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Protecting capital from itself: U.S. attempts to regulate the Eurocurrency system

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 May 2009

James P. Hawley
Affiliation:
James P. Hawley is Assistant Professor of Sociology at theUniversity of California, Davis.
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In 1979 and 1980 the U.S. government attempted to regulate the Eurocurrency system in order to stabilize the international monetary and financial systems, and for U.S. domestic monetary purposes. The conflict between the U.S. government (especially the Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve Board) and U.S.-based transnational banks (TNBs) illustrates TNBs' contradictory interests, which are neither self-evident nor easily discernible, even to TNBs themselves. The state comes to play a mediating role vis-a-vis TNBs in an only partially successful attempt to transform contradictory interests into coherent policy, resulting in conflict between the state and TNBs. The origins of U.S. regulatory initiatives are rooted in multilateral attempts to supervise banks between 1974 and 1978, and the failure of such coordination during the 1978 dollar crisis. From the conflict between U.S. officials and U.S. TNBs emerge varying concepts of TNBs' interests. After examining the reasons for the failure of the U.S. proposals, I conclude by suggesting some implications of TNBs' contradictory interests for statist and social conflict theories of the advanced capitalist state. Few theories of the state have adequately taken into account the complexity and contradictory interests of transnational capital.

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Copyright © The IO Foundation 1984

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References

Helpful comments on earlier drafts were made by Fred Block, Chris Chase-Dunn, Peter Evans, John Gurley, Peter Katzenstein, Charles Lindblom, Paul Lubeck, Arthur MacEwan, Ben Orlove, Bernadette Tarallo, John Willoughby, and the U. C. Davis Organization Group— Mitchel Abolafia, Nicole Biggart, Bruce Hackett, and Gary Hamilton. David Plotke and three anonymous IO reviewers provided particularly close readings and useful criticisms.

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2. Frank E. Morris, president, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, “Do the Monetary Aggregates Have a Future as Targets of Federal Reserve Policy?” (Remarks presented at a conference on “Supply Side Economics in the 1980's,” Atlanta, Georgia, 17 March 1982). Mergers and acquisitions, along with the growth of international banking, have created significant pressures to rewrite the Glass-Steagall Act. The Reagan administration is committed to such a policy: see Wall Street Journal, 21 April 1981, p. 2; 22 April 1981, p. 1; 29 April 1981, p. 8.

3. This contradiction is overlooked in Gerald Epstein's otherwise extremely interesting article on the Federal Reserve and Volcker, Paul (“Domestic Stagflation and Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve and the Hidden Election,” in Ferguson, Thomas and Rogers, Joel, eds., The Hidden Election [New York: Pantheon, 1981], pp. 141–95)Google Scholar. For a conservative bureaucratic and political interpretation of Federal Reserve actions, see Shapiro, Robert J., “Politics and the Federal Reserve,” The Public Interest no. 66 (Winter 1983), pp. 119–39.Google Scholar

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5. Cleveland, and Bhagavatula, , “Continuing World Economic Crisis,” pp. 609, 615.Google Scholar The analogy with Germany, Switzerland, and Japan is faulty. Both Germany and Japan are historically export-dependent economies. Thus, given credit and debt expansion in the United States (and elsewhere), they can pursue lower inflation and moderate growth policies successfully. Switzerland is a unique case—a tiny economy based to a large degree on its global financial importance with specialization in certain industrial sectors requiring highly skilled labor or high-technology products or both.

6. This conceptualization of interests makes a sharp break with the Benthamite-utilitarian tradition, which argues that interests reflect rational calculation as the means toward the maximization of some goal (usually power or money over the long term). Many orthodox Marxists adopt similar positions regarding class interests. See “Symposium on Interest,” in Political Theory 3 (August 1975), pp. 245–87Google Scholar; Wall, Grenville, “The Concept of Interest in Politics,” Politics and Society 5, 4 (1975)CrossRefGoogle Scholar; and Swarton, Christine, “The Concept of Interests,” Political Theory 8 (February 1980).Google Scholar I am indebted to the larger questions raised by Schmitter, Philippe in “Introduction,” Comparative Political Studies 10 (April 1977), pp. 338CrossRefGoogle Scholar; by Charles W. Anderson in “Modes of Political Design and the Representation of Interests,” ibid., pp. 127–52; and by Bauer, Raymond, Pool, Ithiel de Sola, and Dexter, Anthony in American Business and Public Policy (Chicago: Aldine-Atherton, 1972).Google Scholar See also Odell, U.S. International Monetary Policy.

