Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Contributors
- PART I Introduction
- PART II Escalation Forms and Outcomes
- 2 Deadlocks in Negotiation Dynamics
- 3 Deterrence, Escalation, and Negotiation
- 4 Quantitative Models for Armament Escalation and Negotiations
- 5 Entrapment in International Negotiations
- 6 The Role of Vengeance in Conflict Escalation
- PART III Negotiating out of Escalation
- PART IV Conclusion
- Index
- About the Processes of International Negotiation (PIN) Network at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
5 - Entrapment in International Negotiations
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 10 October 2009
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Contributors
- PART I Introduction
- PART II Escalation Forms and Outcomes
- 2 Deadlocks in Negotiation Dynamics
- 3 Deterrence, Escalation, and Negotiation
- 4 Quantitative Models for Armament Escalation and Negotiations
- 5 Entrapment in International Negotiations
- 6 The Role of Vengeance in Conflict Escalation
- PART III Negotiating out of Escalation
- PART IV Conclusion
- Index
- About the Processes of International Negotiation (PIN) Network at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Summary
Introduction
Entrapment is drowning in a swamp: the more we move, the more the swamp drags us down. It is playing roulette: the more we lose, the more we want to compensate our losses. We can be emotionally tied to a negative development. Rationally speaking we should stop, but we do not want to lose face or the resources already invested in the process, so instead we continue, running the risk of eventually losing much more than if we had cut our losses at an early stage. According to prospect theory (Kahneman and Tversky 1979), people are much more willing to take risks in order to prevent losses than to gain profits. Positive prospects generate risk avoidance; negative prospects induce risk taking if and only if one of the parties has already invested substantially and is in the process of risking the loss of those investments.
Escalation is a mark of conflict's dynamics, as is entrapment. Like escalation, entrapment is an increase in a conflict situation. However, in entrapment, the balance will be lost: one party is getting a stronger grip on the other party, which is losing its grip. In many cases it is the stronger party that sees its alternatives diminish, often through its own actions. This is due both to the reactions of the weaker party and to the specific landscape in which the entrapment situation develops.
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Escalation and Negotiation in International Conflicts , pp. 111 - 140Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2005
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