Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-lj6df Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-05T03:22:26.306Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Racially Polarized Voting in the South: Quantitative Evidence from the Courtroom

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 January 2016

Extract

Within the last 15 years historians, political scientists, and sociologists have played major roles as expert witnesses in southern voting-rights cases. In most of these lawsuits, black plaintiffs challenged the racially discriminatory effects of at-large elections, contests in which candidates must run citywide or countywide rather than from single-member districts. Unless a white majority casts its votes as a bloc against minority candidates, at-large elections do not have a discriminatory impact. For this reason, the court’s decision frequently turns on its assessment of the degree to which electoral patterns in the jurisdiction are polarized along racial lines. Although the expert witnesses on whom the court must rely have employed a variety of statistical methods, they increasingly have preferred a technique known as ecological regression analysis to measure the degree of racial bloc voting (Loewen 1982: 179–94; Grofman et al. 1985; Engstrom and McDonald 1985; Jacobs and O’Rourke 1986).

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Social Science History Association 1990 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Ashmore, Harry S. (1954) The Negro and the Schools. Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press.Google Scholar
Banfield, Edward C. and Wilson, James Q. (1963) City Politics. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Bartley, Numan V., and Graham, Hugh D. (1975) Southern Politics and the Second Reconstruction. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Bass, Jack, and DeVries, Walter (1976) The Transformation of Southern Politics: Social Change and Political Consequence since 1945. New York: Basic Books.Google Scholar
Beard, Charles A. (1912) American City Government. New York: Century.Google Scholar
Black, Earl, and Black, Merle (1987) Politics and Society in the South. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Blacksher, James U., and Menefee, Larry T. (1982) “From Reynolds v. Sims to City of Mobile v. Bolden: Have the white suburbs commandeered the Fifteenth Amendment?Hastings Law Journal 34: 164.Google Scholar
Brischetto, Robert, and Grofman, Bernard (1988) “The Voting Rights Act and minority representation.” Paper presented to the Western Political Science Association, San Francisco, March.Google Scholar
Burton, O. Vernon (1986) Trial testimony. Jackson v. Edgefield County, C.A. No. 985-709-3 (D.S.C.). Transcript, III, 138-54, and Plaintiff’s Exhibit 195. 195a.Google Scholar
Butler, Katherine I. (1982) “Constitutional and statutory challenges to election structures: Dilution and the value of the right to vote.” Louisiana Law Review 42: 851950.Google Scholar
Butler, Katherine I. (1985) “The majority vote requirement: The case against its wholesale elimination.Urban Lawyer 17: 441-55.Google Scholar
Davidson, Chandler (1972) Biracial Politics: Conflict and Coalition in the Metropolitan South. Baton Rouge: Louisiana State University Press.Google Scholar
Davidson, Chandler, ed. (1984) Minority Vote Dilution. Washington, DC: Howard University Press.Google Scholar
Davidson, Chandler, and Korbel, George (1981) “At-large elections and minority group representation: A reexamination of historical and contemporary evidence.Journal of Politics 43: 9821004.Google Scholar
Days, Drew, and Guinier, Lani (1984) “Enforcement of Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act,” in Davidson, Chandler (ed.) Minority Vote Dilution. Washington, DC: Howard University Press: 167-80.Google Scholar
Derfner, Armand (1972) “Multi-member districts and black voters.” Black Law Journal 2: 120-28.Google Scholar
Derfner, Armand (1973) “Racial discrimination and the right to vote.Vanderbilt Law Review 26: 523-84.Google Scholar
Derfner, Armand (1984) “Vote dilution and the Voting Rights Act amendments of 1982,” in Davidson, Chandler (ed.) Minority Vote Dilution. Washington, DC: Howard University Press: 145-63.Google Scholar
Dixon, Robert G. (1968) Democratic Representation: Reapportionment in Law and Politics. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Dunivant, Neil (1984) Affidavit, 21 June 1984. U.S. v. Halifax County, North Carolina, C.A. No. 83-48-CIV-8 (E.D.N.C).Google Scholar
Engstrom, Richard L. (1985) “The reincarnation of the intent standard: Federal judges and at-large election cases.” Howard Law Journal 28: 495513.Google Scholar
Engstrom, Richard L., and McDonald, Michael D. (1981) “The election of blacks to city councils: Clarifying the impact of electoral arrangements on the seats/population relationship.American Political Science Review 75: 344-54.Google Scholar
