Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-s2hrs Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-04T21:05:04.454Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Would Ross Perot Have Won the 1992 Presidential Election Under Approval Voting?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 September 2013

Steven J. Brams
Affiliation:
New York University
Samuel Merrill III
Affiliation:
Wilkes University

Extract

The answer to the question we pose in the title is by no means obvious. That it might be affirmative is suggested by the facts that Ross Perot:

• ran ahead of the major-party presidential candidates in several presidential preference polls at the height of his popularity in June 1992; and

• on election day in November received a higher proportion of the popular vote (19.0%) than any third-party candidate since Theodore Roosevelt in 1912 (27.4%), who came in second to Woodrow Wilson that year.

More significant than Perot's relatively large percentage, however, is that he appealed to many Republicans because of his conservative economic policies, especially with respect to reducing the budget deficit, and to many Democrats because of his liberal social views on issues like abortion.

It is precisely this kind of wide-ranging appeal that favors candidates under approval voting (AV), whereby voters can vote for as many candidates as they like or consider acceptable in a multicandi-date election. (In a three-candidate race like the 1992 presidential election, this means voting either for one's top or one's top two choices.) Yet despite extensive research on AV (Brams and Fishburn 1983), comparisons of it that have been made with other voting systems (Nurmi 1987; Merrill 1988), and empirical studies of its actual use (reviewed in Brams and Fishburn 1992), it is no easy task to establish how candidates would fare under AV in a specific election.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © The American Political Science Association 1994

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

*

Steven J. Brams gratefully acknowledges the support of the C. V. Starr Center for Applied Economics. The authors thank Danny Kleinman and Richard D. Potthoff for valuable comments on an earlier version of this paper.

References

Arterton, F. Christopher. 1993. “Campaign '92: Strategies and Tactics of the Candidates.” In The Election of 1992, ed. Pomper, Gerald M.. Chatham, NJ: Chatham House.Google Scholar
Black, Duncan. 1958. The Theory of Committees and Elections. London: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Black, Gordon S., and Black, Benjamin D. 1993. “‘Perot Wins!’ The Election that Could Have Been.” The Public Perspective: A Roper Center Review of Public Opinion and Polling 4, no. 2 (January/ February): 1516.Google Scholar
Brams, Steven J., and Fishburn, Peter C.. 1976. “Approval Voting.” American Political Science Review 72, no. 3 (September):831–47.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brams, Steven J., and Fishburn, Peter C.. 1983. Approval Voting. Cambridge, MA: Birkhäuser Boston.Google Scholar
Brams, Steven J., and Fishburn, Peter C. 1992. “Approval Voting in Scientific and Engineering Societies.” Group Decision and Negotiation 1, no. 1 (April):4155.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Frankovic, Kathleen A. 1993. “Public Opinion in the 1992 Campaign.” In The Election of 1992, ed. Pomper, Gerald M.. Chatham, NJ: Chatham House.Google Scholar
Hugick, Larry. 1993. “A Response to Gordon and Benjamin Black: Perot's Own Actions Determined his Fate.” The Public Perspective: A Roper Center Review of Public Opinion and Polling 4, no. 2 (January/February): 1718.Google Scholar
Kiewiet, D. Roderick. 1979. “Approval Voting: The Case of the 1968 Presidential Election.” Polity 12, no. 1 (Fall):170–81.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Merrill, Samuel III. 1988. Making Multicandidate Elections More Democratic. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Miller, Warren E., Kinder, Donald R., Rosenstone, Steven J., and the National Election Studies. 1993. American National Election Study, 1992: Pre- and Post-election Survey. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan, Center for Political Studies.Google Scholar
Myerson, Roger B., and Weber, Robert J. 1993. “A Theory of Voting Equilibria.” American Political Science Review 87, no. 1 (March):102–14.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nurmi, Hannu. 1987. Comparing Voting Systems. Dordrecht, Holland: D. Reidel.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pomper, Gerald M. 1993. “The Presidential Election.” In The Election of 1992, ed. Pomper, Gerald M.. Chatham, NJ: Chatham House.Google Scholar
“Voter Registration and Turnout in the 1992 General Election.” 1993. Election Administration Reports (June 14):35.Google Scholar