Introduction
After earlier proceedings in 2003 stranded on procedural grounds,Footnote 1 the German Bundesverfassungsgericht (Federal Constitutional Court, FCC), on 17 January 2017 delivered a verdict on the content and character of the Nationaldemokratische Partei Deutschlands (National Democratic Party of Germany, NPD). In these new proceedings, the Court decided that the extreme-right party would not be banned. The Court concluded that the NPD is anti-constitutional (verfassungsfeindlich), since it aims to create an ‘an der ethnischen “Volksgemeinschaft” ausgerichteten autoritären “Nationalstaat”’.Footnote 2 But, at the same time, the Court held that the NPD was too insignificant to constitute a serious threat to German democracy, and therefore is not unconstitutional (verfassungswidrig).Footnote 3 The NPD is said to have around 6,000 members, 338 local representatives and one Member of the European Parliament, but no representatives at the federal level.Footnote 4
The reasoning of the FCC in this second case involving the NPD was particularly interesting. Given the so-called ‘party privilege’ (Parteienprivileg) in Article 21(1) of the German Basic Law (Grundgesetz), political parties are afforded special protection, and in contrast to regular associations, can only be banned by the FCC.Footnote 5 In addition, the grounds for banning a party are stricter than when it comes to regular associations,Footnote 6 and can be found in Article 21(2) Grundgesetz:
‘Parties that, by reason of their aims or the behaviour of their adherents, seek to undermine or abolish the free democratic basic order or to endanger the existence of the Federal Republic of Germany shall be unconstitutional. The Federal Constitutional Court shall rule on the question of unconstitutionality’.Footnote 7
After the Second World War, and up until the first case involving the NPD, the FCC was asked to rule on the unconstitutionality of merely two parties: the Sozialistische Reichspartei (Socialist Reich Party, SRP) and the Kommunistische Partei Deutschlands (Communist Party of Germany, KPD).Footnote 8 With the former the Court had no particular difficulties: the SRP closely resembled the NSDAP in its institutional structure, members and political ideas.Footnote 9 But it took the FCC four years to ban the KPD. Although the case was filed in the same year as the SRP banning request (in 1951), doubt was cast on the need for a ban as the (electoral) strength of the KPD plummeted.Footnote 10 Nevertheless, the Court banned the party in 1956 – in a verdict of extraordinary length.Footnote 11
The Court used the KPD case to clarify some aspects of the German militant democracy regime (wehrhafte or streitbare demokratie).Footnote 12 First, it stated that, for a ban, the use of violence, or other crimes, is not necessary.Footnote 13 Second, it contended that a party does not have to pose a concrete danger to German democracy.Footnote 14
The FCC thus interpreted ‘darauf ausgehen’ (‘seek to’, in the English translation above)Footnote 15 in Article 21(2) Grundgesetz as only requiring a substantive test: the unconstitutionality of a party is given with its unconstitutional aims, regardless of its size and potential. It used to be a characteristic aspect of Germany’s militant democracy that parties which oppose the German ‘free democratic basic order’ could be banned solely on the basis of their political aims. This did not mean that discussing forms of government that contradicted the ‘free democratic basic order’ was prohibited – i.e. ideas as such are not banned,Footnote 16 but when these ideas are translated into a ‘political programme’ that is ‘fundamentally and enduringly focused on combatting the free democratic basic order’, the threshold for a ban is met.Footnote 17 As a consequence, also a party that has ‘no prospect of achieving its unconstitutional aims in the near future’ qualifies for a ban.Footnote 18 This leaves no room for risk calculation, i.e. is the ban actually needed to protect democracy?
This all changed with the verdict in NPD II. The FCC explicitly abandons its earlier approach, and reinterprets ‘seeking’ (‘darauf ausgehen’) as follows:
‘In accordance with the exceptional character of the prohibition of a political party as the preventive prohibition of an organisation and not a mere prohibition of views or of an ideology, there can, however, be a presumption that the criterion of “seeking” has been met only if there are specific weighty indications suggesting that it is at least possible that a political party’s actions directed against the goods protected under Article 21(2) GG may succeed (potentiality).
