Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Illustrations
- Computer Code Used in the Examples
- Preface
- PART ONE Maximum Likelihood
- 1 The Maximum Likelihood Principle
- 2 Properties of Maximum Likelihood Estimators
- 3 Numerical Estimation Methods
- 4 Hypothesis Testing
- PART TWO Regression Models
- PART THREE Other Estimation Methods
- PART FOUR Stationary Time Series
- PART FIVE Nonstationary Time Series
- PART SIX Nonlinear Time Series
- Appendix A Change of Variable in Density Functions
- Appendix B The Lag Operator
- Appendix C FIML Estimation of a Structural Model
- Appendix D Additional Nonparametric Results
- References
- Author Index
- Subject Index
1 - The Maximum Likelihood Principle
from PART ONE - Maximum Likelihood
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 January 2013
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Illustrations
- Computer Code Used in the Examples
- Preface
- PART ONE Maximum Likelihood
- 1 The Maximum Likelihood Principle
- 2 Properties of Maximum Likelihood Estimators
- 3 Numerical Estimation Methods
- 4 Hypothesis Testing
- PART TWO Regression Models
- PART THREE Other Estimation Methods
- PART FOUR Stationary Time Series
- PART FIVE Nonstationary Time Series
- PART SIX Nonlinear Time Series
- Appendix A Change of Variable in Density Functions
- Appendix B The Lag Operator
- Appendix C FIML Estimation of a Structural Model
- Appendix D Additional Nonparametric Results
- References
- Author Index
- Subject Index
Summary
Maximum likelihood estimation is a general method for estimating the parameters of econometric models from observed data. The principle of maximum likelihood plays a central role in the exposition of this book, since a number of estimators used in econometrics can be derived within this framework. Examples include ordinary least squares, generalised least squares and full information maximum likelihood. In deriving the maximum likelihood estimator, a key concept is the joint probability density function (pdf) of the observed random variables, yt. Maximum likelihood estimation requires that the following conditions are satisfied.
(1) The form of the joint pdf of yt is known.
(2) The specifications of the moments of the joint pdf are known.
(3) The joint pdf can be evaluated for all values of the parameters, θ.
Parts ONE and TWO of this book deal with models in which all these conditions are satisfied. Part THREE investigates models in which these conditions are not satisfied and considers four important cases. First, if the distribution of yt is misspecified, resulting in both conditions 1 and 2 being violated, estimation is by quasi-maximum likelihood (Chapter 9). Second, if condition 1 is not satisfied, a generalised method of moments estimator (Chapter 10) is required. Third, if condition 2 is not satisfied, estimation relies on nonparametric methods (Chapter 11). Fourth, if condition 3 is violated, simulation-based estimation methods are used (Chapter 12).
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- Chapter
- Information
- Econometric Modelling with Time SeriesSpecification, Estimation and Testing, pp. 3 - 32Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2012