Aviation changes so rapidly that one is virtually compelled to acquire wings oneself in order to keep up with it. Moreover, there is a scarcity of accurate information on many matters in which the economist is particularly interested. Nevertheless it is worth while to outline some of the economic aspects first of air transport in general and, secondly, of airplane transportation in Canada. The analysis is necessarily incomplete but it is hoped that it will serve as a basis for further discussion.
Air transport can best be dealt with under its most important characteristics—speed, reliability, safety, cost, scheduling, completeness, and comfort. Speed, of course, is the greatest single advantage of airplanes over competing forms of transportation. The characteristic of speed arises both from high speeds per hour while in motion and the fact that the planes can fly in a direct line without much regard to the underlying terrain. Scheduled aviation maintains an average of 180 miles per hour in the United States. On the San Francisco-New York fast sleeper service, however, the average speed is 165 miles per hour compared with 161 miles per hour on Trans-Canada's Vancouver-Montreal service. As these figures include stops, flying speeds are more than 200 miles per hour. Because air resistance increases as the square of the speed there would seem to be definite limits to still higher regular speeds except, as in military service, where costs can be ignored. On the other hand, past experience with prophecy in aviation indicates the dangers of prediction. Moreover, sub-stratosphere flights at upwards of 400 miles per hour are an immediate possibility. Speed is significant mainly in the longer hauls for in the shorter distances the time involved in going between the terminal airports, which are usually on the outskirts of the city and downtown business sections, offsets any reduction in travelling time in the line haul. The terminal difficulty may be overcome by taxicab services to and from the fields or by higher line speeds or by the expensive process of locating terminals near down-town areas.