Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-8bhkd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-07T10:28:42.993Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

11 - Greenland: modelling

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 October 2009

Roderik S. W. Van De Wal
Affiliation:
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, Utrecht University
Jonathan L. Bamber
Affiliation:
University of Bristol
Antony J. Payne
Affiliation:
University of Bristol
Get access

Summary

Introduction

Modelling the mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet is a way to improve our understanding of the processes that are important for the behaviour of the ice sheet. Models are tools to find out whether we can explain the observations and extrapolate them to areas for which no observations are available. The purpose of mass balance models is to relate mass balance to the prevailing or changing climate. This offers the possibility to predict how the ice sheet responds to climatic change. Changes in the ice flow have response times of the order of 104 years and are determined by isostasy and thermodynamics. Changes in the specific mass balance can be much faster. For the Greenland ice sheet, under the present-day climate, the long-term dynamic imbalance is probably small (Church et al., 2001; Huybrechts and De Wolde, 1999). For this reason, the main focus of this chapter will be on modelling the specific mass balance. Changes in accumulation and ablation due to climate changes can contribute significantly to sea-level changes on 100-year timescales. To study this, several mass balance models for the Greenland ice sheet are used. We can distinguish three categories of models:

  • general circulation models;

  • parameterized models;

  • boundary layer models.

General circulation models (GCMs.) take into account changes in the atmospheric circulation in a realistic manner, which is why they are particularly useful for calculating (changes in) accumulation. They are, however, not yet very appropriate for ablation calculations, as will become clear later in this chapter.

Type
Chapter
Information
Mass Balance of the Cryosphere
Observations and Modelling of Contemporary and Future Changes
, pp. 437 - 458
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2004

