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The President Will See Whom Now? Presidential Engagement with Organized Interests

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 December 2022

DAVID RYAN MILLER*
Affiliation:
East Tennessee State University, United States
*
David Ryan Miller, Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, East Tennessee State University, United States, [email protected].
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Abstract

Though presidents often criticize organized interests, presidents also expend considerable effort engaging them. Using original elite interviews, a survey of lobbyists, and administrative data, I consider how this engagement manifests, why presidents engage interests, and with which interests presidents engage. Unlike in other institutions, presidents exercise substantial control over engagement with interests, and they engage to mobilize interests’ institutional resources in service of their goals. To optimize mobilization, presidents focus engagement on well-resourced interests and interests who share presidents’ preferences. Pairing over seven million White House visitor log entries from two administrations with lobbying and campaign finance records, I demonstrate that presidential engagement is informed by interests’ electoral and policy resources and partisan alignment, though these characteristics’ substantive effects are modest. My findings highlight coalition building with interests as an underappreciated source of presidential power and elucidate the degree to which presidents amplify the political voice of well-resourced and copartisan interests.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the American Political Science Association

Though polar opposites in most respects, both Presidents Barack Obama and Donald Trump routinely assailed organized interests.Footnote 1 Early in his presidency, Obama declared at a bill signing, “When I ran for President, I did so because I believed that despite … the influence of special interests, it was possible for us to bring change to Washington.”Footnote 2 Also early in his term, Trump proclaimed he “want[ed] to get the special interests out of politics for good.”Footnote 3 Both also took action to limit the power of interests in their administrations, such as issuing executive orders restricting former lobbyists’ ability to serve in government.Footnote 4 Scholars suggest Trump, Obama, and other presidents express antipathy toward and distance themselves from interests not because of personal inclinations but as a consequence of the office’s isolation from the organized interest universe. Howell and Moe posit this isolation emerges from institutional design, as presidents’ “position of national leadership gives them far more freedom from special interest pressure … than their legislative counterparts” (Reference Howell and Moe2016, 102; see also Quirk and Nesmith Reference Quirk, Nesmith, Herrnson, Shaiko and Wilcox2005; Truman Reference Truman1971). Furthermore, Light suggests this isolation stems from presidents’ deliberate choices, describing “a conscious effort [by the White House] to avoid interaction with most groups” (Reference Light1999, 94). Consequently, scholars afford “far less attention” to presidents’ supposedly limited interactions with interests than to legislatures’ and executive agencies’ interactions with them (Loomis Reference Loomis, Edwards and Howell2009, 403).

However, a closer look at the White House’s day-to-day activities reveals that presidents frequently engage with organized interests.Footnote 5 Although salient instances of engagement, such as President Bill Clinton providing donors nights in the Lincoln Bedroom,Footnote 6 often attract criticism, such anecdotes belie the White House’s commonplace engagement with interests in public and private settings. Recounting his early days as president, Barack Obama recalls “an endless flow of meetings with various constituency groups … to address their concerns and solicit their support” (Obama Reference Obama2020, 285–6). Similarly, an aide to President Jimmy Carter reports the administration “tried to keep up very good relations with all the major interest group players in town … meeting with [them] … on a regular basis.”Footnote 7 The ubiquity of such engagement is exemplified by the longevity of the White House Office of Public Liaison, a unit maintained by every president since Gerald Ford responsible for cultivating relationships with interests (Peterson Reference Peterson1992; Pika Reference Pika2009).Footnote 8 Though the White House may distance itself from interests in public-facing behavior, an aide to President John F. Kennedy admits, “[I]nterest groups are in the woodwork, under the floors, in the hallways, and in the rose garden” (Light Reference Light1999, 95). Highlighting this discrepancy between the prominence of interests in the White House and the “episodic and limited” attention scholars have paid to presidents’ interactions with interests, Loomis notes in the Oxford Handbook of the American Presidency that “such a gap is remarkable” (Reference Loomis, Edwards and Howell2009, 404–5).

This paper begins to address this gap by probing with which organized interests presidents engage. In doing so, this paper also considers two antecedent questions: to what extent do presidents or interests exercise control over engagement, and what motivations drive engagement? Although these questions remain underexplored in part because scholars have deemphasized the linkage between presidents and interests, they have also been overlooked because “the requisite data are difficult to amass” (Loomis Reference Loomis, Edwards and Howell2009, 421). These questions require data on both the dynamics by which engagement between presidents and interests manifests and the occurrence of engagement; however, these phenomena are seldom observable.

I investigate these questions using original interviews, survey responses, and administrative data shedding light on presidents’ engagement with organized interests. First, I consider the degree to which presidents and interests exert influence over engagement with insights from 15 interviews with former White House officials and interest representatives and a survey of over 700 lobbyists. Unlike the traditional “outside-in” lobbying model, where interests pursue access to policy makers, my interviews and survey responses demonstrate that the relative prominence of an “inside-out” model, where presidents take a leading role in providing interests access, affords presidents substantial control over engagement (Shaiko Reference Shaiko, Cigler and Loomis1998; Tenpas Reference Tenpas, Herrnson, Shaiko and Wilcox2005). Second, I describe presidents’ motivations for engaging with interests and provide expectations for which interests they are likely to engage. In brief, interests’ institutional resources, such as lobbying capabilities and campaign contributions, make them important targets of presidents’ coalition-building efforts; through engagement, presidents hope to mobilize interest support or discourage opposition. To maximize the interest resources they marshal, presidents focus engagement on interests offering the highest expected rates of return—well-resourced interests and those sharing presidents’ preferences. Third, I evaluate these expectations using over seven million White House visitor log entries from the Clinton and Obama administrations and contemporary lobbying records to identify instances where presidents engaged with interests and model engagement as a function of interests’ electoral and policy resources and partisan alignment. My findings indicate presidents are more likely to engage with interests with larger resource endowments and who are copartisans, though the magnitudes of these effects are modest, as even low-resource and noncopartisan interests experience engagement at substantial rates.

My findings highlight the importance of presidents’ interactions with organized interests and contribute to key themes in the study of the presidency, organized interests, and representation. Although recent studies of presidential power focus on tools presidents wield independently, such as unilateral action (Lowande and Rogowski Reference Lowande and Rogowski2021), disbursement of selective benefits (Kriner and Reeves Reference Kriner and Reeves2015), and appointments outside the advise and consent process (Kinane Reference Kinane2021), this study reemphasizes that presidents’ toolkits also include their ability to build and mobilize coalitions. Furthermore, my findings address the debate concerning presidential representation by considering representational priorities presidents exhibit through engaging interests, who are both independent actors and manifestations of preferences in the mass public. By engaging more with well-resourced and copartisan interests, my results suggest presidents provide more representation to subgroups that help advance their goals (Druckman and Jacobs Reference Druckman and Jacobs2015; Kriner and Reeves Reference Kriner and Reeves2015) rather than serving as national representatives (Howell and Moe Reference Howell and Moe2016). Finally, my findings illuminate presidents’ role in fostering or tempering the outsized voice upper-class interests enjoy in American politics. Although presidents, contrary to their role as national representatives (Bentley Reference Bentley1908; Quirk and Nesmith Reference Quirk, Nesmith, Herrnson, Shaiko and Wilcox2005; Truman Reference Truman1971), engage more often with high-resource interests aligned with the upper class, this preference is modest, especially when compared with that of other institutions like Congress.

Presidents as Engagers-in-Chief

Presidents and organized interests interact in many well-documented ways, such as interests contributing to presidents’ campaigns and altering their activities in response to presidents’ priorities (Baumgartner et al. Reference Baumgartner, Larsen-Price, Leech and Rutledge2011). I focus on a specific type of interaction I term “presidential engagement,” or reciprocal communication and coordination between presidents and interests concerning electoral or policy goals. A key distinguishing trait of presidential engagement is that it requires active participation from both actors; for instance, although interests can expend campaign resources in support of presidents unilaterally, engagement requires dialogue between presidents and interests. Though presidential engagement can take place through many mediums of direct contact, such as phone calls and emails, my theoretical exposition and empirical analysis focus on in-person White House meetings because they are a valued form of interaction for both parties and because the significant time and effort the White House expends to facilitate them provides a strong signal of its engagement priorities.Footnote 9

Framing these interactions as presidential engagement presupposes presidents exert critical influence over their manifestation and conduct. This assertion diverges from the commonly understood “outside-in” lobbying dynamic characterizing other institutions, such as Congress, where interests’ motives for and strategic behavior to gain access and influence take precedence and policy makers are mere targets of interests’ pursuits (Austen-Smith and Wright Reference Austen-Smith and Wright1994; Hall and Deardorff Reference Hall and Deardorff2006; Miller Reference Miller2022a). However, several descriptive accounts assert presidents’ motivations and strategic choices feature prominently in interactions with interests, particularly when compared with those of other policy makers, fostering an “inside-out” lobbying dynamic where presidents exercise substantial control (Peterson Reference Peterson1992; Shaiko Reference Shaiko, Cigler and Loomis1998; Tenpas Reference Tenpas, Herrnson, Shaiko and Wilcox2005). Unfortunately, limited systematic evidence exists demonstrating presidents exert more control over interactions with interests than other political elites. Substantiating this dynamic is important for my theoretical argument because presidents must wield considerable power over engagement for their incentives to influence with which interests they engage.

