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The Impossible Transplant of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme: The Challenge of Energy Market Regulation
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 07 June 2016
Abstract
Following the European Union (EU) experience, an increasing number of countries are establishing an Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS). The EU ETS often serves as a ‘model’ despite fundamental differences in the receiving environment. In the EU liberalized energy markets, carbon prices are intended to raise the cost of carbon-intensive energy and thereby stimulate cleaner alternatives. In contrast, many emerging economies continue to regulate energy investments and prices, which may insulate consumers and producers from the impact of an ETS. To avoid this risk, energy economists advocate EU-style energy market reforms as a prerequisite to the introduction of the ETS concept abroad. By focusing on the cases of China, Kazakhstan, and Russia, this article highlights the limits on the exportation of the EU liberalization model and argues that, instead of energy reform, the ETS must be reconceptualized as a mechanism that integrates the regulated energy market paradigm in emerging economies.
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Footnotes
The author is grateful to the participants of the workshop entitled ‘“Learning by Doing” in Global Carbon Markets’, at the University of Edinburgh, School of Law, Edinburgh (United Kingdom), on 12 June 2015, for very useful comments on the preliminary conclusions of this article. Many thanks also to Huizhen Chen, Oleg Arkhipkin, Yan Xu, Yuan Xu, Navraj Ghaleigh, Liz Fisher, Sanja Bogojević, William Partlett, Frank Joshua, and Alexey Sankovski for most inspiring discussions on ETSs in emerging economies, to three anonymous TEL reviewers for their thorough comments, and to Meng Fang and Anna Harrisevans for research assistance. I would also like to thank David Wilmshurst, Academic Editor at CUHK, for editing the submission. The research underlying this article benefited from financial support by the CUHK Direct Research Grant. All views expressed in this article and any remaining errors are attributable solely to the author. The title of this article was inspired by Pierre Legrand’s seminal article on ‘The Impossibility of “Legal Transplants”’ (1997) 4(1) Maastricht Journal of European and Comparative Law, pp. 111–24.
References
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55 Decision (EU) 2015/1814 concerning the Establishment and Operation of a Market Stability Reserve for the Union Greenhouse Gas Emission Trading Scheme and Amending Directive 2003/87/EC [2015] OJ L 264/1.
56 European Commission, n. 51 above.
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61 On the negative impact that short trading (and allocation) periods had on energy investments in the EU, see European Commission, ‘Communication on Building a Global Carbon Market’ COM(2006) 676 final, p. 8.
62 Carr & Nicola, n. 20 above.
63 Decree of the Government of Kazakhstan on the Concept of Development of the Energy Complex by 2030, No. 724, 28 June 2014.
64 Ibid.
65 Directive 2003/87/EC, n. 53 above, Art. 1.
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73 Case C-265/08, Federutility and Others v. Autorità per l’energia elettrica e il gas [2010] ECR I-03377. See also Case C-242/10, Enel Produzione SpA v. Autorità per l’energia elettrica e il gas, Judgment, 21 Dec. 2011, ECLI:EU:C:2011:861.
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76 European Commission, n. 54 above, pp. 3, 13.
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84 EU Internal Electricity Market Directive, n. 72 above, Art. 15.
85 European Commission, n. 80 above, p. 7.
86 Ibid., p. 9.
87 European Commission, ‘Renewable Energy: A Major Player in the European Energy Market’ COM(2012) 271 final, p. 4.
88 European Commission, ‘Proposal for a Directive concerning Measures to Safeguard Security of Electricity Supply and Infrastructure Investment’ COM(2003) 740 final, p. 4.
89 EU Internal Electricity Market Directive, n. 72 above, Recital 6.
90 European Commission, Commission Staff Working Document accompanying the Document ‘Renewable Energy: A Major Player in the European Energy Market’, SWD(2012) 164 final.
91 Decision (EU) 2015/1814, n. 55 above. For a critical analysis of this reform, see, e.g., Richstein, J., Chappin, E. & de Vries, L., ‘The Market (In-)Stability Reserve for EU Carbon Emission Trading: Why It May Fail and How to Improve It’ (2015) 35 Utilities Policy, pp. 1–18 Google Scholar.
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110 Baron et al., n. 108 above, p. 40.
111 The free allocation of allowances will be adopted in the first phases of China’s national ETS: NDRC, ‘Interim Measures for the Management of Voluntary GHG Emission Reduction Transaction’, available at: http://cdm.ccchina.gov.cn/WebSite/CDM/UpFile/File2894.pdf.
112 Kim & Lim, n. 37 above, p. 85; B. Lanz & S. Rausch, ‘Emissions Trading in the Presence of Price-Regulated Polluting Firms: How Costly Are Free Allowances’, Graduate Institute Geneva & Centre for International Environmental Studies, Research Paper 34, Jan. 2015, p. 33, available at: http://graduateinstitute.ch/files/live/sites/iheid/files/sites/cies/shared/Research%20Papers%20&%20Publications/Research%20Papers/2015/CIES_WP34-1.pdf.