Conversely, if it is entirely unlikely that a party’s actions will successfully contribute to achieving the party’s anti-constitutional aims, there is no need for preventive protection of the Constitution by using the instrument of the prohibition of the political party, which is the sharpest weapon, albeit a double-edged one, a democratic state under the rule of law has against its organised enemies [cf 107, 339 <369>]. On the contrary, the prohibition of a political party may be considered only if the political party has sufficient means to exert influence due to which it does not appear to be entirely unlikely that the party will succeed in achieving its anti-constitutional aims, and if it actually makes use of its means to exert influence. If this is not the case, then the requirement of “seeking” within the meaning of Art. 21(2) GG is not met. The Senate does not concur with the [opinion] set out in the judgment in the case of the Communist Party of Germany (Kommunistische Partei Deutschlands …) which held that the lack of any prospect, as far as humanly measurable, that the political party will be able to realise its unconstitutional aims at any time in the foreseeable future does not bar a prohibition of the party [cf 5, 85 <143>].’Footnote 19
The Court first explicitly reaffirms its earlier stance that a party ban does not constitute the prohibition of ideas as such. But more importantly, in sharp contrast to its earlier decisions in the SRP and KPD cases, for a party to be banned, having a thought-out ‘political programme’ aimed at ‘combatting the free democratic basic order’ is no longer enough. The Court introduces a new criterion, that of ‘potentiality’ (Potentialität): it must at least be possible that the party under review can threaten the ‘free democratic basic order’ when it actually acts upon its potential. According to the Court, whether the ‘potentiality’ criterion is fulfilled has to be established ‘on the basis of an overall assessment’, concerning: (1) ‘the situation of the political party’ when it comes to ‘membership numbers’, finances, and such; (2) the ‘impact’ it has on society, in terms of ‘election results, publications, alliances and supporter structures’; (3) ‘its representation in public offices and representative bodies’; (4) ‘the means, strategies and measures it deploys’; and (5) ‘all other facts and circumstances’ that might indicate if the party can achieve its aims.Footnote 20 The Court decided that, on the basis of such an overall assessment, this potentiality was lacking regarding the NPD. In the new approach of the Court, a party ban is now also a matter of timing.
In the following, we will first discuss two related, but distinct, rationales for a ‘risk calculation’ test when it comes to party bans. Then we will focus on the interaction between the case law of the European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) and the jurisprudence of the FCC. Subsequently, we will discuss the constitutional amendment that resulted from this case, and introduced a new instrument to the German militant democracy arsenal: ending state funding for a political party. In the final section, we conclude with some brief remarks on the political-philosophical tenability of the new German militant democracy regime.
Two rationales for a ‘risk calculation’ test
The decision not to ban an extreme-right party with meagre support could be interpreted as a sign of democratic maturity.Footnote 21 After all, one should not forget that post-war Germany was, besides war-torn, a country with no substantial democratic tradition, apart from the traumatic, short-lived Weimar-democracy. Put more rhetorically, it is the only country, next to Japan, where the United States actually succeeded in ‘bringing democracy’.Footnote 22 In any case, a democratic tradition still had to take root after the Second World War. In the early stages of the West German democracy, a stricter patrolling of the limits of democracy might have been understandable.Footnote 23 However, a more developed and stable democracy can allow for more political freedom; a development that is already noticeable in other cases from the FCC concerning political freedoms.Footnote 24
The new, less restrictive approach of the FCC to the right of political association in NPD II fits into this pattern and is the result of incorporating a ‘risk calculation’ test. Such a test can be operationalised by using two closely related, but distinct, rationales. First, there is a ‘risk to democracy’ rationale, as explicitly used by the ECtHR,Footnote 25 i.e. banning the party is not yet needed for the protection of democracy, since it is unlikely that the party could actually inflict any serious damage. This is the rationale that also informed the FCC’s ‘risk calculation’ test in NPD II. However, there is also what one might call a ‘negative effects’ rationale, i.e. the expectation that a ban would have negative effects that outweigh the benefits of removing a party from the democratic arena, e.g. it could contribute to the radicalisation of its supporters, pushing them underground and/or into the use of violence.Footnote 26