In this section, I augment extant descriptive studies with original interviews and survey responses from organized interest representatives and White House officials to demonstrate presidents wield important control over engagement (Miller Reference Miller2022b). My interviews, conducted with 15 interest representatives and former White House officials between 2018 and 2019, provide detailed insights on the dynamics governing engagement from actors on both sides of the relationship.Footnote 10 My survey responses, collected from over 700 lobbyists in 2018, illustrate how these insights generalize to the broader population of interests.Footnote 11 These novel data provide a window into typically unobservable mechanisms of elite decision-making surrounding the White House’s interactions with interests that provide presidents important control over engagement.

Conditions Empowering Presidents

Explanations for presidents’ relatively strong control over engagement fall into three categories. First, physical and logistical barriers make outside-in lobbying difficult for organized interests while providing the White House control over access (Peterson Reference Peterson1992). One important distinction between the White House and other policy-making venues is restrictions on physical access; whereas interests can easily enter Congress and many federal agencies to attend events or visit unannounced, White House access requires prior clearance. These barriers not only create distance between interests and the White House but also impose transaction costs on White House staff, who must exert time and effort to collect and submit visitors’ personal information to the Secret Service in advance; thus, the White House is disinclined to provide access. As one former White House official describes, “Going to a meeting at the White House is not trivial. You have to go through security, you have to get cleared in. There’s … care given to who is coming into the building” (Interviewee A).

Second, the White House faces stronger time and resource constraints on its ability to interact with interests than other institutions. Although all policy makers shoulder important responsibilities, presidents, as head of the executive branch and the sole nationally elected official, face an unceasing flow of demands for action that exceeds their powers and capabilities (Cronin Reference Cronin1980). Furthermore, the small size of the White House’s staff relative to those of the 535 members of Congress and hundreds of federal agencies leaves presidents little capacity for interacting with the thousands of organizations in the organized interest universe (Schlozman, Verba, and Brady Reference Schlozman, Verba and Brady2012).Footnote 12 Given a choice between fighting for a sliver of the White House’s attention or pursuing more accessible policy makers, interests tend to forsake the White House and focus outside-in lobbying on congresspersons and bureaucrats (Loomis Reference Loomis, Edwards and Howell2009). As an aide to President Lyndon Baines Johnson explains, “There are 535 opportunities in Congress and only one in the White House. You get an hour to present your case before each representative; you get fifteen minutes once a year with the president. Where would you put your effort?” (Light Reference Light1999, 94). Because interests shift their outside-in lobbying effort away from the White House, presidents inherit considerable discretion over initiating engagement.

Third, the White House has responded to the challenges of interacting with interests with institutional innovations that increase its authority over engagement. The most prominent such innovation is the Office of Public Liaison (OPL), a White House unit created during the Ford administration to manage presidents’ relationships with interests (Pika Reference Pika2009). An Obama administration staffer who worked in this unit described it as “the door to the White House… our job was to work with organized interests all the time, every day. Our role was to represent the President for these interests” (Interviewee A). Importantly, OPL functions as the White House’s primary point of contact with interests, centralizing engagement and serving as a clearinghouse for information flowing to and from interests. Although this helps the White House engage efficiently, it stymies interests’ outside-in lobbying to reach officials beyond OPL, leading them to lobby other venues where policy makers are more reachable (Interviewee B). Through institutional innovations like OPL, the White House has accumulated control over engagement (Kumar and Grossman Reference Kumar, Grossman and Nelson1984, 308).

Evidence of Presidential Control over Engagement

Because presidential engagement is the product of behind-closed-doors actions by myriad actors inside and outside the White House, marshaling evidence illustrating every dimension of the process is difficult. However, by collecting insights from political elites on both sides of the relationship, I can evaluate the veracity of several claims central to the argument that, relative to other institutions, the White House exercises substantial control over engagement. Specifically, I use my interviews and survey responses to show that interests focus more lobbying attention on Congress and the bureaucracy than the White House, the White House takes an active role in initiating engagement, and interests are more responsive to the White House than vice versa. Although this evidence is not definitive proof of White House control over engagement, its alignment with extant descriptive accounts affirms the argument that presidents’ motivations are critical to engagement.

First, I assess whether organized interests allocate less lobbying attention to the White House, thereby enabling presidents to exert more influence over engagement. In Figure 1, I present the distributions of lobbyists’ responses to questions asking how important direct contacts with officials in Congress, the federal bureaucracy, and the White House are to their lobbying strategies. The distributions for Congress and the bureaucracy accord with traditional outside-in lobbying accounts, with most respondents indicating direct contacts are “very” or “extremely” important (90.9% and 82.0%, respectively). However, only about a third of respondents (38.8%) assigned similar importance to direct contacts with the White House. Because interests are rational actors who allocate resources given expectations of success, this disconnect implies they devote more effort to obtaining direct contacts with Congress and the bureaucracy than the White House. Consequently, presidents must exercise greater initiative to engage interests focusing their access-seeking behavior elsewhere.

Figure 1. Importance of Direct Contacts for Organized Interests across Institutions

Note: Bar graphs indicate how important respondents reported having direct contacts with officials in Congress (left), the federal bureaucracy (center), and the White House (right) is for their overall lobbying strategies. Responses are weighted to reflect the characteristics of the sampling frame. Responses may not sum to 100% due to rounding; $ N $ between 709 and 714 per question.

Second, I explore the extent to which presidents initiate engagement with interests. My survey asked respondents who reported attending White House meetings during the Obama or Trump administrations the degree to which meetings were initiated by their organization or the White House. The distributions of responses (top row of Figure 2) indicate the White House often takes an active role in initiating meetings; the majority of respondents (54.1%) reported the Obama administration tended to take the lead or share responsibility for initiating meetings, and a smaller but still sizable proportion of respondents (42.2%) reported similar experiences in the Trump administration.Footnote 13 Former White House officials echoed that both presidents and interests initiate interactions but stressed that they and their colleagues exerted significant effort to cultivate engagement; one official explained, they “tried to be affirmative in engaging groups, companies, businesses, you name it … [and] it was also fairly regular for groups, voices, corporate actors, constituency groups, etc., to ask and request meetings or engagements or conversations. So it’s definitely both” (Interviewee D). However, several interest representatives indicated engagement was more commonly initiated by the White House; one lobbyist recalled, “The majority [of meetings arose from] the White House bringing people in” (Interviewee E), and another reported, “More often than not … [the White House] called stakeholders in” (Interviewee F). Furthermore, even when interests request meetings, the White House’s unique institutional characteristics afford it ultimate discretion in disposing of requests. Together, the survey responses and interviews indicate that although some engagement emerges from interests’ outside-in lobbying, the White House plays a more active role in manifesting engagement than traditional lobbying accounts anticipate.

Figure 2. Dynamics of Presidential Engagement with Organized Interests

Note: Bar graphs indicate respondents’ perceptions of dynamics underlying presidential engagement during the Obama (left) and Trump (right) administrations. The top row indicates the degree to which respondents thought direct contacts arose from organizations’ requests versus White House invitations, and the center and bottom rows indicate the frequency with which the White House granted organizations’ requests and organizations accepted White House invitations, respectively. These questions were posed to respondents who reported attending White House meetings during each administration. Responses are weighted to reflect the characteristics of the sampling frame. Responses may not sum to 100% due to rounding; $ N $ between 231 and 248 per question.