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9. This complexity of interest approach does not lend itself well to a causal-predictive model of either business or interest-group actions, nor to predicting state activity and response.

10. Simons, Henry C., “Rules Versus Authority in Monetary Policy,” Journal of Political Economy 44 (February 1936). pp. 13, 17CrossRefGoogle Scholar. See also Minsky, Hyman P., “Capitalist Financial Processes and the Instability of Capitalism,” Journal of Economic Issues 11 (June 1980), pp. 507, 519–21.Google Scholar Simons argued that productive capital required protection from financial innovation in order to maintain competition. Thus, he proposed a form of social-state control of financial institutions.

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13. Ibid., pp. 3, 29, 76

14. Quoted in McKenzie, George W., “Regulating the Euro-Markets,” Journal of Banking and Finance 5 (March 1981), p. 109.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

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16. Swodoba, Alexander K., Credit Creation in the Euromarket: Alternative Theories and Implications of Control (New York: Group of Thirty, 1980), p. 1.Google Scholar For a brief overview see Luther, Kusum A. N., “Eurocurrency Markets and Liquidity: The State of the Issue,” Social Science Journal 18 (April 1981), pp. 4154.Google Scholar

17. This is similar in method to Odell, , U.S. International Monetary Policy, pp. 5866.Google Scholar

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20. McKinnon, Ronald I., “The Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Policy: Changing Postwar Perceptions,” Journal of Economic Literature 19 (June 1981), pp. 531–57.Google Scholar Brillembourg and Schadler, “Model of Currency Substitution,” make a similar point.

21. McKinnon, , “Currency Substitution,” pp. 320–32.Google Scholar See also Bryant, Ralph C., Money and Monetary Policy in Interdependent Nations (Washington, D.C.: Brookings, 1980).Google Scholar

22. McKinnon, Ronald I., “Dollar Stabilization and American Monetary Policy,” American Economic Review 70 (May 1980), p. 385.Google Scholar

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26. Concern about this expansion has focused on the perceived loss of autonomous national control of monetary and credit aggregates with consequent inflationary, or potentially deflationary, implications; and on concern about the prudential soundness of the global and domestic banking system. See Folkerts-Landau, D. F. I., “Potential of External Financial Markets to Create Money, Credit and Inflation,” IMF Staff Papers 29 (March 1982), pp. 7778.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

27. Niehans, , “Innovation in Monetary Policy,” pp. 1619.Google Scholar

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29. Folkerts-Landau, “Potential”; Hewson, J. and Sakakibara, E., “The Eurodollar Deposit Multiplier: A Portfolio Approach,” IMF Staff Papers 21, 2 (1974), p. 327Google Scholar; Little, Jane Sneddon, “Liquidity Creation by Euro-Banks: 1973–1978,” New England Economic Review (January-February 1979), pp. 6272Google Scholar; McKenzie, Economics of Euro-Currency System; McKinnon, , Money in International Exchange, p. 218Google Scholar; Niehans, “Innovation in Monetary Policy”; Swoboda, Credit Creation; Triffin, Robert, “The International Role and Fate of the Dollar,” Foreign Affairs 57 (Winter 19781979), pp. 269–86.CrossRefGoogle ScholarVersluysen, Eugene, The Political Economy of International Finance (New York: St. Martin's, 1981)Google Scholar, concludes that while the endogenous credit creation of the Eurocurrency system is minimal, especially compared to domestic credit creation, the expansionary effect of the markets is nevertheless significant. For earlier debates about credit creation, see Klopstock, Fred. H., “The Euro-Dollar Market: Some Unresolved Issues,” Princeton Essays in International Finance no. 65 (Princeton, N.J., 1968)Google Scholar; Little, Jane Sneddon, Euro-Dollars: The Money Market Gypsies (New York: Harper & Row, 1975)Google Scholar; Mayer, Helmut, “Multiplier Effects and Credit Creation in the Euro-dollar Market,” Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, September 1971Google Scholar; Fritz Machlup, “Euro-Dollar Creation: A Mystery Story,” ibid.; Machlup, “The Magicians and Their Rabbits,” Morgan Guaranty Survey, May 1971; Milton Friedman, “The Euro-dollar Market: Some First Principles,” ibid., October 1969; Swoboda, Alexander K., “The Eurodollar Market: An Interpretation,” Princeton Essays in International Finance no. 64 (February 1968)Google Scholar; and Kindleberger, Charles, “The Euro-dollar and the Internationalization of United States Monetary Policy,” Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, March 1969.Google Scholar

