Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-j824f Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-06T00:25:38.183Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

RANK TESTS FOR INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES REGRESSION WITH WEAK INSTRUMENTS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 September 2007

Donald W.K. Andrews
Affiliation:
Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University
Gustavo Soares
Affiliation:
Yale University

Abstract

This paper considers tests in an instrumental variable (IVs) regression model with IVs that may be weak. Tests that have near-optimal asymptotic power properties with Gaussian errors for weak and strong IVs have been determined in Andrews, Moreira, and Stock (2006, Econometrica 74, 715–752). In this paper, we seek tests that have near-optimal asymptotic power with Gaussian errors and improved power with non-Gaussian errors relative to existing tests. Tests with such properties are obtained by introducing rank tests that are analogous to the conditional likelihood ratio test of Moreira (2003, Econometrica 71, 1027–1048). We also introduce a rank test that is analogous to the Lagrange multiplier test of Kleibergen (2002, Econometrica 70, 1781–1803) and Moreira (2001, manuscript, University of California, Berkeley).Andrews gratefully acknowledges the research support of the National Science Foundation via grant SES-0417911.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© 2007 Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Abrevaya, J. (1999) Leapfrog estimation of a fixed-effects model with unknown transformation of the dependent variable. Journal of Econometrics 93, 203228.Google Scholar
Anderson, T.W. & H. Rubin (1949) Estimators of the parameters of a single equation in a complete set of stochastic equations. Annals of Mathematical Statistics 21, 570582.Google Scholar
Andrews, D.W.K. & V. Marmer (in press) Exactly Distribution-Free Inference in Instrumental Variables Regression with Possibly Weak Instruments. Journal of Econometrics.
Andrews, D.W.K., M.J. Moreira, & J.H. Stock (2004) Optimal Invariant Similar Tests for Instrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments. Cowles Foundation Discussion paper 1476, Yale University. Available at http:/cowles.econ.yale.edu.
Andrews, D.W.K., M.J. Moreira, & J.H. Stock (2006a) Optimal two-sided invariant similar tests for instrumental variables regression with weak instruments. Econometrica 74, 715752.Google Scholar
Andrews, D.W.K., M.J. Moreira, & J.H. Stock (2006b) Supplement to “Optimal Two-Sided Invariant Similar Tests for Instrumental Variables Regression.” Available on the Econometric Society Web site at www.econometricsociety.org under Supplemental Material.
Andrews, D.W.K., M.J. Moreira, & J.H. Stock (in press) Performance of conditional Wald tests in IV regression with weak instruments. Journal of Econometrics.
Andrews, D.W.K. & J.H. Stock (in press) Inference with weak instruments. In R. Blundell, W.K. Newey, & T. Persson (eds.), Advances in Economics and Econometrics, Theory and Applications: Ninth World Congress of the Econometric Society, Vol. III. Also available as Cowles Foundation Discussion paper 1530 (2005).
Cavanagh, C. & R. Sherman (1998) Rank estimators for monotonic index models. Journal of Econometrics 84, 351382.Google Scholar
Chen, S. (2000) Rank estimation of a location parameter in the binary choice model. Journal of Econometrics 98, 317334.Google Scholar
Chen, S. (2002) Rank estimation of transformation models. Econometrica 70, 16831697.Google Scholar
Chernoff, H. & I.R. Savage (1958) Asymptotic normality and efficiency of certain nonparametric test statistics. Annals of Mathematical Statistics 39, 972994.Google Scholar
Chow, Y.S. & H. Teicher (1978) Probability Theory: Independence, Interchangeability, Martingales. Springer-Verlag.
Dufour, J.-M. (1997) Impossibility theorems in econometrics with applications to structural and dynamic models. Econometrica 65, 13651387.Google Scholar
Dufour, J.-M. (2003) Presidential address: Identification, weak instruments, and statistical inference in econometrics. Canadian Journal of Economics 36, 767808.Google Scholar
Hájek, J. & Z. Sidák (1967) Theory of Rank Tests. Academic Press.
Hájek, J., Z. Sidák, & P.K. Sen (1999) Theory of Rank Tests, 2nd ed. Academic Press.
Hasan, M.N. & R.W. Koenker (1997) Robust rank tests of the unit root hypothesis. Econometrica 65, 133161.Google Scholar
Hettmansperger, T.P. (1984) Statistical Inference Based on Ranks. Wiley.
Kleibergen, F. (2002) Pivotal statistics for testing structural parameters in instrumental variables regression. Econometrica 70, 17811803.Google Scholar
Kleibergen, F. (2005) Testing parameters in GMM without assuming that they are identified. Econometrica 73, 11031123.Google Scholar
Koenker, R.W. (1996) Rank tests for linear models. In C.R. Rao & G.S. Maddala (eds.), Handbook of Statistics, vol. 15, pp. 175199. Elsevier.
Koul, H.L. (1969) Asymptotic behavior of Wilcoxon type confidence regions in multiple regression. Annals of Mathematical Statistics 40, 19501979.Google Scholar
Koul, H.L. (1970) A class of ADF tests for subhypothesis in the multiple linear regression. Annals of Mathematical Statistics 41, 12731281.Google Scholar
Lehmann, E.L. (1986) Testing Statistical Hypotheses, 2nd ed. Wiley.
Moreira, M.J. (2001) Tests with Correct Size when Instruments Can Be Arbitrarily Weak. Manuscript, Department of Economics, University of California, Berkeley.
Moreira, M.J. (2003) A conditional likelihood ratio test for structural models. Econometrica 71, 10271048.Google Scholar
Pollard, D. (1990) Empirical Processes: Theory and Applications. NSF-CBMS Regional Conference Series in Probability and Statistics, vol. 2. Institute of Mathematical Statistics.
Puri, M.L. & P.K. Sen (1985) Nonparametric Methods in General Linear Models. Wiley.
Staiger, D. & J.H. Stock (1997) Instrumental variables regression with weak instruments. Econometrica 65, 557586.Google Scholar
Stock, J.H., J. Wright, & M. Yogo (2002) A survey of weak instruments and weak identification in generalized method of moments. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 20, 147162.Google Scholar
Thompson, S.B. (2004) Robust tests of the unit root hypothesis should not be “modified.” Econometric Theory 20, 360381.Google Scholar
van der Vaart, A.W. & J.A. Wellner (1996) Weak Convergence and Empirical Processes. Springer-Verlag.