Third, I investigate how the White House and organized interests respond to each others’ engagement entreaties. The center and bottom rows of Figure 2 present the distributions of responses to questions concerning the frequency with which the White House acceded to interests’ requests and interests accepted White House invitations, respectively. These results demonstrate interests are more responsive to the White House than vice versa; although approximately three-quarters of respondents indicate both administrations “sometimes” or “usually” granted their organizations’ requests, over 90% replied their organizations “usually” or “always” accepted White House invitations. My interviewees unanimously agreed White House invitations are heeded more often than interest requests. One former White House official reported he rejected most requests because “I just didn’t have a whole lot of time to sit around and talk to people about whatever” (Interviewee C), and another relayed, “When the White House calls, people tend to take the call. People were generally always willing to meet” (Interviewee A). A lobbyist mirrored these sentiments, explaining, “I have not ever turned down a meeting. I always think of meeting as productive. In terms of getting the meetings, yes, it’s very challenging” (Interviewee F).

Taken together, this evidence illustrates that the White House’s interactions with organized interests differ fundamentally from those characterizing other institutions. Although Congress and federal agencies are besieged by interests’ outside-in lobbying, presidents enjoy first- and second-mover advantages providing significant discretion over engagement. As a first mover, the White House conducts inside-out lobbying through institutionalized structures that enable it to manage engagement with interests. As a second mover, the White House’s physical isolation, sparse staff resources, and institutional mechanisms provide unique opportunities to exercise discretion in fielding requests. To be sure, interests’ outside-in lobbying sometimes motivates presidential engagement; however, as illustrated in the middle and bottom rows of Figure 2, the White House’s second-mover advantage allows it to fulfill these requests less regularly than interests accede to its invitations. As one lobbyist explained the relative influence of the White House and his organization in manifesting engagement, “It works both ways, and it’s predominantly us reaching out to them… . [But] they’re the drivers. They determine whether they want to be responsive or not” (Interviewee G).

Presidents’ Motivations for Engagement

Because presidential engagement with organized interests is presidency-driven, presidents’ motivations for conducting engagement are critical to understanding with which interests they engage. Presidents, as goal-oriented actors, pursue electoral success for themselves and their copartisans, favorable policy, and positive legacies (Light Reference Light1999). Although they enjoy extensive unilateral powers to pursue their goals, the American constitutional system requires presidents to secure cooperation or assent from others to achieve many important aspirations. For example, presidents’ electoral success rests in voters’ hands. Again, policy initiatives necessitating legislation require congressional approval. Moreover, faced with myriad responsibilities that stretch the limits of their office (Cronin Reference Cronin1980), presidents often rely on other actors, like congressional leaders (Beckmann Reference Beckmann2010) and party organizations (Galvin Reference Galvin2009), to provide resources to subsidize presidents’ pursuits.

Thus, presidents’ ultimate success hinges on their ability to build coalitions that can provide support at the ballot box and in Congress and other institutions on whose consent presidents rely and can subsidize presidents’ undertakings. In building coalitions, presidents seek not only to bolster support but also to temper opposition, as both absolute and relative gains improve their standing (Beckmann Reference Beckmann2010). Though previous studies of presidential coalition building focus on Congress and the public (Edwards Reference Edwards2000), they largely overlook another class of actors whose support or opposition can affect presidents’ success: organized interests (but see Holyoke Reference Holyoke2004; Kumar and Grossman Reference Kumar, Grossman and Nelson1984; Milkis and Tichenor Reference Milkis and Tichenor2019; Peterson Reference Peterson1992; Reference Peterson, Bush, Campbell, Rockman and Rudalevige2008). Although interests lack formal powers, such as votes in elections or in Congress, they can be valuable targets of presidents’ coalition building because their institutional resources, like campaign funds and lobbying capabilities, can help or hinder presidents’ objectives. Through engagement, presidents can mobilize interests’ resources in directions favorable to them.

Organized interests’ institutional resources attract presidents’ attention for two reasons. First, interest resources can subsidize presidents directly as they pursue electoral, policy, and legacy goals (Hall and Deardorff Reference Hall and Deardorff2006). For instance, presidents can use interests’ policy expertise and political intelligence to strengthen proposals and elucidate stakeholders’ preferences on them. In the context of regulatory review, Haeder and Yackee (Reference Haeder and Yackee2015) illustrate that the president’s Office of Management and Budget (OMB) is particularly responsive to comments from interests with policy expertise. Relatedly, Peterson (Reference Peterson, Bush, Campbell, Rockman and Rudalevige2008) describes how the second Bush administration’s energy task force relied heavily on the expertise of energy interests—in some cases using the very text of their proposals in regulations. Additionally, presidents can promote their electoral success by stimulating interests to support their campaigns through contributions and voter mobilization efforts (Kumar and Grossman Reference Kumar, Grossman and Nelson1984; Peterson Reference Peterson1992).

Second, organized interests can indirectly aid presidents by exerting pressure on actors on whose support presidents rely. For example, because presidents’ legislative success hinges largely on their party’s strength in Congress (Bond and Fleisher Reference Bond and Fleisher1990), presidents can direct interests’ electoral resources to copartisan congressional candidates. Additionally, to assemble winning coalitions in Congress, presidents can leverage interests’ lobbying capacity to pressure members to support their initiatives (Beckmann Reference Beckmann2010; Peterson Reference Peterson1992; Sullivan Reference Sullivan1988). Furthermore, presidents can co-opt interests’ grassroots lobbying apparatuses to promote their initiatives among interests’ memberships and the public (Cohen Reference Cohen2012). Accounts of several presidential legislative priorities in recent decades, including Ronald Reagan’s Tax Reform Act (Milkis and Tichenor Reference Milkis and Tichenor2019, 273–4), George W. Bush’s Energy Policy Act (Peterson Reference Peterson, Bush, Campbell, Rockman and Rudalevige2008, 305), and Obama’s Affordable Care Act (Jacobs and Skocpol Reference Jacobs and Skocpol2012, 74–5), suggest success depended partly on presidents’ mobilization of interests to lobby Congress and the public.

Sometimes, presidents’ mere engagement sufficiently motivates organized interests to cooperate; when asked about his client’s willingness to comply with White House requests, one lobbyist reported, “If the White House asks, then you figure out a way to make that work for you … it’s very hard to say no to a White House” (Interviewee H). However, should rhetoric alone fail to secure cooperation, presidents’ unilateral powers provide ways to induce compliance. For example, presidents can help interests realize desired outcomes by employing executive orders, appointing preferred officials to executive and judicial positions, and exercising influence over the bureaucracy. Again, presidents can use their bully pulpit to generate attention and support for interests’ priorities; as Baumgartner et al. find, one of the strongest determinants for interests’ success in achieving or stifling policy change is presidential support through taking “an advocacy role in a public-policy debate” (Reference Baumgartner, Berry, Hojnacki, Leech and Kimball2009, 238). Presidents can also help interests perform institutional maintenance by enabling them to advertise connections with high-level officials (Brown Reference Brown2014). Thus, presidents have both motivation and means to obtain interests’ cooperation through engagement.

Engagement Strategy as Constrained Optimization

Although presidents’ limited time and resources and the vastness of the organized interest universe helps consolidate their control over engagement, these features also limit the number of interests with which presidents can engage; as one Obama administration official explains, “We wanted [to engage with] everybody, but, at the end of the day, there are a million organizations out there and every single organization isn’t going to be a part of everything” (Interviewee I). Presidents face a constrained optimization problem wherein they must determine which subset of interests, if engaged, provides the highest rate of return. General models of coalition building (Cox and McCubbins Reference Cox and McCubbins1986; Dixit and Londregan Reference Dixit and Londregan1996) and studies of presidential coalition building in other contexts (Beckmann Reference Beckmann2010; Kriner and Reeves Reference Kriner and Reeves2015) highlight two characteristics of potential coalition members that should inform presidents’ decisions: interests’ resource endowments and alignment with presidents’ preferences.

