Turkington et al (Reference Turkington, Kingdon and Rathod2006) report on outcomes of an effectiveness trial of brief cognitive–behavioural therapy (CBT) by mental health nurses in schizophrenia. Unfortunately there are flaws in the methodology, which casts major doubts on the validity of the study (Reference Quitkin, Rabkin and GeraldQuitkin et al, 2000). First, although the authors claim to have a control group, it seems that patients in the control group did not have a placebo-like intervention; for example, the nurses could have spent the same amount of time with the patients without providing the CBT intervention. What is more surprising is that the study was powered to give a 90% chance of detecting only a 25% level difference in overall symptoms at the 0.01 level of significance. A 25% difference between a treatment and non-intervention group can easily be accounted for by a placebo effect. It is well known that the placebo response rate is usually around 30% in psychiatric trials. For over 50 years the inclusion of a placebo control group has been the standard for determining the efficacy of an intervention. Without an adequate comparison group and without adequate comparison conditions, it is impossible to differentiate any specific effects from other ‘non-specific’ factors, including chance variation, regression to the mean, healthcare provider attention, treatment credibility and rationale, persuasion, patient expectancy effects, researcher allegiance effects, effort justification, spontaneous remission, demand characteristics, etc. (Reference Lohr, Lilienfeld and TolinLohr et al, 1999).
Given the lack of a true control group this study would be called nothing but an open-label trial. Open-label trials require at least a 50% level difference in overall symptoms between baseline and post-intervention response; moreover they do not require huge numbers of patients to show a tendency towards improvement.
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