Terzoni and Lusignani50), polypharmacy(Reference Jyrkkä, Enlund and Lavikainen51,Reference Medeiros, Figueredo and Pinheiro52) and weight loss(Reference de Aquino and Philippi53) had a higher risk of PEM and/or malnutrition. A cross-sectional multicentre study by Bonetti and colleagues examined factors related to malnutrition among patients admitted to twelve hospitals in northern Italy. Presence of pressure ulcer was significantly associated with malnutrition (OR 4·95 (95 % CI 2·63, 9·31), according to multivariate logistic regression)(Reference Bonetti, Terzoni and Lusignani50). Additionally, greater use of medicine can lead to malnutrition. Nevertheless, there is no consensus on the definition of greater use of medicine or polypharmacy. According to previous publications, the number of medicines required to be considered polypharmacy varies from more than 4 to 10(Reference Boulos, Salameh and Barberger-Gateau13,Reference de Medeiros, de Figueredo and Pinheiro54,Reference Little55) . Therefore, the number of medicines that we used as the cut-off point varied from 4 to 10. Based on the outcomes of binary logistic regression and multiple logistic regression, taking more than or equal to nine types of medicine was a predictor of PEM risk in this study. Medeiros et al. performed a cross-sectional study among older adults living in seventeen nursing homes in Brazil to examine factors linked to frailty and malnutrition. They found that older adults taking more medicines had a higher chance of frailty and malnutrition (adjusted PR 1·016 (95 % CI 1·006, 1·027)). Medeiros et al. proposed that the relationship between greater medicine use and malnutrition may be due to medication side effects, including appetite and sensory alterations(Reference Medeiros, Figueredo and Pinheiro52). As for weight loss, it seems to be allied with malnutrition in several age groups. de Aquino and Philippi investigated malnutrition risk factors among Brazilian hospital patients who were aged 18–64 years old. The strongest predictor was weight loss (OR 58·03 (95 % CI 18·46, 182·41))(Reference de Aquino and Philippi53).
However, compared to other nutrition screening tools(Reference Pibul, Anan and Suphakarn18–Reference Chittawatanarat, Chaiwat and Morakul20) developed in the Thai context, the factors that predicted PEM in this screening tool were different. The Vajira Nutritional Screening Tool, which was designed to assess the nutritional status of hospital patients, is composed of four significant factors including BMI < 18·5 kg/m2, weight loss within 3 months, decreased food intake within a week and chronic illnesses or surgery(Reference Pibul, Anan and Suphakarn18). Regarding the Nutrition Alert Form developed by Komindr et al. (Reference Komindr, Tangsermwong and Janepanish19), PEM predictors are arm span, BMI, albumin or total lymphocyte count, weight change within 4 weeks, body shape, gastrointestinal problems, food accessibility and morbidities. Differences in the characteristics of participants in each setting (hospital-based or residential home-based) might explain the variation in PEM risk factors.
Questions in this PEM screening tool also differ from the Mini Nutritional Assessment Short-Form (MNA-SF) which includes questions about appetite loss, weight loss over 3 months, mobility, acute disease, BMI and neuropsychological problems(Reference Bauer, Kaiser and Sieber56). MNA-SF has some advantages for use in long-term care facilities, for example, it does not require a laboratory test. However, to our knowledge, some factors in the MNA-SF might be of limited use for screening residents in a long-term care facility. For example, its questions about neuropsychological problems or psychological stress should not rely on only residents’ self-evaluation of themselves, but also require judgment from specialists in this field. Apart from the differences between this new screening tool and others mentioned above, as noted, one factor predicting PEM risk that has been commonly found in all screening tools is a loss or change in weight in these vulnerable groups. Consequently, weight loss or weight change should be a concern.
Residential homes provide services at all levels of care because the majority of residents have chronic health problems and need moderate to high levels of care. Thus, reliable and valid assessment of instruments and adequate health care services are required in order to appropriately assess and address these needs(Reference Sasat57). Nutrition screening or assessment in secondary and tertiary care is widely considered to be a useful tool to identify older people who are at risk of malnourishment(Reference Green and Watson47). Some evidence suggests that screening prior to admission to care homes may also be beneficial(Reference Holmes48,Reference Guyonnet and Rolland58) . Green and Watson hinted that earlier identification might help to reduce the malnutrition trajectory and the negative outcomes associated with poor nutritional status(Reference Green and Watson47). The screening process should be simple, acceptable to intended users and older participants, and should not require any nutrition expertise.
