In this paper, we study the relative tax advantages of traditional and Roth retirement accounts in the United States by examining the retrospective tax benefits of each account type for the 2003 cohort of retirees. We use the actual history of marginal tax rates at the individual level to estimate that the average tax shields of traditional and Roth retirement accounts‒the excess value of retirement consumption financed by those accounts relative to brokerage accounts‒were 68 percent and 47 percent, respectively. Traditional accounts were better for this cohort largely due to tax cuts in 2001 and 2003. Under a counterfactual with inflation-adjusted 2019 law, the average tax shields for traditional and Roth accounts would have been much closer (33% and 30%, respectively), and nearly half of savers would have achieved higher retirement by saving in Roth accounts rather than in traditional accounts. This is the first paper to apply the history of marginal tax rates‒informed by administrative income records‒to compare Roth and traditional accounts for a particular cohort of retirees.

Involuntary retirement has negative effects on an individual’s health and satisfaction with life. However, it remains unknown whether the recent European policy shift from early retirement towards extending working lives has impacted retirement voluntariness.

This study examines how socio-demographic factors affect retirement voluntariness, which is classified as ‘involuntary’ (e.g. being laid off), ‘voluntary’ (e.g. wanting to spend more time with family) or ‘regular’ (e.g. reaching the state pension age). The analysis is based on SHARE data (Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe), covers ten European countries and differentiates between two retirement cohorts (1994–2004 and 2005–2015) during which the policy shift took place.

At the individual level, we find that gender and socio-economic status correlate with retirement voluntariness. At the company level, the sector of employment and job tenure also show an association with retirement voluntariness. The results indicate that, between the two cohorts, the share of those who experience their retirement as ‘regular’ has increased, while the share with ‘involuntary’ retirement has decreased. However, these shifts differ by educational groups, with a stronger increase of voluntary retirement for those with high education, suggesting a rise in social inequalities in retirement-transitions, likely owing to an accumulation of (dis)advantages over the lifecourse.

This study explores retirement processes. State pension age is gradually increasing in many countries, including the Netherlands. The traditional retirement pathway where individuals have a cliff-edge transition from a full-time job with a permanent contract to full retirement appears to be applicable to an ever-smaller group of employees. Hence, more recently, ‘retirement’ is viewed not as a single transition out of the labour force but rather as a process determined by several intertwined contractual and financial aspects of the labour market. Research has hardly ever combined labour market aspects such as employment security (type of employment contract), financial security (income), work-time arrangements (hours worked) and social protection (receipt of pension and other benefits). This study aims to address this knowledge gap using register data from Statistics Netherlands and treating the status of individuals before and immediately after retirement as a latent variable (late employment quality [LEQ]) measured by several indicators: contract type, contractual working hours, self-employment, income and different types of benefits including pension. We follow older workers between 2008 and 2019 for at least four years before and two years after state pension age and derive trajectories of LEQ using a mixture hidden Markov model. The results indicate several avenues: ‘retirement with medium/high pension’, ‘from non-employment to low pension’, ‘eventually partial retirement’, ‘steps from employment to low pension’ and ‘alternating work and non-work’. It seems to be the case that most older workers in the Netherlands cannot simply be categorised as having either cliff-edge transitions or atypical retirement.

We use a comprehensive new dataset of asset-class returns in 38 developed countries to examine a popular class of retirement spending rules that prescribe annual withdrawals as a constant percentage of the retirement account balance. A 65-year-old couple willing to bear a 5 percent chance of financial ruin can withdraw just 2.31 percent per year, a rate materially lower than conventional advice (e.g., the 4% rule). Our estimates of failure rates under conventional withdrawal policies have important implications for individuals (e.g., savings rates, retirement timing, and retirement consumption), public policy (e.g., participation rates in means-tested programs), and society (e.g., elderly poverty rates).

This paper is a contribution to a symposium on Michael Otsuka’s book, How to Pool Risk Across Generations. Following Otsuka, one may distinguish three distinct systems of cooperation within a standard pension arrangement: the retirement system, the longevity risk pool and the investment risk pool. It is important to observe, however, that only the retirement system constitutes a genuine system of intergenerational cooperation, the other two are essentially intragenerational, in that they pool risks among members of a cohort. Otsuka is faulted for being occasionally less than clear on these distinctions.

Considering the demographic shift towards an ageing population, the financial threats that arise after retirement and the ongoing debates about extending working life, it is crucial to thoroughly understand the impact of retirement on the health of older individuals. This article presents a systematic review conducted according to the standards established by PRISMA statement CINAHL and APA PsycArticles databases by EBSCOhost, Pubmed, Scopus and Web of Science, for longitudinal studies published between 2013 and 2023. The aim of the review was to synthesise evidence of the effects of retirement on health, for example physical functioning, morbidity or mortality. From 1,757 records, 19 papers were included. Twelve longitudinal studies consistently linked retirement to declining physical function, increased disease prevalence and higher all-cause mortality risk. The evidence did not show a clear conclusion on biomarkers as health outcomes. The article identifies five explanatory mechanisms behind the retirement–health relationship: working conditions, retirement types, financial security, lifestyle changes and social participation. Retirement can have some adverse effects on health; however, the health consequences of withdrawal are likely to vary by pre-retirement factors. These findings carry implications for the current debate of extending working life and the social security system for older people.

A common narrative among insurance actuaries and business economists is that national or regional pension systems can be finetuned, optimized, and improved simply by tinkering with demographic and financial parameters; all within the context of the “right” mathematical model. Indeed, recent papers in the actuarial literature have offered technical fixes around savings rates, retirement ages, decumulation strategies as well as more refined mortality and interest rate models. But alas, not everything in the world of pensions and retirement can be optimized, in particular as it relates to the history, background culture, or religion of the underlying population.

