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Hierarchical influence diagrams for incorporating human and organizational factors in risk assessment of hazardous industrial systems

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 May 2002

KAZIMIERZ T. KOSMOWSKI
Affiliation:
Technical University of Gdansk, Faculty of Electrical and Control Engineering, ul. G. Narutowicza 11/12, 80-952 Gdansk, Poland. Tel: +4858 3472439: Fax: +48 58 3471802: Email: [email protected]
MIROSLAW KWIESIELEWICZ
Affiliation:
Technical University of Gdansk, Faculty of Electrical and Control Engineering, ul. G. Narutowicza 11/12, 80-952 Gdansk, Poland. Tel: +48 58 3472124. Fax: +48 58 3471802. Email: [email protected]
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Abstract

The paper addresses basic issues associated with incorporating human and organizational factors in risk analysis of hazardous systems. A conceptual framework has been developed for systematic incorporating these factors in probabilistic models and the risk assessment to be used for the safety management. The methodology outlined in the paper is a synthesis or generalization of techniques and procedures used for performing HRA in the context of PSA, applying both the quantitative and qualitative methods. The similarities and differences of hierarchical influence diagrams (HIDs) compared with hierarchical structures of the AHP method and the influence diagrams used in the FSA methodology developed by IMO are examined. Illustrative examples are included. Finally a fuzzy extension of the proposed approach is introduced.

Type
Technical Article
Copyright
© Risk Decision and Policy, 2002

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