113 Baron et al., n. 108 above, p. 49.
114 State Council of the PRC, n. 94 above, Items 18 and 26.
115 Decree of the Kazakh Government on the Approval of Tariff Limits, 25 Mar. 2009, No. 392; Decree of the Kazakh Ministry of Energy on the Approval of Rules for the Approval of Tariff Limits for Electricity and Availability, 27 Feb. 2015, No. 147.
116 Boute, n. 95 above, p. 39.
117 Decree of the Russian Government on the Procedure for the State Regulation of Electricity, with Subsequent Amendments’, 14 Nov. 2009, No. 929, SZRF (23 Nov. 2009), No. 47, Item 5667.
118 Ibid. See also Boute, n. 70 above, p. 314.
119 See, e.g., ‘Mosenergo Trims Investment after Regulator Caps Prices’, The Moscow Times, 19 Jan. 2009, available at: http://www.themoscowtimes.com/sitemap/free/2009/1/article/mosenergo-trims-investment-after-regulator-caps-prices/373651.html; ‘Reactions to the Project of Order of the Federal Anti-Monopoly Service on the Approval of the Requirements of Economic Justification of Price Bids for the Sale of Electricity’, 11 Feb. 2013, available at: http://www.fas.gov.ru/legislative-acts/legislative-acts_51086.html.
120 Electricity Law of the Russian Federation, 26 Mar. 2003, No. 35-FZ, SZRF (2003), No. 13, Item 1177, Art. 20.
121 Kazakh Law on Natural Monopolies, 9 July 1998, No. 272-I, Art. 15-1.
122 PRC Electricity Law, 28 Dec. 1995, Art. 36; Ma, n. 102 above, p. 2635; Gao, C. & Li, Y., ‘Evolution of China’s Power Dispatch Principle and the New Energy Saving Power Dispatch Policy’ (2010) 38 Energy Policy, pp. 7346–7357 Google Scholar, at 7347; Zhang, Y.-F., ‘The Regulatory Framework and Sustainable Development of China’s Electricity Sector’ (2015) 222 The China Quarterly, pp. 475–498 Google Scholar, at 487.
123 Russian Constitutional Court, Judgment, 29 Mar. 2011, No. 2-P.
124 See, e.g., Decree of the Kazakh Government on the Provision of Dispatching Services, 23 Mar. 2013, No. 300.
125 D. Cooke, Russian Electricity Reform 2013 Update (IEA, 2013), p. 36; Boute, n. 70 above, p. 292.
126 Kahrl, F., Williams, J. & Hu, J., ‘The Political Economy of Electricity Dispatch Reform in China’ (2013) 53 Energy Policy, pp. 361–369 Google Scholar, at 362.
127 State Council of the PRC, ‘Grid Dispatch Regulation 2011’, 8 Jan. 2011, available at: http://www.gov.cn/gongbao/content/2011/content_1860843.htm. See Baron et al., n. 108 above, pp. 9, 23; Gao & Li, n. 122 above; Kahrl, Williams & Hu, ibid., p. 361; Teng, Wang & Zhiqiang, n. 107 above, p. 42; M. Dupuy et al., ‘Low-Carbon Power Sector Regulation: Options for China’, RAP Report for the World Bank, Feb. 2015, pp. 24–7.
128 NDRC, ‘China’s Policies and Actions for Addressing Climate Change 2013’, 5 Nov. 2013, available at: http://en.ndrc.gov.cn/newsrelease/201311/P020131108611533042884.pdf.
129 Kahrl, Williams & Hu, n. 126 above, pp. 367, 369; Gao & Li, n. 122 above, p. 7350.
130 The White House, Office of the Press Secretary, ‘U.S.-China Joint Presidential Statement on Climate Change’, 25 Sept. 2015, available at: https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2015/09/25/us-china-joint-presidential-statement-climate-change; Dupuy, M., ‘Obama-Xi Joint Presidential Statement on Climate Change Promises Much-Needed Reform of Generator Dispatch in China’, RAP, 25 Sept. 2015, available at: http://www.raponline.org/featured-work/obama-xi-joint-presidential-statement-on-climate-change-promises-much-needed-reform-of-generator-dispatch-in Google Scholar.
131 NDRC, ‘Implementation Opinions on the Liberalization of Electricity Dispatch’, 30 Nov. 2015, available at: http://www.ndrc.gov.cn/zcfb/zcfbtz/201511/W020151130295800116751.pdf. See also Xuan, W. & Kahrl, F., ‘Lower Emissions, Costs Possible with Two-Part Pricing and Dispatch Reform in China’, RAP, 1 Apr. 2016, available at: http://www.raponline.org/featured-work/lower-emissions-costs-possible-with-two-part-pricing-and-dispatch-reform-in Google Scholar.
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135 Cooke, n. 125 above; Boute, n. 70 above, pp. 293–313; Boute, n. 95 above, p. 35.