30. Little, , “Liquidity Creation,” pp. 6271.Google Scholar See also Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin 21 (September 1981), pp. 351–60Google Scholar; and The Group of Thirty, Risks in International Bank Lending (New York: 1982).Google Scholar

31. Versluysen, , Political Economy, p. 131.Google Scholar

32. Bank of England, Quarterly Bulletin 21 (September 1981), p. 131.Google Scholar

33. Hewson, John and Niehans, Jurg, “The Eurodollar Market and Monetary Theory,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 7 (June 1975), pp. 1315.Google Scholar

34. McKenzie, , Economics of Euro-Currency System, pp. 7880.Google Scholar

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36. McKenzie, , Economics of Euro-Currency System, p. 67.Google Scholar

37. Willett, , International Liquidity, table 6, pp. 6465.Google Scholar

38. Swoboda, , Credit Creation, pp. 2022.Google Scholar See also Perkin, M., Richard, I., and Zis, G., “The Determination and Control of the World Money Supply under Fixed Exchange Rates, 1961–1971,” Manchester School, November 1976, pp. 293316.Google Scholar

39. McKinnon, , “Dollar Stabilization,” p. 385.Google Scholar

40. Ibid.

41. Ibid.

42. McKinnon, , “Currency Substitution,” p. 331.Google Scholar See also Bryant, Money and Monetary Policy, for similar joint cooperation proposals under regimes of high monetary interdependence. See Parboni, Dollar and Its Rivals, on the political and economic difficulties and past failures of attempts at such cooperation.

43. Willett, , International Liquidity, pp. 87, 100.Google Scholar

44. Swoboda, , Credit Creation, pp. 3033.Google Scholar

45. Frydl, “Eurodollar Conundrum.”

46. Ibid. This approach is advocated by Versluysen, , Political Economy, pp. 249–54Google Scholar, although he opposes reserve requirements as ineffective, preferring instead a form of capital issues committee modeled on the West German Foreign Issues Sub-Committee, of the Central Capital Market Committee of the Ministry of Finance (pp. 219, 254). See also statements by Deutsche Bank Director and West German Secretary of State, and Federal Ministry of Finance, in Intereconomics, March-April 1980, pp. 65–71.

47. “Supervising the Eurocurrency Dinosaur,” The Banker, August 1978, pp. 677–79Google Scholar; Dale, Richard, Bank Supervision around the World (New York: Group of Thirty, 1982)Google Scholar; Einhorn, Jessica P., “International Bank Lending: Expanding the Dialogue,” Columbia Journal of World Business 13 (Fall 1978), pp. 128–30Google Scholar; International Currency Review 12, 4 (1980), p. 13; ibid. 13, 2 (1981); and Spero, , Failure, pp. 186–89.Google Scholar

48. “Supervising Eurocurrency,” The Banker, p. 679; and Spero, , Failure, pp. 189–90.Google Scholar

49. “Supervising Eurocurrency,” The Banker, p. 679; and “Supervising American Banks' Foreign Lending,” ibid., September 1978, pp. 65–67; Einhorn, , “International Bank Lending,” pp. 125–27Google Scholar; Spero, , Failure, p. 187Google Scholar; and Walter, Ingo, “Country Risk, Portfolio Decisions and Regulation in International Bank Lending,” Journal of Banking and Finance 5 (1981), pp. 8491.CrossRefGoogle Scholar The Bank of England developed informal guidelines for country-risk and foreign-exchange operations in line with its tradition of informal regulatory relations with the TNBs it supervises. The Bundesbank and the West German government sought in 1978 control over and information on German TNBs' activities in Luxembourg. (The Banker, August 1978, p. 81.)

