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‘Nice Soft Facts’: Fischer on Foreknowledge
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 24 October 2008
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During the last several years, philosophers of religion have witnessed a long-drawn debate between Nelson Pike and John Fischer on the problems of theological fatalism, Fischer claiming in his most recent contribution to have proved that even if God's past beliefs are ‘nice soft facts’, still theological fatalism cannot be averted. Unfortunately, this debate has not – at least it seems to this observer – served substantially either to clarify the issues involved or to move toward a resolution of the question, but has instead confused matters by its use of misleading terminology and diverted the discussion into unpromising side roads.
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page 235 note 1 Fischer, John Martin, ‘Hard-Type Soft Facts’, Philosophical Review, XCV (1986), 591–601;CrossRefGoogle ScholarFischer, John Martin, ‘Ockhamism’, Philosophical Review, XCIV (1985), 81–100;CrossRefGoogle ScholarPike, Nelson, ‘Fischer on Freedom and Foreknowledge’, Philosophical Review, XCIII (1984), 599–614;CrossRefGoogle ScholarFischer, John Martin, ‘Freedom and Fore-knowledge’, Philosophical Review, XCII (1983), 69–79;Google Scholar see also Fischer, John Martin, ‘Pike's Ockhamism’, Analysis XLVI (1986), 57–63.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
page 235 note 2 With regard to the terminological issue, a historical corrective is definitely in order here. For although Fischer claims to be discussing various versions of ‘Ockhamism’, it is clear that most of the positions he attacks only remotely resemble Ockham's views, thereby promoting misunderstanding of Ockham's important insights on this question. (For a more accurate exposition of Ockham's views, see my The Problem of Divine Foreknowledge and Future Contingents from Aristotle to Suarez, Studies in Intellectual History 7 [Leiden: E. J. Brill, 1988], chap. 6.) To be specific, the view that we can act in such a way that were we to do so, God would not have existed (or the person who is God would net have been God) – a view Fischer calls one version of Ockhamism – would have been vigorously repudiated by Ockham. It resembles his view only in employing a back-tracking counterfactual; but to call it therefore ‘Ockhamism’ is a distortion of his position.
Similarly, to characterize the defender of divine foreknowledge and human freedom as a ‘compatibilist’ and his opponent as an ‘incompatibilist’ as Fischer does is to use those terms with a meaning almost diametrically opposed to their customary usage. These terms have an accepted meaning with regard to questions pertinent to the nature of human freedom, and to use them in a non-standard way in the debate over foreknowledge and freedom seems misleading. For virtually every thinker who defends God's foreknowledge of future contingents is an incompatibilist, that is, a libertarian, whereas those who have employed the argument from divine foreknowledge to deny human freedom have often been compatibilists, that is, determinists. Given the roots of this debate in Greek logical fatalism, as it comes to expression, for example, in Aristotle's, De interpretatione 9Google Scholar, it is less misleading to characterize the argument Fischer defends as ‘theological fatalism’ and that of his opponent as ‘non-fatalism’.
On the terminological distinction between hard and soft facts, see the discussion in the text.
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page 236 note 2 Ibid. p. 595. Fischer does not seem to notice that his account here makes fixity person-relative, such that a past event may be fixed for some persons but not for other, more powerful persons, which seems not at all to capture our intuitions concerning the fixity of the past. Fixity ought not to be defined in terms of the power of agents at all, but in terms of whether some future event is the explanatory condition of a past or present reality. Where this is not the case, the past or present fact is fixed. Whether we can do anything to affect an unfixed fact will be a matter of what lies ‘within one's power’ and will vary on a case to case basis.
page 236 note 3 Ibid. p. 597.
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page 245 note 1 For the original statement of the problem, see Nozick, Robert, ‘Newcomb's Problem and Two Principles of Choice’, in Essays in Honor of Carl G. Hampel, ed. Rescher, Nicholas, Synthese Library (Dordrecht: D. Reidel, 1969), pp. 114–46.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
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page 245 note 5 Nozick himself approved of identifying the predictor as God in Gardner, Martin, ‘Mathematical Games’, Scientific American, (03 1974), p. 102.CrossRefGoogle Scholar The application of Newcomb's Problem to theological fatalism is made by Ahern, Dennis M., ‘Foreknowledge: Nelson Pike and Newcomb's Problem’, Religious Studies, XV (1979), 475–90;CrossRefGoogle ScholarPlantinga, Alvin, ‘On Ockham's Way Out’, Faith and Philosophy, III (1986), 254–7;Google Scholar and in my own ‘Divine Foreknowledge and Newcomb's Paradox’, Philosophia, XVII (1987), 331–50.
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