Both rationales tie into each other when it comes to ‘late’ party bans. Waiting too long, until, for instance, the party even participates in government, is discouraged by both rationales, since it increases the risk to democracy in an institutional sense (the ‘risk to democracy’ rationale), but it could also increase the adverse effects of the ban, or even render a ban unfeasible (the ‘negative effects’ rationale).Footnote 27 But both rationales point in different directions when it comes to ‘relatively early’ bans. While a ‘risk to democracy’ rationale – of course, subject to the specific national context – might suggest a ‘wait and see’ approach regarding an antidemocratic political party that has, say, 15 of the 100 available seats in parliament and no real prospect of joining a coalition government, as there is no real (electoral) threat to democracy yet; a ‘negative effects’ rationale might consider a ban already too late at that stage, since the party has already amassed a large base of followers that might actively resist the ban, suggesting intervention at a much earlier point in time.Footnote 28
Interaction of the German Court and the European Court of Human Rights
In addition to democratic maturity; the legal perspective offers an important explanation for the NPD II case. The shift from a purely substantive approach to a combination of a substantive and a (‘risk to democracy’) risk calculation test has to be seen in the context of interaction with international legal standards on militant democracy.Footnote 29 Germany, as a signatory to the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR), has to adhere to the human rights standards that are laid down in this treaty, and – in the final instance – also has to abide by the interpretation the ECtHR gives to the treaty.Footnote 30
The general European Court of Human Rights framework on party bans
The ECtHR has developed an extensive jurisprudence on the banning of political parties and associations. To assess whether there has been a violation of the right to association (Article 11(1) ECHR) the ECtHR determines whether the specific ban was ‘necessary in a democratic society’ (Article 11(2) ECHR). Given the severity of the infringement that a party ban constitutes, ‘the margin of appreciation’ (i.e. the room for interpretation by an individual state) is therefore strict.Footnote 31 It is a measure that cannot be taken lightly. In the words of the ECtHR in its landmark case concerning the ban of the Turkish Refah party:
‘Drastic measures, such as the dissolution of an entire political party and a disability barring its leaders from carrying on any similar activity for a specified period, may be taken only in the most serious cases.’Footnote 32
Therefore, the ECtHR sets the bar high. There must be:
‘plausible evidence that the risk to democracy, supposing it had been proved to exist, was sufficiently imminent.’Footnote 33
In applying this standard to Refah, part of a coalition government at the time of its dissolution, the ECtHR concurred with the risk assessment made by the Turkish Constitutional Court:
‘While it can be considered, in the present case, that Refah’s policies were dangerous for the rights and freedoms guaranteed by the Convention, the real chances that Refah would implement its programme after gaining power made that danger more tangible and more immediate. That being the case, the Court cannot criticise the national courts for not acting earlier, at the risk of intervening prematurely and before the danger concerned had taken shape and become real. Nor can it criticise them for not waiting, at the risk of putting the political regime and civil peace in jeopardy, for Refah to seize power and swing into action, for example by tabling bills in Parliament, in order to implement its plans’.Footnote 34
Two elements are important in the Court’s reasoning. First, as said, a risk calculation test, based on a ‘risk to democracy’ rationale, with a high threshold (‘sufficiently imminent’), is an integral part of the ECtHR’s treatment of party bans.Footnote 35 Second, the ECtHR seems to suggest that this threshold is met when there is a reasonable risk that an antidemocratic party could seize power and start executing its programFootnote 36 – but not much earlier.
It is not hard to see why, when taken at face value, the 1950s German militant democracy regime is difficult to reconcile with the ECtHR’s stance in this respect. The FCC’s stance in the KPD case – a political party without any electoral potential can also be banned – was quite far removed from the ECtHR interpretation of ‘sufficiently imminent’. With the NPD II verdict the FCC has brought its jurisprudence closer to the standards of the ECtHR by incorporating a risk calculation testFootnote 37 – the question is, however, how close, exactly?
It is important to note at this point that the difference is not so much in substance. On the question of what makes a party antidemocratic, the German Federal Constitutional Court’s ‘free democratic basic order’ corresponds quite well with the European Court of Human Rights’ ‘concept of a democratic society’, as both adhere to a substantive, rather than a procedural, conception of democracy.Footnote 38 Therefore, it is a matter of timing: when is a ban allowed, according to the ECtHR and according to the FCC?