This paper documents a statistically significant relationship between a region’s pension plan “health status” and the fraction of the region’s population identifying as Protestant Christians (PC). We begin the analysis at the national level using a well-known pension quality index and then obtain similar results for the actuarial funded status of U.S. state pension plans.

Overall, this work is within the sphere of recent literature that indicates historical religious beliefs, values, and culture matter for financial economic outcomes; a factor which obviously can’t be optimized within a mathematical Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation. In other words, some things in retirement are truly beyond control.

Declining labor force participation of older men throughout the 20th century and recent increases in participation have generated substantial interest in understanding the effect of public pensions on retirement. The National Bureau of Economic Research's International Social Security (ISS) Project, a long-term collaboration among researchers in a dozen developed countries, has explored this and related questions. The project employs a harmonized approach to conduct within-country analyses that are combined for meaningful cross-country comparisons. The key lesson is that the choices of policy makers affect the incentive to work at older ages and these incentives have important effects on retirement behavior.

The provision of pensions for Civil Servants and other employees in public office, such as the police, as well as in large private businesses, became more widespread in the second half of the nineteenth century. Such pensions, and other non-pay benefits, including sick pay, not only helped with recruitment but also provided a means of managing the retirement of workers who were deemed to be incapable of performing their roles. The rules governing eligibility to receive a pension in the Metropolitan Police in London were closely linked to the certification of poor health. Police doctors restricted the certification of sickness as a reason for retirement because it impacted the size of the force, resulted in the loss of more experienced men, and added to the cost of the pension fund. This strategy generated conflict with the workforce, resulting in industrial unrest. Piecemeal reforms failed to address workers’ concerns until 1890, when the rights to receive a pension were improved. These reforms, rather than stricter vigilance by police doctors, were an effective way of retaining experienced officers in the police force.

While the Chinese government's stated position is to support religious freedom, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is officially atheist. Individuals who profess faith are typically unable to join and members who practice a religion face expulsion and a loss of benefits. This paper analyzes the extent to which the CCP's policies regarding religion may influence religious identification over the life cycle in China. To do so, we contrast changes in religious affiliation before and after retirement for CCP members and non-CCP members. We find a significant increase of religious activities and religious faith in CCP members after retirement – suggesting: (1) people's acknowledgment of religious belief is significantly influenced by CCP regulations and (2) the biggest influence from a material benefits perspective occurs for those CCP members employed in the Chinese government system.

This study investigates the benefits and drawbacks of pension plan consolidation by quantifying the impact of mergers of heterogeneous plans on different stakeholders in a unique Canadian implementation of defined benefit plans. Using a comprehensive framework that combines a realistic economic scenario generator, a stochastic mortality model that captures differences among subpopulations, a cost model with economies of scale, and a dynamic asset allocation methodology, we evaluate the combined effect of asset- and liability-side changes on three groups of measures: plan-related risk measures assessing profits from an economic capital perspective, consumption-based metrics to understand the impact on members, and contribution risk measures capturing the risk from the employer’s viewpoint. We apply the framework to a hypothetical and empirically relevant merger and find that consolidation is favorable under most circumstances: the positive impacts of better diversification and economies of scale continue to outweigh the negative effects of heterogeneity even when the merging plans have different mortality expectations, different maturity levels, or modest differences in initial funded ratios.

Towards developing more effective interventions for fall-related injuries, this study analysed a novel database from six retirement home facilities over a 4-year period comprising 1,877 fallers and 12,445 falls. Falls were characterized based on location, activity, injury site, and type, and the database was stratified across four levels of care: Independent Living, Retirement Care, Assisted Care, and Memory care. Falls most occurred within the bedroom (62.8%), and during unknown (38.1%), walking (20.2%), and transfer tasks (14.6%). Approximately one in three (37%) of all falls resulted in an injury, most commonly involving the upper limb (31.8%), head (26.3%), and lower limb (22.2%), resulting in skin tears (35.3%), aches/pains (29.1%), or bruises (28.0%). While fall location, activity, and injury site were different across levels of care, injury type was not. The data from this study can assist in targeting fall-related injury prevention strategies across levels of care within retirement facilities.

This paper examines financial literacy in Canada using a dataset from early 2023 that measures the knowledge of middle-aged Canadians regarding their retirement income system. We first document important financial literacy differences across gender, age, education, and labor market status. Using detailed questions on the four main aspects of the retirement income system, we then show a strong correlation between financial literacy and the knowledge of the retirement system in Canada. Finally, we provide evidence that general financial literacy and knowledge of the retirement system matter for retirement preparation, by showing that Canadians with higher financial literacy scores and better knowledge of the retirement system are more likely to have a plan for retirement.

Twenty years ago, the adjustment to monthly Social Security benefits for early or delayed claiming was, on average, roughly actuarially fair, although some subsets of individuals could gain from delay. Since then, delaying claiming has become much more attractive thanks to three factors: a more generous delayed retirement credit, improvements in mortality, and historically low real interest rates. In this article, I examine how these three factors influence optimal claiming behavior. I also discuss empirical patterns of claiming across individuals and over time, as well as explanations for these patterns. I argue that although many people appear to claim suboptimally early, this behavior may be changing as information spreads about the importance of the claiming decision. Finally, I discuss policy toward claiming and the impact that an increase in strategic claiming could have on Social Security's finances.