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Supercritical branching processes with density independent catastrophes

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 October 2008

D. R. Grey
Affiliation:
Department of Probability and Statistics, The University, Sheffield S3 7 RH

Extract

A Markov branching process in either discrete time (the Galton–Watson process) or continuous time is modified by the introduction of a process of catastrophes which remove some individuals (and, by implication, their descendants) from the population. The catastrophe process is independent of the reproduction mechanism and takes the form of a sequence of independent identically distributed non-negative integer-valued random variables. In the continuous time case, these catastrophes occur at the points of an independent Poisson process with constant rate. If at any time the size of a catastrophe is at least the current population size, then the population becomes extinct. Thus in both discrete and continuous time we still have a Markov chain with stationary transition probabilities and an absorbing state at zero. Some authors use the term ‘emigration’ as an alternative to ‘catastrophe’.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge Philosophical Society 1988

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References

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