Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-7cvxr Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-23T09:45:44.442Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Inward Bound: Domestic Institutions and Military Conflicts

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 August 2003

Get access

Extract

In this article I explore the propensity of democracies to use military force when involved in international disputes. I argue that the use of force by democracies in large part results from the domestic circumstances confronting their chief executives and that those circumstances vary predictably across democracies based on the structure of their domestic institutions. For example, U.S. presidents must garner public support before elections and maintain widespread congressional support if they involve the country in long-term military conflicts. Conflicts are risky without either of these domestic prerequisites. Consider President Lyndon Johnson's decision to escalate U.S. involvement in Vietnam. Johnson and his advisors reached their decision in 1964 but waited until early 1965, after the November 1964 national election, to announce this decision publicly and implement it on the ground. President George Bush's 1990 decision to double the number of troops deployed to Kuwait and move from deterring an attack on Saudi Arabia to compelling an Iraqi withdrawal was made in a similar manner. The Bush administration decided on its new policy in early October but announced that decision only after Congress recessed and the midterm elections were completed.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © The IO Foundation 1999

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Aldrich, John H., John L., Sullivan, and Eugene, Borgida. 1989. Foreign Affairs and Issue Voting: Do Presidential Candidates Waltz Before a Blind Audience? American Political Science Review 83 (1):12341.Google Scholar
Amery, Julian. 1990. The Suez Group:A Retrospective on Suez. In The Suez-Sinai Crisis, 1956, edited by Selwyn Ilan Troen and Moshe Shemesh, 11026. New York: Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Auerswald, David. Forthcoming. Disarmed Democracies: Domestic Institutions and the Use of Force. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Auerswald, David P., and Peter F., Cowhey. 1997. Ballot Box Diplomacy: TheWar Powers Resolution and the Use of Force. International Studies Quarterly 41 (3):50528.Google Scholar
Banks, A., A. Day, and T. Muller. 1997. Political Handbook of the World, 1997. Binghamton, N.Y.: CSA Publications.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baron, David P., and John A., Ferejohn. 1989. Bargaining in Legislatures. American Political Science Review 83 (4):11811206.Google Scholar
Bates, Robert H. 1981. Markets and States in Tropical Africa: The Political Basis of Agricultural Policies. Berkeley: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Beloff, Lord. 1989. The Crisis and Its Consequences for the British Conservative Party. In Suez 1956, edited byWilliam Roger Louis and Roger Owen, 31934. Oxford: Clarendon Press.Google Scholar
Blechman, Barry M. 1990. The Politics of National Security: Congress and U.S. Defense Policy. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Braumoeller, Bear F. 1997. Deadly Doves: Liberal Nationalism and the Democratic Peace in the Soviet Successor States. International Studies Quarterly 41 (3):375402.Google Scholar
Brody, Richard A. 1991. Assessing the President: TheMedia, Elite Opinion, and Public Support. Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brown, Michael E., Sean M., Lynn-Jones, and Steven E., Miller, eds. 1996. Debating the Democratic Peace. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Bueno de, Mesquita, Bruce, and Randolph M., Siverson. 1995. War and the Survival of Political Leaders. American Political Science Review 89 (4):84155.Google Scholar
Bueno de, Mesquita, Bruce, Randolph Siverson, and Gary Woller. 1992. War and the Fate of Regimes: A Comparative Analysis. American Political Science Review 86 (3):63846.Google Scholar
Carlton, David. 1988. Britain and the Suez Crisis. New York: Basil Blackwell.Google Scholar
Chan, Steven. 1997. In Search of the Democratic Peace: Problems and Promise. Mershon International Studies Review 41 (1):5991.Google Scholar
Christensen, Thomas J., and Jack Snyder. 1990. Chain Gangs and Passed Bucks: Predicting Alliance Patterns in Multipolarity. International Organization 44 (2):13768.Google Scholar
