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Viscous compression model for estimating the depth of new snow

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 January 2017

Yuji Kominami
Affiliation:
Kansai Research Center, Forestry and Forest Products Research Institute, Momoyama Town, Fushimi, Kyoto 612, Japan
Yasoichi Endo
Affiliation:
Tohkamathi Experiment Station, Forestry and Forest Products Research Institute, Tohkamachi City, Niigata 948, Japan
Shoji Niwano
Affiliation:
Tohkamathi Experiment Station, Forestry and Forest Products Research Institute, Tohkamachi City, Niigata 948, Japan
Syuichi Ushioda
Affiliation:
Kaijyo Corporation, 3-1-5 Sakae Town, Hamura City, Tokyo 205, Japan
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Abstract

This paper describes a method for estimating the depth of new snow, using hourly data of total snow depth and precipitation. As the snow cover is compacted continuously due to its own weight, the depth of new snow deposited since the previous time-step to the present time is given by a difference between the height of the present snow surface and the present is impacted height of the previous snow surface. Thus, based on viscous compression theory and an empirical relation between compressive viscosity and the density of snow, an equation has been derived to compute the time variation of the thickness of a snow layer due to viscous compression. Using this equation, the present height of the previous snow surface, which cannot be measured by simple means, was computed and the depth of daily new snow was estimated as its difference from the present measured total snow depth. The approximated results were found to be in good agreement with data measured in Tohkamachi during the three winters from 1992–93 to 1994–95. The standard deviation was 1.71 cm and the maximum difference between estimated values and observed values was ± 8 cm.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © International Glaciological Society 1998

Introduction

The depth of new snow deposited during a particular time interval is an important piece of practical information for operational snow removal from roads, the prediction of snow avalanches and other applications. But, the depth of new snow still cannot be measured automatically and is obtained manually by measuring the snow depth deposited on a snow board cleared and set on the snow surface at regular intervals.

Since the snow cover is compacted continuously due to its own weight, the depth of newly deposited snow from the previous time-step to the present time is not equal to the difference of the total snow depth during that interval. It is the difference between the height of the present snow surface and the present compacted height of the previous snow surface. The former can be measured automatically but the latter cannot. Hence, in this paper we consider a method for computing the latter from precipitation data measured automatically, on the basis of the viscous compression theory of dry snow developed by Reference BaderBader (1954), Reference Kojima.Kojima (1957, Reference Kojima and Oura.1967), Reference Herron and LangwayHerron and Langway (1980), Reference Motoyama and Kojima.Motoyama and Kojima (1985) and Reference Endo, Ohzeki and Niwano.Endo and others (1990).

In this paper, the depth of daily new snow is estimated and compared with data measured during the three winters from 1992–93 to 1994–95.

Estimating Depth of Daily New Snow

Change in Thickness of a Snow Layer by Viscous Compression

In order to compute the evolution of total snow depth with time or the depth–density profile of the snow cover by viscous compression, it is necessary to know the relationship between the compressive viscosity η and the density ρ of snow.

Reference Kojima.Kojima (1957, Reference Kojima1958, Reference Kojima and Oura.1967) has found that the relation between these factors for dry fine-grained snow within a density range 100–500 kg m −1 can be expressed as

where η 0 and k are constants. But, it has been pointed out recently by Reference NakamuraNakamura (1987) and Reference Kajikawa and Quo.Kajikawa and Ono (1990) that the values η and k in the density range of less than about 100 kg m−3 are differenl from those in other ranges. This is inconvenient for the computation of snow depth or snow density.

Then, Reference Endo, Ohzeki and Niwano.Endo and others 1990 re-investigated this relation and indicated that η could be expressed by the following power function of ρ for dry snow with a dcnsiiy range 40–300 kg m−3 and a snow temperature of 0° to −5°C:

(1)

where C ≈ M 0.392 Pa s (kg m−3)−a and a ≈ 4 (Eudo and others, 1990). The value C is considered to be dependent on snow temperature and the shape of the snow crystals. Reference EndoEndo (1992, 1993) has shown that an approximation of snow depth or snow density is possible by using this equation. It has been used to predict direct-action avalanches.

