Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-t8hqh Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-24T23:08:10.909Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Conclude Doha: it matters!

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 June 2010

BERNARD HOEKMAN*
Affiliation:
World Bank
WILL MARTIN*
Affiliation:
World Bank
AADITYA MATTOO*
Affiliation:
World Bank

Abstract

The Doha Round must be concluded not because it will produce dramatic liberalization but because it will create greater security of market access. Its conclusion would strengthen, symbolically and substantively, the WTO's valuable role in restraining protectionism. What is on the table would constrain the scope for tariff protection in all goods, ban agricultural export subsidies in the industrial countries and sharply reduce the scope for distorting domestic support – by 70% in the EU and 60% in the US. Average farm tariffs that exporters face would fall to 12% (from 14.5%) and the tariffs on exports of manufactures to less than 2.5% (from about 3%). There are also environmental benefits to be captured, in particular disciplining the use of subsidies that encourage over-fishing and lowering tariffs on technologies that can help mitigate global warming. An agreement to facilitate trade by cutting red tape will further expand trade opportunities. Greater market access for the least-developed countries will result from the ‘duty free and quota free’ proposal and their ability to take advantage of new opportunities will be enhanced by the Doha-related ‘aid for trade’ initiative. Finally, concluding Doha would create space for multilateral cooperation on critical policy matters that lie outside the Doha Agenda, most urgently the trade policy implications of climate change mitigation.

Type
Review Article
Copyright
Copyright © Bernard Hoekman, Will Martin, and Aaditya Mattoo 2010