The European Court of Human Rights on timing
Regarding timing, the ECtHR does provide some leeway on the strict margin of appreciation in Article 11 ECHR by recognising that: (1) national authorities are better placed to assess threats to democracy in their own country;Footnote 39 and (2) the historical context and constitutional specifics of a country have to be taken into account,Footnote 40 as for instance, the protection of secularism in Turkey.Footnote 41
In addition to Article 11, there is Article 17 ECHR. When the KPD case reached Strasbourg in 1957, it was actually decided under this article.Footnote 42 Article 17 ECHR, the so-called ‘abuse clause’, bars applicants from invoking their ECHR rights when they evidently aim to misuse them against Convention rights. Consequently, there is no substantive treatment of the case. In these cases, there is no need to see whether the infringement was proportional. To put it bluntly: since the applicants ‘lost’ their Convention rights, there are no rights to violate in the first place. Such applicants are therefore not protected by the Convention, and there is no need to assess whether the infringement is justified by the actual threat a party poses.Footnote 43 Although it is hard to discern a clear rule for when Article 17 applies, it is used in cases when holocaust denial, racism, ‘religious hate speech’ or ‘totalitarian ideologies’ are concerned.Footnote 44
While the historical context of Weimar Germany remains relevant for the assessment under Article 11 ECHR, it does seem unlikely that this context would today still justify banning a party regardless of its potential.Footnote 45 Regarding Article 17 ECHR, the category of ‘totalitarian ideologies’ could be relevant, given the fact that the FCC sees a commitment in the NPD to ‘the National Socialist violence and terror regime that was characterized by contempt for human beings and totalitarian animosity against democracy’.Footnote 46 However, the FCC does not seem to consider the article relevant to the NPD II case and only discusses it briefly in outlining the ECtHR framework.Footnote 47 Perhaps the FCC did not see the NPD as falling into one of the categories of cases in which Article 17 ECHR is applied by the Strasbourg Court.Footnote 48 With Article 17 not called upon or applied, the ECtHR would probably, under Article 11, render a – hypothetical – ban of the NPD premature.
The German Federal Constitutional Court on timing
If the NPD had met the FCC’s potentiality criterion, and was banned, the ECtHR might have come to rule on this new criterion. However, as this did not happen, it remains to be seen how the ECtHR would evaluate the FCC’s use of ‘potentiality’ in the ‘risk calculation’ test. Therefore, it is interesting to note that, in NPD II, the FCC did give something of ‘a shot across the bows’ on what it considers the appropriate timing for a ban. The FCC suggests that it is not prepared to set the bar for banning a party as high as the ECtHR is sometimes interpreted to do in the German literature.Footnote 49 The FCC argues that the ECtHR’s ‘sufficiently imminent’ criterion is not to be read as strictly as one might think solely on the basis of Refah, and therefore:
‘cannot be taken to mean that, from the point of view of the [European Court of Human Rights], the prohibition of a political party is only in compliance with the Convention if a specific threat to the free democratic order has already emerged and the success of the anti-constitutional endeavours of the political party is immediately imminent.’Footnote 50
To substantiate this claim, the FCC first points to other cases of the ECtHR in which it allowed party bans on the basis of its ‘sufficiently imminent’ criterion without problematising the (relatively small) size or significance of the prohibited political parties and/or the threats posed by them to the constitutional order. In these cases, the ECtHR regarded their stances on, or links to, terrorism sufficient grounds for prohibition, such as in Batasuna.Footnote 51
More importantly, the FCC argues that, in general, if it were to ban a party on the basis of its new ‘potentiality’ criterion, this would indeed be covered by the margin of appreciation which the ECtHR leaves to states in applying the ‘sufficiently imminent’ criterion. The ECtHR conducts an ‘overall examination of the circumstances’ with special regard to specific national experiences and developments. Applied to Article 21(2) Grundgesetz and the German situation, this would mean that it must be taken into account that this provision is a response to the historical experience of the Nazi party’s ‘quasi-legal’ rise to power and reflects the efforts to prevent such in the future by a relatively early intervention.Footnote 52 In other words, when applied in Germany, the ‘sufficiently imminent’ criterion leads to an earlier moment of intervention. Therefore, against this background, the notion that the banning of a political party is only allowed when it has become so strong that undermining or abolishing the ‘free democratic order’ does not merely seem possible, but is in fact probable, must be rejected in the German situation according to the FCC.Footnote 53 It leads the FCC to conclude that, as cited above, a party can be banned when it ‘is at least possible that a political party’s actions directed against the goods protected under Article 21(2) GG may succeed (potentiality)’.Footnote 54
To summarise: the FCC argues that this ‘potentiality’ criterion adheres to the ‘sufficiently imminent’ threshold the ECtHR sets for party bans; it is ‘simply’ the result of applying the ECtHR’s criterion to the specific German circumstances. In Germany, the ‘sufficiently imminent criterion means ‘potentiality’: a party can be banned, within the confines of Article 11 ECHR, when there is the possibility of the ‘free democratic basic order’ being undermined or abolished; it does not have to be probable.Footnote 55
