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Rural protest leaders in China play a number of roles. Among others, they lead the charge, shape collective claims, recruit activists and mobilize the public, devise and orchestrate acts of contention, and organize cross-community efforts. Protest leaders emerge in two main ways. Long-standing public figures initiate popular action on their own or in response to requests from other villagers; and ordinary villagers evolve into protest leaders when efforts to seek redress for a personal grievance fail. Rural officials sometimes attempt to co-opt or buy off protest leaders, but more often turn to repression. Although cracking down may inhibit further contention, at other times it firms up the determination of protest leaders and makes them more prone to adopt confrontational tactics, partly by enhancing their popular support, partly by increasing the costs of withdrawal.
This article examines the dynamics behind the Hong Kong colonial government's policy during the 1967 riots, a turning point in the colony's development. Starting as an industrial dispute, it soon erupted into a major crisis that prompted the British to consider evacuation from the territory. While the Governor, David Trench, was preoccupied with the colossal task of maintaining order on the domestic front, his success was heavily dependent on his progress on the “diplomatic front.” His perception of British interests did not always resonate with the views of the British diplomats in China. This article argues that the prevalence of Trench's proposed policy of firm suppression of local communists over the accommodating approach, suggested by the British diplomats in Beijing, was a result of his success in persuading the officials in London of the greater utility of his proposal in preserving British interests. The limited options available to Britain and Trench's shrewdness in exploiting the sovereign's uncertainty over the future of China contributed to the Governor's success in swaying the opinions of officials in London.
Using data from three provinces as part of a joint study by Monash University in Australia and China's Institute of Labour Science, an affiliate body of the national Ministry of Labour and Social Security, this article examines the extension of social rights and social security coverage to intra-national migrants in China as a public governance issue. More specifically, it analyses how central government regulations on improving the situation of migrant workers are being interpreted and implemented by local governments. In this regard, it offers a unique case study of difficulties encountered in the local implementation of policy directives issued by the central government.
In 2006, China's National Bureau of Statistics undertook a benchmark revision of national income and product accounts statistics based on the findings of the 2004 economic census. The benchmark revision covers primarily the years 1993–2004 with revised economy-wide and sectoral output values. The new data have three implications. First, despite all the hype only a few years ago about data falsification by local statistical authorities in China, the 2004 economic census results validate the provincial aggregate output values and invalidate the centre's national ones. Second, at the national level, economy-wide as well as sectoral nominal values were revised but real growth rates of some sectors remained unchanged. That is not plausible, and implies that at least the secondary sector real growth rates are erroneous. And finally, the benchmark revision raises questions about the quality and meaning of a large body of official statistics. Ultimately, it casts doubt on the professionalism and sincerity of China's statistical authority.
The principal sources of information on which this chronicle is based are British Broadcasting Corporation, Monitoring Global News line – Asia-Pacific Political and British Broadcasting Corporation, Monitoring Global News line – Asia-Pacific Economic. These sources, now only available electronically, do not have reference numbers and are only identifiable by date of publication of material. The inclusion of each of these dates would unnecessarily clutter the text and such dates have therefore been omitted, except, at many points, for the original sources from which the BBC reports themselves are taken.
A wave of large-scale demonstrations from 2003 to 2006 has given rise to a new pro-democracy movement in Hong Kong and raised important questions about the political activism of the Hong Kong public. This study aims at achieving a better understanding of the cultural underpinnings of Hong Kong people's protest participation (and non-participation). Following a tradition of constructivist analysis which sees culture as a set of shared and more or less structured ideas, symbols, feelings and common senses, this study examines how participants in the pro-democracy protests make sense of their experiences and the ongoing political and social changes in Hong Kong. It shows that the 1 July 2003 demonstration has indeed empowered many of its participants, but feelings of efficacy became more complicated and mixed as people continued to monitor changes in the political environment and interpret the actions of others. At the same time, beliefs and ideas that can be regarded as part of Hong Kong's culture of de-politicization remain prevalent among the protesters. The findings of the study allow us to understand why many Hong Kong people view protests as important means of public opinion expression and yet participate in them only occasionally.
