Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-dlnhk Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-25T21:36:57.641Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Rivaling the PRI: The Image Management of Vicente Fox and the Use of Public Opinion Polling in the 2000 Mexican Election

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 January 2018

Brandon Rottinghaus
Affiliation:
University of Idaho
Irina Alberro
Affiliation:
Northwestern University

Abstract

This research examines the data from private polls conducted during Vicente Fox's presidential campaign through the lenses of the “modernization” of campaigning, the creation of image in the modern Mexican presidency, and the survey tools used by the campaign to achieve a historic presidential victory in 2000. Fox's campaign team used polling to determine the potential of the Mexican public to be persuaded by an opposition candidate, to provide a continuous update on how the campaign strategy was working, to assist in solidifying Fox's image and message of change (rather than promoting his policy agenda), and to target demographic groups that were perceived to be important electoral partners. These findings suggest that public opinion polling is a useful tool in Mexico to combat longstanding corporatist structures used to favor the PRI. Presidential campaigns in Mexico are beginning to resemble modern campaigns in other mature democracies in their use of private polling data; future Mexican campaigns will become more image- and personality-based.

Type
Research Note
Copyright
Copyright © University of Miami 2005

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Angell, Alan, Maria, Alva, and Diego, Urbaneja. 1992. Latin America. In Electioneering: A Comparative Study of Continuity and Change, ed. David, Butler. and Austin, Ranney. Oxford : Oxford University Press. 169.Google Scholar
Asp, Kent, and Peter, Esaiasson. 1996. The Modernization of Swedish Campaigns: Individualization, Professionalization, and Medialization. In Swanson and Mancini 1996. 190.Google Scholar
Bruhn, Kathleen. 2004. The Making of the Mexican President, 2000: Parties, Candidates, and Campaign Strategy. In Domínguez, and Lawson, 2004. 156.Google Scholar
Camp, Roderic Ai. 1996. Introduction: Polling, Public Opinion, and the Mexican Polity. In Polling for Democracy: Public Opinion and Political Liberalization in Mexico, ed. Camp, Wilmington : Scholarly Resources. 116.Google Scholar
Camp, 2003. Politics in Mexico: The Democratic Transformation. New York : Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Camp, 2004. Citizen Attitudes toward Democracy and Vicente Fox's Victory in 2000. In Domínguez, and Lawson, 2004. 147.Google Scholar
Dillon, Sam. 2000. In Mexico's Election the Race is Real. New York times, March 12: 32.Google Scholar
Domínguez, Jorge I., and Chappell, Lawson eds. 2004 Mexico's Pivotal Democratic Election: Candidates, Voters, and the Presidential Campaign of 2000. Stanford : Stanford University Press/Center for U.S.-Mexican Studies, University of California at San Diego.Google Scholar
Fox, Vicente. 1999. Campaign speech. Iberoamerican University, Mexico City, September 12. http:www.vicentefox.org.mxpag_campana Accessed March 13, 2002.Google Scholar
Fox, 2000a. Discurso de Vicente Fox, candidato de la Alianza por el Cambio a la Presidencia de la República, pronunciado ante más de 30 mil personas en el Angel de la Independencia. Campaign speech. Iberoamerican University, Mexico City, June 11. http:www.vicentefox.org.mxpag_campana Accessed March 13.Google Scholar
Fox, 2000b. Campaign speech. Iberoamerican University, Mexico City, February 21. http:www.vicentefox.org.mxpag_campana Accessed March 13, 2002.Google Scholar
Fox, 2000c. Campaign speech. Iberoamerican University, Mexico City, April 5. http:www.vicentefox.org.mxpag_campana Accessed March 13, 2002.Google Scholar
Fox, 2000d. Campaign speech. Iberoamerican University, Mexico City, April 8. http:www.vicentefox.org.mxpag_campana Accessed March 13, 2002.Google Scholar
GAUS SC (Mexico City) n.d. Fox campaign polling data.Google Scholar
GAUS SC (Mexico City) 2001. Los estudios de opinión y la campaña presidencial. Official transcript of the firm's final report to the Fox campaign. Translated by the authors. May 16.Google Scholar
Jacobson, Gary C. 1978. The Effects of Campaign Spending in Congressional Elections. American Political Science Review 72, 2 (June): 191.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacobson, 1980. Money in Congressional Elections. New Haven : Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Jacobson, 1996. The Politics of Congressional Elections. 4th ed. New York : Longman.Google Scholar
Klesner, Joseph L. 2004. The Structure of the Mexican Electorate: Social, Attitudinal, and Partisan Bases of Vicente Fox's Victory. In Domínguez, and Lawson, 2004. 1122.Google Scholar
Lawson, Chappell. 2004a. Introduction. In Domínguez, and Lawson, 2004. 124.Google Scholar
Lawson, 2004b. Mexico's Great Debates: the Televised Candidate Encounters of 2000 Their Consequences. In Domínguez, and Lawson, 2004. 142.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mancini, Paolo, and David, L. Swanson. 1996. Politics, Media, and Modern Democracy: Introduction. In Swanson, and Mancini, 1996. 128.Google Scholar
Mayobre, José Antonio. 1996. Politics, Media, and Modern Democracy: the Case of Venezuela. In Swanson, and Mancini, 1996. 136.Google Scholar
Moctezuma, Barrágan 2002. Es mejor perder que cambiar. El Universal (Mexico City), December 23: 1a.Google Scholar
Moreno, Alejandro. 2004. The Effects of Negative Campaigns on Mexican Voters. In Domínguez, and Lawson, 2004. 168.Google Scholar
Ocampo, Rolando. 2003. President, Gaus Sc polling firm, Mexico City. Author phone interview, April 21.Google Scholar
Schoenbach, Klaus. 1996. The Americanization of German Election Campaigns: Any Impact on the Voters? In Swanson, and Mancini, 1996. 1106.Google Scholar
Swanson, David L., and Paolo, Mancini eds. 1996. Politics, Media, and Modern Democracy. Westport : Praeger.Google Scholar
Venegas, Juan Manuel. 2000. Cadena humana sin precedente para apoyar a Vicente Fox. La Jornada (Mexico City): January 30, 1a.Google Scholar
Waisbord, Silvio R. 1996. Secular Politics: the Modernization of Argentine Electioneering. In Swanson, and Mancini, 1996. 126.Google Scholar