136 On electricity planning in China, see M. Dupuy et al., n. 127 above, p. 12. On electricity planning in Russia, see Boute, n. 70 above, pp. 293–314. On electricity planning in Kazakhstan, see Chikanayev, S., ‘Investing in Kazakhstan’s Power Industry: The Legal Framework’ (2014)Google Scholar Investor’s Voice, pp. 18–21, at 18, available at: http://www.gratanet.com/uploads/user_14/files/Investing_in_Kazakhstan_s_power_industry_the__legal_framework.pdf.
137 See, e.g., Munnings et al., n 109 above, p. 11.
138 Koch, N. et al., ‘Causes of the EU ETS Price Drop: Recession, CDM, Renewable Policies or a Bit of Everything? New Evidence’ (2014) 73 Energy Policy, pp. 676–685 Google Scholar.
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148 European Commission, ‘The Development of Energy Policy for the Enlarged European Union, Its Neighbours and Partner Countries’ COM(2003) 262 final, pp. 14–7.
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150 See, however, Watson, n. 22 above, p. 96 (arguing, based on a positivist approach to law, that legal transplants are ‘extremely common’ and ‘socially easy’ because ‘legal rules are not peculiarly designed for the society in which they operate).
151 Teubner, n. 31 above, p. 19.
152 Chen-Wishart, n. 39 above, p. 28.
153 Lenin, V., Doklad VIII S’ezda Sovetov Gosudarstvennoi Komissii po elektrifikatsii Rossii (1920)Google Scholar, quoted in Bushuev, V. (ed.), Energetika Rossii 1920–2020. Tom 1 Plan GOELRO (Energiia, 2006), p. 5 Google Scholar.
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159 Ma, n. 102 above, p. 2644. On earlier, largely unsuccessful, reform attempts, see, e.g., Zeng, M. et al., ‘The Power Industry Reform in China 2015: Policies, Evaluations and Solutions’ (2016) 57 Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews, pp. 94–110 Google Scholar; Yao, L. & Chang, Y., ‘Shaping China’s Energy Security: The Impact of Domestic Reforms’ (2015) 77 Energy Policy, pp. 131–139 Google Scholar; Andrews-Speed, P., ‘Reform Postponed: The Evolution of China’s Electricity Markets’, in F. Sioshansi (ed.), Evolution of Global Electricity Markets (Elsevier, 2013), pp. 531–570 CrossRefGoogle Scholar.
160 Prime, ‘Murmansk Region Energy Minister Fired after Putin’s Criticism’, News Daily, 26 Feb. 2013, p. 14.
161 Decree of the Russian Government on the Procedure for the State Regulation of Electricity, with Subsequent Amendments, n. 117 above.
162 Boute, n. 95 above. The social sensitivity of electricity pricing in the Central Asian region was highlighted in 2010, when the decision of the Kyrgyz government to increase prices triggered the Second Kyrgyz Revolution. See, e.g., D. Wood, ‘Electricity Plays Key Role in Kyrgyzstan Uprising’, World Resources Institute, 19 Apr. 2010, available at: http://www.wri.org/blog/2010/04/electricity-plays-key-role-kyrgyzstan-uprising.
163 Chen-Wishart, n. 39 above, p. 28.
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167 Teng, Wang & Zhiqiang, n. 107 above, p. 44. The dual direct and indirect carbon cap is limited in scope, with variations among the pilot ETSs. Large industrial players (e.g. iron and steel, cement, chemical industry) submit allowances for their direct emissions only.
168 Ibid.
169 European Commission, n. 61 above; Stern, N., The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review (Cambridge University Press, 2006), p. 325 Google Scholar.
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171 Fowlie, n. 34 above, p. 837.
172 Ibid., p. 863. In China, Russia, and Kazakhstan, the ‘rate of return’ stability is, to a certain extent, affected by the sensitivity of energy pricing and the risk of public interference with investments.
173 UNFCCC Secretariat, n. 4 above; NDRC, n. 4 above.
174 See, e.g., Federal Ministry for the Environment of Germany, n. 5 above, p. 1; Chen, n. 6 above, p. 219; GIZ, n. 6 above; Sabitova, n. 9 above, p. 32; Musagazhinovoy, n. 9 above; EDF, n. 9 above.
175 N. 3 above.
176 Boute, A., ‘Toward an EU-Russian Energy Agreement: Principles of Liberalization under EU and Russian Energy Law’ (2015) 40(2) Review of Central and East European Law, pp. 109–141 Google Scholar.
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180 Pistor, n. 40 above, p. 5.
181 See, e.g., Jotzo & Loeschel, n. 10 above, pp. 3–4; Kahrl et al., n. 146 above, p. 4032; Teng, Wang & Zhiqiang, n. 107 above, p. 39.
182 Shaffer, G., ‘Transnational Legal Process and State Change: Opportunities and Constraints’ (2012) University of Minnesota Law School Legal Studies Research Paper Series, p. 40 Google Scholar, available at: http://www.iilj.org/publications/2010-4.Shaffer.asp.
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