There are over 4000 women imprisoned in England and Wales, and the number has more than doubled in a decade; 1 women constitute 5–6% of all prisoners, a proportion that has steadily risen since the 1960s. Studies have reported high rates of mental disorder, Reference Fazel and Danesh2 self-harm Reference Jenkins, Bhugra, Meltzer, Singleton, Bebbington and Brugha3 and suicide. Reference Shaw, Baker, Hunt, Maloney and Appleby4 However, comparison of suicide rates with the female general population has not been quantified and suicide trends in women prisoners are not reliably known. As suicide rates have changed for women in the general population, with a reduction in age-standardised rates in women aged over 45, Reference Gunnell and Middleton5 comparison is necessary by calendar year and in narrow age-bands. Furthermore, as base rates of suicide are low, an extended period is necessary to study trends. Therefore, we studied suicide mortality among females in English and Welsh prisons between 1978 and 2004 in comparison with age-specific background rates for the general female population.
Method
Following receipt of approval from the Prison Health Research Ethics Committee, we sought all death certificates of sentenced and remanded female inmates during 1978–1997 from the Medical Research Unit, Office for National Statistics and, for 1998 to 2004, numbers of suicide by age band from the Safer Custody Group, Prison Service, Ministry of Justice. Suicide cases were defined as females with post-mortem findings of suicide (ICD–9 6 codes E950–959) or deaths from ‘injury undetermined’ whether accidentally or purposefully inflicted (ICD–9 codes E980–989), and, in those without a post-mortem (four cases), where the coroner recorded suicide or an open verdict. The total number of females in prison each year was determined from Home Office data using standard methods, and the average annual population was calculated. Reference Shaw, Baker, Hunt, Maloney and Appleby4 Standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated according to standard Prison Service age banding: 14–16, 17–20, 21–24, 25–29, 30–39, 40–49 and 50+ years from 1978 to 1989, with the first two groups changed to 15–17 and 18–20 from 1990. General population death rates for suicide were requested from the Office for National Statistics to correspond to these exact age bands for each year between 1978 and 2004, including the revised age banding from 1990. Trends over time were calculated over 5-year periods using linear regression with log transformed SMR on time period. The model assumptions were explored using residual analysis and diagnostic plots. Information on all-cause mortality was available for the period 1978–1997, and an overall SMR was estimated using methods previously described. Reference Fazel and Benning7 We also calculated SMRs by two larger age-bands (<25 years and ⩾25 years). Information on social class, estimated from last occupation recorded on death certificates was available for only ten prison suicides and not analysed further. We included an additional analysis to take into account the expected number of suicides based on the high prevalence of opioid dependence. Reference Gore8 For this analysis, we assumed a lifetime prevalence of opioid dependence of 43.5% (the prevalence of opioid injectors Reference Weild, Gill, Bennett, Livingstone, Parry and Curran9 in the late 1990s multiplied by 1.5 to infer opioid users, as per previous work Reference Gore8 ). As this assumes that the prevalence of opioid dependence has been unchanged during 1978–2004, we estimated expected suicide in two alternative models that assumed lower prevalences in the first 15 years of two-thirds (i.e. 29%) and a half (i.e. 22%).
Results
Between 1978 and 2004, 83 suicides in female prisoners were recorded (online Table DS1): 163 suicides per 100 000 prisoners. The SMR for suicide at all ages was 20.7 (95% CI 16.7–25.7). Age-specific SMRs were calculated. There were no suicides in prisoners under 18 years. In those aged 18–20 years, the SMR was 70 (95% CI 44–113); 37 (95% CI 23–58) in those 21–24 years; 27 (95% CI 17–43) in those 25–29 years; 17 (95% CI 10–27) in those 30–39 years; 22 (95% CI 12–38) in those 40–49; and 8 (95% CI 2–33) in those aged over 50. When larger age-bands were used, those <25 years had an SMR of 40 (95% CI 29–57) compared with those ⩾25 years, who had an SMR of 20 (95% CI 15–26). There was a significant increase in SMRs over this time period (regression coefficient (β)=0.37, t=9.41, d.f.=5, P>0.001; Fig. 1). This did not change when the last time period (2003–2004) was excluded from the analysis (β=0.32, t=8.16, d.f.=4, P=0.004).
