Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-m6dg7 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-09T05:29:22.326Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

2 - Ecological limits of adaptation to climate change

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  31 August 2009

W. Neil Adger
Affiliation:
University of East Anglia
Irene Lorenzoni
Affiliation:
University of East Anglia
Karen L. O'Brien
Affiliation:
Universitetet i Oslo
Get access

Summary

Introduction

The human domination of Earth's ecosystems imposes ecological limits to the ability of humanity to adapt to climate change. Humanity already uses a substantial proportion of Earth's ecosystem services, and there are limits to the extent that humanity can increase this use further, particularly in the context of climate change. There are two reasons for this: first, human modification of ecosystems is decreasing the supply and undermining the reliability of many of these services, and climatic change is likely to amplify these changes. Second, the simplification of Earth's ecosystems has reduced the ability of ecosystems to self-regulate, which increases the possibilities for abrupt changes in ecological functioning. Abrupt changes are much more difficult to adapt to than gradual changes. In this chapter, I review evidence for regime shifts in agricultural ecosystems, and discuss how climate change could alter these regime shifts. Based on these examples, I argue that adaptation policies should consider and aim to reduce the ecological limits to adaptation by focusing on building ecological resilience in combination with climate change mitigation and adaptation.

Living in the Anthropocene

Climate change is occurring on a planet that is already dominated by humans. Humanity's modification of the Earth is the product of both intentional activities, such as converting wild ecosystems to agricultural ones to increase the supply of food, and unintentional activities, such as the production of climate change via the burning of fossil fuels.

Type
Chapter
Information
Adapting to Climate Change
Thresholds, Values, Governance
, pp. 25 - 41
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2009