First, presidents focus engagement on interests with larger resource endowments to efficiently bolster their coalition’s resources or diminish those of their opponents. Because the costs of engagement (e.g., staff effort required to convene meetings) are fixed, presidents can more dramatically shift the balance of interest resources arrayed for and against them by targeting well-resourced interests (Cox and McCubbins Reference Cox and McCubbins1986; Dixit and Londregan Reference Dixit and Londregan1996). Presidents’ focus on well-resourced potential coalition members manifests in other contexts, such as Congress and the public. For instance, rather than lobbying each congressperson, presidents focus on congressional leaders who wield institutional power and can pressure members for presidents (Beckmann Reference Beckmann2010). Again, in attracting public support, presidents tailor rhetoric and policies to appeal to citizens with more political resources, such as those in higher socioeconomic strata (Druckman and Jacobs Reference Druckman and Jacobs2015; Griffin and Newman Reference Griffin and Newman2016), and whose votes and voices are more valuable, such as swing-state residents (Kriner and Reeves Reference Kriner and Reeves2015). Turning to interests, Milkis and Tichenor (Reference Milkis and Tichenor2019) argue presidents are more likely to collaborate with social movements and associated interests when they possess institutional resources presidents can harness to achieve policy change, and Haeder and Yackee (Reference Haeder and Yackee2015) find OMB is more responsive to comments from well-resourced interests. Thus, presidents take a similar approach by focusing engagement on well-resourced interests.

Second, presidents engage more with interests aligned with their partisan or ideological preferences. This does not mean presidents never engage with interests with divergent preferences; indeed, engagement with such interests can persuade or demobilize opponents (Austen-Smith and Wright Reference Austen-Smith and Wright1994; Milkis and Tichenor Reference Milkis and Tichenor2019). As a former White House official expressed, presidents engage with interests to both “increase the likelihood that you … maximize a positive reaction … [and] avoid a negative reaction” (Interviewee B; see also Beckmann Reference Beckmann2010). Indeed, accounts of the Affordable Care Act indicate Obama’s engagement with interests naturally opposed to reform, like pharmaceutical companies, was critical to its enactment (Jacobs and Skocpol Reference Jacobs and Skocpol2012, 69–75). However, because coalition builders’ entreaties are typically better received by those with similar preferences (Cox and McCubbins Reference Cox and McCubbins1986), presidents allocate more effort to targets sharing their preferences. For instance, presidents’ rhetoric (Druckman and Jacobs Reference Druckman and Jacobs2015; Eshbaugh-Soha and Rottinghaus Reference Eshbaugh-Soha and Rottinghaus2013) and policy decisions (Griffin and Newman Reference Griffin and Newman2016; Kriner and Reeves Reference Kriner and Reeves2015) often appeal to partisan and ideological allies in the public. Similarly, presidents center congressional outreach on copartisans (Beckmann Reference Beckmann2010). Likewise, presidents focus engagement on interests whose preference similarity predisposes them to react favorably.

Research Design

Presidents engage with organized interests through a variety of mediums including phone calls, emails, and White House meetings. Although the same strategic considerations confront presidents across mediums, my empirical analysis focuses on White House meetings for two reasons. First, across institutions, policy makers and interests alike perceive in-person direct contacts, or access, as the most effective medium for gaining counterparts’ attention, making preferences salient, and building relationships (Baumgartner et al. Reference Baumgartner, Berry, Hojnacki, Leech and Kimball2009). Second, because the White House must expend more time and effort to conduct in-person meetings relative to other mediums, presidents’ strategic considerations should manifest most strongly in this context.Footnote 14

Although all White House meetings bestow the benefits and exact the costs of engagement on interests and the White House, the circumstances of meetings can provide additional signals about presidents’ engagement priorities. One detail my interviewees highlighted as a marker of the importance the White House assigns to meetings is with whom in the White House interests meet, or the visitee. Although all White House personnel’s time is limited, that of the president and senior advisers is especially scarce because they oversee broader policy and managerial portfolios; thus, from an organizational perspective, engagement using high-level personnel is more costly to the White House. Interests, cognizant of these disparities in power and influence, place more value on engagement with high-level personnel; as one lobbyist expressed, “Relationships that are closer to the president are the most valuable” (Interviewee G). Consequently, the president or senior advisers may be more involved in engagement when the targeted interests are more central to presidents’ coalition-building efforts (Kumar and Grossman Reference Kumar, Grossman and Nelson1984, 293–4). Indeed, one staffer shared that although the White House tried to meet with all interests, it “might assign a more junior person to take the meeting or … elevate the meeting to a senior official depending on the significance of the issue and, frankly, the significance of the individual” (Interviewee A). Because presidents’ engagement priorities may be expressed through not only with which interests they meet but also with whom in the White House those interests meet, I consider both White House meetings writ large and as classified by visitees’ ranks.

Empirical studies of direct contacts between policy makers and organized interests typically confront data inavailability (Miller Reference Miller2021; Schlozman, Verba, and Brady Reference Schlozman, Verba and Brady2012, 295–304). In most contexts, contacts take place behind closed doors and records of them are rarely disclosed. However, recent releases of over seven million White House visitor logs records from the Clinton and Obama administrations provide a rare opportunity to observe White House meetings attended by interest representatives. By pairing these records with lobbying and campaign finance reports, we can assess how interests’ resource endowments and preferences inform presidents’ engagement decisions.

White House Visitor Logs

One of the world’s most secure workplaces, the Secret Service closely monitors all individuals entering and exiting the White House complex and records the comings and goings of individuals without permanent passes in the Worker and Visitor Entry System (WAVES)—more commonly known as the White House visitor logs. Each WAVES record contains information including the visitor’s name and the date and time of the visit.Footnote 15

Until recently, no sitting president had disclosed the White House visitor logs. However, in September 2009, President Obama announced his administration would voluntarily release its visitor logs every quarter. When the Obama administration left office, it had released nearly six million records spanning September 15, 2009 to September 30, 2016. Additionally, in 2015, the Clinton Presidential Library began fulfilling Freedom of Information Act requests by releasing the visitor logs for the final five years of the Clinton administration. As the Lobbying Disclosure Act data I leverage to identify organized interest representatives begins in 1998 (described below), I use the 1.3 million records from the final three years of Clinton’s presidency. In total, I use over seven million records from these administrations.Footnote 16

Because the only information the visitor logs provide about visitors is their names, we cannot discern which visitors were representatives of which organized interests from the visitor logs alone. Rather, to detect instances of presidential engagement with specific interests, we need data providing the names of persons representing each interest for time periods contemporaneous with the visitor logs. I obtain this information from reports interests filed under the Lobbying Disclosure Act of 1995 (LDA), which requires interests to provide the names of their registered lobbyists or those responsible for interests’ political advocacy.Footnote 17 Using these rosters of interests’ representatives, I identify instances of engagement by matching the names of lobbyists provided in each interest’s semiannual (through 2007) or quarterly (2008 and after) LDA reports with the names of White House visitors in corresponding time periods.Footnote 18 $ {}^{,} $ Footnote 19 Then, I aggregate all instances of engagement associated with each interest for each time period in which they filed an LDA report—semiannual for the Clinton administration and quarterly for the Obama administration—to construct measures of engagement. This level of observation—the organized interest-time period—constitutes my unit of analysis.

I use two measures of presidential engagement. First, I create a binary indicator for whether each organized interest-time period observation experienced engagement at least once.Footnote 20 Second, acknowledging the White House may be more likely to engage with interests central to its coalition-building efforts with high-level personnel, I use the identity of each meeting’s visitee to create binary indicators for whether each interest-time period observation experienced engagement with (1) the president, vice-president, first lady, or an EOP staffer whose salary falls in the top quartile and (2) any other person at the White House complex. I refer to these types of engagement as “high-quality” and “low-quality,” respectively.Footnote 21

Organized Interests’ Resources and Preferences

I obtain measures of organized interests’ resource endowments and preferences using data from the Center for Responsive Politics (CRP). Because most interests specialize in either electoral politics or policy making (Tripathi, Ansolabehere, and Snyder Reference Tripathi, Ansolabehere and Snyder2002), I incorporate measures of both electoral and policy resources. First, I measure interests’ electoral resources as the aggregate amount of campaign contributions they make to candidates for federal office. I focus on aggregate contributions rather than only contributions to the president because aggregate contributions reflect interests’ electoral resource endowments, which presidents can channel in support of themselves and copartisans. Using CRP’s compilation of the Federal Election Commission’s reports for election cycles immediately preceding and including periods for which I have visitor logs—1995–1996 to 1999–2000 and 2007–2008 to 2015–2016 for the Clinton and Obama administrations, respectively—I generate for each interest-time period observation a binary indicator for whether the interest made any contributions in the preceding two years (i.e., the length of an electoral cycle) and a continuous measure of its total contributions in those two years. Second, I measure interests’ policy resource endowments using the lobbying expenditures indicated on their LDA reports in the previous time period.Footnote 22 Under LDA, activities for which expenditures must be reported include not only lobbying contacts themselves but also “any efforts in support of such contacts, including preparation or planning activities, research, and any other background work.”Footnote 23 Thus, lobbying expenditures capture a wide range of interests’ policy resources, including staff salaries and expertise. Given the right-skewedness of both resource measures, I apply log transformations.