For the subanalysis of all-cause mortality from 1978 to 1997 (including deaths from natural causes in addition to suicide), 43 deaths in custody were analysed. All-cause SMR was 3.0 (95% CI 2.3–4.1) and suicides constituted 60.5% of the deaths. The SMR for natural causes of death (i.e. excluding suicide, homicide and accidents) was 1.6 (95% CI 1.0–2.6). There were insufficient numbers to calculate the cause-specific SMRs.
When opioid dependence was accounted for, Reference Gore8 the annual number of expected suicides was 0.30 compared with 3.07 actual suicides per year over 1978–2004 (equivalent to SMR=10.2). If a lower prevalence of opioid dependence in the first 15 years was assumed, the annual numbers of expected suicides were 0.26 (if prevalence was 29% in the earlier years) and 0.23 (if prevalence was 22% in the earlier years, equivalent to SMR=13.3).
Discussion
For the past 25 years, suicide has been about 20 times more common in female prisoners in England and Wales than in the general female population of similar ages. This excess has been increasing steadily over recent decades and is more than the fivefold increase in SMR for suicide found in male prisoners. Reference Fazel, Benning and Danesh10 Female prisoners aged <25 years had higher SMRs than older inmates. The highest SMR in male prisoners was for the youngest age group (15–17 years). Reference Fazel, Benning and Danesh10 Together, these findings suggest that younger prisoners are a particularly high-risk group. The strengths of this study include its long duration and the careful comparison with general population suicide rates by narrow age-bands and by calendar year.
The higher overall SMR for female prisoners compared with male prisoners highlights a gender gap in suicide that has also been found in recently discharged prisoners Reference Pratt, Piper, Appleby, Webb and Shaw11 but is less pronounced in psychiatric patients. In psychiatric patients, the male to female ratio of suicides is 2:1 compared with 3:1 in the general population. 12 The gender gap does not appear to be present in the SMR for all-cause mortality: in male prisoners, over the same time period, all-cause mortality SMR was 2.9, Reference Fazel and Benning7 compared with 3.0 reported here. One possible explanation for higher SMR for suicide in female prisoners is that females entering prison may have higher prevalences of risk factors associated with suicide, such as depression, Reference Fazel and Danesh2 previous self-harm and history of physical and sexual abuse. Substance misuse is a risk factor for prison suicides, Reference Fazel, Cartwright, Norman-Nott and Hawton13 and a systematic review has shown that the relative excess of substance misuse in prisoners compared with the general population is higher for female inmates. Reference Fazel, Bains and Doll14 Another explanation is that prison may specifically increase the vulnerability of females to suicide. The impact of custody on women with dependent children, to take one example, may be relevant. Reference Mackenzie, Oram and Borrill15
Although social class information was limited, such differences are unlikely to explain the SMR for suicide reported social classes. Reference Saunderson, Haynes and Langford16 Some of the suicide excesses seen among prisoners may relate to characteristics before imprisonment, such as psychiatric illness and substance misuse. Reference Fazel and Danesh2,Reference Fazel, Bains and Doll14 The increased mortality of opioid users, reported to be ten times the general population, Reference Harris and Barraclough17 accounted for about half the SMR. The reasons for the increasing SMR for prison suicide are likely to be complex. One possible explanation is that the above-average increase in the number of women convicted of drug-related offences Reference Councell18 may have led to increasing numbers of females entering prison with substance use problems. Our findings underscore the current national strategy to reduce risk in key high-risk groups such as prisoners and to reduce the availability and lethality of methods. 19 Further work, including investigations of near-lethal suicide attempts Reference Marzano, Rivlin, Fazel and Hawton20 and case–control studies of prisoners, Reference Fazel, Cartwright, Norman-Nott and Hawton13 is necessary to clarify the contribution of prison-related variables such as overcrowding, distance from the prisoner's home, length of time served and the proportion of pre-sentenced females, and provide information on other potentially modifiable risk factors.
Acknowledgements
This study was funded by Oxfordshire Health Services Research Committee. We are grateful to Michael Keene from the Safer Custody Group for assistance with the data, Professor Keith Hawton and Dr Lisa Marzano for helpful discussions, Professor John Danesh for methodological advice and Louise Linsell for statistical assistance.
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