Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Preface
- 1 Preliminaries
- 2 Dynamics of Single-Degree-of-Freedom Linear Systems
- 3 Dynamics of Multi-Degree-of-Freedom Linear Systems
- 4 Finite Element Method
- 5 Stochastic Processes
- 6 Variance Spectrum
- 7 Environmental Loads
- 8 Random Environmental Processes
- 9 Response Spectrum
- 10 Response Statistics
- 11 Statistics for Nonlinear Problems
- 12 Short-Term and Long-Term Extremes
- 13 Dynamic Load Effects for Design Checks
- 14 Equations of Motion
- 15 Numerical Solution Techniques
- 16 Monte Carlo Methods and Extreme Value Estimation
- A Integrals
- B Poisson Process
- C Statistical Moments and Cumulants
- References
- Index
16 - Monte Carlo Methods and Extreme Value Estimation
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 February 2013
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Preface
- 1 Preliminaries
- 2 Dynamics of Single-Degree-of-Freedom Linear Systems
- 3 Dynamics of Multi-Degree-of-Freedom Linear Systems
- 4 Finite Element Method
- 5 Stochastic Processes
- 6 Variance Spectrum
- 7 Environmental Loads
- 8 Random Environmental Processes
- 9 Response Spectrum
- 10 Response Statistics
- 11 Statistics for Nonlinear Problems
- 12 Short-Term and Long-Term Extremes
- 13 Dynamic Load Effects for Design Checks
- 14 Equations of Motion
- 15 Numerical Solution Techniques
- 16 Monte Carlo Methods and Extreme Value Estimation
- A Integrals
- B Poisson Process
- C Statistical Moments and Cumulants
- References
- Index
Summary
Introduction
The last decade has seen a dramatic increase in the use of Monte Carlo methods for solving stochastic engineering problems. There are primarily two reasons for this increase. First, the computational power available today, even for a laptop computer, is formidable and steadily increasing. Second, the versatility of Monte Carlo methods make them very attractive as a way of obtaining solutions to stochastic problems. The drawback of Monte Carlo methods for a range of problems has been that the required numerical calculations may take days, weeks or even months to do. But this situation is changing, some numerical problems that required several days of computer time for their solution just a few years ago can now be solved in minutes or hours. This has really opened the door for the use of Monte Carlo-based methods for solving a wide array of stochastic engineering problems. In this chapter the focus is on adapting Monte Carlo methods for estimation of extreme values of stochastic processes encountered in various engineering disciplines.
Simulation of Stationary Stochastic Processes
The approach to the simulation of stationary stochastic processes favored in this book is the spectral representation method. The main reason for this is its simplicity and transparency for practical applications. This choice has, in fact, already been implemented at several places previously in this book. Taken together, they constitute a fairly complete description on the level needed here of how to simulate a stationary process.
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- Stochastic Dynamics of Marine Structures , pp. 341 - 384Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2012