In 2015, two years after Xi Jinping 习近平 announced his Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) to bring economic development to an imagined new Silk Road spanning across the world, the Chinese National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) published an action plan which explicitly mentioned information technologies (IT) as a key part of the BRI.Footnote 1 The plan called for the creation of an “Information Silk Road,” envisioned as an extension of the infrastructure building that was already part of the original BRI announcement and further detailed in the rest of the document. A modest and very concrete 56 words out of the 5,598 of the English-language document were dedicated to the topic, urging the construction of cross-border and submarine cables and the improvement of satellite networks, with the goal of extending the international cooperation envisioned within the BRI to the realm of (digital) information.Footnote 2
The Information Silk Road, renamed as the Digital Silk Road in 2017 (shuzi sichou zhilu 数字丝绸之路, DSR hereafter), has been variously described as a slogan rather than a policy,Footnote 3 an “umbrella term for various activities of interest to the Chinese government in the cyber realm,”Footnote 4 and the “digital element”Footnote 5 or “component” of the BRI,Footnote 6 but also more specifically as a package of digital technologies “to supply connectivity in terms of international communication and data flows”Footnote 7 and as a tool to reshape the global world order by offering BRI countries “technology ‘bundles’ comprised of smart cities, smart harbours, e-commerce, digital currency, communications networks, and satellite networks.”Footnote 8 But what, in reality, is the Digital Silk Road?
Most of the existing scholarship has avoided any attempt to define the boundaries and scope of the DSR. Outside of China, the term has been seized by media, think tanks and some scholars to portray a juggernaut of Chinese tech expansion around the world, part of a unified strategy to build China's alternative digital world order.Footnote 9 Such analyses conflate state policies, investments in the digital field from Chinese tech companies and individual companies’ globalization strategies – strategies which may or may not align with the central government's goals, may or may not be in countries that have signed BRI agreements and which often precede both the BRI and DSR. While authors sometimes acknowledge that they are taking a maximalist view of the DSR that is not based on official documents, they also portray a unified China and a clear vision as the engine behind the initiative.Footnote 10 Within China, the DSR is seen by many as Xi Jinping's signature project,Footnote 11 or as an opportunity to better coordinate Chinese outbound tech exports and investments and to facilitate the decision making in these areas by political authorities and commercial companies.Footnote 12
There is scant research on how the DSR is implemented or received in third countries.Footnote 13 The few notable exceptions focus on the general perception of Chinese tech,Footnote 14 or on projects by Chinese companies that are not explicitly linked to the DSR by either the company or the host country.Footnote 15 Even research that argues that Chinese companies are the drivers of the DSR does not identify projects that can be directly connected to it (for instance, through financing), and conflates tech companies’ political signalling, which is directed at internal audiences, with their actual strategies to expand in foreign markets.Footnote 16
Hong Shen in 2018, and Jing Cheng and Jinghan Zeng in 2023 offer rare in-depth analyses of the DSR's meaning and development.Footnote 17 Shen argues that the DSR is an extension of internal Chinese policies on tech innovation and internationalization and a way to export excess production capacity to foreign markets in line with the 13th Five-Year Plan for National Informatization and earlier initiatives, such as the internationalization of Chinese standards or the export of the Chinese satellite system, Beidou.Footnote 18 Cheng and Zeng, assessing the longer-term evolution of the discourse and actions surrounding the DSR, conclude that it is just a political slogan that “emerged from the grander slogan of the BRI to carry the BRI's momentum.”Footnote 19 The actual meaning of the DSR, they argue, is both created and driven by the agendas of corporate actors, rather than by the central government, and Chinese tech giants compete to bend the DSR narrative to suit their own purposes, within and outside China.