On the other hand, the compressive viscosity of wet snow is known generally to be less than that of dry snow, when the other conditions of snow, for instance, wet-snow density, grain shape and others are the same. Reference Kojima and Oura.Kojima (1967) has found that, if η is related to dry-snow density ρ dry which is obtained by subtracting the contribution of free water from the wet-snow density, the relation for wet snow with a free-water content of less than 5% is almost the same as that for dry snow of 0°C. However, the relation for very wet snow is unknown.

Thus, we have assumed the following equation as the relation between η and ρ dry (cf. Rndo and others, 1990):

(2)

where C and a are constants as described previously.

Now, we consider a thin snow layer called the i layer which was deposited from time t i–1 to ti . Let the thickness of the i layer at time t(> ti ) be hi (t), and let the wet-snow mass of the i layer per unit horizontal area and mass of free water contained in it at time t respectively, be wi (t) and qi (t). Then, the dry density of the i layer at time t is

(3)

where α i , (t) is the free-water content by mass, of the i layer at time t and this is given by α i (t) = qi ,(t)/wi (t). If the i layer of thickness hi (t) at time t is compressed by dh i (t) in a short time interval dt by the normal stress σ i ,(t) exerted on the i layer, the compressive viscosity η/(t) is denoted by

(4)

Substituting Equations (2) and (3) into the above equation and, integrating both sides from the previous timet n−1 to the present time t n after separating the variables, the thickness h′i (t) of the i layer at the present time tn due to viscous compression is given by

(5)

We assume that the mass of the ice part, except for the water in the i layer, is unchanged from time t n−1 to t n.

Here, hi (tn−1 ), wi (t n−1, and α i (t n−1) are the thickness, total mass and free-water content of the i layer at time t n−1. As shown in Figure 1, Qi (t n−1), t n is the time integration of normal stress σ i (t) exerted on the i layer from time t n−1 to tn :

(6)

Fig. 1. Weight of each snow layer at time tn−1 and tn and the stresses exerted on a column of i layer

Here, taking an interval Δt between time steps 0, t 1,..., tn−1 and tn to be short enough, we assume that changes in thickness, total mass and free-water content in each snow layer, due to snow melting and percolation of mcltwater, can be calculated separately using the change in thickness due to the viscous compression given by Equation (6).

Then, Qi ((tn−1 , tn ) is approximated by

(7)

where p(tn) is the amount of precipitation deposited in the form of snow or rain from time tn−1 to tn , and g is the gravitational acceleration.

Equations (5) and (7) show that the thickness h′i (t n ) of each layer at the present time t n, resulting from viscous compression, is given by the precipitation amount p(t n ) at the present time-step and the height hi (t n−1), the total mass wi (t n−1) and the free-water content αi (t n−1) of each layer at the previous time-step t n−1 .

Calculation of New Snow Depth

Total snow depth changes by snow accumulation, ablation and viscous compression. As shown in Figure 2, we assume that snow accumulation and ablation lake place, after the snow cover at time t n−1 changes its height solely by viscous compression and settling to a sum of all h′i (tn ). Also, we assume that the wind is so calm that it hardly Iranspnris snow particles on the snow surface such as at our site (average wind speed of 1.1 m s−1). In this case, snow accumulation and ablat ion occur respectively, by snowfall and snow melting. Then, we consider the following index D(tn ):

(8)

where H(tn ) is the total snow depth measured at time tn , and ∑h′ i(tn ) is the total snow cover estimated as a result of viscous compression. And g(tn ) is the thickness of snow melted on the ground from time t n−1 to tn . This melt thickness has been neglected because measured g(tn ), using a snow lysimeter, is less than 0.1 cm d−1 of snow.

Fig. 2. Estimation method for the depth of snow accumulation and ablation. We assume that D(tn) indicates the depth of snow accumulation if D(tn) > 0 and snow ablation if D(tn) < 0

If new snow is deposited during the time interval from time t n−1 i to tn without melting of the old snow surface at time t n−1, D(tn ) is positive and the value of D(tn ) gives thickness a hn (tn ) of the newly deposited n layer, as shown in Figure 2. In an opposite case, that snow melting takes place on the surface without snowfall, D(tn )is negative, indicating the thickness of snow melted on the surface. Also, even in the case that both snowfall and snow melting take place during the interval, if snow melting Occurs after new snow is deposited, D(tn ) shows the thickness of new snow in D(tn ) > 0 and of melted snow in D(tn ) < 0.

