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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 10 June 2022
The authors are grateful to Jagjit Chadha and Barry Naisbitt for helpful comments and to Amber Rivett for preparing the charts and the database underlying the forecast. The forecast was completed on 24th January 2022; more recent data are incorporated in the text. Unless otherwise specified, the source of all data reported in tables and figures is the NiGEM database and NIESR forecast baseline. All questions and comments related to the forecast and its underlying assumptions should be addressed to Rory Macqueen ([email protected]).