50. The Banker, August 1978, p. 83.

51. International Currency Review 12, 4 (1980), pp. 1314Google Scholar; Lomax, David F. and Gutmann, P. T. G., The Euromarkets and International Financial Policies (New York: Halsted, 1981), pp. 1552, 103–23.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

52. Business Week, 11 September 1978, p. 57; 9 October 1978, pp. 116–18; 23 October 1978, p. 52; 13 November 1978, pp. 18–31.

53. Ibid., 2 October 1978, pp. 96–102; 9 October 1978, pp. 116–18; 23 October 1978, p. 52; Euromoney, October 1978, p. 11; and Keohane, Robert O., “The International Politics of Inflation,” mimeo (Brookings Institution Project on the Politics and Sociology of Global Inflation, April 1979), pp. 14 and 32.Google Scholar For U.S.-German conflict, see Parboni, , Dollar and Its Rivals, pp. 118–40.Google Scholar

54. International Currency Review 11, 3 (1979), pp. 816.Google Scholar Rene Larre, managing director of the BIS, commented on Henry Wallich's speech to the BIS on 15 June that this constituted a “complete change of direction for U.S. foreign financial policy” (ibid., p. 8).

55. Business Week, 6 August 1979, p. 78.

56. Solomon, Anthony, “Remarks” (Presented at the Royal Institute of International Affairs, London, 12 January 1979)Google Scholar, in Department of the Treasury News (mimeo, n.d.) pp. 3, 5–6, 8.

57. Hugo Colje, “Bank Supervision on a Consolidated Basis,” The Banker, June 1981, pp. 29–34.

58. Solomon, Anthony, “Remarks” (11 May 1979)Google Scholar, in Department of the Treasury News (mimeo, n.d.). It was not until late 1979 that the Federal Reserve explicitly redefined U.S. monetary statistics to account for Eurodollar net additions to the U.S. money supply. In 1979 the Federal Reserve estimated this addition to be about $40 billion (Henry C. Wallich, “Policies of the 1980's” [Remarks to the French-American Chamber of Commerce in the United States, New York City, 3 March 1980], p. 5).

59. Wallich, Henry C., “Euro-Markets and U.S. Monetary Growth” (text for article that appeared in) Journal of Commerce, 1 and 2 May 1979.Google Scholar

60. Ibid.

61. See Wallich, Henry C., “Developments in International Banking” (Remarks to the Association of Foreign Banks in Switzerland, 15 June 1979), p. 14Google Scholar; Minsky, “Capitalist Financial Processes.”

62. Wallich, Henry C., “The International Monetary and Cyclical Situation” (Remarks at a meeting sponsored by the Landeszentralbank in Berlin, 18 June 1979), p. 16.Google Scholar

63. Wallich, Henry C., “Why the Euromarket Needs Restraint,” Columbia Journal of World Business 14 (Fall 1979), pp. 21, 24.Google Scholar

64. Wallich, Remarks of 18 June 1979, p. 17. Four techniques were considered: capital standards, liquidity standards, consolidation of TNB global accounts, and reserve requirements. All require effective multilateral cooperation. The problem with capital standards was there is no multilateral standard regarding minimal capital to total assets or to deposit-to-risk ratio. Liquidity standards pose similar problems. They are also vague, since TNBs operate with a large proportion of borrowed funds. Consolidation posed difficulties since currency portfolios are highly diversified among different currencies, making accounting procedures highly interpretive due to constant exchange flux. Consequently, the Federal Reserve opted for reserve requirements as the most workable solution.

