Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Dedication
- Contents
- Preface
- Notation
- 1 Sums of Independent Random Variables
- 2 The Central Limit Theorem
- 3 Infinitely Divisible Laws
- 4 Lévy Processes
- 5 Conditioning and Martingales
- 6 Some Extensions and Applications of Martingale Theory
- 7 Continuous Parameter Martingales
- 8 Gaussian Measures on a Banach Space
- 9 Convergence of Measures on a Polish Space
- 10 Wiener Measure and Partial Differential Equations
- 11 Some Classical Potential Theory
- References
- Index
5 - Conditioning and Martingales
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 07 November 2024
- Frontmatter
- Dedication
- Contents
- Preface
- Notation
- 1 Sums of Independent Random Variables
- 2 The Central Limit Theorem
- 3 Infinitely Divisible Laws
- 4 Lévy Processes
- 5 Conditioning and Martingales
- 6 Some Extensions and Applications of Martingale Theory
- 7 Continuous Parameter Martingales
- 8 Gaussian Measures on a Banach Space
- 9 Convergence of Measures on a Polish Space
- 10 Wiener Measure and Partial Differential Equations
- 11 Some Classical Potential Theory
- References
- Index
Summary
Because they are not needed earlier, conditional expectations do not appear until Chapter 5. The advantage gained by this postponement is that, by the time I introduce them, I have an ample supply of examples to which conditioning can be applied; the disadvantage is that, with considerable justice, many probabilists feel that one is not doing probability theory until one is conditioning. Be that as it may, Kolmogorov’s definition is given in §5.1 and is shown to extend naturally to both σ-finite measure spaces and random variables with values in a Banach space. Section 5.2 presents Doob’s basic theory of real-valued, discrete parameter martingales: Doob’s Inequality, his Stopping Time Theorem, and his Martingale Convergence Theorem. In the last part of §5.2, I introduce reversed martingales and apply them to DeFinetti’s theory of exchangeable random variables.
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- Probability Theory, An Analytic View , pp. 170 - 199Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2024