But why does defining what the DSR actually is matter? Scholars of Chinese politics broadly agree that central government initiatives such as the BRI are programmatic documents that are then interpreted and realized by a number of different actors, including subnational ones.Footnote 20 Such internal contestations and appropriations during the translational phase can weaken and fragment the central narrative and undermine its execution as a cohesive whole both internally and externally.Footnote 21 Lee Jones and Shahar Hameiri argue that the central government steers and disciplines, while subnational actors, such as provinces, respond by primarily “influencing” and “interpreting,” and more rarely, “ignoring” the centre's directives.Footnote 22 Audrye Wong identifies similar dynamics, with provinces “trailblazing” (influencing central policies), “carpetbagging” (implementing central policies but deviating from their goals, while rhetorically embracing them) or “resisting” central directions. In the context of the BRI, this mix of collaboration and competition creates a perpetually shifting narrative, which includes projects driven by (provincial) domestic interests that can diverge from the centre's intentions and even undermine China's foreign policy.Footnote 23
These studies have contributed to a reassessment of the BRI, from “grand strategy” to a more modest set of scaled-down and not necessarily connected projects. However, the DSR continues to be portrayed as a master plan to expand the Chinese digital footprint, which ignores the internal negotiations, implementation and local initiatives. In contrast, we argue that the DSR has been a locus of power struggles – first among national-level actors and then among provincial-level governments – and has become a “legitimization mechanism” for local strategies that serve (and reflect) provincial goals of digital development, rather than a government-driven strategy to push Chinese tech to foreign countries. The DSR has evolved over two phases: an initial one (2015–2019), characterized by national actors seeking to assert control over outward-facing digital plans, followed by a second period when national guidelines declined and provincial initiatives surged. These initiatives do not appear to be part of the feedback loops identified by Jones and Hameiri or Wong: the central rhetoric has not been followed up with central funding or coordinating mechanisms, and local initiatives have been ignored by the centre, rather than being incorporated into any further policy. Rather than being loose interpretations of central guidelines, provincial plans manipulate national narratives for local use and to find a rhetorical legitimation of local policies for central audiences. Provincial governments attempt to leverage the DSR to gain opportunities to grow and modernize the digital infrastructures of poorer areas, or to promote existing tech industry priorities in richer provinces, while mostly ignoring the international dimension evoked in central documents. As a result, the DSR is internally scattered among local plans that serve local interests and seek to build provincial connections to BRI countries that, for the most part, ignore them.
Building on research that seeks to clarify the drivers of the DSR, we argue that provinces are the main actors who have taken up the central rhetoric of the DSR and who are attempting to create projects around it – with little success either internally or externally. We base our argument on 31 documents related to the DSR issued by central actors and 130 documents issued by 34 provincial-level bodiesFootnote 24 between 2015 and July 2022.Footnote 25 Below, we refer to national-level documents as “N” and to provincial ones with the acronym of the province (a full list of documents appears in the online Appendix 1, with Table A for national documents and B for provincial ones). We catalogued policies according to their issue date, issuing authority and title, and conducted a qualitative analysis of the documents’ structure and content, including goals, priorities, specific projects and policy changes over time. Building on the practice of interweaving textual analysis of China's internal and external digital strategies with its political economic contexts,Footnote 26 we propose a close reading of both the structure and the wording of official documents as a necessary starting point from which to understand internal priorities, how these priorities change over time, the degree of attention different topics receive, and what this implies for the development of the DSR.Footnote 27
Phase One: National-level Struggles to Control the DSR Narrative
A first glimpse of what would become the DSR appeared in 2014, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's (MIIT) BRI implementation plan, “Infrastructure construction plan to connect neighbouring countries,” which called for the building of information highways (xinxi gaosu gonglu 信息高速公路).Footnote 28 The use of the word “information highways” and the emphasis on constructing infrastructure were early signs of a continuity between the BRI and internal plans for nation building through ICT, which date back to the early 2000s. Those plans posited infrastructure as the necessary first step to create a more even circulation of information and economic development. This link became even more pronounced with the 2015 NDRC's “Vision and action on jointly building the Belt and Road” (N01), which called for the building of an Information Silk Road and made the digital sector a priority area.Footnote 29 This echoed a shift in internal plans as the priority of building infrastructure then moved to an emphasis on innovation and technology as drivers of economic growth.Footnote 30
