Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-dk4vv Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-23T20:23:06.776Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Tree-ring reconstructions of May–June precipitation for western Anatolia

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 January 2017

Nesibe Köse ,
Ünal Akkemik ,
H. Nüzhet Dalfes  and
M. Sinan Özeren
Nesibe Köse*
Affiliation:
Istanbul University, Faculty of Forestry, Forest Botany Department 34473 Bahçeköy-Istanbul, Turkey
Ünal Akkemik
Affiliation:
Istanbul University, Faculty of Forestry, Forest Botany Department 34473 Bahçeköy-Istanbul, Turkey
H. Nüzhet Dalfes
Affiliation:
Istanbul Technical University, Eurasia Institute of Earth Sciences, 34469 Maslak-Istanbul, Turkey
M. Sinan Özeren
Affiliation:
Istanbul Technical University, Department of Geology, 34469 Maslak-Istanbul, Turkey
*
⁎Corresponding author. Fax: + 90 212 226 11 13.
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

In this study, we aim to examine past dry and wet events for the western Anatolia, performing local and spatial reconstructions. 17 new black pine site chronologies were developed, May–June precipitation time series were reconstructed for four localities, and the first spatial May–June precipitation reconstruction was achieved for western Anatolia. The long-term local May–June precipitation reconstructions contain mostly one-year and less commonly, two-year drought events. The longest consecutive dry period (AD 1925–1928) in the reconstructed time series for Kütahya lasted four years. Spatial reconstructions revealed that between AD 1786 and 1930 the extreme dry years for all of western Anatolia were AD 1887, 1893, 1794 and 1740. The driest year during the 215-year-long period under consideration was 1887. The wettest years for the entire western Anatolia were determined to be AD 1835, 1876, 1881 and 1901. There is a big overlap between agricultural famine years and dry years as determined from reconstructions. In this context, our study provides a basis for understanding agricultural drought and better management of regional water resources.

Keywords

Tree ringsDendroclimatologySpatial reconstructionMay–June precipitationTurkeyWestern Anatolia
Type
Research Article
Information
Quaternary Research , Volume 75 , Issue 3 , May 2011 , pp. 438 - 450
Copyright
University of Washington