New complications? The constitutional amendment to Article 21 Grundgesetz
The introduction of the ‘potentiality’ criterion in National Democratic Party II created a new ‘category’ of parties.Footnote 56 From now on, there are two types of party that strive against the free democratic basic order. First, there is the (full-blown) unconstitutional party (‘verfassungswidrig’), as meant in Article 21(2) Grundgesetz: a party that not only actively opposes the free democratic order, but also, given the new interpretation of ‘seeking’ (‘daraus aufgehen’), has the potential to actually threaten this order. Second, there is the anti-constitutional party (‘verfassungfeindlich’), which actively opposes the free democratic basic order, without the potential to actually threaten it (the National Democratic Party, for instance). Only the former category can be banned, pursuant to Article 21(2) Grundgesetz. Naturally, the question arises what can or should be done with regard to parties in the latter category. When declared anti-constitutional (‘verfassungsfeindlich’), but not unconstitutional (‘verfassungswidrig’), the party lives on and enjoys the full protection of the earlier mentioned ‘party privilege’, which means that, for instance, it may not be refused the use of ‘municipal facilities’, such as a city hall, for party purposes.Footnote 57 And, more importantly, from that moment on, via the funding of political parties, the state is ‘officially’ subsidising an anti-constitutional party.Footnote 58
In its NPD II decision the FCC already hinted at linking ‘verfassungsfeindlichkeit’ to party funding in a new constitutional provision.Footnote 59 The German lawmaker has followed up on this suggestion and ‘codified’ the new category.Footnote 60 The second paragraph of Article 21 Grundgesetz remained the same (as cited above), but by constitutional amendment two paragraphs were added, effective from 28 July 2017.Footnote 61 Article 21(3) and (4) now read as follows:
‘(3) Parteien, die nach ihren Zielen oder dem Verhalten ihrer Anhänger darauf ausgerichtet sind, die freiheitliche demokratische Grundordnung zu beeinträchtigen oder zu beseitigen oder den Bestand der Bundesrepublik Deutschland zu gefährden, sind von staatlicher Finanzierung ausgeschlossen. Wird der Ausschluss festgestellt, so entfällt auch eine steuerliche Begünstigung dieser Parteien und von Zuwendungen an diese Parteien.
(4) Über die Frage der Verfassungswidrigkeit nach Absatz 2 sowie über den Ausschluss von staatlicher Finanzierung nach Absatz 3 entscheidet das Bundesverfassungsgericht.’Footnote 62
In the new Article 21 Grundgesetz the crucial ‘railroad switch’ is in the difference between ‘seeking’ (‘darauf ausgehen’) (in Article 21(2)) and ‘darauf ausgerichtet’ (in Article 21(3) and (4)).Footnote 63 To qualify as ‘seeking’ (‘darauf ausgehen’) a party must have, given the NPD II interpretation of ‘darauf ausgehen’, a certain potential to reach its goals. Those parties are unconstitutional (‘verfassungswidrig’) and can be banned. To qualify as ‘darauf ausgerichtet’, however, parties do not have to have such potential; their striving against the free democratic basic order suffices. These parties can be said to be anti-constitutional (‘verfassungsfeindlich’),Footnote 64 although the new article does not use this term, and can be excluded from state funding, both in a ‘direct’ (subsidies, ‘staatlicher Finanzierung’) and an ‘indirect’ sense (tax benefits, ‘steuerliche Begünstigung’).Footnote 65 The exclusion applies for a period of six years, subject to renewal.Footnote 66
The NPD II decision makes it clear that the NPD did not qualify for the first, but given the substance of its political program, would most certainly qualify for the new, second category in Article 21(3) Grundgesetz.Footnote 67 If successful, such an Article 21(3) procedure could deal a critical blow to the party, which has been faced with dwindling membership and financial troubles.Footnote 68 Out of around 160 million in funds earmarked for political parties, the NPD received €1.3 million in state funding in 2015.Footnote 69
Of course, arguments can be made in favour of the new amendment. Why would a democracy finance a party that aims to threaten its very existence and the rights of others, protected by the ‘free democratic basic order’?Footnote 70 Especially while, for instance, Germany simultaneously spends €104.5 million a year to combat these views.Footnote 71 A second argument can be found in ‘proportionality’: reserving the party ban for the most serious threats to democracy, but using less intrusive instruments (such as ending party funding) to deal with less serious threats.Footnote 72 The FCC mentioned this ‘proportionality’ argument in NPD II, pointing out that under the former Article 21 Grundgesetz no less far-reaching measure than a party ban was available, while the ECtHR case law does leave open the possibility of using less intrusive measures for lesser threats to democracy.Footnote 73
Nonetheless, one must take into account how essential state funding is to political parties. While ending party funding is presented as a less intrusive measure, one could question how realistic this is when parties (such as the NPD) are highly dependent on state funding.Footnote 74 Ipsen and Kingreen argue that cutting party financing could function as a ‘de facto party ban’. That it could even replace the (actual) party ban of Article 21(2) Grundgesetz, thereby effectively lowering the threshold that was raised by the FCC in NPD II.Footnote 75
It is likely that we will see the new instrument in action soon; it is thought that an Article 21(3) Grundgesetz procedure against the NPD will be started in the near future.Footnote 76 Only after the FCC’s decision in such a procedure we will be able to fully assess the import of Germany’s newest addition to its militant democracy arsenal.