Engstrom, Richard L. (1985) “Quantitative evidence in vote-dilution litigation: Political participation and polarized voting.Urban Lawyer 17: 369-77.Google Scholar
Engstrom, Richard L. (1987) “The election of blacks to southern city councils: The dominant impact of electoral arrangements,” in Moreland, Laurence W., Steed, Robert P., and Baker, Tod A. (eds.) Blacks in Southern Politics. New York: Praeger: 245-58.Google Scholar
Foster, Lorn S. (1986) “Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act: Implementation of an administrative remedy.” Publius 16: 1728.Google Scholar
Garrow, David (1978) Protest at Selma: Martin Luther King, Jr., and the Voting Rights Act of 1965. New Haven, Ct: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Goodman, Leo A. (1959) “Some alternatives to ecological correlation.” American Journal of Sociology 64: 610-25.Google Scholar
Grantham, Dewey W. (1988) The Life and Death of the Solid South: A Political History. Lexington: University Press of Kentucky.Google Scholar
Grofman, Bernard, Migalski, Michael, and Noviello, Nicholas (1985) “The totality of circumstances test in Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act: A social science perspective.Law and Policy 7: 199223.Google Scholar
Havard, William C., ed. (1972) The Changing Politics of the South. Baton Rouge: Louisiana State University Press.Google Scholar
Heilig, Peggy, and Mundt, Robert J. (1983) “Changes in representational equity: The effects of adopting districts.Social Science Quarterly 64: 393-97.Google Scholar
Jacobs, Paul W. II, and O’Rourke, Timothy G. (1986) “Racial polarization in vote dilution cases under Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act: The impact of Thornburg v. Gingles.Journal of Law and Politics 3: 295353.Google Scholar
Jewell, Malcolm E. (1964) “State legislatures in southern politics,” in Leiserson, Avery (ed.) The American South in the 1960s. New York: Praeger: 177-96.Google Scholar
Jones, Clinton B. (1976) “The impact of local election systems on black political participation.” Urban Affairs Quarterly 11: 345-56.Google Scholar
Karlan, Pamela S., and McCrary, Peyton (1988) “Without fear and without research: Abigail Thernstrom on the Voting Rights Act.Journal of Law and Politics 4: 751-77.Google Scholar
Karnig, Albert K. (1976) “Black representation on city councils.” Urban Affairs Quarterly 12: 223-42.Google Scholar
Karnig, Albert K., and Welch, Susan (1980) Black Representation and Urban Policy. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Kousser, J. Morgan (1973) “Ecological regression and the analysis of past politics.” Journal of Interdisciplinary History 4: 237-62.Google Scholar
Kousser, J. Morgan (1982) Declaration. Sumter County, S.C. v. U.S., C.A. No. 82-0912 (D.D.C.).Google Scholar
Kousser, J. Morgan (1988) Declaration. Bladen County, N.C. v. U.S., C.A. No. 87-2974- SS-DHG-LFO(D.D.C).Google Scholar
Lamis, Alexander P. (1984) The Two-Party South. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Lane, Robert E. (1959) Political Life: Why People Get Involved in Politics. Glencoe, IL: Free Press.Google Scholar
Langbein, Laura Irwin, and Lichtman, Allan J. (1978) Ecological Inference. Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage.Google Scholar
Latimer, Margaret B. (1979) “Black political representation in southern cities: Election systems and other causal variables.” Urban Affairs Quarterly 12: 223-42.Google Scholar
Lawson, Steven F. (1976) Black Ballots: Voting Rights in the South, 1944-1969. New York: Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Lawson, Steven F. (1985) In Pursuit of Power: Southern Blacks and Electoral Politics, 1965-1982. New York: Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Lichtman, Allan J. (1974) “Correlation, regression, and the ecological fallacy: A critique.” Journal of Interdisciplinary History 4: 417-33.Google Scholar
Lichtman, Allan J. (1984a) Declaration. U.S. v. Halifax County, North Carolina, C.A. No. 83-48-CIV-8 (E.D.N.C).Google Scholar
Lichtman, Allan J. (1984b) Declaration. U.S. v. City of Greenwood, Miss., C.A. No. GC77-52-WK-P(N.D. Miss.).Google Scholar
Lichtman, Allan J. (1985) Declaration. U.S. v. City of Cambridge, Md., C.A. No. R-84-4411 (D. Md.).Google Scholar
Lichtman, Allan J. (1987) “Racial bloc voting in Mississippi elections: Methodology and results.” Final report, Martin v. Allain, C.A. No. J84-0708 (W) (S.D. Miss.). Plaintiff’s Exhibit 10.Google Scholar
Lichtman, Allan J. (1989) Declaration. U.S. v. Wicomico County, Md., CA. No. S-87-2557 (D. Md.).Google Scholar
Lichtman, Allan J., and Langbein, Laura Irwin (1978) “Regression versus homogeneous units: A specification analysis.Social Science History 2: 172-93.Google Scholar
Loewen, James W. (1973) Trial testimony. Stewart v. Waller, C.A. No. EC 73-42-S (N.D. Miss.).Google Scholar