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Afkhami, A. Disease and water supply: the case of cholera in 19th century Iran. Coppock, J., and Miller, J. Transformations of Middle Eastern Natural Environments: Legacies and Lessons. (1998). Yale University, New Haven. 206–220. Bulletin Series No. 103 Google Scholar
Akkemik, Ü. Dendroclimatology of Umbrella pine (Pinus pinea L.) in Istanbul (Turkey). Tree-Ring Bulletin 56, (2000). 17–20.Google Scholar
Akkemik, Ü. Tree-ring chronology of Abies cilicica Carr. in the Western Mediterranean Region of Turkey and its response to climate. Dendrochronologia 18, (2000). 73–81.Google Scholar
Akkemik, Ü. Dendrochronological investigations in two monumental Pinus nigra Arn. stands near Antalya (Turkey). International Scientific Conference—75 years university forestry education in Bulgaria, 15–16 June 2000, Sofia-Bulgaria Proceeding Book. (2000). 179–187.Google Scholar
Akkemik, Ü. Tree-rings of Cedrus libani A. Rich the northern boundary of its natural distribution. IAWA Journal 24, 1 (2003). 63–73.Google Scholar
Akkemik, Ü., and Aras, A. Reconstruction (1689–1994) of April–August precipitation in southwestern part of central Turkey. International Journal of Climatology 25, (2005). 537–548.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Akkemik, Ü., and Cherubini, P. Batı Karadeniz Bölgesi'nde Doğal Yetişen Gymnosperm Taksonları Üzerinde Dendrokronolojik Araştırmalar. Project TÜBİTAK-TOGTAG-2703. (2003). (In Turkish) Google Scholar
Akkemik, Ü., D'Arrigo, R., Chrubini, P., Köse, N., and Jacoby, G. Tree-ring reconstructions of precipitation and streamflow for north-western Turkey. International Journal of Climatology 28, (2008). 173–183.Google Scholar
Akkemik, Ü., Dagdeviren, N., and Aras, N. A preliminary reconstruction (A.D. 1635–2000) of spring precipitation using oak tree rings in the western Black Sea region of Turkey. International Journal of Biometeorology 49, 5 (2005). 297–302.Google Scholar
Biondi, F., and Waikul, K. DENDROCLIM2002: a C++ program for statistical calibration of climate signals in tree-ring chronologies. Computers and Geosciences 30, (2004). 303–311.Google Scholar
Bozkurt, D., and Sen, O.L. Precipitation in the Anatolian Peninsula: a sensitivity to increased SSTs in the surrounding seas. Climate Dynamics 36, (2009). 711–726.Google Scholar
Bradley, R.S., and Eddy, J.A. Records of past global changes. Bradley, R.S. Global Changes of the Past. (1991). University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, 5–9.Google Scholar
Briffa, K., and Jones, P.D. Basic chronology statistics and assessment. Cook, E., and Kairiukstis, L.A. Methods of Dendrochronology: Applications in the Environmental Sciences. (1990). Kluwer Academic Publishers, 137–152.Google Scholar
Çölaşan, Ü.E. Türkiye iklimi, Devlet Meteoroloji İşleri Yayınları. (1960). Ankara (In Turkish) Google Scholar
Cook, E., (1985). A time series analysis approach to tree-ring standardization. Unpublished PhD. Dissertation. University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.Google Scholar
Cook, E., Briffa, K., Shiyatov, S., and Mazepa, V. Tree-ring standardization and growth-trend estimation. Cook, E., and Kairiukstis, L.A. Methods of Dendrochronology: Applications in The Environmental Sciences. (1990). Kluwer Academic Publishers, 104–122.Google Scholar
Cook, E., Shiyatov, S., and Mazepa, V. Estimation of the mean chronology. Cook, E., and Kairiukstis, L.A. Methods of Dendrochronology: Applications in The Environmental Sciences. (1990). Kluwer Academic Publishers, 123–132.Google Scholar
Cullen, H.M., and deMenocal, P.B. North Atlantic influence on Tigris–Euphrates streamflow. International Journal of Climatology 20, (2000). 853–863.Google Scholar
Dağdeviren, N., (2002). Kazdağları’nda Doğal Yetişen Gymnospermae Taksonları Üzerinde Dendrokronolojik Araştırmalar. Yüksek Lisans Tezi İ.Ü. Fen Bilimleri Enstütüsü. (In Turkish).Google Scholar
D'Arrigo, R., and Cullen, H.M. A 350-year (AD 1628–1980) reconstruction of Turkish precipitation. Dendrochronologia 19, 2 (2001). 169–177.Google Scholar
DMI Annual mean precipitation dataset for Turkey (published by Turkish State Meteorological service). (2010). http://www.dmi.gov.tr/veridegerlendirme/yillik-toplam-yagis-verileri.aspx Accessed 15 November 2010 Google Scholar
Fritts, H.C. Tree Rings and Climate. (1976). Academic Press, New York. 567 pp Google Scholar
Gassner, G., and Christiansen-Weniger, F. Dendroklimatologische Untersuchungen über die Jahresringentwicklung der Kiefern in Anatolien. Nova Acta Leopoldina: Abhandlung der Kaiserlich Leopoldinisch-Carolinisch deutschen Akademie der Naturforscher NF. Band 12, Nr 80. (1942). Google Scholar
Göktürk, O.M., (2005). North Sea Caspian pattern and its influence on the hydrometeorological parameters over Turkey. Master Thesis. Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul.Google Scholar
Griggs, C., DeGaetano, A., Kuniholm, P., and Newton, M. A regional high-frequency reconstruction of May–June precipitation in the north Aegean from oak tree rings, A. D. 1809–1989. International Journal of Climatology 27, (2007). 1075–1089.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grissino-Mayer, H.D. Research report evaluating crossdating accuracy: a manual and tutorial for the computer program Cofecha. Tree-Ring Research 57, 2 (2001). 205–221.Google Scholar
Grissino-Mayer, H.D., Holmes, R.L., and Fritts, H.C. The International Tree-Ring Data Bank Program Library Version 2.0 User's Manual. (1996). Laboratory of Tree-ring Research. University of Arizona, Tucson. Google Scholar
Guiot, J. Comparison of the methods. Methods of Dendrochronology, Applications in the Environmental Sciences. (1990). Kluwer Academic Publishers, The Netherlands.Google Scholar
