
Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of contributors
- Acknowledgments
- Introduction and overview
- 1 Managing risks to the international economic system
- Perspective: Political threats to the international economic system
- Perspective: The crisis of exogeneity, or our reduced ability to deal with risk
- 2 Country risk: economic aspects
- 3 Political risk: analysis, process, and purpose
- 4 Country risk: social and cultural aspects
- Perspective: The risks of lending to developing countries
- Perspective: Country risk, a banker's view
- Perspective: Managing country risk for a manufacturing corporation
- 5 Organizational and institutional responses to international risk
- Perspective: Organizational strategies for coping with country risk
- 6 Insuring against country risks: descriptive and prescriptive aspects
- Perspective: Country risk insurance, an insurer's view
- Index
Perspective: Political threats to the international economic system
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 07 May 2010
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of contributors
- Acknowledgments
- Introduction and overview
- 1 Managing risks to the international economic system
- Perspective: Political threats to the international economic system
- Perspective: The crisis of exogeneity, or our reduced ability to deal with risk
- 2 Country risk: economic aspects
- 3 Political risk: analysis, process, and purpose
- 4 Country risk: social and cultural aspects
- Perspective: The risks of lending to developing countries
- Perspective: Country risk, a banker's view
- Perspective: Managing country risk for a manufacturing corporation
- 5 Organizational and institutional responses to international risk
- Perspective: Organizational strategies for coping with country risk
- 6 Insuring against country risks: descriptive and prescriptive aspects
- Perspective: Country risk insurance, an insurer's view
- Index
Summary
These remarks constitute a “perspective” and are not meant as a critique of Professor Richard Cooper's chapter. My perspective is that of the student of international politics, the true “dismal science,” since the repeal of the Iron Law of Wages and the development of new technologies of destruction and oppression that strengthen the hands of repressive governments – and terrorists – around the world.
This may be a dismal way to begin my commentary. But putting matters this way suggests an initial perspective on Professor Cooper's chapter. The risks with which Professor Cooper is concerned all have their origins in actions that would directly affect economic transactions of specific types – foreign exchange dealings, debt repayments, and trade in manufactured goods and in oil. Political-military risks, most notably, the risk of nuclear war and of a continually accelerating arms race, are not considered. Yet in the past, the world economy has been disrupted by war as well as depression, as the experience of World War I suggests. And in the present state of Soviet–American relations, the risks of nuclear war and of an escalating arms race should not be underestimated. The chief military advisor to the National Security Council declared in October 1981 that the Soviet Union had achieved military superiority, was “on the move,” and was “going to strike” (New York Times, Oct. 21, 1981). Earlier that same month, the president of the United States suggested that a tactical nuclear war was possible in Europe without, perhaps, leading to a nuclear exchange between the superpowers.
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Managing International RiskEssays Commissioned in Honor of the Centenary of the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, pp. 53 - 59Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 1983