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Abbott, R. (2009), ‘How to Revive Doha with some Chance of Success’, ECIPE Policy Brief.Google Scholar
Adler, M., Brunel, C., Hufbauer, G., and Schott, J. (2009), ‘What's on the Table? The Doha Round as of August 2009’, Peterson Institute for International Economics Working Paper 09-6, August.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baffes, J. (2005), ‘The Cotton Problem’, World Bank Research Observer, 20(1): 109144.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bouët, A. and Laborde, D. (2010), ‘Assessing the Potential Cost of a Failed Doha Round’, World Trade Review, 9(2): 319351.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bouët, A., Laborde, D., Dienesch, E., and Elliott, K. (2010), ‘TheCosts and Benefits of Duty-Free, Quota-Free Market Access for Poor Countries:Who and What Matters?’, Center for Global Development Working Paper 206, Washington, DC.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bown, C. (2009a), ‘The Global Resort to Antidumping, Safeguards, and Other Trade Remedies’, in Evenett, S., Hoekman, B., and Cattaneo, O. (eds.), The Fateful Allure of Protectionism: Taking Stock for the G8, London: CEPR.Google Scholar
(2009b), ‘The Pattern of Antidumping and Other Types of Contingent Protection’, PREM Trade Note 144, World Bank, Washington, DC.Google Scholar
Carrère, C. and De Melo, J. (2009), ‘The Doha Round and Market Access for LDCs: Scenarios for the EU and US Markets’, CEPR Discussion Paper 7313 (May).Google Scholar
Deaton, A. and Laroque, G. (1992), ‘On the Behaviour of Commodity Prices’, Review of Economics Studies, 59(1): 123.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Decreux, Y. and Fontagné, L. (2009), ‘Economic Impact of Potential Outcome of the DDA’, CEPII Working Paper (May).Google Scholar
Dhar, B. and Srivasta, G. (2009), ‘Restrictions on Mode 4 Access: Recent Evidence’, in Evenett, S., Hoekman, B., and Cattaneo, O. (eds.), Effective Crisis Response and Openness: Implications for the Trading System, London: CEPR.Google Scholar
Djankov, S., Freund, C. and Pham, C. (2006), ‘Trading on Time’, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 3909.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Elliott, K. (2010), ‘Open Markets for the Poorest Countries: Trade Preferences That Work’, Report by CGD Working Group on Global Trade Preference Reform, Center for Global Development, Washington, DC.Google Scholar
Evenett, S. (2009a), ‘The Devil is in the Details: The Implementation of Stimulus Packages and their Effects on International Commerce’, in Evenett, S., Hoekman, B., and Cattaneo, O. (eds.), The Fateful Allure of Protectionism: Taking Stock for the G8, London: CEPR.Google Scholar
Evenett, S. (ed.) (2009b), Broken Promises: Global Trade Alert, London: CEPR.Google Scholar
Evenett, S. and Hoekman, B. (2009), ‘Policy Responses to the Crisis: Implications for the WTO and International Cooperation’, VoXEU, available at www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/3738.Google Scholar
Finger, J. M. (1974), ‘Tariff Concessions and the Exports of Developing Countries’, Economic Journal, 335: 566575.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Finger, J. M. (1979), ‘Trade Liberalization: A Public Choice Perspective’, in Amacher, R., Haberler, G., and Willett, T. (eds.), Challenges to a Liberal International Economic Order, Washington, DC: American Enterprise Institute.Google Scholar
Finger, J. M. (2002), ‘GATT Experience with Safeguards: Making Economic and Political Sense of the Possibilities that the GATT Allows to Restrict Imports’, in Hoekman, B., Mattoo, A., and English, P. (eds.), Development, Trade and the WTO: A Handbook, Washington, DC: World Bank.Google Scholar
Finger, J. M. (2010), ‘A Special Safeguard Mechanism for Agricultural Imports: What Experience with other GATT/WTO Safeguards Tells Us about what Might Work’, World Trade Review, 9(2): 289318.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fliess, B. and Sauvé, P. (1998), ‘Of Chips, Floppy Disks and Great Timing: Assessing the WTO Information Technology Agreement’, Institut Français des Relations Internationales, Paris.Google Scholar
Francois, J. and Martin, W. (2004), ‘Commercial Policy, Bindings and Market Access’, European Economic Review, 48: 665679.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Freund, C. (2009), ‘The Trade Response to Global Downturns: Historical Evidence’, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 5015.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gallagher, P. and Stoler, A. (2009), ‘Critical Mass as an Alternative Framework for Multilateral Trade Negotiations’, Global Governance, 15(3): 375392.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gootiiz, B. and Mattoo, A. (2009), ‘Services in Doha: What's on the Table?’, Journal of World Trade, 43(5): 10131030.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harbinson, S. (2009), ‘The Doha Round: “Death-Defying Agenda” or “Don't Do it Again”?’, ECIPE Working Paper.Google Scholar
Hertel, T., Martin, W., and Leister, A. (2010), ‘Potential Implications of the Special Safeguard Mechanism (SSM): The Case of Wheat’, World Bank Economic Review, forthcoming.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hoekman, B. (2008), ‘The General Agreement on Trade in Services: Doomed to Fail? Does it Matter?’, Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, 8: 295318.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hoekman, B. and Kostecki, M. (2009), The Political Economy of the World Trading System, 3rd edition, Oxford: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hoekman, B. and Nicita, A. (2008), ‘Trade Policy, Trade Costs, and Developing Country Trade’, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4797.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