However, if new snow is deposited after the snow surface at time t n−1 is melted, we cannot obtain the respective thickness of them from D(tn ).

But, these cases are possible only at the beginning of a snowfall. If we take the time interval to be short enough, the ratio of occurrence of these cases compared to all becomes small.

Hence, taking the time interval Δt as 1 hour, wc assume thai D(tn ) gives the thickness of new snow in the case of D(tn ) > 0 and the thickness of snow melted on the surface in the case of D(tn ) < 0. In the case of D(tn ) > 0, the precipitation p(tn ), considered as the amount of snow, gives a mass wn (tn ) of the n layer at a time tn . Free-water content of the new snow is supposed to be 0, because it is unknown. Thus, height, mass and water content of the n layer are as follows:

In the other case of D(tn ) < 0, we suppose thai the precipitation p(tn ) is the same amount of rain as the surface is melting. In this case, the k layer located at depth D(tn ) of snow melted from the snow surface satisfies the following equation:

(9)

As a result of snow melting, the thickness hi (tn )of each layer at time tn becomes

(10)

Also, mass m(tn ), containing free water, of wet snow melted on the surface is given by

(11)

We assume that this meltwater m(tn ) is distributed with the precipitation p(tn ) in the lower snow layers, according to such a simple tank model that free water contained in a snow layer can percolate into the lower only in the case when its free-water content αi ,(tn ) exceeds the maximum value α max. Then, we can determine that mass wi (tn ) and free-water content αi ,(tn of each snow layer at time tn .

If we compute the new snow depth from time-step 1 by such a method, we can obtain thickness, mass and free-water content of each snow layer at the present time tn , using the values of total snow depth and precipitation measured at each time-step from time t 1 to tn . In this paper, as we take Δt as 1 hour, depth of hourly new snow at time tn is given by thickness hn (tn ) of the tn layer and that of daily new snow is given by

(12)

where D(tn )day is the depth of daily new snow at time tn .

Observation Site and Climate

We made a system for computing and displaying depth of daily new snow using the above-mentioned method, by using values of total snow depth and precipitation measured hourly by an ultrasonic snow-depth meter SL-340 (minimum digit 0.1 cm) of the Kaijo Co. Ltd and a rain- and snow-gauge (minimum digit 0.5 mm of water) of the Ybkogawa Weathac Corporation, respectively.

To evaluate the depth of daily new snow estimated by this system, we set a snow board on the snow surface at 09.00 each morning and measured the depth of new snow deposited on the board during 24 hours.

These measurements were made at the Tohkatmachi experimental station during three winters from 1992–93 to 1991–95. This site is situated about 190 km northwest from Tokyo and located at 37°08ʹ N, 138°46ʹ E at an altitude of about 200 m. Monthly average air temperatures of these winters were 3.2°C in December, 0.5°C injanuary, 0.9°C in February and 2.8°C in March, and snow layers were in wet conditions during most periods. The average wind speed of the winters was 1.1 m s−1 and snowdrift rarely occurred. Maximum snow depths were 172 cm in 1992–93, 163 cm in 1993–94 and 226 cm in 1994–95.

Comparison Between Computed and Measured Depth of Daily New Snow

In order to optimize the values of C and a in Equation (2), we set the maximum free-water content α max in each snow layer, and we computed the depth of the daily new snow for various values of a, using the following relations:

and compared with the measured depth.

Table 1 shows the standard deviation δ of the computed depth for the various values of a, where δ is calculated by the root-mean-square of the difference between approximated and observed new snow depth. As shown in Table 1, the standard deviation is smallest when 3.6 is used for a in both cases. Therefore, we computed the depth of daily new snow taking a = 3.6.

Table 1. Standard deviation of estimated snow depth depending on the chosen value of a for three years of observation (assuming C = 0.392 Pa s (kgm−3)−a and αmax = 0.15) (A) Using all data; (B) using data exceeding 10 cm

The computed results are shown in Figure 3, where the approximated depth vs the measured depth is shown. In Figure 4, a comparison of the measured and computed depth is shown for January of each winter. We can see from these figures that the computed depth is in a good agreement with the measured depth and its maximum difference is about ±8 cm.