Clark, William. 1998.Agents and Structures: Two Views of Preferences, Two Views of Institutions. International Studies Quarterly 42 (2):24570.Google Scholar
Clinton, William J. 1994. Public Papers of the Presidents of the United States: WilliamJ. Clinton, 1993. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office.Google Scholar
Cointet, Jean-Paul. 1990. Guy Mollet, the French Government, and the SFIO. In The Suez-Sinai Crisis, 1956, edited by Selwyn Ilan Troen and Moshe Shemesh, 12739. New York: Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Cox, Gary W., and Mathew D., McCubbins. 1993. Legislative Leviathan: Party Government in the House. Berkeley: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Crosbie, Sylvia K. 1974. A Tacit Alliance: France and Israel from Suez to the Six-Day War. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Derbyshire, J. Denis, and Ian Derbyshire. 1996. Political Systems of the World. New York: St. Martins Press.Google Scholar
Dixon, William J. 1994. Democracy and the Peaceful Settlement of International Conflict. American Political Science Review 88 (1):1432.Google Scholar
Doyle, Michael W. 1986. Liberalism and World Politics. American Political Science Review 80 (4): 115169.Google Scholar
Easter, Gerald M. 1997. Preference for Presidentialism: Postcommunist Regime Change in Russia and the NIS. World Politics 49 (2):184211.Google Scholar
Eden, Anthony. 1960. The Suez Crisis of 1956. Boston: Beacon Press.Google Scholar
Eisenhower, , Dwight, David. 1958–61. Public Papers of the Presidents of the United States: Dwight David Eisenhower, 195361 . 8 vols. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office.Google Scholar
Ember, Carol R., Melvin Ember, and Bruce Russett. 1992. Peace Between Participatory Polities:A Cross- Cultural Test of the Democracies Rarely Fight Each Other Hypothesis. World Politics 44 (4): 57399.Google Scholar
Epstein, Leon D. 1964. British Politics in the Suez Crisis. Urbana: University of Illinois Press.Google Scholar
Farber, Henry S., and Joanne Gowa. 1997. Common Interests or Common Polities? Reinterpreting the Democratic Peace. Journal of Politics 59 (2):393417.Google Scholar
Farnie, D.A. 1969. East and West of Suez: The Suez Canal in History, 18541856 . Oxford: Clarendon Press.Google Scholar
Fearon, James. 1994. Domestic PoliticalAudiences and the Escalation of International Disputes. American Political Science Review 88 (3):57792.Google Scholar
Freedom House. 1996. Freedom in the World, 199596 . New York: Freedom House Publications.Google Scholar
Fry, Michael. 1989. The Suez Crisis, 1956. Pew Case Studies in International Affairs 126. Washington, D.C.: Pew Charitable Trusts.Google Scholar
Furniss, E. 1954. Weakness in French Foreign Policy. Center for International Studies Study 5. Princeton, N.J.: Center for International Studies.Google Scholar
Gallup Organization. 1972. The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion 1935–1971. Vol. 2. New York: Random House.Google Scholar
Gallup Organization. 1976a. Gallup International Public Opinion Polls: France 1939, 19441975. Vol. 1. New York: Random House.Google Scholar
Gaubatz, Kurt Taylor. 1991. Election Cycles and War. Journal of Conflict Resolution 35 (2):21244.Google Scholar
Geddes, Barbara. 1991. A Game Theoretic Model of Reform in Latin American Democracies. American Political Science Review 85 (2):37192.Google Scholar
George, Alexander L. 1979. Case Studies and Theory Development: The Method of Structured, Focused Comparison. In Diplomacy, edited by Paul Gordon Lauren, 4368. New York: Free Press.Google Scholar
George, Alexander L., and Richard Smoke. 1974. Deterrence in American Foreign Policy: Theory and Practice. New York: Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Gilpin, Robert. 1981.War and Change in World Politics. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Hastings, E., and P. Hastings. 1997. Index to International Public Opinion, 19951996 .Westport, Conn.: Greenwood Press.Google Scholar
Hewedy, Amin. 1989. Nasser and the Crisis of 1956. In Suez 1956: The Crisis and Its Consequences, edited by William Roger Louis and Roger Owen, 16172. Oxford: Clarendon Press.Google Scholar
Hinckley, Barbara. 1994. Less Than Meets the Eye: Foreign Policy Making and the Myth of the Assertive Congress. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