Loewen, James W. (1975) Trial deposition. Connor v. Waller, C.A. No. 3830 (S.D. Miss.).Google Scholar
Loewen, James W. (1980) Declaration. U.S. v. South Carolina, C.A. No. 80-730-8 (D.S.C.).Google Scholar
Loewen, James W. (1982) Social Science in the Courtroom: Statistical Techniques and Research Methods for Winning Class-Action Suits. Lexington, MA: D. C. Heath/Lexington Books.Google Scholar
Loewen, James W. (1987) “Racial bloc voting in South Carolina.” Paper presented to the American Political Science Association, Chicago, September.Google Scholar
McCrary, Peyton (1985) “Discriminatory intent: The continuing relevance of ‘purpose evidence’ in vote-dilution lawsuits.Howard Law Journal 28: 463-93.Google Scholar
McCrary, Peyton (1986) Trial testimony. Jackson v. Edgefield County, S.C., C.A. No. 985-709-3 (D.S.C.), Transcript, IV, 66-71; VII, 157-61.Google Scholar
McCrary, Peyton, Gray, Jerome, Still, Edward, and Perry, Huey (1989) “The impact of the Voting Rights Act in Alabama.” Paper presented to the American Political Science Association, Atlanta, August.Google Scholar
McCrary, Peyton, and Hebert, J. Gerald (1989) “Keeping the courts honest: The role of historians as expert witnesses in southern voting rights cases.Southern University Law Review 16: 101-28.Google Scholar
McDonald, Laughlin (1983) “The 1982 extension of Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act of 1965: The continued need for preclearance.Tennessee Law Review 51: 182.Google Scholar
McDonald, Laughlin (1985) “The majority vote requirement: Its use and abuse in the South.Urban Lawyer 17: 429-39.Google Scholar
Matthews, Donald R., and Prothro, James W. (1966) Negroes and the New Southern Politics. New York: Harcourt Brace.Google Scholar
Mobile Register (1951).Google Scholar
Murray, Paul T. (1979) “At-large elections in Marengo County, Alabama: Analysis of racially polarized voting and socioeconomic inequality.” U.S. v. Marengo County Comm’n, C.A. No. 78-474-H (S.D. Ala.). Government Exhibit 7.Google Scholar
Murray, Richard, and Vedlitz, Arnold (1977) “Race, socioeconomic status, and voting participation in large southern cities.Journal of Politics 39: 1064-72.Google Scholar
Norrell, Robert J. (1985) Reaping the Whirlwind: The Civil Rights Movement in Tuskegee. New York: Knopf.Google Scholar
O’Rourke, Timothy G. (1982) “Constitutional and statutory challenges to local at-large elections.University of Richmond Law Review 17: 3998.Google Scholar
Parker, Frank R. (1983) “The results’ test of Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act.” Virginia Law Review 69: 715-64.Google Scholar
Parker, Frank R., and Colby, David (1989) “The impact of the Voting Rights Act in Mis sissippi.” Paper presented to the American Political Science Association, Atlanta, August.Google Scholar
Robinson, Theodore P., and Dye, Thomas R. (1978) “Reformism and black representation on city councils.Social Science Quarterly 59: 133-41.Google Scholar
Sachs, Stephen H., Sweeney, Dennis M., Hitchcock, Jeanne D., Schwartz, Jack, and Schultz, Catherine M. (1985) “At-large election of county commissioners.Annapolis, MD: Office of the Attorney General.Google Scholar
Schlichting, Cort (1976) Trial testimony. Jurisdictional statement, City of Mobile v. Bolden, No. 77-1844, U.S. Supreme Court, October Term 1978.Google Scholar
Selma Times-Journal (1951).Google Scholar
Shively, W. Phillips (1969) “Ecological inference: The use of aggregate data to study individuals.” American Political Science Review 63: 1183-96.Google Scholar
Stanley, Harold W. (1986) Trial testimony. Jackson v. Edgefield County, S.C., C.A. No. 985-709-3 (D.S.C.), VI, 194-201; VII, 114-61; Defendant’s Exhibit 60-61.Google Scholar
Stanley, Harold W. (1987) “Runoff primaries and black political influence,” in Moreland, Laurence W., Steed, Robert P., and Baker, Tod A. (eds.) Blacks in Southern Politics. New York: Praeger: 259-76.Google Scholar
State Democratic Executive Committee of Alabama (1962) Proceedings, 20 January.Google Scholar
Thernstrom, Abigail M. (1987) Whose Votes Count: Affirmative Action and Minority Voting Rights. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
U.S. Commission on Civil Rights (1975) The Voting Rights Act: Ten Years After. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.Google Scholar
U.S. Congress. Senate (1982) “Voting Rights Act extension: Report of the Committee on the Judiciary, United States Senate, on S. 1992.” 97th Cong., 2d sess. S. Rept. 97417.Google Scholar
Voyles, James (1976) Trial testimony. Jurisdictional statement, City of Mobile v. Bolden, No. 77-184, U.S. Supreme Court, October Term 1978.Google Scholar
Wolfinger, Raymond E., and Rosenstone, Steven J. (1980) Who Votes? New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Young, Roy E. (1965) The Place System in Texas. Austin: University of Texas, Institute of Public Affairs.Google Scholar