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Ambach, W. 1963. Untersuchungen zum Energieumsatz in der Ablationszone des Gr⊘nlandischen Inlandeises (Camp IV-EGIG, 69°40′05′′N, 49°37′58′′W). Medd. Gr⊘nl. 174 (4),Google Scholar
Bales, R. C., McConell, J. R., Mosley-Thompson, E. and Csatho, B. 2001. Accumulation maps for the Greenland Ice sheet: 1971–1990. Geophys. Res. Lett. 28 (15), 2967–70CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bamber, J. L., Hardy, R. J., Huybrechts, P. and Joughin, I. 2000. A comparison of balance velocities, measured velocities and thermodynamically modeled velocities for the Greenland ice sheet. Ann. Glaciol. 30, 211–16CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bamber, J. L., Layberry, R. and Gogineni, S. 2001. A new ice thickness and bedrock dataset for the Greenland ice sheet. J. Geophys. Res. 106 (D24), 33 773–80CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Braithwaite, R. J. 1985. Calculation of degree-days for glacier-climate research. Z. Gletscherkd. Glazialgeol. 20, 1–8Google Scholar
Braithwaite, R. J. and Olesen, O. B. 1989. Detection of climate signal by inter-stake correlations of annual ablation data, QamanârssÛp Sermia, West Greenland, J. Glaciol. 35 (120), 253–9CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Braithwaite, R. J. and Thomsen, H. H. 1984. Runoff conditions at Paakitsup Akuliarusersua, Jakobshavn, estimated by modelling. Gr⊘nlands Geologiske Unders⊘gelse Gletscher-hydrol. Meddl. 84/3, 22 ppGoogle Scholar
Bromwich, D. H., Robasky, F. M., Keen, R. A. and Bolzan, J. F. 1993. Modeled variations of precipitation over the Greenland ice sheet. J. Climat. 6, 1253–682.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Calanca, P., Gilgen, H., Ekholm, S. and Ohmura, A. 2000. Gridded temperature and accumulation distributions for Greenland for use in cryospheric models. Ann. Glaciol. 31, 118–20CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chen, Q-S., Bromwich, D. H. and Bai, L. 1997. Precipitation over Greenland retrieved by a dynamic method and its relation to cyclonic activity. J. Climat. 10, 839–702.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Church, J. A. et al. 2001. Changes in sea-level. In Houghton, J. T. and Yihui, D., eds., IPCC Third Scientific Assessment of Climate Change. Cambridge University Press
Clement, P. 1981. Glaciological activities in the Johan Dahl Land 1980, South Greenland. Gr⊘nlands Geologiske Unders⊘gelse, Ser. Report 105, 62–4Google Scholar
Clement, P. 1982. Glaciological investigations in connection with hydropower. Gr⊘nlands Geologiske Unders⊘gelse, Ser. Report 110, 91–5Google Scholar
Clement, P. 1983. Mass balance measurements on glaciers in South Greenland. Gr⊘nlands Geologiske Unders⊘gelse, Ser. Report 115, 118–23Google Scholar
Clement, P. 1984. Glaciological activities in the Johan Dahl Land area, South Greenland. Gr⊘nlands Geologiske Unders⊘gelse, Ser. Report 120, 113–21Google Scholar
Connolly, W. M. and King, J. C. 1996. A modelling and observational study of East-Antarctic surface mass balance. J. Geophys. Res. 101, 1335–43CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dahl-Jensen, D., Johnsen, S. J., Hammer, C. U., Clausen, H. B. and Jouzel, J. 1993. Past accumulation rates derived from observed annual layers in the GRIP ice core from Summit, Central Greenland. In Peltier W. R., ed., Ice in the Climate System. NATO ASI Series 112. Berlin, Springer, pp. 517–31
Wolde, J. R., Huybrechts, P., Oerlemans, J. and Wal, R. S. W. 1997. Projections of global mean sea level rise calculated with a 2D energy-balance climate model and dynamic ice sheet models. Tellus 49A, 486–502CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Denby, B. 2001. Ph.D. thesis, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht University, The Netherlands
Ekholm, S. 1996. A full coverage, high resolution, topographic model of Greenland, computed from a variety of digital elevation data. J. Geophys. Res. 101, 21961–72CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fahnestock, M., Bindschadler, R., Kwok, R. and Jezek, K. 1993. Greenland ice sheet surface properties and ice dynamics from ERS-1 SAR imagery. Science 262 (5139), 1485–1616CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Genthon, C. and Braun, A. 1995. ECMWF analysis and predictions of the surface climate of Greenland and Antarctica. J. Climat. 8, 2324–322.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Genthon C., Jouzel, J. and Déqué, M. 1994. Accumulation at the surface of polar ice sheets: observation and modeling for global climate change. In Desbois, M. and Desalmand, F., eds., Global Precipitations and Climate Change. NATO ASI Series I, vol. 26, pp. 53–76
Glover, R. W. 1999. Influence of spatial resolution and treatment of orography on GCM estimates of the surface mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet. J. Climat. 12, 551–632.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, Greuell W. and Konzelmann, T. 1994. Numerical modelling of the energy balance and the englacial temperature of the Greenland ice sheet. Calculations for the ETH-camp location (West Greenland m a.s.l.). Global & Planetary Change 9 (1/2), 91–114Google Scholar
Greuell, W., Denby, B., Wal, R. S. W. and Oerlemans, J. 2001. Ten years of mass-balance measurements along a transect near Kangerlussuag, Greenland. J. Glaciol. 47 (156), 157–8CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Greve, R. 1995. Thermomechanisches Verhalten polythermer Eisschilde, Theorie, analytik, numerik. Ph.D. Thesis, University of Darmstadt, Germany