House International Relations Committee. 1995a.Hearing Before the House International Relations Committee, 8 June 1995. 104th Cong., 1st sess. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office.Google Scholar
House International Relations Committee. 1995b. Hearing before the House InternationalRelations Committee, 28 July 1995. 104th Cong., 1st sess. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office.Google Scholar
Huber, John D. 1992. Restrictive Legislative Procedures in France and the United States. American Political Science Review 86 (3):67587.Google Scholar
Iyengar, Shanto, and Donald R., Kinder. 1987. News That Matters: Television and American Opinion. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
James, Patrick, and John R., Oneal. 1991. The Influence of Domestic and International Politics on the President's Use of Force. Journal of Conflict Resolution 35 (2):30732.Google Scholar
Kaarbo, Juliet. 1996. Power and Influence in Foreign Policy Decision Making: The Role of Junior Coalition Partners in German and Israeli Foreign Policy. International Studies Quarterly 40 (4):50130.Google Scholar
Katzenstein, Peter J., ed. 1978. Between Power and Plenty: Foreign Economic Policies of Advanced Industrial States. Madison: University of Wiscons in Press.Google Scholar
Kerr, Donald. 1995.World Directory of Defense and Security. New York: Stockton Press.Google Scholar
Kilgour, D. Marc. 1991. Domestic Political Structure and War Behavior: A Game-Theoretic Approach. Journal of Conflict Resolution 35 (2):26684.Google Scholar
Kingseed, Cole C. 1995. Eisenhower and the Suez Crisis of 1956. Baton Rouge: Louisiana State University Press.Google Scholar
Kowert, Paul A., and Margaret G., Hermann. 1997. Who Takes Risks? Daring and Caution in Foreign Policy Making. Journal of Conflict Resolution 41 (5):61137.Google Scholar
Krehbiel, Keith. 1991. Information and Legislative Organization. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Kyle, Keith. 1991. Suez. New York: St. Martin's Press.Google Scholar
Laver, Michael, and Kenneth Shepsle. 1990. Coalitions and Cabinet Government. American Political Science Review 84 (3):87390.Google Scholar
Lebow, Richard Ned. 1981. Between Peace and War: The Nature of International Crisis. Baltimore, Md.: Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Levy, Jack S. 1989. The Diversionary Theory of War: A Critique. In Handbook of War Studies, edited by M. Midlarsky, 25988.Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Levy, Jack S.. 1992.An Introduction to Prospect Theory. Political Psychology 13 (2):17186. Lijphart,Arend. 1984.Democracies: Patterns ofMajoritarian and ConsensusGovernment in Twenty-One Countries. New Haven, Conn.:Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Levy, Jack S., ed. 1992. Parliamentary Versus Presidential Government. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Lindsay, James M. 1994. Congress and the Politics of U.S. Foreign Policy. Baltimore, Md.: Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Luethy, Herbert. 1956. Basic Outlooks Influencing French Foreign Policy. In French Motivations in the Suez Crisis, edited by Lloyd A., Free, 158. Princeton, N.J.: Institute for International Social Research.Google Scholar
Maoz, Zeev, and Bruce Russett. 1993.Normative and Structural Causes of Democratic Peace, 1946–1986. American Political Science Review 87 (3):62438.Google Scholar
Martin, Lisa L. 1992. Coercive Cooperation: Explaining Multilateral Economic Sanctions. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mayer, Frederick W. 1992. Managing Domestic Differences in International Negotiations: The Strategic Use of Internal Side-Payments. International Organization 46 (4):793818.Google Scholar
Mayhew, David R. 1974.Congress: The Electoral Connection. New Haven, Conn.:Yale University Press.Google Scholar
McCubbins, Mathew D., and Terry Sullivan, eds. 1987. Congress: Structure and Policy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
McKelvey, Richard D. 1976. Intransitivities in Multidimensional Voting Models and Some Implications for Agenda Control. Journal of Economic Theory 12:47282.Google Scholar
Morgan, T. Clifton, and Sally Campbell. 1991. Domestic Structure, Decisional Constraints, and War: So Why Kant Democracies Fight? Journal of Conflict Resolution 35 (2):187211.Google Scholar
Morrow, James D. 1991. Electoral and Congressional Incentives and Arms Control. Journal of Conflict Resolution 35 (2):24565.Google Scholar
National Security Archives. George Washington University, Washington, D.C.Google Scholar
