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1 - The Maximum Likelihood Principle

from PART ONE - Maximum Likelihood

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 January 2013

Vance Martin
Affiliation:
University of Melbourne
Stan Hurn
Affiliation:
Queensland University of Technology
David Harris
Affiliation:
Monash University, Victoria
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Summary

Maximum likelihood estimation is a general method for estimating the parameters of econometric models from observed data. The principle of maximum likelihood plays a central role in the exposition of this book, since a number of estimators used in econometrics can be derived within this framework. Examples include ordinary least squares, generalised least squares and full information maximum likelihood. In deriving the maximum likelihood estimator, a key concept is the joint probability density function (pdf) of the observed random variables, yt. Maximum likelihood estimation requires that the following conditions are satisfied.

  1. (1) The form of the joint pdf of yt is known.

  2. (2) The specifications of the moments of the joint pdf are known.

  3. (3) The joint pdf can be evaluated for all values of the parameters, θ.

Parts ONE and TWO of this book deal with models in which all these conditions are satisfied. Part THREE investigates models in which these conditions are not satisfied and considers four important cases. First, if the distribution of yt is misspecified, resulting in both conditions 1 and 2 being violated, estimation is by quasi-maximum likelihood (Chapter 9). Second, if condition 1 is not satisfied, a generalised method of moments estimator (Chapter 10) is required. Third, if condition 2 is not satisfied, estimation relies on nonparametric methods (Chapter 11). Fourth, if condition 3 is violated, simulation-based estimation methods are used (Chapter 12).

Type
Chapter
Information
Econometric Modelling with Time Series
Specification, Estimation and Testing
, pp. 3 - 32
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2012

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