Published online by Cambridge University Press: 19 September 2009
[The] foundations are the most controversial parts of many, if not all, sciences.
Leonard J. Savage (1917–1971), The Foundations of StatisticsThis chapter introduces basic definitions and results in term structure modeling. It lays the theoretical foundations for interest rate models. A few simple models are presented at the end of the chapter.
Terminology
A period denotes a unit of elapsed time throughout this chapter. Hence, viewed at time t, the next time instant refers to time t + dt in the continuous-time model and time t + 1 in the discrete-time case. If the discrete-time model results from dividing the time interval [s, t] into n periods, then each period takes (t – s)/n time. Here bonds are assumed to have a par value of one unless stated otherwise. We use the same notation for discrete-time and continuous-time models as the context is always clear. The time unit for continuous-time models is usually measured by the year. We standardize the following notation:
t: a point in time.
r(t): the one-period riskless rate prevailing at time t for repayment one period later (the instantaneous spot rate, or short rate, at time t).
P(t, T): the PV at time t of $1 at time T.
r(t, T): the (T – t)-period interest rate prevailing at time t stated on a per-period basis and compounded once per period – in other words, the (T – t)-period spot rate at time t. (This definition dictates that continuous-time models use continuous compounding and discrete-time models use periodic compounding.)
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