Gül, A. Drought and famine in Ottoman Empire (Case of Erzurum Province: 1892–1893 and 1906–1908). The Journal of International Social Research 2, 9 (2009). 144–158. (In Turkish) Google Scholar
Holmes, R.L. Computer-assisted quality control in tree-ring data and measurements. Tree-ring Bulletin 43, (1983). 69–78.Google Scholar
Hughes, M.K., Kuniholm, P.I., Garfin, G.M., Latini, C., and Eischeid, J. Aegean tree-ring signature years explained. Tree-Ring Research 57, 1 (2001). 67–73.Google Scholar
Kadioğlu, M. Bildiğiniz Havaların Sonu-Küresel İklim Değişimi ve Türkiye. (2001). Güncel Yayınları, İstanbul. (In Turkish) Google Scholar
Kadioğlu, Y., and Acar, D. The effects of climatic factors on agricultural activities in Ulubey. First Meteorology Symposium, 27–28 May 2010, Ankara. (2010). http://www.sempozyum1.dmi.gov.tr/FILES/PDF/251.pdf Accessed 15 June 2010 Google Scholar
Korkmaz, H. The relationship between the arid period and the agriculture of wheat, cotton and crop in Amik Plain. Mustafa Kemal University Journal of the Social Sciences Institute 6, 11 (2009). 56–68.Google Scholar
Köse, N., Akkemik, Ü., and Dalfes, H.N. Anadolu'nun iklim tarihinin son 500 yılı: Dendroklimatolojik ilk sonuçlar. Türkiye Kuvaterner Sempozyumu-TURQUA-V, 02-03 Haziran 2005, Bildiriler Kitabı. (2005). 136–142. (In Turkish) Google Scholar
Kuniholm, P.I., (1999). Studies in Aegean archaeology presented to Malcolm H. Wiener as he enters his 65th year, Meleemata. Eds. Betancourt, P.P., Karageorghis, V., Laffineur, R. ve Niemeir, W.D..Google Scholar
Mayer, H., and Aksoy, H. Türkiye Ormanları, Orman Bakanlığı Yayın no: 038, Batı Karadeniz Ormancılık Araştırma Enstitüsü Müdürlüğü Yayın no: 2. (1998). Abant İzzet Baysal Üniversitesi Basımevi, Bolu. (In Turkish) Google Scholar
Meko, D.M., and Graybill, D.A. Tree-ring reconstruction of upper Gila River discharge. Water Resource Bulletin 31, (1995). 605–616.Google Scholar
Miran, B. Tarımsal yapı ve üretim. Yavuz, F. Türkiye'de tarım. (2005). Tarım ve Köyişleri Bakanlığı, Ankara.Google Scholar
Mitchel, T.L., Carter, T.R., Jones, P.D., Hulme, M., and New, M. A comprehensive set of high-resolution grids of monthly climate for Europe and the globe. The observed record (1901–2000) and 16 scenarios (2001–2100). Tyndall Center Working Paper vol. 55, (2004). Google Scholar
Ottoman Archive: after 1850. Documents (correspondences between Ottoman Palace and provinces) in the Directory of State Archives of Prime Ministry of Republic of Turkey. (In Turkish) Google Scholar
Panzac, D. La peste dans I'empire Ottoman 1700–1850. (1985). Editions Peeters, Louvain.Google Scholar
Purgstall, Baron Joseph Von Hammer Ottoman State History. Translator: Vecdi Bürün Vol.1–7, (1983). Üçdal Publishing, Istanbul, Turkey. (In Turkish) Google Scholar
Quataert, D., (1968). Famine in Turkey—1873–1875. MA Thesis. S.U.N.Y., Binghamton, NY.Google Scholar
Sensoy, S., Demircan, M., Ulupınar, Y., and Balta, İ. Türkiye iklimi. (2010). http://www.dmi.gov.tr/FILES/iklim/turkiye_iklimi.pdf Accessed 15 November 2010 Google Scholar
Stokes, M.A., and Smiley, T.L. An Introduction to Tree-ring Dating. (1996). The University of Arizona Press, Tucson AZ.Google Scholar
Swetnam, T.W. Using dendrochronology to measure radial growth of defoliated trees. Agriculture Hand Book. (1985). USDA Forest Service, Cooperative State Research Service, Google Scholar
Tarım ve Köyişleri Bakanlığı, T.C. Türkiye'de tarımsal kuraklıkla mücadele stratejisi ve eylem planı (2008–2012). (2008). http://www.iklim.cevreorman.gov.tr/belgeler/tarimsal_kuraklik.doc Accessed 15 June 2010 Google Scholar
Touchan, R., Garfin, G.M., Meko, D.M., Funkhouser, G., Erkan, N., Hughes, M.K., and Wallin, B.S. Preliminary reconstructions of spring precipitation in southwestern Turkey from tree-ring width. International Journal of Climatology 23, (2003). 157–171.Google Scholar
Touchan, R., Funkhouser, G., Hughes, M.K., and Erkan, N. Standardized precipitation index reconstructed from Turkish ring widths. Climatic Change 72, (2005). 339–353.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Touchan, R., Xoplaki, E., Funchouser, G., Luterbacher, J., Hughes, M.K., Erkan, N., Akkemik, Ü., and Stephan, J. Reconstruction of spring/summer precipitation for the Eastern Mediterranean from tree-ring widths and its connection to large-scale atmospheric circulation. Climate Dynamics 25, (2005). 75–98.Google Scholar
Touchan, R., Akkemik, Ü., Huges, M.K., and Erkan, N. May–June precipitation reconstruction of southwestern Anatolia, Turkey during the last 900 years from tree-rings. Quaternary Research 68, (2007). 196–202.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Türkeş, M. Spatial and temporal analysis of annual rainfall variations in Turkey. International Journal of Climatology 16, (1996). 1057–1076.3.0.CO;2-D>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Türkeş, M. Influence of geopotential heights, cyclone frequency and Southern Oscillation on rainfall variations in Turkey. International Journal of Climatology 18, (1998). 649–680.Google Scholar
Türkeş, M., Sümer, U.M., and Kılıç, G. Persistence and periodicity in the precipitation series of Turkey and associations with 500 hPa geopotential heights. Climate Research 21, (2002). 59–81.Google Scholar
Unidata Net CDF (Network Common Data Form). (2010). http://www.unidata.ucar.edu/software/netcdf/ Accessed 15 June 2010 Google Scholar
Wigley, T.M.L., Briffa, K.R., and Jones, P.D. On the average value of correlated time series, with applications in dendroclimatology and hydrometeorology. Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology 23, (1984). 201–213.Google Scholar
Zachariadou, E. Osmanlı İmparatorluğunda Doğal Afetler. (1999). Istanbul (In Turkish) Google Scholar