Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of figures
- List of tables
- List of contributors
- Acknowledgements
- URL disclaimer
- 1 Introduction: the transmission mechanism and monetary policy
- 2 Are the effects of monetary policy in the euro area greater in recessions than in booms?
- 3 Supply shocks and the ‘natural rate of interest’: an exploration
- 4 Some econometric issues in measuring the monetary transmission mechanism, with an application to developing countries
- 5 Central bank goals, institutional change and monetary policy: evidence from the United States and the United Kingdom
- 6 The transmission mechanism of monetary policy near zero interest rates: the Japanese experience, 1998–2000
- 7 What does the UK's monetary policy and inflation experience tell us about the transmission mechanism?
- 8 Modelling the transmission mechanism of monetary policy
- 9 Empirical evidence for credit effects in the transmission mechanism of the United Kingdom
- 10 Uncovered interest parity with fundamentals: a Brazilian exchange rate forecast model
- 11 Uncovered interest parity and the monetary transmission mechanism
- Bibliography
- Index
8 - Modelling the transmission mechanism of monetary policy
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 22 September 2009
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of figures
- List of tables
- List of contributors
- Acknowledgements
- URL disclaimer
- 1 Introduction: the transmission mechanism and monetary policy
- 2 Are the effects of monetary policy in the euro area greater in recessions than in booms?
- 3 Supply shocks and the ‘natural rate of interest’: an exploration
- 4 Some econometric issues in measuring the monetary transmission mechanism, with an application to developing countries
- 5 Central bank goals, institutional change and monetary policy: evidence from the United States and the United Kingdom
- 6 The transmission mechanism of monetary policy near zero interest rates: the Japanese experience, 1998–2000
- 7 What does the UK's monetary policy and inflation experience tell us about the transmission mechanism?
- 8 Modelling the transmission mechanism of monetary policy
- 9 Empirical evidence for credit effects in the transmission mechanism of the United Kingdom
- 10 Uncovered interest parity with fundamentals: a Brazilian exchange rate forecast model
- 11 Uncovered interest parity and the monetary transmission mechanism
- Bibliography
- Index
Summary
The main question I wish to focus on in this chapter is: ‘How should we think about the monetary transmission mechanism in a live policy-making environment?’ I shall concentrate upon practical problems. There are essentially two sub-questions here. The first is ‘How should we define monetary policy?’ The second is ‘How should we model the economy?’ I shall offer a personal perspective on these two sub-questions, but one that is closely related to the Bank of England's current thinking about monetary policy transmission issues, represented by the book Economic Models at the Bank of England (1999b).
What do we mean, therefore, by monetary policy? This should be a phrase about which central bankers should be clear. Monetary policy in the UK context is what we can do to interest rates. Yet we know that monetary policy also concerns money. Inflation is a monetary phenomenon. Economists applying for positions at the Bank of England are often asked during their interview, ‘Is inflation possible in a barter economy?’ A correct answer to this question is closely correlated with our selection decision !
If inflation is a monetary phenomenon, what role is there for money? The policy process for setting interest rates is informed by the use of many models that appear to have little explicit role for money. Perhaps we should state that inflation is always and everywhere a monetary policy phenomenon. If we have an inflation target, it is tempting to say that inflation is an inflation target phenomenon.
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- Monetary Transmission in Diverse Economies , pp. 156 - 166Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2002
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