Despite the importance of marriage for the economic and demographic history of
the nineteenth-century United States, there are few published estimates of the
timing and incidence of marriage and no published studies of its correlates
before 1890, when the Census Office first tabulated marital status by age, sex,
and nativity. In this article I rely on the 1860 Integrated Public Use Microdata
Series census sample to construct national and regional estimates of white
nuptiality by nativity and sex and to test theories of marriage timing. I
supplement this analysis with two new public use samples of Civil War soldiers.
The Gould sample, collected by the U.S. Sanitary Commission between 1863 and
1865, allows me to test whether height and body mass influenced white men's
propensity to marry. Additionally, a sample of Union Army recruits linked to the
1860 census, created as part of the Early Indicators of Later Work Levels,
Disease, and Death project, allows me to combine suspected economic,
demographic, and anthropometric correlates of marriage into a multivariate model
of never-married white men's entrance into first marriage. The results indicate
that nuptiality was moderately higher in 1860 than it was in 1890. In contrast
to previous studies that emphasize the primary importance of land availability
and farm prices, I find that single women's opportunity to participate in the
paid labor force was the most important determinant of marriage timing. I also
find modest support for the hypothesis that height affected men's propensity to
marry, consistent with the theory that body size was a sign to potential
marriage partners of future earnings capacity and health.