Fig. 3. Relationship between approximated and observed depth of daily new snow for the winters of1992–93, 1993–94 and 1994–95

Fig. 4. Comparison of approximated and observed depth of daily new snow for January

The maximum free water content δ max by mass is considered to be 0.10–0.20, depending on grain-size and grain shape (Reference Yoshida and Oura.Yoshida, 1967). There was little difference between the depths of daily new snow computed for maximum free-water content from α max = 0.10 to α max = 0.20.

Discussion

Comparison with Conventional Estimation Methods of New Snow Depth

Most of the local observation stations of the Japanese Meteorological Agency use two conventional methods, based on differences of total snow depth measured automatically, to estimate the depth of daily new snow; the first one is the method of substituting daily change of total snow depth for depth of daily new snow, and the second one is the method of estimating the depth of daily new snow by summing the positive increment of hourly snow-depth changes.

We investigated the error of estimation using these two methods and compared them with our estimate by the viscous compression model, using the same data of the three winters from 1992–93 to 1994–95. Figure 5 shows the relationship between daily change of total snow depth and the conventionally measured depth of daily new snow. As shown in this figure, the errors of daily difference of snow depth are usually negative and its maximum error is −23 cm; the standard deviation is 9.72 cm. Such large negative errors are mainly caused by viscous compression of the snow cover.

Fig. 5. Relationship between daily change in total snow depth and conventionally measured depth of daily new snow

The estimation method by summing positive change is considered to revise the negative errors due to viscous compression by removing the negative change of hourly snow depth. The relationship between the values estimated by this method and the conventionally measured depths of daily new snow is shown in Figure 6. Using this revision, the estimated values shown in Figure 6 are distributed equally around a solid line which indicates y = x. However, its maximum error is ±15 cm and standard deviation is 4.52 cm.

Fig. 6. Relationship between the daily sum of positive changes in hourly snow depth and the conventionally measured depth of daily new snow

These results show that estimates using the viscous compression model method are much more accurate than the other two conventional methods.

Relationship Between Compressive Viscosity and Dry-Snow Density

Taking C = 0.392 Pas (kg m−3)−a, we determined the constant a = 3.6 in Equation (2) in order to minimize the errors of the estimated depth of daily new snow.

The result obtained is shown in Figure 7 as the plot of log η against the dry-snow density, together with the values measured for dry; fine-grained snow below 0°C by other researchers (Reference Kojima and Oura.Kojima, 1967; Reference Shinojhna and OuraShinojhna, 1967; Reference NakamuraNakamura, 1988; Reference EndoEndo and others, 1990; Reference Kajikawa and Quo.Kajikawa and Ono, 1990). The solid line represents the relation used in this paper and the broken lines those by the other authors. As shown in this figure, the solid line is not too far from the broken lines. Hence, the values of C and a used in this paper are considered to be appropriate values.

Fig. 7. Relationship between compressive viscosity and dry-snow density

Conclusions

We have derived a method of approximating the depth of daily new snow by using data of hourly total snow depth and hourly precipitation, based on a viscous compression model of snow.

As shown in Figure 3, the approximated depth of daily new snow was found to be in good agreement with the depth measured with a snow board in Tohkamachi during three winters 1992–93 to 1994–95. The standard deviation for this “calibration” data set was 1.71cm and maximum difference between the approximated values and the observed values was ±8 cm.

References

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Figure 0

Fig. 1. Weight of each snow layer at time tn−1 and tn and the stresses exerted on a column of i layer

Figure 1

Fig. 2. Estimation method for the depth of snow accumulation and ablation. We assume that D(tn) indicates the depth of snow accumulation if D(tn) > 0 and snow ablation if D(tn) < 0

Figure 2

Table 1. Standard deviation of estimated snow depth depending on the chosen value of a for three years of observation (assuming C = 0.392 Pa s (kgm−3)−a and αmax = 0.15) (A) Using all data; (B) using data exceeding 10 cm

Figure 3

Fig. 3. Relationship between approximated and observed depth of daily new snow for the winters of1992–93, 1993–94 and 1994–95

Figure 4

Fig. 4. Comparison of approximated and observed depth of daily new snow for January

Figure 5

Fig. 5. Relationship between daily change in total snow depth and conventionally measured depth of daily new snow

Figure 6

Fig. 6. Relationship between the daily sum of positive changes in hourly snow depth and the conventionally measured depth of daily new snow

Figure 7

Fig. 7. Relationship between compressive viscosity and dry-snow density