(2010), ‘Assessing the Doha Round: Market Access, Transactions Costs and Aid for Trade Facilitation’, Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 19(1): 6579.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hoekman, B. and Olarreaga, M. (eds.) (2007), Global Trade and Poor Nations: The Poverty Impacts and Policy Implications of Liberalization, Washington, DC: Brookings Institution.Google Scholar
Hoekman, B. and Vines, D. (2007), ‘Multilateral Trade Cooperation: What Next?’, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 23(3): 311334.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hoekman, B., Martin, W., and Primo-Braga, C. (eds.) (2009), Trade Preference Erosion: Measurement and Policy Response, Washington, DC: Palgrave-McMillan and World Bank.Google Scholar
Hufbauer, G. and Adler, M. (2008), ‘The Special Safeguard Mechanism: Possible Solutions to the Impasse’, mimeo.Google Scholar
International Cotton Advisory Committee (2009), ‘The International Cotton Market: Major Challenges’, presented at The Multilateral Trading System: a US–Africa dialogue on cotton, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington, DC, 20 July.Google Scholar
Ivanic, M. and Martin, W. (2008), ‘Implications of Higher Global Food Prices for Poverty in Low-Income Countries’, Agricultural Economics, 39: 405416.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jean, S., Laborde, D., and Martin, W. (2010), ‘Formulas and Flexibility in Trade Negotiations: Sensitive Agricultural Products in the WTO's Doha agenda’, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 5200.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Laborde, D., Martin, W., and van der Mensbrugghe, D. (2010a), ‘Implications of the 2008 Doha Draft Agricultural and Non-Agricultural Market Access Modalities for Developing Countries’, IFPRI/World Bank, mimeo.Google Scholar
(2010b), ‘Measuring the Benefits of Global Liberalization with a Consistent Tariff Aggregator’, IFPRI/World Bank, mimeo.Google Scholar
Mann, C. and Liu, X. (2009), ‘The Information Technology Agreement: Sui Generis or Model Stepping Stone?’, in Baldwin, R. and Low, P. (eds.), Multilateralizing Regionalism, Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Martin, W. and Mattoo, A. (2010), ‘The Doha Development Agenda: What's on the Table?’, Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 19(1): 81–107.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Martin, W. and Messerlin, P. (2007), ‘Why Is It so Difficult? Trade Liberalization under the Doha Agenda’, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 23(3): 347366.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mattoo, A. and Subramanian, A. (2009), ‘From Doha to the Next Bretton Woods’, Foreign Affairs, 88: 1526 (January/February).Google Scholar
McKibbin, W. and Stoeckel, A. (2009), ‘The Potential Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on World Trade’, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 5134.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Messerlin, P. (2008), ‘Walking a Tightrope: World Trade in Manufacturing and the Benefits of Binding’, German Marshall Fund Policy Brief.Google Scholar
(2009), ‘A “Significant Slippage” in Protectionism? Not Yet’, in Evenett, S., Hoekman, B., and Cattaneo, O. (eds.), The Fateful Allure of Protectionism: Taking Stock for the G8, London: CEPR.Google Scholar
Mitchell, D. (2008), ‘A Note on Rising Food Prices’, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4682.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mulvad, N. and Thurston, J. (2009), ‘Fishing for Subsidies: Uncovering Who Gets What from the Common Fisheries Policy’, available at www.fishsubsidy.org.Google Scholar
Nogues, J., Olechowski, A., and Winters, L. A. (1986), ‘The Extent of Non-Tariff Barriers to Industrialized Countries Imports’, World Bank Economic Review, 1: 181199.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schnepf, R. (2008), ‘Brazil's WTO Case against the US Cotton Program: A Brief Overview’, Congressional Research Service report RS22187.Google Scholar
Sharp, R. and Sumaila, U. (2009), ‘Quantification of US Marine Fisheries Subsidies’, North American Journal of Fisheries Management, 29: 1832.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
WorldBank (2007), International Trade and Climate Change: Economic, Legal, and Institutional Perspectives, Washington DC: World Bank.Google Scholar
(2009), Unlocking Global Opportunities: The Aid for Trade Program of the World Bank Group, Washington, DC: World Bank.Google Scholar
(2010), Global Economic Prospects, 2010, Washington, DC: The World Bank.Google Scholar
World Bank and FAO (2009), The Sunken Billions: The Economic Justification for Fisheries Reform, Washington, DC: The World Bank.Google Scholar
World Bank and IMF (2008), Global Monitoring Report, 2008, Washington, DC: World Bank.Google Scholar
World Trade Organization (2008), ‘Fourth revision of Draft Modalities for Non-Agricultural Market Access’, TN/MA/W/103/Rev.3 (December 6).Google Scholar
(2009), ‘Report to the TPRB from the Director-General on the Financial and Economic Crisis and Trade Related Developments’, WTO, Geneva.Google Scholar
Wright, B. (2009), ‘International Grain Reserves and Other Instruments to Address Volatility in Grain Markets’, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 5028.CrossRefGoogle Scholar