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The flawed logic of a MAD man: Craig's contribution to Power Preponderance theory

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 January 2011

Abstract

In a recent issue of this journal Campbell Craig put forward an amended version of Power Preponderance theory seeking to explain why US unipolar predominance has turned out to be not simply a ‘moment’ and as such represents ‘a serious anomaly for neorealist theory’. In using Waltz's own work on how nuclear weapons affect state behaviour, Craig appears to further bolster the case for Power Preponderance theory. Craig exploits what at first sight seems to be a contradiction in Waltz's work. However, Craig's error is that he treats security qua territorial security rather than considering a more encompassing view of state security. In the arena of ‘secondary’ security issues the usual logic of counter-balancing with conventional military forces still holds sway. This reply argues that a balance of power will return to the international system, it is just that at this moment no country or coalition of countries is quite up to the task.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © British International Studies Association 2011

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References

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21 See Stephen Brooks and William Wohlforth, ‘International Relations Theory and the Case against Unilateralism’, pp. 511–2.

22 Craig does in fact acknowledge their contribution in a footnote. Refer to Campbell Craig, ‘American power preponderance and the nuclear revolution’, fn. 36. Craig may counter this argument by stating that he is emphasising the fear factor, but this itself depends on the nuclear capability of a state and its potential to annihilate a rival.

23 Campbell Craig, ‘American power preponderance and the nuclear revolution’, p. 35.

24 Ibid.

25 Ibid.

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