Measuring interests’ partisan or ideological preferences is less straightforward. Few measures of interests’ preferences exist, and those that do offer coverage for few interests filing LDA reports. For example, Bonica (Reference Bonica2013) and Crosson, Furnas, and Lorenz (Reference Crosson, Furnas and Lorenz2020), who estimate interests’ ideology using campaign contributions and positions on legislation, provide scores for only 1,410 (4.8%) and 1,565 (5.3%) of the 29,405 interests in my analyses, respectively. Facing this limitation, I use qualitative information from CRP to construct a trichotomous measure of the partisan alignment of each of the 92 industries into which CRP sorts interests.Footnote 24 For each industry, CRP provides a summary of its political activity and policy preferences, often assessing the partisan leanings of interests in the industry.Footnote 25 If an industry’s summary expresses a preference for the Democratic or Republican Party, I code that industry as aligned with that party. If the summary does not express clear partisan inclinations, I code it as Independent, or aligned with neither party. Although this classification scheme may misattribute the preferences of some individual interests, studies using interest-level preference measures find that the distributions of preferences within industries typically exhibit clear central tendencies (Bonica Reference Bonica2013; Crosson, Furnas, and Lorenz Reference Crosson, Furnas and Lorenz2020). Thus, industry-level partisan alignment is an imperfect but informative measure of interests’ preferences providing coverage for all observations.Footnote 26

Estimation Strategy

The data structure poses nontrivial challenges for analysis. One set of challenges stems from inconsistencies in temporal units. Although some time-varying components of the data are observed daily, such as visitor log entries, others are observed less frequently, such as interests’ lobbying expenditures. Furthermore, because the frequency of LDA filings changed from semiannual to quarterly in 2008, the temporal units associated with information from LDA reports vary across the Clinton and Obama administrations. I address these disparities in two ways. First, to make temporal units of measurement consistent for all variables, I aggregate all data up to the temporal unit associated with contemporary LDA filing requirements—semiannual for the Clinton administration and quarterly for the Obama administration. Second, given the changes to LDA filing requirements, I estimate separate models for each presidency.

A second set of challenges arises from the data’s time-series cross-sectional structure. Each observation corresponds to an organized interest in a given time period, with each interest nested in one of CRP’s 92 industries. Consequently, observations are non-independent, as multiple observations correspond to the same interests, industries, and time periods. In order to recover unbiased parameter estimates and uncertainty measures, the analysis requires techniques that accommodate this non-independence. Another issue associated with the data structure is that one key covariate—interests’ partisan alignment—is measured at the industry level and thus repeated across observations of the same interests and industries. Unfortunately, conventional modeling approaches cannot estimate parameters for interest- and industry-level effects and partisan alignment due to collinearity.

To account for non-independence and collinearity, I use Bayesian multilevel models. Multilevel models account for non-independence in nested data structures by allowing parameter estimates to vary for each grouping, such as repeated observations of interests, industries, and time periods (Shor et al. Reference Shor, Bafumi, Keele and Park2007). Additionally, multilevel models can estimate parameters for covariates measured at the group level, such as industry-level partisan alignment. Each of my logistic multilevel models estimates a binary indicator of whether an organized interest-time period observation experienced presidential engagement as a function of its lobbying expenditures and campaign contributions; the partisanship of its industry; a series of organized interest-time period-level control variables drawn from LDA filings, such as on which issues it lobbied; and varying intercepts for each interest, industry, and time period. All models report no divergent transitions during sampling and indicate convergence with $ \hat{R} $ statistics of ≤ 1.10 for all parameters.Footnote 27

Results

First, I discuss my analyses that measure presidential engagement treating all White House visits equally. Interpreting multilevel models can be difficult because of the large number of parameters estimated. To ease presentation, I provide predicted probabilities of engagement using an observed-value approach (Hanmer and Kalkan Reference Hanmer and Kalkan2013), fixing the covariate values of all observations to their observed values while independently varying each covariate of interest—lobbying expenditures, campaign contributions, and partisan alignment—to demonstrate its marginal effect. This illustrates how the probability of engagement changes across levels of each covariate.

The left panes of Figures 3 and 4 present the predicted probabilities of engagement for interests with the levels of resources and partisan alignment specified by the far-left labels during the Clinton and Obama administrations, respectively.Footnote 28 Before considering how variation in resources and partisan alignment affect engagement, it is worth noting that even interests who are not primary targets of presidential coalition building experience engagement at non-negligible rates. For instance, interests not making campaign contributions experienced engagement with a 0.50 probability every semester of the Clinton administration and a 0.29 probability every quarter of the Obama administration. With thousands of interests active in each time period, these substantively large probabilities underscore that presidential engagement is commonplace. Additionally, these probabilities reinforce that presidents do not engage only with well-resourced and copartisan interests, as engaging other interests can be important for coalition building (e.g., noncopartisans to persuade or demobilize).

Figure 3. Relationship between Organized Interests’ Resources and Partisan Alignment on Presidential Engagement (Clinton)

Note: In the left pane, points and lines represent the means and 95% credible intervals of the distributions of predicted probabilities calculated using an observed-value approach with parameter estimates from the Clinton administration model (see Table SI.6). For each of the three interest characteristics, I calculate the probabilities of engagement for all observations for each of the specified values while fixing other covariates to each observation’s observed values. In the right pane, I plot the means and 95% credible intervals for the differences between specific pairs of these distributions of predicted probabilities as indicated by the labels on the left side of the pane. For example, the three topmost points and lines in the left pane indicate the probabilities of engagement when lobbying expenditures are set to the first, second, and third quartile values. In the right pane, the two topmost points and lines indicate the differences in the distributions of probabilities when lobbying expenditures are set to their first and second and their second and third quartile values, respectively. Discrepancies between differences indicated in the right pane and differences between corresponding values in the left pane are attributable to rounding.

Figure 4. Relationship between Organized Interests’ Resources and Partisan Alignment on Presidential Engagement (Obama)

Note: In the left pane, points and lines represent the means and 95% credible intervals of the distributions of predicted probabilities calculated using an observed-value approach with parameter estimates from the Obama administration model (see Table SI.6). For each of the three interest characteristics, I calculate the probabilities of engagement for all observations for each of the specified values while fixing other covariates to each observation’s observed values. In the right pane, I plot the means and 95% credible intervals for the differences between specific pairs of these distributions of predicted probabilities as indicated by the labels on the left side of the pane. For example, the three topmost points and lines in the left pane indicate the probabilities of engagement when lobbying expenditures are set to the first, second, and third quartile values. In the right pane, the two topmost points and lines indicate the differences in the distributions of probabilities when lobbying expenditures are set to their first- and second- and their second- and third-quartile values, respectively. Discrepancies between differences indicated in the right pane and differences between corresponding values in the left pane are attributable to rounding.

I use the predicted probabilities in the left panes of Figures 3 and 4 to evaluate my expectations by assessing whether the differences between them across levels of lobbying expenditures, campaign contributions, and partisan alignment are statistically distinguishable. Importantly, we cannot rely on visual comparisons among these probabilities but instead must assess the differences between the distributions from which they are calculated. The right panes of these figures present the differences for specific pairs of probabilities, as indicated by the labels on the left side of those panes. I refer to differences whose 95% credible intervals do not include zero as statistically distinguishable.Footnote 29

Considering first the predicted probabilities for varying levels of lobbying expenditures and campaign contributions, we observe consistent increases in the probability of engagement as resources increase. For example, in the left pane of Figure 3, whereas the probability of the Clinton administration engaging an interest with the first quartile of lobbying expenditures ( $ <\$\mathrm{10,000} $ ) is 0.40, this probability increases by 0.13 (33%) to 0.53 when expenditures increase to the median ($20,000). Further increasing expenditures from the median to the third quartile ($80,000) induces a smaller increase in this probability of 0.03 (6%) to 0.56. Similarly, in the left pane of Figure 4, the probability of the Obama administration engaging with an interest not making campaign contributions is 0.29, but this probability increases by 0.07 (24%) to 0.36 when contributions increase to the first quartile ($28,891). Further increases in contributions to the median ($97,088) and third quartile ($337,000) are associated with smaller additional increases in the probability of engagement. The right panes of both figures indicate each stepwise increase in lobbying expenditures and campaign contributions is statistically distinguishable, as the 95% credible intervals for the differences between the distributions of predicted probabilities exclude zero. Therefore, although presidents engage with interests lacking resources at not-insignificant rates, they are moderately more likely to engage with interests with larger electoral and policy resource endowments.