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Anderies, J. M., Ryan, P. and Walker, B. H. 2006. ‘Loss of resilience, crisis, and institutional change: lessons from an intensive agricultural system in southeastern Australia’, Ecosystems 9: 865–878.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bennett, E. M., Carpenter, S. R. and Caraco, N. F. 2001. ‘Human impact on erodable phosphorus and eutrophication: a global perspective’, BioScience 51: 227–234.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bossio, D., Critchley, W., Geheb, K., Lynden, G. and Mati, B. 2007. ‘Conserving land – protecting water’, in Molden, D. (ed.) Water for Food, Water for Life: A Comprehensive Assessment of Water Management. London: Earthscan, pp. 551–583.Google Scholar
Carpenter, S. R. 2005. ‘Eutrophication of aquatic ecosystems: bistability and soil phosphorus’, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA 102: 10 002–10 005.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Cramer, V. A. and Hobbs, R. J. 2005. ‘Assessing the ecological risk from secondary salinity: a framework addressing questions of scale and threshold responses’, Austral Ecology 30: 537–545.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
D'Almeida, C., Vorosmarty, C. J., Hurtt, G. C., Marengo, J. A., Dingman, S. L. and Keim, B. D. 2007. ‘The effects of deforestation on the hydrological cycle in Amazonia: a review on scale and resolution’, International Journal of Climatology 27: 633–647.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dawson, T. E. 1998. ‘Fog in the California redwood forest: ecosystem inputs and use by plants’, Oecologia 117: 476–485.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Del-Val, E., Armesto, J. J., Barbosa, O., Christie, D. A., Gutierrez, A. G., Jones, C. G., Marquet, P. A. and Weathers, K. C. 2006. ‘Rain forest islands in the Chilean semiarid region: fog-dependency, ecosystem persistence and tree regeneration’, Ecosystems 9: 598–608.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Diaz, R. J. and Rosenberg, R. 2008. ‘Spreading dead zones and consequences for marine ecosystems’, Science 321: 926–929.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Donner, S. D. and Scavia, D. 2007. ‘How climate controls the flux of nitrogen by the Mississippi River and the development of hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico’, Limnology and Oceanography 52: 856–861.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Enfors, E. I. and Gordon, L. J. 2007. ‘Analysing resilience in dryland agro-ecosystems: a case study of the Makanya catchment in Tanzania over the past 50 years’, Land Degradation and Development 18: 680–696.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Field, C. B., Campbell, J. E. and Lobell, D. B. 2008. ‘Biomass energy: the scale of the potential resource’, Trends in Ecology and Evolution 23: 65–72.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Folke, C., Carpenter, S., Walker, B., Scheffer, M., Elmqvist, T., Gunderson, L. and Holling, C. S. 2004. ‘Regime shifts, resilience, and biodiversity in ecosystem management’, Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 35: 557–581.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Galloway, J. N., Dentener, F. J., Capone, D. G., Boyer, E. W., Howarth, R. W., Seitzinger, S. P., Asner, G. P., Cleveland, C. C., Green, P. A., Holland, E. A., Karl, D. M., Michaels, A. F., Porter, J. H., Townsend, A. R. and Vorosmarty, C. J. 2004. ‘Nitrogen cycles: past, present, and future’, Biogeochemistry 70: 153–226.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gordon, L. J., Steffen, W., Jonsson, B. F., Folke, C., Falkenmark, M. and Johannessen, A. 2005. ‘Human modification of global water vapor flows from the land surface’, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA 102: 7612–7617.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Gordon, L. J., Peterson, G. D. and Bennett, E. M. 2008. ‘Agricultural modifications of hydrological flows create ecological surprises’, Trends in Ecology and Evolution 23: 211–219.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Gunderson, L. and Holling, C. (eds.) 2002. Panarchy: Understanding Transformations in Human and Natural Systems. Washington, DC: Island Press.
Haberl, H. 2006. ‘The global socioeconomic energetic metabolism as a sustainability problem’, Energy 31: 87–99.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Haberl, H., Erb, K. H., Krausmann, F., Gaube, V., Bondeau, A., Plutzar, C., Gingrich, S., Lucht, W. and Fischer-Kowalski, M. 2007. ‘Quantifying and mapping the human appropriation of net primary production in earth's terrestrial ecosystems’, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA 104: 12 942–12 945.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Higgins, P. A. T., Mastrandrea, M. D. and Schneider, S. H. 2002. ‘Dynamics of climate and ecosystem coupling: abrupt changes and multiple equilibria’, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B 357: 647–655.Google ScholarPubMed
Holling, C. S. 1973. ‘Resilience and stability of ecological systems’, Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 4: 1–23.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hooke, J. 2003. ‘River meander behaviour and instability: a framework for analysis’, Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers 28: 238–253.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hutyra, L. R., Munger, J. W., Nobre, C. A., Saleska, S. R., Vieira, S. A. and Wofsy, S. C. 2005. ‘Climatic variability and vegetation vulnerability in Amazonia’, Geophysical Research Letters 32: L24712.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lenton, T. M., Held, H., Kriegler, E., Hall, J. W., Lucht, W., Rahmstorf, S. and Schellnhuber, H. J. 2008. ‘Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system’, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA 105: 1786–1793.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
,Millennium Ecosystem Assessment 2005. Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Synthesis. Washington, DC: Island Press.Google Scholar
Peters, D. P. C., Pielke, R. A., Bestelmeyer, B. T., Allen, C. D, Munson-McGee, S. and Havstad, K. M. 2004. ‘Cross-scale interactions, nonlinearities, and forecasting catastrophic events’, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA 101: 15 130–15 135.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Peters, D. P. C., Bestelmeyer, B. T., Herrick, J. E., Fredrickson, E. L., Monger, H. C. and Havstad, K. M. 2006. ‘Disentangling complex landscapes: new insights into arid and semiarid system dynamics’, BioScience 56: 491–501.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Peterson, G. D., Allen, C. R. and Holling, C. S. 1998. ‘Ecological resilience, biodiversity and scale’, Ecosystems 1: 6–18.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rietkerk, M., Dekker, S. C., Ruiter, P. C. and Koppel, J. 2004. ‘Self-organized patchiness and catastrophic shifts in ecosystems’, Science 305: 1926–1929.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Scanlon, B. R., Jolly, I., Sophocleous, M. and Zhang, L. 2007. ‘Global impacts of conversions from natural to agricultural ecosystems on water resources: quantity versus quality’, Water Resources Research 43: doi 10.1029/2006WR005486.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Scheffer, M., Holmgren, M., Brovkin, V. and Claussen, M. 2005. ‘Synergy between small- and large-scale feedbacks of vegetation on the water cycle’, Global Change Biology 11: 1003–1012.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Steffen, W., Sanderson, A., Tyson, P. D., Jager, J., Matson, P. M., Moore, I. B., Oldfield, F., Richardson, K., Schnellnhuber, H. J., Turner, B. L. and Wasson, R. J. 2004. Global Change and the Earth System: A Planet under Pressure. New York: Springer-Verlag.Google Scholar
Sternberg, L. D. L. 2001. ‘Savanna-forest hysteresis in the tropics’, Global Ecology and Biogeography 10: 369–378.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vitousek, P. M., Ehrlich, P. R., Ehrlich, A. H. and Matson, P. A. 1986. ‘Human appropriation of the products of photosynthesis’, BioScience 36: 368–373.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wackernagel, M., Schulz, N. B., Deumling, D., Linares, A. C., Jenkins, M., Kapos, V., Monfreda, C., Loh, J., Myers, N., Norgaard, R. and Randers, J. 2002. ‘Tracking the ecological overshoot of the human economy’, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA 99: 9266–9271.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Zickfeld, K., Knopf, B., Petoukhov, V. and Schellnhuber, H. J. 2005. ‘Is the Indian summer monsoon stable against global change?’, Geophysical Research Letters 32: 10.1029/2005GL022771.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure [email protected] is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×