The early period of the DSR has been well analysed, especially the shift in focus from infrastructure building to a broader suite of technologies and digital services, and the relentless and ultimately successful efforts of the Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC) to gain control of the narrative and direction of the initiative against other national-level actors.Footnote 31 This power struggle appears clearly in early documents on the DSR. The 2015 document (N01) was issued by the NDRC, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA), the Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) and the State Council. The CAC was not involved, but its then-director, Lu Wei 鲁炜, evoked the construction of a DSR in a number of public speeches, which made it clear that he considered it to be within the CAC's remit, given its potential to expand to digital services and governance.Footnote 32 Other entities that strived to influence the initiative included the MIIT and even the Ministry of Culture and the Ministry of Education, both of which issued documents linking the DSR to parts of their core missions – animation and game industries for the former and universities for the latter (N17 and N21). Each pronouncement on the DSR from the State Council or Xi Jinping himself (for example, N13 and N18) was followed by declarations and action plans from the different national actors that were vying for influence (for example, N14 to N17, from the MIIT, NDRC, CAC and MCE). In more recent years, however, the only voices have been those of the NDRC and CAC (N28 and N31). The CAC's expanding and “supra-ministerial” role as regulator of the digital space and its alignment with the more political of the state-level actors suggests that, at the central level, the DSR has evolved into a tool used to export Chinese ideas on digital sovereignty rather than to build infrastructure and export tech products.Footnote 33
This leads to the question of the actual content of central DSR plans. Are there specific projects, beyond lists of areas worthy of attention, which can help to draw a distinction between the DSR and the much broader and earlier expansion of Chinese tech abroad? It is worth noting that even defining a “DSR document” is challenging, since documents that do not mention either the BRI or the DSR can be quite detailed about DSR connections (for example, N27 and N28). But, in general, the vagueness of “Vision and actions” in 2015 (N01) set the template for subsequent documents; objectives remain indeterminate, as do the nevertheless persistent exhortations to build, expand, develop and export. The narrow focus on infrastructure quickly expands to cloud and data (N11, from 2016), to the digital economy (N15, from 2017) and the construction of data harbours (N30), but the language never deviates from lists of topics rather than concrete projects. The cumulative effect of the documents is one of “atmospheric guidance,” in the words of Jones and Zeng, which cannot even be reduced to a long-term vision, as key terms and areas are borrowed from other existing policies and initiatives in a variety of fields, and future evolutions are entirely left open to interpretation.Footnote 34 The only exception is the China–ASEAN Information Harbor (dongmeng xinxigang 东盟信息港), which was named explicitly and received significant attention between 2016 and 2017, and again in 2021 (N07, N09, N10, N11, N12, N15, N26). The Harbor, so called to indicate “a port for internet connectivity, information sharing, wealth pooling and culture integration,”Footnote 35 was not even the result of national actors’ priorities, but rather an idea pursued by the Guangxi provincial government. Interestingly, it is not mentioned in the 2019 document, “The BRI: progress, contributions and prospects” (N22), which lists a number of achievements in different areas including in the digital realm. Central documents do not provide an overall strategy; they simply offer vague keywords and no hints of actual projects. These only appear in documents issued by provincial governments seeking to make central exhortations to build digital connections with neighbouring countries into vehicles for their own agendas.
Phase Two: Digital Silk Road Policies at the Provincial Level
Much like central documents, provincial ones address the DSR at different levels of detail. Three provinces (Guangxi, Gansu and Fujian) issued stand-alone DSR plans; seven issued documents that refer to the DSR in a generic way, without any implementation plan; 18 issued BRI plans that refer specifically to IT or digital infrastructure (sometimes weaving references to the DSR in their narrative). Only six provinces have no plan for either the BRI or the DSR. Figure 1 shows a timeline of central and provincial DSR documents. The initial surge in central plans and commentaries (21 between 2015 and 2019) petered out in the following years, just as provincial plan-making gained momentum, with a record 42 documents issued in 2021.
This appears to follow the well-established pattern of provinces providing content to guidelines issued by the centre.Footnote 36 However, central statements on the DSR are so devoid of actual content that they result in keywords – connectivity, infrastructure, big data, e-commerce, the digitization of industry, standard-making – that are neither novel nor indicative of any particular direction in the evolution of the digital landscape other than the one set by IT companies.
Provincial plans can be divided into two groups: those by provinces which do not have an IT industry, and those that do. We discuss their characteristics below.