Turning to the predicted probabilities associated with interests’ partisan alignment, we see presidents are more likely to engage with interests in industries aligned with the Democratic Party—the party of both Presidents Clinton and Obama. For the Clinton administration, the probability of engagement for an interest in an industry aligned with the Democratic Party is 0.54, but shifting its industry’s alignment to the Republican Party or neither party decreases this probability by 0.04 (7%) and 0.05 (9%) to 0.50 and 0.49, respectively. Similar effects manifest for the Obama administration; the probability of engagement for interests in industries aligned with the Democratic Party is 0.33, but this probability decreases by 0.04 (12%) to 0.29 when industry alignment shifts to the Republican Party or neither party. The right panes of both figures indicate the differences in probabilities for interests in Democratic versus Republican and Independent industries for both administrations are statistically distinguishable. Thus, although presidents engage with interests of all partisan persuasions, they engage modestly more often with copartisans.

Engagement Quality

Next, I turn to my analyses accounting for engagement quality. Because the time and effort of presidents and senior advisers are more scarce and valuable to the White House, the effects of interests’ partisan alignment and resources (as well as the qualities resources afford, such as policy expertise and lobbying capacity) should be magnified for high-quality engagement with these personnel relative to low-quality engagement with others. To explore this expectation, I fit bivariate multilevel logistic regression models for each administration with high- and low-quality engagement as separate outcomes and compare the coefficient estimates for lobbying expenditures, campaign contributions, and partisan alignment for each type of engagement.Footnote 30 Figure 5 presents the differences in the distributions of these estimates for high- and low-quality engagement.Footnote 31

Figure 5. Relative Effect of Organized Interests’ Resources and Partisan Alignment on High- and Low-Quality Presidential Engagement

Note: Points and lines represent the means and 95% credible intervals of differences in distributions of the coefficient estimates corresponding with interests’ lobbying expenditures, campaign contributions, and partisan alignment for high- and low-quality presidential engagement during the Clinton and Obama administrations (see Table SI.11). For example, the two topmost points and lines represent the difference between the distribution of coefficient estimates for lobbying expenditures when the outcome measure is high-quality engagement and the corresponding distribution of estimates when the outcome measure is low-quality engagement for each administration. Credible intervals for some differences are too small to be visible.

Considering first the relative effects of electoral and policy resources, I expect high-quality engagement coefficient estimates for lobbying expenditures and campaign contributions to be larger than those for low-quality engagement. However, the differences plotted in the two topmost pairs of Figure 5 indicate the estimates for these measures are not distinguishably different across engagement qualities; the differences in the lobbying expenditures coefficients are nearly zero, with narrow 95% credible intervals, and the differences in the campaign contributions coefficients are not distinguishable, with much wider 95% credible intervals. Moving to partisan alignment, where alignment with the Democratic Party is the omitted category, I expect high-quality engagement coefficient estimates for alignment with the Republican Party or neither party to be smaller than those for low-quality engagement. Three of the four differences for both types of alignment are in the expected direction, but all are substantively small with 95% credible intervals including zero. Thus, although the White House prioritizes general engagement with well-resourced and copartisan interests, there is no evidence representatives of interests with those characteristics are systematically more likely to meet with the president or his senior advisers when visiting the White House than with a lower-level staffer.Footnote 32

Conclusion

Presidents often cast organized interests as villains who exercise “undue influence”Footnote 33 and have “made a living bleeding our country dry.”Footnote 34 However, as presidents publicly cast interests as foils, they also cultivate cooperation through engagement. Data inavailability long concealed this inconsistency. Using original interviews, survey responses, and administrative data, this paper demonstrates not only that presidents frequently interact with interests but also that presidents do so largely of their own volition. Like presidents build coalitions in Congress and the public, they court members of the organized-interest universe to provide support or withhold opposition, with some emphasis on interests with large resource endowments and who share presidents’ preferences.

These findings have several implications for our understandings of the presidency, organized interests, and representation in American politics. First, although recent discussions of the presidential toolkit focus on powers presidents exercise independently (Kinane Reference Kinane2021; Kriner and Reeves Reference Kriner and Reeves2015; Lowande and Rogowski Reference Lowande and Rogowski2021), this study spotlights engagement with interests and the institutional mechanisms which facilitate it as an important instrument of power (Peterson Reference Peterson1992). Because presidents can benefit from mobilizing interests’ institutional resources in all contexts, including campaigning, policy making, and managing public opinion, incorporating interests into presidency studies may provide new insights on how presidents advance their goals. For instance, although some argue presidents seldom influence congressional votes (Bond and Fleisher Reference Bond and Fleisher1990), accounting for presidents’ marshaling of interests to lobby congresspersons may reveal presidential influence in Congress. Again, though presidents’ ability to “go public” has waned in recent years, presidents may persuade and mobilize the public through interests’ outreach (Cohen Reference Cohen2012). The linkage between presidents and interests offers fertile ground to explore open and contested questions about the presidency.

Second, though recent studies of presidential representation stress that presidents emphasize representation of copartisans (Eshbaugh-Soha and Rottinghaus Reference Eshbaugh-Soha and Rottinghaus2013; Kriner and Reeves Reference Kriner and Reeves2015), my finding that engagement is also informed by interests’ resources suggests presidents’ representational emphases may vary across contexts. Most studies of presidential representation focus on the mass public, where each person possesses roughly equal resources; although some may be more willing or able to participate politically, each can only provide presidents a single vote in an election or nod of approval in a poll. However, when interacting with elites, such as congresspersons or interests, presidents recognize some actors wield more influence and focus representational effort accordingly. For interests, my results indicate engagement is informed by not only interests’ preferences but also their resources. Similarly, in Congress, Beckmann (Reference Beckmann2010) demonstrates presidents’ coalition building focuses on leaders from both parties rather than only copartisan leaders. Although copartisan leaders are more responsive to presidents, noncopartisan leaders hold important institutional powers and sway over their members and presidents communicate with them to bargain or demobilize opposition. Future studies of presidential representation should explore how presidents consider characteristics beyond preferences, such as resources, when allocating representational attention.

Third, this study offers a rare opportunity to assess how presidents contribute to organized interests’ ability to bias political outcomes. Interests representing businesses and the upper class, who tend to enjoy large resource endowments, pervade and exercise disproportionate influence in Congress and the federal bureaucracy (Schlozman, Verba, and Brady Reference Schlozman, Verba and Brady2012), but some speculate presidents’ impulse for national representation dampens the influence of these privileged interests and provides a friendlier venue for interests “not effectively represented in the existing government” (Bentley Reference Bentley1908, 345; see also Howell and Moe Reference Howell and Moe2016; Quirk and Nesmith Reference Quirk, Nesmith, Herrnson, Shaiko and Wilcox2005; Truman Reference Truman1971). My results neither fully endorse nor fully refute this conjecture. In one respect, presidents’ preference for engaging with high-resource interests perpetuates disparities in political voice that benefit business and upper-class interests and marginalize other constituencies. However, presidents engage with even low-resource interests at not-insubstantial rates, and high-resource interests’ odds of experiencing engagement are far from guaranteed; for instance, during the Clinton presidency, even interests making no campaign contributions have a 0.50 probability of experiencing engagement, and increasing contributions to the third-quartile value (≈$200,000) only increases this probability to 0.63 (see Figure 3). Furthermore, whereas larger resource endowments increase interests’ probability of experiencing some form of engagement, I find no evidence resources exert stronger effects on access to the president and senior advisers than to lower-level staffers; thus, although higher resource levels induce modest increases in presidential engagement, they are not indicative of higher quality engagement.

