Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Preface
- Acronyms and abbreviations
- Principal symbols
- 1 Introduction
- 2 The governing systems of equations
- 3 Numerical solutions to the equations
- 4 Physical-process parameterizations
- 5 Modeling surface processes
- 6 Model initialization
- 7 Ensemble methods
- 8 Predictability
- 9 Verification methods
- 10 Experimental design in model-based research
- 11 Techniques for analyzing model output
- 12 Operational numerical weather prediction
- 13 Statistical post processing of model output
- 14 Coupled special-applications models
- 15 Computational fluid-dynamics models
- 16 Climate modeling and downscaling
- Appendix: Suggested code structure and experiments for a simple shallow-fluid model
- References
- Index
12 - Operational numerical weather prediction
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 June 2012
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Preface
- Acronyms and abbreviations
- Principal symbols
- 1 Introduction
- 2 The governing systems of equations
- 3 Numerical solutions to the equations
- 4 Physical-process parameterizations
- 5 Modeling surface processes
- 6 Model initialization
- 7 Ensemble methods
- 8 Predictability
- 9 Verification methods
- 10 Experimental design in model-based research
- 11 Techniques for analyzing model output
- 12 Operational numerical weather prediction
- 13 Statistical post processing of model output
- 14 Coupled special-applications models
- 15 Computational fluid-dynamics models
- 16 Climate modeling and downscaling
- Appendix: Suggested code structure and experiments for a simple shallow-fluid model
- References
- Index
Summary
Background
The application of models for operational NWP has much in common with their use for answering physical-process questions, and for satisfying practical needs related to the assessment of air quality, evaluating the potential utility of new observing systems with OSSEs, and testing new numerical methods and physical-process parameterizations. Nevertheless, there are some issues that are unique to operational modeling. These will be addressed in this chapter.
It could be argued that the student of NWP should not need this kind of operationsoriented information because only large national modeling centers with experienced staff and large, fast computers are involved in operational prediction. However, there is a rapid growth in the use of operational regional models by consulting companies, universities, and regional governments to satisfy specialized needs. Thus, the student should become familiar with some of the concepts associated with the operational use of models.
Figure 12.1 illustrates the various components of a very simple operational modeling system. It should be kept in mind that the modeling systems that are operated by national weather services have very large infrastructures, and that the one summarized here is more consistent with the many modest-sized, specialized, operational-modeling systems that exist throughout the world. Some of these system components have been discussed before in earlier chapters, for example related to model initialization. To begin with, the system must have real-time connectivity to operational observational-data networks (top box in the figure), where this generally involves separate access to a number of different data providers.
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- Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction , pp. 358 - 365Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2010