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9 - Risk assessment III: new approaches, new problems

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 August 2009

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Summary

Scientists do not enjoy resorting to defaults, not only because of their uncertain scientific foundation, but also because their use takes some of the creative work out of the conduct of risk assessment. Uncovering novel approaches to the problems of any of the several forms of extrapolation used in risk assessment, or to the problem of variability in response among individuals, and identifying the types of scientific information that might be used to implement those approaches are highly challenging endeavors. If circumstances allow their implementation in specific cases, the accuracy of risk assessments might be improved. Basing regulations and public health decisions on more accurate risk assessment results should be welcomed by all.

There are several large impediments to achieving the goal of more accurate risk assessments. First, it often requires a considerable investment in the research necessary to uncover the types of information needed to replace default assumptions in specific cases. If one hypothesizes that di-(2-ethylhexyl)phthalate (DEHP, a real and important chemical) produces liver tumors in rodents by mechanisms that either do not apply to humans at all, or that do not operate at low (human) doses, or both, then there arises the question of what type of research information is necessary to test the validity of such hypotheses? If such research is actually carried out, then what type of results from that research would allow conclusions to be drawn about the validity of the hypotheses?

Type
Chapter
Information
Calculated Risks
The Toxicity and Human Health Risks of Chemicals in our Environment
, pp. 250 - 272
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2006

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