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Economic dependency in black Africa: an analysis of competing theories
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 22 May 2009
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Current attempts to understand and remedy the underdevelopment and peripheral international roles of Third World states derive from three competing paradigms: conventional social science, Marxism, and dependency theory. Each paradigm claims to explain past history and to make relevant policy recommendations for Third World leaders. Yet, none of these approaches has so far been formulated as complex, well specified, causal models. One can build theory relevant to data by specifying competing three-variable models relating economic dependency to economic performance and development potential. An empirical evaluation can then be made of the dependency theory proposition that economic dependency inhibits positive economic performance (growth and development). Partial correlation and regression analyses of economic data from thirty tropical African states in the middle and late 1960s provide little support for two dependency-based models and evidence in favor of conventional and Marxist models. These findings have implications for theory, further research, and policy.
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References
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77 Ibid., p. 24.
78 Ibid., pp. 27–30.
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85 Suggesting that social science on a global scale manifests dependency structures too. However, such a point, which identifies a genuine problem, is irrelevant to the truth content of the findings reported in these eleven papers.
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96 Our countries are: Benin, Burundi, Cameroun, Central African Republic, Chad, Congo Peoples Republic, Ethiopia, Gabon, Ghana, Guinea, Ivory Coast, Kenya, Liberia, Malagasy Republic, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Nigeria, Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Somali Republic, Sudan, Tanzania, Togo, Uganda, Upper Volta, Zaire, and Zambia.
97 McGowan, pp. 37–38.
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104 These three are coded 1 = very difficult, 2 = difficult, 3 = not very difficult, 4 = not difficult. Note that for Hance, “average man” represents the mass of the population; it is not a surrogate for per capita.
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107 Ibid., pp. 4, 5.
108 Ibid., p. 5.
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111 Ibid.
112 Ibid.
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117 That is, “dependency” may be like another so-called scientific concept, “race.” While race can be defined and measured by reference to blood types, gene pools, etc., as applied to humans it is a useless concept for it is not related to anything else of theoretical interest about human behavior!
118 Norman H. Nie, et al., SPSS: Statistical Package for the Social Sciences, 2nd ed. (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1975), pp. 346–47. Tolerance is the proportion of the variance of an independent variable not explained by the independent variables already in the equation.
119 Since dependency involves highly constrained decision making, such “patterns” may not represent “policies” in that.. a choice was never made.
120 As done, for example, in R. Harris, ed., The Political Economy of Africa.
121 But see Vengroff, “Dependency, development, and inequality.”
122 Kaufman, “A preliminary test.”
123 Because economic development potential has this character, relatively short time-series (≤ 20T) are unlikely to record much variation in it, necessitating a cross-sectional approach. For discussions of this problem and positive evaluations of the utility of cross-sectional analysis see Hibbs, D.A. JrMass Political Violence (New York: Wiley-Interscience, 1973), pp. 200–03Google Scholar; Kuh, E., “The validity of cross-sectionally estimated behavior equations in time series applications,” Econometrica, Vol. 27, No. 2 (April 1959): 197–214Google Scholar; and Kuh, E. and Meyer, J.R., “How extraneous are extraneous estimates,” Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 39, No. 4 (November 1957): 380–93.Google Scholar
124 But see Kay, Geoffrey B., ed., The Political Economy of Colonialism in Ghana: A Collection of Documents and Statistics, 1900–1960 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1972)Google Scholar which contains 47 tables of time series data for 1900–1960 on economic and related variables.
125 Chase-Dunn, “The effects of international economic dependence.”
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