Neustadt, Richard E. 1980. Presidential Power: The Politics of Leadership from FDR to Carter. New York:Macmillan.Google Scholar
Nincic, Miroslav. 1988. The United States, the Soviet Union, and the Politics of Opposites. World Politics 40 (4):45275.Google Scholar
North, Douglass C. 1990. Institutions, Institutional Change, and Economic Performance. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Peres, Shimon. 1990. The Road to Sevres: Franco-Israeli Strategic Cooperation. In The Suez-Sinai Crisis, 1956, edited by Selwin Ilan Troen and Moshe Shemesh, 14049. New York: Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Robertson, Terence. 1965. Crisis: The Inside Story of the Suez Conspiracy. New York: Atheneum.Google Scholar
Rodnick, David. 1956. Editor's Postscript: French Reactions at the Height of the Suez Crisis. In French Motivations in the Suez Crisis, edited by L. Free, 59101. Princeton, N.J.: Institute for International Social Research.Google Scholar
Roeder, Philip G. 1998. Transitions from Communism: State-Centered Approaches. In Can Democracy Take Root in Post–Soviet Russia? Explorations in State-Society Relations, edited by Harry Eckstein, Fredreic J., Fleron, Jr., Eric P., Hoffman, and William M., Reissinger, 20128. Lanham, Md.: Rowman and Little. eld.Google Scholar
Senate Armed Services Committee. 1995. Situation in Bosnia: Hearings Before the Senate Armed Services Committee, 7, 8, 14, 15 June 1995. S. Hrg. 104587 . 104th Cong., 1st sess. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office.Google Scholar
Senate Armed Services Committee. 1996. Brie. ng on Bosnia: Hearing Before the Senate Armed Services Committee, 13 July 1995, S. Hrg. 104421. 104th Cong., 1st sess. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office.Google Scholar
Shapiro, RobertoY., and Benjamin I., Page. 1994. Foreign Policy and Public Opinion. In The New Politics of American Foreign Policy, edited by David A., Deese, 21635. New York: St.Martin's Press.Google Scholar
Shepsle, Kenneth A. 1989. Studying Institutions: Some Lessons from the Rational Choice Approach. Journal of Theoretic Politics 1 (2):13147.Google Scholar
Shepsle, Kenneth A., and Barry R., Weingast. 1987. The Institutional Foundations of Committee Power. American Political Science Review 81 (1):85104.Google Scholar
Shepsle, Kenneth A., and Barry R., Weingast, eds. 1995. Positive Theories of Congressional Institutions. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Shugart, Matthew S. 1996. Executive-Legislative Relations in Post–Communist Europe. Transition 2 (25):611.Google Scholar
Shugart, Matthew S., and John M., Carey. 1992. Presidents and Assemblies: Constitutional Design and Electoral Dynamics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Smith, Alastair. 1996. Diversionary Foreign Policy in Democratic Systems. International Studies Quarterly 40 (1):13353.Google Scholar
Sundquist, James L. 1981. The Decline and Resurgence of Congress. Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution.Google Scholar
Tsebelis, George. 1994. The Power of the European Parliament as a ConditionalAgenda Setter. American Political Science Review 88 (1):12842.Google Scholar
United Kingdom. Public Records Office. Cabinet Files (CAB), Foreign Office Files (FO), and Prime Minister's Personal Files (PREM). Kew.Google Scholar
U.S. Department of State. 1990. Foreign Relations of the United States 195557 . Vol. 16, Suez Canal Crisis, July 17–December 31, 1956, edited by John Glennon and Nina Noring. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office.Google Scholar
U.S. Department of State Historical Office. 1956. American Foreign Policy, Current Documents. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office.Google Scholar
Weingast, Barry R. 1989. Floor Behavior in the U.S. Congress: Committee Power Under the Open Rule. American Political Science Review 83 (3):795815.Google Scholar
Winter, David G., Margaret G., Hermann, Walter Weintraub, and Stephen Walker. 1991. The Personalities of Bush and Gorbachev Measured at a Distance: Procedures, Portraits, and Policy. Political Psychology 12 (2):21545.Google Scholar
Woodward, Bob. 1996. The Choice. New York: Simon and Schuster.Google Scholar
Zaller, John. 1994. Elite Leadership of Mass Opinion: New Evidence from the Gulf War. In Taken by Storm: The Mass Media, Public Opinion, and U.S. Foreign Policy in the Gulf War, edited by W. Lance Bennett and David L., Paletz, 186209. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Google Scholar