Craddock & Owen (Reference Craddock and Owen2005) attribute the proposed demise of the Kraepelinian dichotomy to advances in genetic epidemiology, and rightly emphasise the need to integrate data across multiple domains in large numbers of people. However, it may also be important to use a population-based approach. This involves extra effort but avoids being misled by convenience samples which may not be representative of the population. This is illustrated by Fig. 1 in the editorial of Craddock & Owen which suggests that prototypical schizophrenia and prototypical bipolar disorder are relatively rare in clinical populations. Work in population-based samples suggests that there is an early, insidious-onset psychosis with a poor outcome affecting predominantly men – a ‘neurodevelopmental’ form of schizophrenia which is very close to dementia praecox (Reference Castle, Wessely and van OsCastle et al, 1998). This prototypical form of schizophrenia together with protoypical bipolar disorder accounts for 50% of people with psychosis in a treated prevalence sample, demonstrating the utility of Kraepelin's division. In our experience affective and non-affective psychoses can be accounted for by these prototypical forms and a further two latent classes which appear to be valid (Reference Murray, McKee and MillerMurray et al, 2005). Whether such empirically derived classes might provide better phenotypes for genetic studies is as yet undetermined.
Until biological markers are identified there is perhaps only one way to improve our classification. Large-scale, empirical, population-based studies of psychiatric symptoms, demography, course, treatment response and outcomes are suggested to reclassify these disorders from first principles and provide an atheoretical framework which may capture underlying pathophysiological substrates. Such studies should, as described by Craddock & Owen, integrate both dimensional and categorical approaches but also require a developmental perspective across the life span. The debate about the Kraepelinian dichotomy illustrates the lack of evidence-based diagnostic classification in psychiatry as a discipline. It would be fitting if psychiatric genetics, which has been severely impeded by the lack of a robust nosology, focused the collective will of practitioners to establish the evidence base required for a psychiatric classification which at last reflects nature.
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