65. Wallich, Remarks of 15 June 1979.

66. These reserve requirements (the exact rates were to have been negotiated among the states) would have gone into effect once states responsible for 75% of all Eurocurrency holdings agreed (U.S. Congress, House Sub-committee on Domestic Investment and Monetary Policy of the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs; and Monetary and Policy Sub-committee on International Trade, Hearings on “The Eurocurrency Control Act of 1979,” 96th Cong., 1st sess., pp. 3–10, 178 [hereafter U.S. House, Hearings]). Euroreserves would “equalize” interest rates in the now lower Eurocurrency system, thereby forcing borrowers and lenders into national markets. This proposal is the exact reverse of the 1963 Interest Equalization Act (IET), which was imposed on sales of foreign, primarily European, equities and bonds in the New York capital market. The IET remained in force through 1972. Interest rates had been historically lower in the pre-1963 New York market due to its size and efficiency. The growth of the Eurocurrency system shifted the locus of efficient global finance to the offshore centers, which grew in an unregulated environment.

67. Solomon, Anthony, “Remarks” (before the New York State Bankers Association, 2 June 1979), pp. 1112.Google Scholar

68. Wall Street Journal, 10 June 1981, p. 4.

69. International Currency Review 12, 4 (1980).Google Scholar The Review obtained relevant documents through a Freedom of Information Act suit. Anthony M. Solomon wrote in a letter to Paul Volcker on 7 November 1980, “When a substantial share of what is now Eurocurrency business is done from a U.S. base, it will be made transparent to those that the United States has tangible, unassailable interests in sharing a common approach in regulation. Sooner or later, a consensus will be built recognizing the need for negotiations to achieve uniform treatment of international banking markets…. Our position on these negotiations can only be strengthened when, through International Banking Facilities, one important part of the overall Euromarket is located within this country.” Solomon asked “… would the Federal Reserve be better able to meet its responsibilities for achieving adequate monetary control and fostering a safe and sound world banking system if the banks were doing international [business] here rather than in multiple financial centers …?” He answered in the affirmative, adding that “Authorizing IBF's would send a clear message that we take seriously the need for new approaches to organizing and controlling the Euromarkets and that we are prepared to move ahead with new initiatives.”

70. Documents reprinted in ibid., pp. 14–16. See also Lichtenstein, Cynthia C., “U.S. Banks and the Eurocurrency Markets: The Regulatory Structure,” Banking Law Journal 66 (June-July 1982), pp. 498511Google Scholar, for detailed Federal Reserve regulations. See New York Times, 13 September 1982, for alleged violations.

71. In U.S. House, Hearings, p. 32.

72. Weatherstone, Dennis, “Euromarket, Born of Control, Now Capable of Looking after Itself,” Money Manager, 19 March 1979, pp. 1112.Google Scholar

73. Weatherstone's argument is presented in greater detail in Morgan Guaranty Trust Company, World Financial Markets, March 1979, especially pp. 8–13. An example of the problem of interpreting the “interests” of TNBs, and who truly speaks for those interests, is found in the conclusion. It argues that rather than placing reserve requirements on Eurobanks, “a more suitable approach may be for the individual country to adopt temporary capital controls that limit or regulate the participation of its own residents—banks and non-banks—in the Eurocurrency market” (p. 13). Yet the U.S. capital controls from 1964–1974 were opposed by a broad coalition including the Morgan Guaranty Trust Company.

74. U.S. House, Hearings, pp. 41; 139–39; 281–84. For supporting data see the survey of bankers' opinions by the Group of Thirty, How Bankers See the World Financial Market (New York: Group of Thirty, 1982).Google Scholar

75. There is little basis to distinguish between money and credit, especially short-term credit, since liquidity is legally defined within each nation and conceptually there is much debate about the relation between “money” and credit. The concept of debt proxy is a better indicator of the role of credit in the inflationary process. The rise of debt proxy in the United States closely parallels the highly liquid nature of Eurocurrency deposits and liabilities. See Kaufman, Henry, “Where the Fed Has Gone Awry,” New York Times, 7 October 1979Google Scholar; “The Multiple Flaws of the Monetary Base,” Morgan Guaranty Survey, October 1981, pp. 6–10.