An ideal assessment of how presidential engagement contributes to upper-class bias relative to policy makers’ provision of access in other institutions, like Congress, requires data from those institutions comparable to that from the White House visitor logs. Lacking such data, comparisons to Kalla and Broockman (Reference Kalla and Broockman2016) suggest presidents privilege high-resource interests to a similar or lesser extent than do congresspersons in providing access. In their field experiment, Kalla and Broockman (Reference Kalla and Broockman2016) find interests are 5 percentage points (12%) more likely to secure a meeting with a congressperson’s office and 13 percentage points (240%) more likely to secure a meeting with the congressperson or a senior staffer (i.e., high-quality access), when they reveal electoral resources by mentioning their members donate to campaigns. Although my effects of contributions on the probability of engagement conducted by any member of the White House are similar to those of Kalla and Broockman (Reference Kalla and Broockman2016),Footnote 35 my effects of contributions on high-quality engagement are much smaller.Footnote 36 Furthermore, unlike Kalla and Broockman (Reference Kalla and Broockman2016), I find no difference in the effect of contributions on interests’ access to high- and low-quality engagement. Thus, presidents may not counterbalance the advantages resources afford interests in securing access to other institutions, but they may contribute less to upper-class bias in political voice—particularly at the highest levels of government.

This paper not only illuminates important facets of presidents’ interactions with organized interests but also highlights lines of future inquiry. As only two recent Democratic administrations have disclosed their visitor logs, this paper cannot directly address how some forms of contextual variation, such as presidents’ partisanship and institutional changes affecting presidents’ engagement abilities, may condition engagement. In the former case, presidents of both parties face the same engagement incentives, but Republicans’ closer alignment with well-resourced business interests could augment the effect of resources on engagement for Republican presidents (Grossmann, Mahmood, and Isaac Reference Grossmann, Mahmood and Isaac2021). In the latter instance, the creation of OPL and its ability to coordinate engagement may enable modern presidents to more efficiently align interactions with interests with their goals than in previous periods. Both paths of research would benefit from additional records of engagement such as visitor logs from Republican administrations or more circumscribed information about presidents’ own engagement with interests from Presidential Daily Diaries or Oval Office tapes. Future work could also consider the interplay between presidential engagement and organized interest coalitions. Although the current analysis focuses on presidents’ direct engagement with interests, engagement with interests in coalitions may enable presidents to indirectly engage other coalition members. Additionally, presidents may use engagement to forge coalitions by mobilizing and coordinating the activity of interests sharing common goals. Finally, whereas this paper argues engagement mobilizes interests in service of presidents’ goals, it does not explicitly test whether presidents’ efforts are successful. Subsequent work should evaluate the efficacy of engagement by linking interactions between presidents and interests to interest behavior, such as congressional and grassroots lobbying on presidential initiatives.

Supplementary Materials

To view supplementary material for this article, please visit http://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055422001125.

DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT

Research documentation and data that support the findings of this study are openly available at the American Political Science Review Dataverse: https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/VYVNFR.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

I thank Dan Butler, Josh Clinton, Thomas Holyoke, Jonathan Homola, Joshua Kennedy, David Lewis, Kenneth Lowande, Joshua McCrain, Benjamin Noble, Yu Ouyang, Miguel Pereira, Andrew Reeves, Erin Rossiter, Andrew Stone, Katie Tenpas, Sharece Thrower, and Jeffrey Ziegler. I am also graterful to seminar participants at the Center for the Study of Democratic Institutions at Vanderbilt University, the Political Science Data Lab at Washington University in St. Louis, and the University of California, San Diego, as well as panel members at the 2018 Southern Political Science Association annual meeting and the 2020 American Political Science Association Money in Politics preconference for helpful guidance and feedback. I also thank the organized interest representatives and former White House officials who completed interviews and/or surveys with me for this project.

CONFLICT OF INTEREST

The author declares no ethical issues or conflicts of interest in this research.

ETHICAL STANDARDS

The author declares the human subjects research in this article was reviewed and approved by Washington University in St. Louis’ Institutional Review Board (certificate number 201811022). The author affirms that this article adheres to the APSA’s Principles and Guidance on Human Subject Research. To protect the identities of the interviewees, the author uses pseudonyms based on the order of appearance (i.e., the first interviewee quoted is designated as “Interviewee A”); interviewees’ relevant experience and interview dates are provided in Table SI.1. See Supplementary Information Section A for discussion of specific points.

Footnotes

1 I use “organized interests” rather than “interest groups” to be inclusive in terminology. Whereas “interest groups” implies membership-based groups, “organized interests” includes entities lacking members pursuing collective goals through political action, such as corporations and universities (Schlozman, Verba, and Brady Reference Schlozman, Verba and Brady2012, 9).

2 Barack Obama, “Remarks on Signing the Family Smoking Prevention and Tobacco Control Act of 2009,” June 22, 2009, https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/node/286991.

3 Donald Trump, “Remarks at a ‘Make America Great Again’ Rally in Huntington, West Virginia,” August 3, 2017, https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/node/330949.

4 Tamara Keith, “Trump’s Executive Order on Ethics Pulls Word for Word from Obama, Clinton,” NPR, January 28, 2017, https://www.npr.org/2017/01/28/512201631/trumps-executive-order-on-ethics-pulls-word-for-word-from-obama-clinton.

5 Like Salisbury and Shepsle’s (Reference Salisbury and Shepsle1981) “legislative enterprise,” I consider presidents as presiding over an organization of staffers accountable to them who facilitate the performance of their duties. Formally, the staffers fulfilling this function are those in the Executive Office of the President (EOP). Although managing EOP personnel presents presidents with some of the same coordination problems they encounter in the broader bureaucracy (Krause Reference Krause2009), several institutional features help presidents ensure their staff works toward their priorities, particularly in engaging with organized interests. First, because a large proportion of EOP staff—particularly those in the White House Office—serve at the pleasure of the president, they are more responsive to presidents’ preferences than staff in federal agencies. Second, most modern White Houses delegate oversight of engagement with interests to the Office of Public Liaison (OPL), which serves as the White House’s primary point of contact with interests and manages and provides input on other White House units’ engagement (Pika Reference Pika2009). Multiple interviewees from other White House units reported meetings with interests were often routed through OPL, sometimes adding frustrating levels of complexity to the process. Through OPL, presidents can better ensure engagement aligns with their preferences than if they conducted oversight themselves. This is especially true when the directors of OPL or its equivalent have clout with the president and senior staff, as was the case in the Clinton and Obama administrations (Pika Reference Pika2009). Consistent with the notion of the president as head of an “executive enterprise,” I consider engagement by any EOP member with interests to constitute “presidential engagement.”

6 Glenn Bunting and Ralph Frammolino, “Up to 900 Donors Stayed Overnight at the White House,” Los Angeles Times, February 9, 1997, http://articles.latimes.com/1997-02-09/news/mn-27120_1_white-house-official.

7 David Rubenstein, Interview with the Miller Center for Public Affairs, March 6, 1982, https://millercenter.org/the-presidency/presidential-oral-histories/bertram-carp-oral-history-deputy-assistant-domestic.

8 During the Obama and Biden administrations, this office has been recast as the Office of Public Engagement.

9 Although I focus on White House meetings, my survey respondents indicate the frequency with which their clients experienced engagement through these meetings is correlated with the frequency with which they experienced engagement through mail, email, and phone calls (r = 0.77 and r = 0.65 for the Obama and Trump administrations, respectively) and meetings outside the White House (r = 0.77 and r = 0.62, respectively). Thus, the dynamics I describe also inform the White House’s use of other engagement mediums (see Supplementary Information Section B).

10 See Supplementary Information Section A for more about interview procedures and interviewee descriptions.

11 My sampling frame includes all points of contact on Lobbying Disclosure Act (LDA) reports filed between the first quarter of 2017 and the third quarter of 2018. Although not all interests with whom presidents might engage file LDA reports, the low thresholds for lobbying activity requiring reporting force interests with more than a transient interest in federal policy to file; consequently, studies of interests at the federal level typically focus on the population of interests filing LDA reports (Baumgartner et al. Reference Baumgartner, Berry, Hojnacki, Leech and Kimball2009; Reference Baumgartner, Larsen-Price, Leech and Rutledge2011; Tripathi, Ansolabehere, and Snyder Reference Tripathi, Ansolabehere and Snyder2002). See Supplementary Information Section A for details about LDA and survey procedures.

12 In fiscal year 2016, the Executive Office of the President employed nearly 1,900 people (“Fiscal Year 2017 Congressional Budget Submission,” Executive Office of the President, https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/docs/fy2017eopbudgetfinalelectronic.pdf.), whereas Congress and the broader executive branch employed 34,000 and 2.68 million civilian workers, respectively (“Analytical Perspectives Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 2017,” Office of Management and Budget, https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/omb/budget/fy2017/assets/spec.pdf).

13 Several interviewees reported the Trump administration was less active in engaging with interests than were previous administrations. A former Trump administration official attributed this to the administration’s lack of preparation: “Early on, there wasn’t a whole lot of organization … we didn’t have some of the support groups [like OPL] set up yet” (Interviewee C).