The main strength of this study was its inclusion of several residential homes (four out of ten) located in the central region of Thailand. This helped to expand the number of participants that met the eligibility criteria. The participants were also representative of the older adults living in public residential homes in this region. Furthermore, this screening tool had high sensitivity and AUC. Consequently, it was able to screen older residents in public residential homes who were at risk of PEM. Additionally, this screening tool was accepted by intended users, namely nurses and care assistants, as it is easy to use and interpret.
Some limitations are presented. The first is related to incomplete secondary data used for predicting the potential PEM risk factors. For example, weight loss data were not recorded regularly in all study settings. Therefore, the analysis of PEM predictors by multiple logistic regression included fewer than expected participants with complete data. Hence, due to incomplete data, further testing of this proposed PEM risk screening tool is required. Secondly, in this multicentre study, albumin was used as a biomarker of PEM. It is generally acknowledged that albumin is not the most sensitive biomarker of malnutrition due to a long half-life and potential interference from several factors(Reference Gibson59). However, older residents who had potentially confounding health problems, with the exception of infection, were excluded from participating. Furthermore, research has demonstrated that serum albumin remains a suitable indicator for screening and monitoring malnutrition(Reference Hrnciarikova, Juraskova and Zadak38). Nevertheless, using an imperfect reference standard may affect estimates of diagnostic accuracy. In light of this, the ranges of bounded values for estimated sensitivity and specificity are presented to explain their uncertainty(Reference Umemneku Chikere, Wilson and Graziadio60). Another limitation concerns the collection of dietary intake data covering only 1 d. A single day dietary account might not be representative of an individual’s habitual dietary consumption. Nonetheless, it is suitable for estimating the average intakes of a group or population(61). Using the 24-h recall method to collect information on dietary intake from older adults can be questionable, due to respondent memory lapses. In this study, this method was used because it presents a low burden to participants and does not affect their dietary habits. Household measures and visual aids were used to help assist participants to more accurately recall portion sizes. Moreover, we weighed 20 % of participants’ meals at lunchtimes. It was found that average intake amounts ascertained by weighing and dietary recall were comparable (r = 0·61, P < 0·001), thereby indicating that the 24-h recall data were acceptable in terms of its accuracy in estimating the amounts consumed. As noted, in this study, the median energy intake was lower than the 2003 and 2020 Thai recommendations for these age groups(62,63) . It was also somewhat lower than the energy intakes reported in the Thai National Health Examination Survey IV(Reference Aekplakorn and Satheannoppakao64). The relatively low energy intakes in this study may reflect the study population group, which only included older adults residing in residential care homes, who tend to have health conditions which can adversely affect their dietary intakes(Reference Diekmann, Winning and Uter21–Reference Sloane, Ivey and Helton23).
In conclusion, intended users reported that the PEM screening tool developed in this study was useful and easy to use and interpret. Besides, the questions in this screening tool were easy for older residents to understand. This screening tool could be useful for detecting PEM among older adults who live in public residential homes; however, further testing of the tool is required before it can be recommended for use.
Acknowledgements
Acknowledgements: The authors thank the authorities of public residential homes in the central region of Thailand for their assistance and facilitation of data collection. We also genuinely acknowledge 249 older adults, who were willing to provide their personal information in order to use for developing and validating the new PEM screening tool. Our deepest appreciation goes to intended tool users who kindly evaluated the practicality of this PEM screening tool. Financial support: Financial support for this study was provided by National Research Council of Thailand (NRCT) (Grant number DPARB./2559-RF2.1). Conflict of interest: All authors declare no conflict of interest. Authorship: T.P. and W.S. formulated the study design. W.S. mainly supervised T.P. whilst she conducted this research study, created the concept of this manuscript and took the primary responsibility as corresponding author. T.P. was the main data collector and data analyst and wrote the first draft of the manuscript. M.T. provided suggestions on statistical analysis. C.H. supervised biochemical assessment, assisted in improving the academic content of the manuscript and performed English proofreading. S.S. made initial contact with all study settings. W.S., C.H., M.T. and S.S. revised the manuscript and all authors approved its final version. Ethics of human subject participation: This study was conducted according to the guidelines laid down in the Declaration of Helsinki and all procedures involving research study participants were approved by the Ethical Review Committee for Human Research at the Faculty of Public Health, Mahidol University (COA. No. MUPH2015-191). Written informed consent was obtained from all participants.