Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-2brh9 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-22T18:39:34.376Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Chocs de demande et fluctuations du taux de marge: une évaluation du modèle de collusion implicite*

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 August 2016

Frédéric Dufourt*
Affiliation:
EUREQUA, Universitéde Paris 1
Get access

Résumé

Cet article propose une évaluation quantitative du modèle de collusion implicite de Rotemberg et Woodford (1992), en s’appuyant sur une version totalement spécifiéé qui permet notamment une détermination analytique de l’élasticité du taux de marge face aux variations de la demande agrégée. Dans ce cadre, on montre qu’un tel mécanisme ne parvient pas à générer des effets réels suffisants pour reproduire un certain nombre de faits stylisés importants associés aux chocs de demande, tels que la réaction procyclique de la production, de l’emploi et du salaire réel. Comparé à des mécanismes concurrents de fluctuations des marges évalués dans un cadre analytique similaire, le mécanisme de collusion implicite semble donc avoir des difficultés à s’imposer à lui seul comme une explication dominante de la transmission des chocs de demande à l’activité économique.

Summary

Summary

In this article, I propose a quantitative evaluation of Rotemberg and Woodford’s model of implicit collusion, which is based upon a fully specified version which allows an analytic determination of the markup elasticity with respect to aggregate demand variations. In this framework, it is shown that such a mechanism is unable to generate sufficient real effects to account for some important stylized facts associated to demand shocks, such as the procyclical behavior of output, employment and the real wage in response to public spending variations. Compared with competing mechanisms of markup fluctuations evaluated with the same analytical framework, the mechanism of implicit collusion seems therefore to have difficulties to assert itself as a leading explanation for the transmission of aggregate demand shocks to economic activity.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de recherches économiques et sociales 2001 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

**

EUREQUA, Université de Paris 1, Maison des Sciences Économiques, 106–112 Bd de I’hôpital, F-75647 Paris cédex 13, France.

*

Je tiens à remercier Antoine d’Autume, Russel Cooper, David Encaoua, Jean-Olivier Hairault, Gilles Le Garrec et Hubert Kempf pour leurs remarques et suggestions qui m’ont permis d’améliorer cet article.

References

Abreu, D., (1986), “Extremal equilibria of oligopolistic supergames”, Journal of Economic Theory, 39, pp. 191225.Google Scholar
Bils, M., (1987), “The Cyclical Behavior of Marginal Cost and Price”, American Economic Review, 77, pp. 839855.Google Scholar
Blanchard, O., (1997), “Is there a core of usable Macroeconomics?”, American Economic Review, 87, pp. 244246.Google Scholar
Blanchard, O. et Kiyotaki, N., (1987), “Monopolistic competition and the effects of aggregate demand”, American Economic Review, 77, pp. 647666.Google Scholar
Burnside, C. et Eichenbaum, M., (1996), “Factor hoarding and the propagation of business cycle shocks”, American Economic Review, 86, pp. 11541174.Google Scholar
Christiano, L.J. et Eichenbaum, M., (1992), “Current real-business-cycle theories and aggregate labor-market fluctuations”, American Economic Review, 82, pp. 430450.Google Scholar
Christiano, L. J., Eichenbaum, M. et Evans, C. L., (1997), “Sticky price and limited participation models of money: a comparison”, European Economic Review, 41, pp. 12011249.Google Scholar
Cooper, R. et John, A., (1988), “Coordinating coordination failures in keynesian models”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 103, pp. 441463.Google Scholar
Dixit, A. K. et Stiglitz, J. E., (1977), “Monopolistic competition and optimum product diversity”, American Economic Review, 67, pp. 297308.Google Scholar
Dufourt, F., (1999), Chocs de demande et fluctuations du taux de marge: Une évaluation du modele de collusion implicite, document de travail, EUREQua, Université de Paris 1.Google Scholar
Galí, J., (1999), “Technology, Employment, and the business cycle: Do technology shocks explain aggregate fluctuations?”, American Economic Review, 89, pp. 249271.Google Scholar
Hairault, J-O. et Portier, F., (1993), “Money, New-Keynesian macroeconomics and the business cycle”, European Economic Review, 37, pp. 15331568.Google Scholar
Hall, R. E., (1988), “The relation between price and marginal cost in US industry”, Journal of Political Economy, 96, pp. 921947.Google Scholar
Hornstein, A., (1993), “Monopolistic competition, increasing returns to scale, and the importance of productivity shocks”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 31, pp. 299316.Google Scholar
Kandil, M., (1995), Sticky wage or sticky price? Analysis of the cyclical behavior of the real wage, working paper, University of Wiscontin-Milwaukee.Google Scholar
Morrison, C. J., (1994), “The cyclical nature of markups in Canadian manufacturing: a production theory approach”, Journal of Applied Eco-nometrics, 9, pp. 269282.Google Scholar
Oliveira Martins, J., Scarpetta, S. et Pilat, D., (1996), «Comportement de taux de marge, structure de marché et cycle économique», Revue Economique de L’OCDE, 27, pp. 81120.Google Scholar
Portier, F., (1995), “Business formation and cyclical markups in the French business cycle”, Annales d’Economie et de Statistique, 37/38, pp. 411440.Google Scholar
Ramey, V. A., (1991), “Markups and the business cycle – a comment”, in Blanchard, O. et Fisher, S. (éds.), NBER Macroeconomics Annuals, pp. 134139.Google Scholar
Rotemberg, J. J. et Saloner, G., (1986), “A supergame-theoretic model of price-wars during booms”, American Economic Review, 76, pp. 390407.Google Scholar
Rotemberg, J. J. et Woodford, M., (1991), “Markups and the business cycle”, in Blanchard, O. et Fisher, S. (éds.), NBER Macroeconomics Annuals, pp. 63140.Google Scholar
Rotemberg, J. J. et M., Woodford, (1992), “Oligopolistic pricing and the effects of aggregate demand on economic activity”, Journal of Political Economy, 100, pp. 11531207.Google Scholar
Rotemberg, J. J. et Woodford, M., (1995), “Dynamic general equilibrium models with imperfectly competitive product markets”, in Cooley, T. F. (éd.), Frontiers of Business Cycles Research, Princeton University Press, ch. 9.Google Scholar
Rotemberg, J. J. et Woodford, M., (1996), “Imperfect competition and the effects of energy price increases on economic activity”, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 28, pp. 549577.Google Scholar
Tirole, J., (1989), Théorie de l’organisation industrielle, vol 1 et 2, Coll. Economie et Statistiques Avancées, Economica, Paris.Google Scholar
Yun, T., (1996), “Nominal price rigidity, money supply endogeneity, and business cycles”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 37, pp. 345370.Google Scholar