14 See Supplementary Information Section B for more on engagement mediums and why in-person meetings are well suited to testing my expectations.

15 See Supplementary Information Section C.1.6 for information on the visits included in WAVES.

16 See Supplementary Information Section C for details on WAVES records from the Clinton and Obama administrations and the status of records from other recent administrations.

17 See Supplementary Information Section A for more on LDA reporting requirements. Although interests’ representatives may include persons not designated as registered lobbyists, my survey respondents indicate interests’ contingents to White House meetings usually include at least one registered lobbyist (see Supplementary Information Section C.2).

18 The Honest Leadership and Open Government Act of 2007 changed the required filing frequency from semiannual to quarterly.

19 Analyses in the main paper measure engagement using exact matches between the names of lobbyists and White House visitors. In Supplementary Information Sections C.3 and E, I describe the matching procedure and alternative approximate matching techniques and reestimate my models using engagement measures constructed through approximate matching. The substantive results from these specifications are consistent with those presented here.

20 Table SI.9 presents specifications using counts of engagement as outcomes; the substantive results from these specifications are consistent with those presented here.

21 See Supplementary Information Section C.4 for details on engagement quality measures.

22 Filers must indicate if expenditures exceed a threshold—$10,000 for pre-2008 reports, $5,000 for reports filed thereafter—and report a specific amount only if above that threshold. To account for left-censoring, I subtract the threshold minus US$1 from reported amounts; thus, the measure indicates expenditures at and exceeding the threshold.

23 Lobbying Disclosure Act of 1995 (2 U.S.C. §1601) in reference to “United States Code section 1601,” https://www.senate.gov/legislative/Lobbying/Lobby_Disclosure_Act/TOC.htm.

24 Describing interests’ preferences using partisanship does not account for ideological distinctions among interests sharing partisan inclinations. However, in polarized environments like those characterizing the Clinton and Obama administrations, interests typically forge partisan ties (Grossmann, Mahmood, and Isaac Reference Grossmann, Mahmood and Isaac2021).

25 “Alphabetical Listing of Industries,” Center for Responsive Politics, https://www.opensecrets.org/industries/alphalist.php.

26 Table SI.10 repeats my analyses using interest-level preference measures from Bonica (Reference Bonica2013) and Crosson, Furnas, and Lorenz (Reference Crosson, Furnas and Lorenz2020). The results from those analyses are substantively similar to those presented here.

27 See Supplementary Information Section D for details on model estimation.

28 For each set of covariate values in Figures 3 and 4, the probability of engagement during the Clinton administration is one and a half times to two times higher than during the Obama administration. Two contextual differences explain this. First, the temporal range for each observation during the Clinton administration is twice as large as during the Obama administration; thus, each interest-time period observation has twice as long to experience engagement. Second, the number of interests filing LDA reports during the Obama administration is two and a half times higher than during the Clinton administration. Because presidents’ ability to engage with interests did not expand at the same rate, the baseline probability of engagement during the Obama administration is lower. These differences preclude direct comparisons across administrations.

29 See Supplementary Information Section E.1 for details about calculation and interpretation of predicted probabilities.

30 Bivariate models account for the non-independence of the White House’s choices to provide an interest with high- and/or low-quality engagement by modeling correlations among analogous parameters in the constituent models for each type of engagement (see Supplementary Information Section D).

31 See Supplementary Information Section E.3 for how these differences are calculated.

32 One potential explanation for these null results is that even if the White House wants to focus high-quality engagement on well-resourced and copartisan interests, presidents and their senior advisers, whose actions attract close scrutiny, face countervailing pressure to cultivate reputations for personally interacting with a wide range of the interests with which the White House engages. Future studies should consider the extent to which government officials’ decisions about with which interests to interact are informed by how they expect interests and political elites to perceive those interactions.

33 Bill Clinton, “Address before a Joint Session of Congress on Administration Goals,” February 17, 1993, https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/address-before-joint-session-congress-administration-goals.

34 Donald Trump, “Remarks Announcing Candidacy for the Republican Presidential Nomination in 2020,” June 18, 2019, https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/remarks-announcing-candidacy-for-the-republican-presidential-nomination-2020.

35 Interests are 5 and 7 percentage points (10% and 24%) more likely to experience engagement when moving from no contributions to the first quartile value during the Clinton and Obama administrations, respectively (see Figures 3 and 4).

36 Using the model summarized in Table SI.11, I calculate and compare the probabilities of high-quality engagement in each administration when interests make no contributions and make the first-quartile value of contributions, holding all covariates at their observed values. I find interests are 4 and 2 percentage points (19% and 26%) more likely to experience high-quality engagement when moving from no contributions to the first-quartile value during the Clinton and Obama administrations, respectively.

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Figure 0

Figure 1. Importance of Direct Contacts for Organized Interests across InstitutionsNote: Bar graphs indicate how important respondents reported having direct contacts with officials in Congress (left), the federal bureaucracy (center), and the White House (right) is for their overall lobbying strategies. Responses are weighted to reflect the characteristics of the sampling frame. Responses may not sum to 100% due to rounding; $ N $ between 709 and 714 per question.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Dynamics of Presidential Engagement with Organized InterestsNote: Bar graphs indicate respondents’ perceptions of dynamics underlying presidential engagement during the Obama (left) and Trump (right) administrations. The top row indicates the degree to which respondents thought direct contacts arose from organizations’ requests versus White House invitations, and the center and bottom rows indicate the frequency with which the White House granted organizations’ requests and organizations accepted White House invitations, respectively. These questions were posed to respondents who reported attending White House meetings during each administration. Responses are weighted to reflect the characteristics of the sampling frame. Responses may not sum to 100% due to rounding; $ N $ between 231 and 248 per question.

Figure 2

Figure 3. Relationship between Organized Interests’ Resources and Partisan Alignment on Presidential Engagement (Clinton)Note: In the left pane, points and lines represent the means and 95% credible intervals of the distributions of predicted probabilities calculated using an observed-value approach with parameter estimates from the Clinton administration model (see Table SI.6). For each of the three interest characteristics, I calculate the probabilities of engagement for all observations for each of the specified values while fixing other covariates to each observation’s observed values. In the right pane, I plot the means and 95% credible intervals for the differences between specific pairs of these distributions of predicted probabilities as indicated by the labels on the left side of the pane. For example, the three topmost points and lines in the left pane indicate the probabilities of engagement when lobbying expenditures are set to the first, second, and third quartile values. In the right pane, the two topmost points and lines indicate the differences in the distributions of probabilities when lobbying expenditures are set to their first and second and their second and third quartile values, respectively. Discrepancies between differences indicated in the right pane and differences between corresponding values in the left pane are attributable to rounding.

Figure 3

Figure 4. Relationship between Organized Interests’ Resources and Partisan Alignment on Presidential Engagement (Obama)Note: In the left pane, points and lines represent the means and 95% credible intervals of the distributions of predicted probabilities calculated using an observed-value approach with parameter estimates from the Obama administration model (see Table SI.6). For each of the three interest characteristics, I calculate the probabilities of engagement for all observations for each of the specified values while fixing other covariates to each observation’s observed values. In the right pane, I plot the means and 95% credible intervals for the differences between specific pairs of these distributions of predicted probabilities as indicated by the labels on the left side of the pane. For example, the three topmost points and lines in the left pane indicate the probabilities of engagement when lobbying expenditures are set to the first, second, and third quartile values. In the right pane, the two topmost points and lines indicate the differences in the distributions of probabilities when lobbying expenditures are set to their first- and second- and their second- and third-quartile values, respectively. Discrepancies between differences indicated in the right pane and differences between corresponding values in the left pane are attributable to rounding.

Figure 4

Figure 5. Relative Effect of Organized Interests’ Resources and Partisan Alignment on High- and Low-Quality Presidential EngagementNote: Points and lines represent the means and 95% credible intervals of differences in distributions of the coefficient estimates corresponding with interests’ lobbying expenditures, campaign contributions, and partisan alignment for high- and low-quality presidential engagement during the Clinton and Obama administrations (see Table SI.11). For example, the two topmost points and lines represent the difference between the distribution of coefficient estimates for lobbying expenditures when the outcome measure is high-quality engagement and the corresponding distribution of estimates when the outcome measure is low-quality engagement for each administration. Credible intervals for some differences are too small to be visible.

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