Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 July 2011
Requiring students of criminal justice to learn the fundamentals of statistical inference may or may not be good for them, but it surely can enlighten the instructor. In searching for a way to motivate my students to learn about Type I and II errors and the logic of statistical inference, I have asked them whether they are concerned about errors of inference made by police, prosecutors, juries, and sentencing judges. It has struck me, in discussing these metaphors, that we have a coherent, sophisticated, effective framework for managing errors in statistical inference, but no such framework for managing errors in the criminal justice system. The errors are not identical, to be sure, but they are parallel. In both domains, some procedures tend to shift errors, others either reduce or increase both sets of errors. We can examine the shifts in errors of inference in hypothesis testing that derive from changes in the alpha level, but haven't a clue as to the effect of a change in the standard of evidence on corresponding errors of justice. We haven't attempted even to ask. We know precisely how increases in sample size reduce both Type I and II errors for given parameter values, but we have no idea the extent to which DNA evidence simultaneously reduces the rate of erroneous convictions in homicide or rape cases and increases the rate at which such crimes are solved.
To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure [email protected] is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.
Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.
Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.
To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.
To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.