76. Bryant, , Money and Monetary Policy, p. 122Google Scholar; emphasis in original.

77. Business Week, 8 October 1979, p. 87

78. For exceptions see, for instance, Lindblom, Charles, Politics and Markets (New York: Basic Books, 1978), pp. 175–79Google Scholar; and Michalet, Charles Albert, “Etats nations, firmes multinationales et capitalisme mondial,” sociologie et sociétés 11 (October 1979), pp. 3957.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

79. Krasner, , Defending the National Interest, p. xi.Google Scholar

80. Ibid., pp. 6, 316, 333.

81. Ibid., p. 32 fn.

82. See Strange, Susan, “Preface,” to Aronson, Jonathan David, Money and Power (Beverly Hills: Sage, 1977), pp. 1113.Google Scholar

83. Wallerstein, Immanuel, The Modern World System (New York: Academic Press, 1975), p. 61Google Scholar, and his The Capitalist World Economy (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1979)Google Scholar, where Wallerstein comments “Within a world-economy, the state structures function as ways for particular groups to affect and distort the functioning of the market. The stronger the state machinery, the more its ability to distort the world market in favor of the interests it represents” (p. 20). Frederic C. Lane calls this protection costs and protection rents. A strong state attempts to impose those costs on its competitors (Profits from Power [Albany: State University of New York Press, 1979], pp. 13, 22, 57–59, 85)Google Scholar. I focus here on the political aspects of the United States as they affect the economic and political structure of the world system. See Wallerstein, also, “Preface,” in Kaplan, Social Change, p. 7.Google Scholar Related points are made by Zolberg, Aristide, “Origins of the Modern World System: A Missing Link,” World Politics 33 (January 1981), pp. 253–81.CrossRefGoogle Scholar For a more detailed discussion, see Hawley, James P., “Interests, State Foreign Economic Policy and the World System: The Case of the U.S. Capital Controls, 1961–1974,” in McGowan, Pat and Kegley, Charles W. Jr, eds., Foreign Policy and the Modern World System (Beverly Hills: Sage, 1983), pp. 223–54.Google Scholar Christopher Chase-Dunn responds to Zolberg and others in “Interstate System and Capitalist World-Economy: One Logic or Two?” International Studies Quarterly 25 (March 1981), pp. 1942.Google Scholar

84. Christopher Chase-Dunn develops Wallerstein's implicit idea that class formation in world-system analysis refers to a global division of labor. Thus, whole classes are globally based while their spatial locations are nationally bound. Consequently, only a class fraction or fractions can dominate national states (Chase-Dunn, , “Socialist States in the Capitalist World Economy,” Social Problems 27 [April 1980], p. 506CrossRefGoogle Scholar, and Wallerstein, , Modern World System, p. 61)Google Scholar. Wallerstein's most recent work takes a different approach to state autonomy: see “Crises: The World-Economy, the Movements and the Ideologies” (Paper presented at the 6th annual Political Economy of the World System conference, University of Arizona, 15–16 April 1982)Google Scholar.

85. Poulantzas, Nicos, State, Power, Socialism (London: NLB, 1978), pp. 30, 127–28.Google Scholar Poulantzas' earlier work (e.g. Political Power and Social Class [London: NLB, 1973])Google Scholar is more in the Althusserian mold, but his Classes in Contemporary Capitalism (London: NLB, 1975)Google Scholar is also quite functionalist. See also Jessop, Bob, The Capitalist State (New York: Columbia University Press, 1982), pp. 153–91.Google Scholar

86. Poulantzas, , State, Power, Socialism, p. 185.Google Scholar Poulantzas is not entirely consistent. He suggests in Political Power that the state may intervene in favor of nonmonopoly capital. “If the state is no longer in such cases the arbiter between monopoly and non-monopoly capital, it nevertheless represents the condensation of their contradictory relationship; this is moreover one of the reasons for the internal contradictions of the state's ‘economic policy’ ” (p. 161).