Research on rural conflict in China suggests that village leaders are sources of trouble and obstacles to justice and that aggrieved villagers have more trust in and receive more satisfactory redress from higher-level solutions than from local solutions. In contrast to this account of “justice from above,” evidence presented in this article from a 2002 survey of almost 3,000 households supports an alternative theory of “justice from below.” According to this latter theory, the social costs associated with appealing to higher authorities, including the legal system, for help with local disputes tend both to discourage the escalation of disputes and to produce relatively disappointing experiences and outcomes when such routes are taken. Survey respondents indicated that local solutions, often with the involvement of village leaders, were far more desirable and effective than higher-level solutions.
Power seized with violence has to be maintained with violence. This truth has been repeatedly proved in the course of the founding of the Chinese Communist Party. The suppression of the counterrevolutionary movement in the 1950–53 period was the first campaign launched by the PRC aimed at cleansing opposition elements. This article re-examines Mao Zedong's policies and practices, and the interaction between China's central and local authorities during the campaign. It assesses whether the campaign met its goals and its implications for the future use of suppression by the regime.
Why do we care that China's inflation has been relatively low and that the banking sector is squandering vast sums of money? In important ways, the inflationary and efficiency outcomes of the Chinese financial system represent two disparate future paths for the Chinese economy. On the one hand, sustained financial deepening, coupled with relatively low inflation, can propel China to become a global economic powerhouse. On the other hand, inefficient financial intermediation, which generates a high nonperforming loan ratio, augurs a financial crisis that spells the end of the “China Miracle” and ushers in a period of economic and possibly political instability. China's financial system produces the seeds of both future trajectories.
This chapter first discusses why inflation and efficient allocation of capital are important outcomes for China's growth trajectories. Second, it empirically compares China's inflationary and efficiency performance relative to other developing and transition countries. Compared with these countries, China's low rate of inflation has been impressive, if not stellar. This is puzzling, given the lack of institutional guarantees against political intervention in the financial system. At the same time, the banking system's efficiency, measured by the nonperforming loan ratio, is among the worst in the world.
This chapter statistically assesses the factional model in two ways. The first statistical model tests the impact of the two types of factions on provincial lending. A bedrock of this work is that membership composition of factions affects their preference for financial policies. Whereas generalist factions with substantial membership at provincial governments strive to increase monetary disbursements to the provinces, technocratic factions with members primarily in the central government have little incentive to do likewise. This starting point is not taken as given and is tested empirically. Thus, the first model examines whether factional ties give rise to the predicted effects and measures the extent to which provinces with connections with generalist factions benefit relative to provinces with no connection or with connections with technocratic factions.
The second statistical test measures the impact, if any, of the factional dynamics on inflation and lending. The factional model generates a series of predictions that counter the predictions of standard monetary theory. Thus, these counterintuitive predictions need to be tested by time series models. These findings, in combination with the qualitative findings presented in Chapters 6 through 8, provide strong empirical support for the factional model. First, the factional model predicts that high inflation systematically decreases first lending, then inflation in subsequent quarters because inflation creates a favorable political environment for technocratic factions to centralize credit, thereby lowering inflation in a later period.
Although the politics of inflationary cycles began in the late 1970s, the full manifestation of its dynamics did not take place until the late 1980s with the third reform inflationary cycle. The full flowering of the generalist faction's tendency to promote local financial control and the central bureaucrats' opposition to it occurred in the 1988 and in the 1993 inflationary cycles. The looming succession meant that junior generalists must firm up their own factions in preparation for the struggle after Deng's passing. This gave them impetus to devolve financial resources to their main provincial supporters. At the same time, these two inflationary cycles also reveal the dominant generalists' willingness to delegate financial authorities to the technocrats in order to preserve the status quo balance of power during crises. In the aftermath of the 1989 student protests and in 1995, Deng and his successor Jiang Zemin relied on the technocrats to stabilize the economy as they struggled to preserve or consolidate their power. Thus, the logic outlined in Chapter 4 continued to have an important impact on monetary policies in the rest of the 1980s and into the 1990s.
Examining more recent inflationary cycles also places the ideological hypothesis under rigorous scrutiny. Because debates over financial policies were tinged with ideology in the early 1980s, it is difficult to firmly reject the ideology hypothesis based solely on an examination of the earlier inflationary cycles.