Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Acknowledgements
- 1 The argument
- 2 The doctrine of necessity
- 3 Public amateurs, secret bureaucrats
- 4 Bureaux
- 5 The sweet despotism of reason
- 6 The quantum of sickness
- 7 The granary of science
- 8 Suicide is a kind of madness
- 9 The experimental basis of the philosophy of legislation
- 10 Facts without authenticity, without detail, without control, and without value
- 11 By what majority?
- 12 The law of large numbers
- 13 Regimental chests
- 14 Society prepares the crimes
- 15 The astronomical conception of society
- 16 The mineralogical conception of society
- 17 The most ancient nobility
- 18 Cassirer's thesis
- 19 The normal state
- 20 As real as cosmic forces
- 21 The autonomy of statistical law
- 22 A chapter from Prussian statistics
- 23 A universe of chance
- Notes
- Index
- Ideas in Context
17 - The most ancient nobility
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 June 2014
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Acknowledgements
- 1 The argument
- 2 The doctrine of necessity
- 3 Public amateurs, secret bureaucrats
- 4 Bureaux
- 5 The sweet despotism of reason
- 6 The quantum of sickness
- 7 The granary of science
- 8 Suicide is a kind of madness
- 9 The experimental basis of the philosophy of legislation
- 10 Facts without authenticity, without detail, without control, and without value
- 11 By what majority?
- 12 The law of large numbers
- 13 Regimental chests
- 14 Society prepares the crimes
- 15 The astronomical conception of society
- 16 The mineralogical conception of society
- 17 The most ancient nobility
- 18 Cassirer's thesis
- 19 The normal state
- 20 As real as cosmic forces
- 21 The autonomy of statistical law
- 22 A chapter from Prussian statistics
- 23 A universe of chance
- Notes
- Index
- Ideas in Context
Summary
Paris, 16 May 1861
Magis: Statistics, madam, is a modern and positive science. It sheds light on the most obscure facts. Thus lately, thanks to laborious research, we have come to know the exact number of widows who crossed the Pont Neuf in the course of the year 1860.
Horace (rising): Ah, bah.
Desambois: That's prodigious. And how many?
Magis: Thirteen thousand four hundred and ninety eight… and one doubtful.
The self-important statisticians with their ponderous tables were figures of fun. Thus Célestine Magis, secretary of the Statistical Society of Vierzon. A little later, in a play that ran at the Palais Royal, a statistician tried to find the number of married people per kilometre in his département. Result: 16½ married men, and 17¾ married women. Bad jokes abounded. We have seen that Balzac, in the era of enthusiasm for statistics, came to take them seriously. What began as a parody, the ‘conjugal statistics’ of The Physiology of Marriage, became a reflection on the very nature of classifying human beings. That was 1829. An era of optimism about the possible uses of statistics ended in 1848, prompting many kinds of backlash.
One was political. The statisticians were typically advocates of liberal utilitarian reform. People who had no truck with their philosophy, or with its pretensions to resolving current social issues, held them in contempt slightly mingled with fear. The numbers, to use Poisson's prescient words, did strip human beings of their individuality. The utilitarians, seemingly so concerned with the welfare of humanity, became, like Dickens's Gradgrind, indifferent to people. Ephemera such as Captain Tic spoke for a less reflective version of this resentment.
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- Information
- The Taming of Chance , pp. 142 - 149Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 1990