Greve, R. 1997. Application of a polythermal three-dimensional ice sheet model to the Greenland ice sheet: response to steady-state and transient climate scenarios. J. Climat. 10, 901–182.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Huybrechts, P. 1994. The present evolution of the Greenland ice sheet: an assessment by modelling. Global & Planetary Change 9, 39–51CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Huybrechts, P. and Wolde, J. 1999. The dynamic response of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to multiple-century climate warming. J. Climat. 12, 2169–882.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Huybrechts, P., Letréguilly, A. and Reeh, N. 1991. The Greenland ice sheet and greenhouse warming. Global & Planetary Change 3 (4), 399–412CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Janssens, I. and Huybechts, P. 2000. The treatment of meltwater retardation in mass-balance parameterizations of the Greenland ice sheet. Ann. Glaciol. 31, 133–40CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Krinner, G., Genthon, C., Li, Z-X. and Van, P. 1997. Studies of the Antarctic climate with a stretched-grid general circulation model. J. Geophys. Res. 10 (13), 731–45Google Scholar
Lefebre, F., , Gallee H., Ypersele, J. P. and , Greuell W. 2003. Modeling of snow and ice melt at ETH Camp (West Greenland): a study of surface albedo. J. Geophys. Res. 108 (D8) art. no. 4231CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Letréguilly, A., Huybrechts, P. and Reeh, N. 1991. Steady-state characteristics of the Greenland ice sheet under different climates. J. Glaciol. 37 (125) 149–57CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nobles, L. H. 1960. Glaciological investigations, Nunatarssuaq ice ramp, northwestern Greenland. SIPRE Technical Report 66, 57 pp
Oerlemans, J., Wal, R. S. W. and Conrads, L. A. C. 1991. A model for the surface balance of ice masses. Part II: application to the Greenland ice sheet. Z. Gletscherkd. Glazialgeol. 27/28, 85–96Google Scholar
Ohmura, A. 1987. New temperature distribution maps for Greenland. J. Glaciol. 37, 140–8CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ohmura, A. and Reeh, N. 1991. New precipitation and accumulation maps for Greenland. J. Glaciol. 37, 140–8CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ohmura, A., Wild, M. and Bengtsson, L. 1996. A possible change in mass balance of Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets in the coming century. J. Climat. 9, 2124–352.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ohmura, A., Calanca, P., Wild, M. and Anklin, M. 1999. Precipitation, accumulation and mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet. Z. Gletscherkd. Glazialgeol. 35, 1–20Google Scholar
Pfeffer, W. T., Meier, M. F. and Illangasekare, T. H. 1991. Retention of Greenland runoff by refreezing: implication for projected sea level change. J. Geophys. Res. 96 (12), 22 117–24CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Reeh, N. 1989. Dynamic and climatic history of the Greenland ice sheet. In Fulton, R. J., ed., Quaternary Geology of Canada and Greenland. Geological Survey of Canada (1), pp. 793–822
Reeh, N. 1991. Parameterization of melt rate and surface temperature on the Greenland ice sheet. Polarforschung 59 (3), 113–28Google Scholar
Reeh, N. 1994a. Calving from Greenland glaciers: observations, balance estimates of calving rates, calving laws. In Reeh, N., ed., Report on the Workshop on the Calving Rate of West Greenland Glaciers in Response to Climate Change. Copenhagen, Danish Polar Center, pp. 85–102
Reeh, N. 1994b. Sensitivity to climate change of the calf-ice production from Greenland glaciers. In Reeh, N., ed., Report on the Workshop on the Calving Rate of West Greenland Glaciers in Response to Climate Change. Copenhagen, Danish Polar Center, pp. 103–9
Reeh, N. and Starzer, W. 1996. Spatial resolution of ice-sheet topography: influence on Greenland mass-balance modelling. GGU report 1996/53, pp. 85–94
Ritz, C., Fabre, A. and Letréguilly, A. 1997. Sensitivity of a Greenland ice sheet model to ice flow and ablation parameters: consequences for the evolution through the last climate cycle. Climat. Dyn. 13, 11–24CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Thompson, S. L. and Pollard, D. 1997. Greenland and Antarctic mass balances for present and doubled atmospheric CO2 from the GENESIS version-2 global climate model. J. Climat. 10, 871–9002.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wal, R. S. W. 1996. Mass balance modelling of the Greenland ice sheet: a comparison of energy balance and degree-day models. Ann. Glaciol. 23, 36–45Google Scholar
Wal, R. S. W. 1999. The importance of thermodynamics for modeling the volume of the Greenland ice sheet. J. Geophys. Res. 104 (D4), 3887–98Google Scholar
Wal, R. S. W. and Ekholm, S. 1996. On elevation models as input for mass balance calculations of the Greenland ice sheet. Ann. Glaciol. 23, 181–6Google Scholar
Wal, R. S. W. and Oerlemans, J. 1994. An energy balance model for the Greenland ice sheet. Global & Planetary Change 9, 115–31Google Scholar
Wal, R. S. W. 1997. Modelling the short-term response of the Greenland ice sheet to global warming. Climat. Dyn. 13, 733–44Google Scholar
Wal, R. S. W., Wild, M. and Wolde, J. R. 2001. Short-term volume changes of the Greenland ice sheet in response to doubled CO2 conditions. Tellus 53B, 94–102Google Scholar
Van der Veen, C. J. 1999. Fundamentals of Glacier Dynamics. Rotterdam/Brookfield, Balkema
Tatenhove, F. G. M., Meer, J. J. M. and Huybrechts, P. 1995. Glacial-geological/geomorphological research in West Greenland used to test an ice-sheet model. Quat. Res. 44, 317–27CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Warrick, R. A., Le Provost, C., Meier, M. F., Oerlemans, J. and Woodworth, P. L. 1996. Changes in sea level. In Houghton, J. T. et al., eds., Climate Change 1995 – The Science of Climate. Cambridge University Press, pp. 359–405
Weidick, A. 1995. Satellite Image Atlas of Glaciers of the World: Greenland. US Geological Survey Professional Paper 1386-C. Washington, United States Government Printing Office
Wild, M. and Ohmura, A. 2000. Changes in mass balance of the polar ice sheets and sea level under greenhouse warming as projected in high resolution GCM simulations. Ann. Glaciol. 30, 197–203CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure [email protected] is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×