Plan-rich and tech-poor provinces
Provinces without a significant tech industry have attempted to use the DSR to develop local projects with an international orientation. Guangxi stands out, with 12 documents as of July 2022, and for its influence on the national DSR even before its launch. In fact, Guangxi came up with one of the very few projects mentioned in central documents that can be directly related to the DSR and then followed through its attempted implementation: the China–ASEAN Information Harbor, mentioned above. The Guangxi provincial government and the CAC proposed the project in September 2014 during the first China–ASEAN Cyberspace Forum, which was held in Nanning. The project was immediately endorsed at the highest level and officially launched in 2015 by Zhang Gaoli 张高丽, the vice-premier of the State Council, at the following Forum.Footnote 37 After the 2015 announcement of the Information Silk Road, Guangxi issued a series of work plans detailing goals, programmes and key local implementers. The Harbor was incorporated as a state-controlled company charged with building the infrastructure and managing the overall project.Footnote 38 It was approved by the State Council in 2016 (N9, N11).
The real goal, however, was to provide an opportunity, and possibly financing, to develop Guangxi's own infrastructure and digitize its industries, rather than to build an outward-facing DSR.Footnote 39 In 2015, the province ranked 25th in China's Information Society Index, and its lack of an information economy was seen as the major barrier to its informatization.Footnote 40 A big obstacle to the growth of the local digital economy was the interprovincial competition from Guizhou and Fujian over investments and talents, so Guangxi's China–ASEAN plan was a chance to build a unique brand reflecting “Guangxi's characteristics” (Guangxi tese 广西特色).Footnote 41 By 2021, the scale of the local digital economy had reached 851.2 billion yuan (roughly US$124 billion), which represented about 34.4 per cent of Guangxi's GDP and ranked the province 18th in the country.Footnote 42 The Harbor was held up as an example of a flagship DSR project in the 13th and 14th Five-Year Plans.Footnote 43 Guangxi continued to pursue its strategy of digital development via the DSR, issuing more plans for the construction of an information highway connecting ASEAN countries and, domestically, to strengthen interprovincial broadband networks in southern China. By 2021, it had constructed 11 interprovincial backbone networks, seven cross-border land cables and dedicated data channels and 13 Beidou Navigation Satellite System demonstration projects for ASEAN countries (GX10). The Harbor was also trying to attract companies such as Huawei, Alibaba and Tencent to invest in the province.Footnote 44 Public praise from the central government, however, was not followed by financial support. In 2020, the Guangxi government's Big Data Research Institute bemoaned the lack of coordination between ministries, central commissions and provinces, the lack of central funding and the absence of ASEAN partners.Footnote 45 In 2021, the provincial government was seeking investors and trying to set right a project that was not looking likely to ever be completed or profitable.Footnote 46 None of the envisioned ASEAN partners materialized, either as investors or as businesses operating within the Harbor, as the local government itself admitted in its “China–ASEAN DSR 2021–2025 Plan” (GX4).Footnote 47 The document explicitly discusses not only the need to find ways to motivate ASEAN countries to join the DSR and take up the services offered by the Harbor but also the several areas that were not working.Footnote 48
Fujian, also competing for resources from the central government, proposed its own China–ASEAN Information Harbor (Zhongguo–Dongmeng xinxi gang wangshang sichou zhilu 中国东盟信息港网上丝绸之路, FJ3) in 2017. Given Fujian's existing ties with Taiwan, this project was supposed to increase e-commerce between the two and to extend it to ASEAN countries. Nothing concrete followed, but the plan itself shows the fierce competition that exists among provinces to develop their own digital economy by pairing this rhetorically international framing with an inwardly focused execution. Fujian persisted in looking for ways to use the DSR to support commerce with Taiwan. Its “2019–2022 work plan on the Digital Silk Road” (FJ8) proposed to leverage existing sea cables connecting it to Taiwan and build data centres and ICT businesses around them. Yet again, nothing came out of this plan.Footnote 49
Gansu, another province with a very low-tech industry base, also showed an early interest in developing infrastructure, e-commerce and data exchanges with Central Asia.Footnote 50 Its workplan to build a “Silk Road Information Harbor 2018–2025” (GS3) envisions the creation of a network to connect it to central-western Asia and to upgrade existing China–Kazakhstan and China–Mongolia land cables – none of which has come to fruition as of 2023. Despite the rhetoric of internationalization, however, Gansu's plans are heavily focused on the local development agenda. Having one of the smallest digital economies in China, the province is trying to upgrade its traditional industries and grow its information sectors. It needs the strategic opportunity for digitization offered by the DSR, as local authorities candidly admit in their planning documents (GS3).Footnote 51
Connectivity is also mentioned in plans issued by Liaoning, Heilongjiang, Ningxia, Sichuan, Shanxi, Henan, Jiangsu, Guizhou and Hubei, usually without any reference to specific resources and with flexible interpretations of “neighbouring countries.” All these plans are either rehashes or at best upgrades of infrastructure-building projects that predate the DSR, such as the Transit Europe–Asia Terrestrial Network (TEA) from the 1990s,Footnote 52 or else did not materialize at all. The DSR framing was used simply to repurpose existing policies while further attempting to strengthen the local infrastructure to develop the local economy.
