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The Psychological Impact of Electoral Laws: Measuring Duverger's Elusive Factor

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 January 2009

Extract

Duverger's law regarding the impact of electoral systems on party competition depends upon two effects: the mechanical and the psychological. The former is well defined and well documented, whereas the latter has more often been a matter for theoretical speculation. In this article we provide an operational definition of the psychological effect of electoral systems and measure its impact across twenty democratic systems over more than a century. Our findings suggest that it does exist, that it works as Duverger predicted and that its impact is about the same magnitude as the mechanical effect.

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Articles
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Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1991

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References

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26 This data constraint is perhaps the major limitation of this study. But even Taagepera and Shugart's Seats and Votes is missing data for various countries for particular periods and relies on guesstimates for others. See their Table 12.2, pp. 138–9, where, for instance, data for Denmark, 1913–32 is missing, while question marks signal uncertainty about cases like Germany 1920–33.

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