Conclusion
The NPD II decision adds a new element to German constitutional law: the timing of party bans. The FCC no longer deems it sufficient that a party actively aims to abolish or undermine the free democratic basic order: the Court requires a certain ‘potential’. For a ban, it must be at least possible that the political party could successfully threaten the free democratic basic order. The combination of a substantive test (does the party oppose the free democratic basic order?) and a ‘risk calculation’ test, based on a ‘risk to democracy’ rationale (is there a possibility that it will achieve its goal?), is justifiable as a choice to refrain from intervening in the democratic process as long as possible.Footnote 77 In doing so, the FCC created a new category of parties, namely: those that do engage in a struggle against the free democratic basic order, but lack the potential to realise their aims. The German legislator seized this opportunity to create the option to deny such parties state financing (in an amendment to Article 21 Grundgesetz). This, however, leads to new complications; cutting party financing could function as a de facto party ban, as has been remarked upon in the first commentaries on these developments in the German literature.
By departing from its ‘substantive test’-only approach established in its decision in KPD (1956) the FCC has moved closer to the ECtHR case law on party bans. However, in something of a shot across the bows, the FCC contends that the ECtHR’s ‘sufficiently imminent’ criterion should not be understood as putting the threshold as high as in the landmark Refah decision. In addition to nuancing the ‘sufficiently imminent’ criterion as such, its most important argument is that, under the margin of appreciation, the specific German circumstances would justify an earlier moment of intervention than in Refah. Therefore, the new ‘potentiality’ criterion would adhere to the ECtHR’s ‘sufficiently imminent’ criterion, as it is ‘just’ the result of applying it in the German context. It remains to be seen whether the ECtHR will concur with the FCC’s interpretation of its standards.
The NPD II decision also introduces a degree of uncertainty that, up to now, was absent from the German militant democracy regime. All militant democracies that incorporate a ‘risk calculation’ test are affected by the question: how does one establish whether the danger a party poses to democracy is concrete enough? At which exact moment in time, in terms of the FCC, is the ‘potentiality’ threshold met?Footnote 78
As noted above (see Introduction), the FCC provided some general viewpoints, but while these guidelines might help in selecting the relevant facts, the issue of the actual assessment of these facts, their relative weight and interconnectedness, is not resolved. For instance, how many seats in parliament would tilt the scales towards a ban? And what if a political party does have a substantial number of seats in parliament, but is categorically excluded from coalition-government by (all) other parties?Footnote 79 Or, how to assess a party that has no substantial number of seats, but makes a significant impact on society by engaging in public agitation and the like?
Consequently, the timing of a ban in a militant democracy regime that also wants to take the actual democracy-damaging potential of a political party into account (next to its party programme) remains an intricate matter. In other words, bringing the ‘risk calculation’ test into practice is not an easy task. This does not have to be a problem per se, since the new approach offers more protection to political parties in comparison with the ‘substantive test’ only approach of the FCC in the 1950s; the bar for banning a party has been raised. Given this extra protection, the lack of a ‘mathematically’ exact right moment for the timing of a ban may be pardoned.Footnote 80