Similar attempts to leverage DSR keywords for local development appeared in the areas of “information sharing” (xinxi gongxiang 信息共享) and cross-border (or Silk Road) e-commerce (silu dianshang 丝路电商), with plans issued to exchange data with BRI countries and to empower Chinese information-service businesses to build an eco-system for big data applications (see, for example, GX3, GS3).Footnote 53 The scarce follow-ups to these plans that we were able to find have continued to depict them as projects that are about to happen or will happen in the future, while existing projects are used at most by local, not even national, companies.Footnote 54
There have also been calls for collaborations with BRI countries to build governance guidelines for cross-border data transfer (GS3) – yet again, without international counterparts. The goal is to supply China-based information-service businesses with data from BRI countries and ease the overcapacity of big data centres in western China.Footnote 55 However, we have found no evidence of the involvement of international companies (unless they are localizing services for the Chinese market, like Apple and Foxcomm).Footnote 56 A report by the Guangxi government on the China–ASEAN Information Harbor observes outright that ASEAN countries do not actively participate in the Harbor, and that among the nearly 200 key projects, there is little ASEAN or international participation, with initiatives of Chinese enterprises going without support or response.Footnote 57
“Tech-rich” provinces and the DSR
Provinces and municipalities with a significant IT manufacturing base – Guangdong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai, BeijingFootnote 58 – have not been particularly prolific in producing DSR and BRI plans, although they have referred to both as narrative devices with which to frame their own plans for digital development. These provinces and municipalities are not interested in building or strengthening infrastructure, which is already in place. Their interests lie in standard- and norm-making in digital areas and in being at the forefront of innovation. Unlike the poorer provinces, who are playing catch-up in the digital economy, richer provinces are looking to the future and working ahead of the government in attempting to identify the next wave of IT innovation. In its “14th Five-Year Plan on the digital economy” from 2021, Zhejiang proposes to explore ethics in AI and blockchain, and to enhance BRI countries’ cooperation in the digital economy by building a governance system for international digital trade (ZJ3). Similarly, the “Beijing action plan for promoting high-quality development of the Belt and Road (2021–2025)” (BJ3) proposes the establishment of international digital trade standards, international cross-border mutual recognition of digital certificates and electronic signatures. Between 2015 and 2021, Guangdong issued seven plans, opinions and regulations on its own digital economy, referencing both the DSR and the BRI, but in an abstract way. The real focus of these documents was on identifying areas for the development of cutting-edge technologies to keep innovating and growing the provincial economy, without much concern for the national one. The “Overall plan for the construction of Guangzhou artificial intelligence and digital economy pilot zone” (GD2) specifies that tax breaks and subsidies are for companies and personnel based in the Guangzhou–Hong Kong–Macau Greater Day Area only; the 2021 “Opinion on accelerating the development of digitization” (GD7) identifies 6G, brain-computer interfaces and DNA storage as areas of research for local companies which can then be leveraged for export (zou chuqu 走出去). These plans discuss specific technologies to add to an existing basis that is already very solid and export oriented. They may pay lip-service to collaboration with BRI countries, but without the specific regional emphasis of poorer provinces like Guangxi. They also show awareness that the future of the digital world order lies in more political areas such as digital governance. Whereas less IT-oriented provinces propose to build data centres, Guangdong aims to participate in the creation of standards and policies for cross-border data flows. Similarly, Jiangsu's “2020 proposal on accelerating the construction of the DSR in our province” (JS2) is aimed at supporting existing strategies for “going out” (zou chuqu) and “bringing in” (yinjin lai 引进来), i.e. supporting Chinese companies in their expansion abroad and in attracting foreign technological and managerial innovations and talents.
From the very beginning of the DSR, scholarship has discussed how it is a mechanism for exporting excess equipment that cannot find an internal market.Footnote 59 But while the DSR strategies of IT-rich provinces fit this framing, for IT-poor ones the DSR is a way to make up for their lack of an IT industry, not to export non-existing excess capacity. IT-rich provinces do not need the DSR: IT companies based in those regions already have a firm foothold in foreign markets and employ diverse strategies and local incentives to expand it. Their DSR rhetoric serves to legitimize, in the eyes of the central government, policies and subsidies that benefit their own areas and enterprises.
Conclusion: Provincial Policies as a Counterpoint to a Unified Conception of the DSR
To go back to our original question, what, in reality, is the DSR? We analysed it from the perspectives of rhetorical framing, national strategies on technology, and national and provincial actors, and showed that while it persists as a keyword in provincial plans that echo national discourses, it in fact lacks all substance, particularly in terms of actual projects supported by central funding and international partners.
That Chinese internal policies are complex and fragmented is well established, but the DSR breaks the mechanism of central direction and local execution that underpins many state initiatives. Documents issued by central actors do not signal any clear direction, much less specific projects or detailed financing and coordinating mechanisms. The very few projects that they do list were initiated by provincial governments and then were either abandoned, like the China–Arabic Countries Cyber Silk Road project, or else fell short of their international ambitions, like Guangxi's China–ASEAN Information Harbor. The timeline of national and provincial activities on the DSR shows that the central government has been steadily disengaging with the initiative after an early period of signing DSR-specific MoUs with a number of countries. This could be owing to the changing international landscape, especially in the tech field, an inward turn towards state regulation of the tech industry and a renewed emphasis on self-reliance and indigenous innovation.Footnote 60 The policymaking process identified by Jones and Hameiri and others implies the existence of a feedback mechanism among different actors (mostly central and provincial/local governments), even when the feedback is negative.Footnote 61 The absence of funding and international partners for concrete and specific DRS projects jams this “steering” mechanismFootnote 62 and the central impetus fades away. From a policymaking perspective, then, this adds “lack of traction” to the repertoire of the regulatory state: strategies that might be thought to be promising at a specific point in time are abandoned when the blocks required for implementation do not materialize from the involved parties. It is important to note, too, that Chinese tech companies, seen by some as the real drivers of the DSR, have maintained an ambiguous stance towards it and there is little evidence that they refer to the DSR as something that informs their market decisions.Footnote 63 While the Chinese government plays an important role in regulating and supporting the tech industry,Footnote 64 its influence on companies’ internationalization strategies can be limited.Footnote 65
In the 14th Five-Year Plan for National Informatization, issued in 2021 by the Central Commission for Cybersecurity and Informatization,Footnote 66 the DSR is discussed in a rather subdued way: “The concept of a community of common destiny in cyberspace was broadly disseminated.”Footnote 67 This is an apt conclusion to an initiative that never found its main purpose and was never taken up by parties that could have implemented it, except on a rhetorical level. Continuing to interpret the DSR as a unified plan, or even as a strategy, only obfuscates attempts at understanding who the different actors in the Chinese technological field are and how they are contributing to reshape, in very different ways, the digital world order.
Supplementary material
The supplementary material for this article can be found at https://doi.org/10.1017/S0305741024000936.
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank Oyuna Baldakova, Hong Shen, Chen Xuechen, Shalen Fu, Li Ping, Thant Sin Oo and the anonymous reviewers for their insightful feedback, and Thais Lobo for her editorial help. This article is part of a project that has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme, Grant agreement No. 850891.
Competing interests
None.
Elisa OREGLIA is reader in global digital cultures in the department of digital humanities at King's College London. She is currently researching the expansion of Chinese tech in neighbouring countries.
Weidi ZHENG earned her PhD in media studies from SOAS, the University of London, and conducted postdoctoral research in the department of digital humanities at King's College London. Her research interests include media anthropology, digital economy, global China and South–South cooperation.